0:00Fantasy football draft season is quickly
0:02approaching and I have seven wide
0:04receivers that I am targeting every
0:05single time I enter into a fantasy
0:07football draft room. We are going to go
0:09from most expensive to least expensive.
0:11And I think one of these names is going
0:12to be a massive surprise to you guys.
0:14But we are going to begin not with the
0:16top tier because let's be honest, you
0:17were not able to get those guys in every
0:19draft. We're also going to skip this
0:20next tier. These are all the receivers
0:22that go in the first round. These guys
0:23are all going to be available in every
0:25single draft that you guys do. And we
0:27are actually going to begin with Malik
0:28Neighbors who I think is just frankly
0:30underpriced in fantasy football drafts.
0:32Right now he did not have a great year
0:34last year in only four games. Though he
0:36did have actually a completely absurd
0:38game in week two against Dallas before
0:39he injured his knee. Sounds like based
0:41on all the reporting that he actually is
0:43going to be back and is going to play in
0:45week one for the Giants. Jordan Renan,
0:47the New York Giants beat reporter said
0:48that is the most likely case. We need to
0:50remember that Malik Neighbors led the
0:53National Football League in targets per
0:55game as a rookie in 2024. He did that
0:58with massive spike weeks against the
0:59Browns who had a great defense. Then he
1:01had a huge spike week against the
1:03Baltimore Ravens and in the fantasy
1:04football championship in 2024. Scored
1:0736.1 points per game. I think that Malik
1:10Neighbors is going to very clearly be in
1:13that tier of Jefferson, Lamb, St. Brown,
1:16maybe even Puka, maybe even Chase wide
1:17receivers when we go into our drafts
1:19next year. People are afraid about Dart.
1:21People are afraid about the new coaching
1:23staff. And I actually think those
1:24concerns are fairly legitimate. I do not
1:27think Harbaugh is a great coach. I do
1:29not think Greg Roman is a great play
1:30caller. I certainly do not think Matt
1:32Negi should be anywhere near Malik
1:34Neighbors. But even if Malik Neighbors
1:36turns in something close to what he did
1:38when he finished as the overall wide
1:40receiver seven in 2024, I think he is a
1:43huge jam. Obviously, the fact that he
1:46finishes the wide receiver 7 with 18
1:48points per game would be a huge win
1:50where he's going now. And I actually
1:51think he can increase that. Wandale
1:53Robinson is gone, which sounds kind of
1:55silly, but Wandale is a guy who has over
1:58a 20% target share in his NFL career.
2:01Isaiah likely is not going to encroach
2:03on that. Malik Neighbors is going to be
2:05the clear far and away. He actually
2:07might be the only guy in the entire NFL
2:10with a 30% target share. And the fact
2:11that I can get him in the second round
2:13of drafts, you know, kind of after
2:14Derrick Henry, after Deon Achan are off
2:17the board, makes me think that starting
2:19with any running back that you like and
2:21then taking Malik Neighbors in round
2:22two, even if you are taking him at 15,
2:2416, 17, I think these are all
2:26justifiable. I really like taking Malik
2:29Neighbors, but that's the only one that
2:30is actually expensive. We are going to
2:32skip the C tier and we are going to move
2:34down to the D tier of drafts and we are
2:36going to add in my guy Luther Burden. My
2:39friends over at the Fantasy Stock
2:40Exchange had him as a very very strong
2:43prospect. Of course, we all know the
2:44stats about Luther Burden. He is tied
2:47with Justin Jefferson for the best
2:49rookie season in terms of yards per
2:50route run of all time. Like we we just
2:52know that beyond a shadow of a doubt. He
2:54is a very efficient per route player.
2:56The question was going to be, well, is
2:58Luther Burton going to step up as a
3:00full-time player in 2026 the way he was
3:03at the end of 2025? And I think that the
3:06personnel moves from the team clearly
3:08show that the answer is yes. They let DJ
3:10Moore go. They let me Zakius, who was
3:12actually playing over Luther Burton at
3:14the beginning of the 2025 season, go.
3:16Ben Johnson has said, "I am buying his
3:18stock." Now, he actually has gotten a
3:20little bit cheaper in drafts because as
3:22of this recording right now, he is
3:24suffering from a groin injury. has not
3:25returned to practice. The reporting is
3:27that the team is not that concerned
3:29about it, that we do expect Luther
3:30Burton to be back for week one for the
3:33Chicago Bears. If I'm wrong about that,
3:36well, I'm going to be wrong about a lot
3:37of things in 2026, but based on my read
3:40of the situation, we are going to get
3:41Luther Burton back in. My bet is that he
3:45crazy out targets Roman Dunes. I would
3:47not be surprised for Luther Burton to
3:49see 140 targets and only 100 to 105 for
3:53Roma Dunes this season. If you made me
3:54choose between Burden and a Dunes, I'm
3:57definitely going Burden. If you made me
3:58choose between Burden and Loveland,
4:00maybe controversially, I am actually
4:02still going Luther Burton. I think that
4:04his prospect profile is underrated
4:06because the Missouri team that he played
4:07on his final season went so sideways.
