Surprising Teams + Fizzle Picks - Fantasy Football Podcast for 6/18

A'Shawn Robinson is going as a top-10 running back (RB8) for the Dolphins, but there is a significant drop-off in weapons after him with no other notable offensive weapons drafted.

Baker Mayfield is in the last year of his contract with Tampa Bay; if the Buccaneers struggle significantly, there's a possibility they clean house, though the analyst expects him to receive a contract extension.

At the first overall pick, the analyst prefers Bijan Robinson or Jameer Charles, indicating he likes the guys at the 2-3 turn in draft position.

If the analyst has Brandon Aubrey at kicker, he would never vote against removing kickers from the league, indicating Aubrey's elite value makes kickers worth keeping.

Brenton Strange won't be consistent but will have more spike weeks due to the high-powered offense projecting to have many touchdowns to go around.

Brock Bowers should not be avoided despite being on the same team as a running back keeper; the analyst explicitly says 'No. Oh, my gosh, no. No.'

In a keeper league decision between a 3rd-round pick for Bowers vs. a 2nd-round pick for Saquon Barkley, the analyst would keep Bowers, citing that while Saquon goes higher in drafts, the ADP between the two is close enough that Bowers offers better value at his draft position.

CJ Stroud's fantasy production has declined significantly from his rookie year (4,123 passing yards) to his sophomore year and beyond, suggesting the offensive system changes may have negatively impacted his performance.

Cam Ward is expected to take a step forward in year two, as top-10 quarterbacks have averaged 2.6 more fantasy points per game in their second season over the last decade, though his performance remains uncertain.

Carnell Tate has received glowing reviews throughout the offseason and was added to the Titans to provide Cam Ward with an elite receiving option for year-two improvement.

Carnell Tate is expected to receive targets vacated by Chigakonkwo's departure from the Titans, as one of the team's new offensive additions.

Chris Bell is the highest-drafted wide receiver for the Dolphins at WR92, despite Malik Washington being the projected top target based on early camp reports.

Chris Olave is scheduled to go off blood thinners on June 29th after being sidelined by a blood clot (not a concussion as initially thought); he will be limited to individual work until cleared.

Despite being an awesome top-10 wide receiver, the analyst is very skeptical and worried about Chris Olave due to his concussion history and recent blood clot issue, making him hesitant to hold him in dynasty despite his on-field talent.

Colston Loveland is viewed as a key cog in the Chicago offense alongside Luther Burden and Odunze, with potential to lead the team in targets.

DJ Moore is expected to fizzle out; the analyst notes 'it's still kind of exciting and they'll probably do nothing and never be heard from again.'

The analyst is worried about Dak Prescott in two years, believing he will be great this year but that 'we're near the end for Dak' as he ages.

Dalton Schultz was the number two target for his team, serving as a reference point for evaluating tight end target share potential.

DK Metcalf has already fizzled out despite signing a large contract.

In a dynasty context, Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave are back-to-back in dynasty startups with Olave going ahead, making a trade between Wilson and Travon Henry more difficult than trading Olave for Henry.

Geno Smith is viewed favorably by the hosts as a potential breakout candidate for the Jets, who have many good offensive weapons to support him.

Greg Dulcich is a deep sleeper at tight end for the Dolphins who showed success toward the end of last year and could benefit from the team's offensive improvements.

Gunnar Helm has great sleeper potential as the Titans' tight end after they got rid of Chigakonkwo; he had a few top-10 weeks last year and will have high snap count this year as their guy.

Gus Edwards had an elite yards per carry average of approximately 6 yards per carry for three straight years with Baltimore.

Despite elite efficiency, JK Dobbins has a history of injuries that limits his fantasy value; the analyst notes he 'always gets hurt' and questions whether getting him for only 3 weeks is worthwhile.

JK Dobbins has an elite rushing yards per carry average of 5.2, ranking among the best since 2000 alongside Devon Achan, Jamal Charles, and Jameer Gibbs.

Jerry Judy will probably never be heard from again in fantasy football.

RJ Harvey's shoulder surgery opens the door for Jonah Coleman to see more work during training camp and potentially usurp him during the season.

The analyst wants Jordan Tyson, noting that if anything goes wrong with Chris Olave, Tyson's value goes to the moon, suggesting significant upside if Olave's injury concerns materialize.

The analyst likes Juwan Johnson from the Saints because the team has a top-five pick wide receiver and a free agent wide receiver they gave money to, making his target share very safe as the tight end.

The analyst would rather have Lad McConkey than trade him for Travon Henry, suggesting McConkey is more valuable than the running back in a dynasty context.

Luther Burden is ranked significantly higher than Marvin Harrison Jr. with active positivity; he looked better on the field at the end of the season and has a chance to lead the team in targets with a breakout season.

Malik Washington is projected to be the top target at wide receiver for the Dolphins based on early camp reports, despite being undrafted in current ADP.

Malik Willis is currently going as QB18, making him a late-round quarterback pick with significant upside if he starts every game, as mobile quarterbacks typically finish as top-12 fantasy options.

Malik Willis's impact will matter a lot for the Dolphins, and the analyst has been saying this since before he was signed; Willis looked better than some quarterbacks with contracts in his couple of starts.

Marvin Harrison Jr. has been disappointing and hasn't yet demonstrated dominant play; there is active negativity toward him compared to Luther Burden.

Michael Wilson is not viewed as a threat in the Arizona offense compared to Luther Burden, Colston Loveland, and Rome Odunze.

Nicholas Singleton could fizzle out of the league.

RJ Harvey underwent surgery this offseason to repair a torn labrum suffered in the championship game loss, raising concerns about his availability and durability.

The analyst is somewhat bullish on a Saquon bounce-back, believing that a 2nd-round keeper cost (208 ADP) is a deal for the team given the Eagles' offensive line and defensive identity, though not projecting him as a top-2 back.

Tank Bigsby will not eat into Saquon Barkley's role at all, and the analyst plans to have him on tons of teams as a late-round insurance back in a great offense, noting he has looked great the last couple of years.

Tony Pollard is not a high-ceiling player but offers floor value in certain draft builds, especially if the Titans' offense improves and he gets more touchdown opportunities.

Tony Pollard could certainly fizzle out of the league.

Travis Etienne Jr. could see improved fantasy production if the Saints flip from trailing on 77% of plays last year to winning more games, creating more touchdown opportunities for the running back.

Wandale Robinson was added to the Titans as a receiving weapon and is currently a 10th-round pick, offering value if the Titans' offense takes a step forward.

With the additions of Wandale Robinson and Carnell Tate to the Titans, the targets vacated by Chigakonkwo are expected to go to those two wide receivers rather than to Gunnar Helm.

Woody Marks could fizzle out and you may never hear from him again.