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Davis Mattek fantasy football takes on Jaylen Waddle
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Davis Mattek about Jaylen Waddle.
22
Insights
16
Positive
5
Negative
Insight ledger
All Davis Mattek insights about Jaylen Waddle
PositiveProjectionOct 23, 2026
Davis Mattek is playing Jaylen Waddle with personal money this week, projecting a 12-target floor. The rationale: Bo Nix ranks 701st out of 701 in average depth of target this season since air yards tracking began, representing historically poor quarterback play that has killed the Broncos offense. Mattek views this as unsustainable and expects regression, which would directly benefit Waddle's target volume. Despite the offensive struggles, Waddle's peripheral metrics remain solid, and Mattek feels good about the play.PositiveValueOct 22, 2026
DFS value at $5,500 with 25% target share, 64% catch rate, and 14 PPR points in recent games; Miami's team total is 24.5 on a 44.5 game total. Davis Mattek describes him as a 'plug your nose play'—cheap enough to deploy despite historical inconsistency, with strong matchup fundamentals. Mattek expresses strong conviction to play Waddle with personal money in Week 7, driven by Bo Nicks' historically poor quarterback play (ranked 701st out of 701 in average depth of target), which should force a high-volume game for Waddle with 12+ targets expected. Waddle's cheap pricing combined with a strong matchup against Arizona makes him a smash play if Nicks can execute.NegativeProjectionOct 21, 2026
Waddle projects for 14 points with 24% target share and 64% catch rate; the underlying metrics (routes, targets) are solid, but production has been inconsistent, creating frustration despite the projection being sound. He had 8 catches for 130 yards in week two but has struggled since. The variance in Bo Nix's play is cited as the primary culprit—Nix's target distribution to Waddle ranges from 11–14% in some weeks to 26–32% in others, creating unpredictability that undermines Waddle's fantasy value despite solid underlying metrics.NegativeBustOct 19, 2026
Jaylen Waddle feels spiritually dead in fantasy, indicating significant underperformance or role concerns.PositiveProjectionOct 11, 2026
Jaylen Waddle receiving yards over 59.5 is selected as a prop bet pick with a $50 boost applied, indicating confidence in exceeding the yardage threshold.PositiveValueOct 8, 2026
Davis Mattek prefers Jaylen Warren over Jaylen Waddle in trade scenarios, stating 'I would much rather have TuTu than Waddle,' indicating Waddle is undervalued or not a preferred acquisition target.PositiveUsageOct 5, 2026
Kenneth Walker pushes back against including Jaylen Waddle on a disappointing players list, noting that Waddle scored a touchdown yesterday and arguing that callers are being unreasonable in their assessment.PositiveValueSep 27, 2026
Davis Mattek prefers Jaylen Waddle (Toutin) over George Pickens in a trade comparison, stating 'I would also rather have Toutin and Waddle than George Pickkins. That's maybe a little bit of a hot take,' indicating Waddle is undervalued relative to Pickens. Mattek identifies Waddle as an 'easy' flex start for Week 3 and includes him in multiple DFS lineup constructions, reflecting confidence in his value and role. Across trade and start-sit evaluations, Waddle emerges as a preferred asset.PositiveRoleJul 24, 2026
Davis Mattek believes Jaylen Waddle will be the primary target beneficiary in the Broncos passing game, stating 'Jaylen Wadd is going to be better at earning targets than Courtland Sutton' in his opinion. This suggests Waddle's target upside is more secure than Sutton's despite Sutton's past production. Mattek included Waddle as a core early-round target in a hero running back draft strategy.PositiveValueJul 19, 2026
Davis Mattek's #1 WR pick in full PPR; slots in 4th round on DraftKings and represents the "easiest pick you can make." Despite playing alongside Tyreek Hill (a Hall of Famer), Waddle has maintained above-average yards per route run and targets per route run throughout his career. In games where Hill didn't play, Waddle profiles as a WR1. Denver led the NFL in pass attempts last year, and Mattek sees no reason Waddle can't reach a 2-3 turn (or even 1-2) next year; Courtland Sutton poses no limiter to his upside. Mattek compares him to Terry McLaurin and Luther Burden at similar ADP.NegativeValueJun 13, 2026
Available at the 4-5 turn alongside Mike Evans, Davante Adams, and Jameson Williams as a good player capable of quite good fantasy seasons, but without the 19-20 fantasy points per game ceiling of elite tier receivers. Davis Mattek makes DeVonta Smith a giant favorite over Waddle in draft positioning, indicating Waddle is overvalued relative to Smith at their respective ADP.PositiveValueMay 31, 2026
Davis Mattek describes Jaylen Waddle in the fifth round as exceptional value, comparing the pick to 'converting that into government-backed treasury bonds' and 'picking up dollars,' indicating Waddle is significantly underpriced at his ADP.NegativeValueMay 23, 2026
Target for draft selection but availability concern noted; speaker expresses hope to acquire him but skepticism about being able to secure him at current draft position.NegativeMatchupMay 22, 2026
Jaylen Waddle is a player the source has been drafting heavily, but the Broncos-Patriots Week 17 matchup makes him less attractive; the source expects a lot of running in this game based on the teams' previous playoff meeting, which was a horrible, unwatchable, sloppy mess outdoors; the poor game environment reduces his appeal despite his overall quality.PositiveValueNo date
Davis Mattek actively targets Jaylen Waddle in mock drafts, stating 'I'm taking Jaylen Waddle here, too. I'm really I'm really doing it,' indicating strong conviction to draft the wide receiver; Waddle was also included in the source's final draft roster graded 'B+ grade' for advancement, 'B minus ADP grade,' and 'B+ uniqueness.'PositiveValueNo date
The source selected Jaylen Waddle as part of his core opening draft, pairing him with Saquon Barkley, Justin Jefferson, and Javante Williams, indicating confidence in his role and value at his draft position.PositiveProjectionNo date
Davis Mattek is bullish on Jaylen Waddle, projecting a 28% target share and expecting him to come out of the gate strong with games like 147 yards. While acknowledging Waddle's injury durability concerns—getting nicked up, banged up, entering the medical tent frequently—Mattek notes he has not actually missed that many games in his career. Mattek expects Waddle to outproduce Courtland Sutton by approximately 400 yards, though Sutton may have more touchdowns. Waddle is positioned as a draft value if you believe in his durability.PositiveValueNo date
Jaylen Waddle's ADP has risen significantly as the market has caught up to earlier enthusiasm; the source notes he can no longer be consistently targeted at value because 'the whole market now agrees with me on Jaylen Waddle,' forcing a shift away from repeatedly drafting him. Despite drafting Waddle at pick 41 as part of a strong early sequence (Chase, Kyren Williams, Waddle), the source is reducing exposure due to market consensus alignment and no longer available at the discount price previously exploited.NegativeValueNo date
Davis Mattek considered Waddle as an alternative to Javonte Williams at the same draft position, noting that while Waddle offered 'a better structural fit,' he preferred Williams due to the scarcity of running back production and the risk of falling behind at the position.PositiveValueNo date
The analyst takes a bunch of Waddle in their stream drafts as part of their preferred draft strategy.PositiveValueNo date
The analyst would take Waddle in this draft spot and mentions taking a bunch of Waddle in their stream drafts.PositiveValueNo date
Both analysts are described as 'big Waddle guys,' indicating they favor him as a draft pick at his current ADP.