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Davis Mattek fantasy football takes on Brian Thomas Jr.
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Davis Mattek about Brian Thomas Jr..
20
Insights
9
Positive
6
Negative
Insight ledger
All Davis Mattek insights about Brian Thomas Jr.
NegativeInjuryOct 29, 2026
Davis Mattek raises serious availability concerns about Brian Thomas Jr., questioning whether the Jaguars will healthy scratch him and suggesting they might trade him for a fourth-round pick rather than play him. Mattek describes his career trajectory as "weird," noting that most of his production came with backup quarterback play and the team quickly lost confidence in him early in his second year, with no real historical comparisons to this type of career arc.NegativeBustOct 19, 2026
Currently considered 'pretty dead' for fantasy purposes; however, Davis Mattek notes that if BTJ gets traded, the arrow on his fantasy outlook would go way back up, suggesting a trade could significantly improve his situation. Mattek also describes him as 'spiritually dead' in fantasy.NegativeValueOct 5, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. is ruled out as a trade option for the Chiefs; Mattek assesses that the Chiefs are priced out of acquiring him, marking him as very unlikely despite his elite talent.NegativeUsageSep 30, 2026
Thomas Jr. has dropped to a 13% target share in Week 3, which the source suggests is probably too high; the source indicates he needs to be moved down in projections as the Jaguars continue to distribute targets across multiple receivers.NegativeValueSep 24, 2026
Davis Mattek views Brian Thomas Jr. as a strong DFS value at $4,600, arguing he is significantly more talented than other cheap wide receiver options despite a difficult shadow matchup against Christian Gonzalez. Mattek notes that while current projections of 13.8 points may be too high, Thomas Jr. remains a superior talent compared to other low-priced alternatives like AD Mitchell.NegativeUsageSep 10, 2026
Davis Mattek is uncertain about Brian Thomas Jr. for Week 1, questioning whether he will be a primary target or if he will primarily serve as a decoy to draw coverage from Denzel Ward, potentially opening up opportunities for Parker Washington.NegativeValueJul 24, 2026
Davis Mattek views Brian Thomas Jr. as interchangeable value with Tate and Pwash at an upcoming draft turn, indicating indifference among these three wide receiver options at that juncture.PositiveValueJun 7, 2026
Available at picks 59–62 on DraftKings but described as not nearly as strong as the available RB options (Jaylen Price, Bijan Robinson). Davis Mattek prefers to target RBs at these picks rather than WRs like Brian Thomas Jr.PositiveValueMay 22, 2026
Brian Thomas Jr. (BTJ) is a core piece of the Jaguars offense in the S-tier Commanders-Jaguars Week 17 game. Davis Mattek states 'I think they could be like a top five offense in the NFL' and explicitly lists BTJ as a player you should be drafting in this stack, with the game expected to be competitive and not a blowout.PositiveValueNo date
Davis Mattek suggests passing on Jadarian Price for Brian Thomas Jr. is probably not a good idea, indicating Thomas Jr. is a preferred target over Price in draft strategy.PositiveValueNo date
The source expressed a desire to acquire Brian Thomas Jr. in the draft, indicating he was a target at the time of the draft but was not available at the desired pick.NegativeProjectionNo date
Mattek continues to like Brian Thomas Jr. and expressed comfort taking him as a wide receiver in the draft. However, the resulting team received feedback expressing concern: 'A little worried about your wide receivers.' Mattek identifies Thomas as a key inflection point in 2026 wide receiver rankings; after Thomas goes, there is a tier that is 'like 40 guys deep,' indicating a significant drop-off in scarcity.NegativeValueNo date
The source mentions Brian Thomas Jr. at pick 58 in a draft context, but does not provide a specific take or valuation stance.PositiveMatchupNo date
Davis Mattek identifies Brian Thomas Jr. as a potential chalk pairing with Trevor Lawrence that could dominate weeks 15–16 in best ball. Mattek suggests this combination could be the winning stack to reach the finals, regardless of ownership levels. Mattek also drafted Thomas as part of his best ball wide receiver group alongside Justin Jefferson, Ladd McConkey, Jakobi Meyers, Stefon Diggs, Trey Tucker, and Jerry Jeudy.PositiveBreakoutNo date
Bryan Thomas Jr. is one of the most interesting players in the entire player pool. He was not as bad last year as remembered, with notable games including four catches for 66 yards and a touchdown against Seattle, four for 66 and a touchdown against the Jets, and three for 87 against Indianapolis. In 2024, he posted WR9, WR9, WR4, WR3, and WR12 finishes while playing with Mac Jones, suggesting potential for improvement with better quarterback play or situation clarity. Ranked wide receiver 40 in Mike Clay's target projections with 102 targets; Davis Mattek holds 11% exposure in best ball portfolio because he's cheap and part of a high-upside Jaguars offense with a very high win total.NegativeProjectionNo date
Mattek likes Brian Thomas Jr. and thinks he's fine, but does not consider him a must-have player in the draft. BTJ has already delivered a top-10 wide receiver season, making him more likely to repeat a top-10 fantasy finish than a prospect like Jordan Tyson. However, Mattek still prefers Tyson slightly in best ball format for peak ceiling, suggesting BTJ is the safer/more proven option but Tyson has higher upside potential.NegativeRoleNo date
The source considers Brian Thomas Jr. as a potential draft pick in this spot, offering it as an alternative to the Tyler Warren–Jonathan Taylor pairing.PositiveProjectionNo date
Davis Mattek expresses zero concerns about Brian Thomas Jr. as a prospect, indicating full confidence in his profile with no reservations. Mattek later describes him as one of his 'favorite players' on the 2024-themed roster, noting 'Brian Thomas Jr., man, 2024 Brian Thomas Jr. things things were different then in a good way,' indicating strong retrospective appreciation for Thomas's 2024 draft profile and performance relative to current expectations.PositiveProjectionNo date
BTJ has already delivered a top 10 wide receiver season, making him more likely to give another top 10 fantasy football season, though the analyst still prefers Jordan Tyson in this format.PositiveRoleNo date
Brian Thomas Jr. is selected to provide flexibility with Trevor Lawrence as a quarterback stack option.