4:10I've heard this quoted that he got
4:11outproduced by Theoise, which is not
4:13actually true when you look at the
4:15perame production. And then you add in
4:17that Luther Burton also had nine rushes
4:19for 120 yards and a touchdown. And
4:21Theoise, I mean, he look he did make the
4:23Dolphins roster. I think he's a kind of
4:24a decent player, but the sophomore
4:26season for Burden is what is doing all
4:28of the weight. And then of course the
4:29week 17 game against the San Francisco
4:3249ers as well. I absolutely love
4:34drafting Luther Burton, and I'm going to
4:36continue to hammer him in drafts. Now,
4:38my next guy, I think this is going to
4:40surprise a lot of you who've been
4:41watching the channel, but I I have to
4:43admit that I was wrong about a player,
4:45and that player is going to be Parker
4:48Washington, who in his career has
4:50averaged less than 10 fantasy points per
4:52game. He has averaged under 1.5 yards
4:54per route run for all the routes he's
4:56ran on his career. The entirety of the
4:58Parker Washington thing are these games
5:00right here. 18 fantasy points against
5:02Arizona, 26 points against Denver, 19
5:05points against Indianapolis, 18 points
5:06against Tennessee. Was also their
5:08leading receiver in their playoff game
5:10as well. Now, I've heard it all before.
5:13Some people think he's Russell Gage.
5:15Some people think he's Gabe Davis. Some
5:17people think he is Jaguar Smith and
5:19Jigba. Some people think he's Alman Ross
5:20St. Brown. My truth tends to lie
5:22somewhere in the middle. But I'll tell
5:24you guys why I've changed my mind. They
5:26switched Travis Hunter's position
5:27because basically Travis Hunter's wide
5:29receiver position is the position that
5:31Parker Washington plays inside of Liam
5:33Cohen's offense. Turns out that's going
5:35to be wrong. Travis Hunter when he has
5:37been on offense has only been playing on
5:39the outside. He does not play the same
5:40position as Jacobe Meyers. And Brian
5:42Thomas Jr. has been typ cast into this
5:45sacrificial X outside wide receiver.
5:47Never going to come inside. Not going to
5:48be running crossers. He is going to be
5:50running these clear out routes. Brian
5:52Thomas Jr. is going to lead the team in
5:53average depth of target. My friend Scott
5:55Barrett has done some research on this,
5:57but basically extending back to Liam
5:59Cohen's time in college, the slot
6:01receiver in the Liam Cohen offense
6:03averages over 14 fantasy points per game
6:06and it is the most targeted position
6:08inside of the Liam Cohen offense. And
6:10that is the position that Parker
6:11Washington plays. So even if I don't
6:13think Parker Washington is that good and
6:15I basically think he's okay. I mean, at
6:17the end of the day, I'm targeting him
6:19because I think that the price has not
6:21caught up with what the team has told us
6:23we are going to do. And as someone who's
6:24played fantasy football for a long time,
6:26something that I do like relatively
6:28deeply believe is that coaches can kind
6:31of be the dictators of fantasy points
6:32when things are close. And my belief is
6:35that Parker Washington, Brian Thomas
6:36Jr., and Jacobe Meyers, and Brentton
6:38Strange are all kind of roughly equal in
6:41terms of earning targets. But the way
6:43that the offense is structured is going
6:45to direct more targets than he is
6:48necessarily earning to Parker Washington
6:51just because of the way that the offense
6:52works. So Malik Neighbors, Luther
6:54Burden, and Washington. Now we are going
6:56to get to a more controversial part of
6:58the draft where people are going to
6:59start to have very different opinions
7:01about who should go where. These guys
7:04right here, your Metcaps, your Pearsons,
7:05your Tyson's. Well, Tyson is actually in
7:07our next site update over on Flock
7:09Fantasy, which you guys can sign up
7:10using code Davis. The season pass is
7:12only $34. Tyson and Pierce are actually
7:14going to be a lot lower. But we are
7:16actually going to bring up Alec Pierce's
7:18teammate Josh DS. Again, potentially a
7:21controversial one because as of last
7:23night, Keenan Allen signed with the
7:26Indianapolis Colts. And I think the
7:28conversation has generally been, well,
7:29Keenan Allen is going to snatch Josh D's
7:32chain the same way he did for Lad
7:33Mankey. But that is not necessarily
7:35true. The first thing is Keenan Allen
7:37played 62% of his snaps on the outside
7:40last year for the Chargers. So my
7:42projection for the Indianapolis Colts
7:43offense is that in 12 personnel, it is
7:46going to be Alec Pierce and Josh DS are
7:48the two wide receivers on the field.
7:49Then when they switch into 11 personnel,
7:52it's actually going to be DS that moves
7:54into the slot and Keenan Allen moves
7:56outside. The issue in this offense, and
7:58I think it's a reason that Josh DS is
8:00going to end up not being that
8:01expensive. I think he will be a seventh
8:03or eighth round pick in most of your
8:05fantasy football drafts, is that Tyler
8:07Warren, Josh DS, and Keenan Allen are
8:10all going to be having very similar
8:12average depth of targets. They're all
8:13going to be running, you know, these
8:14five yard slant routes, these screens,
8:16these crossers. One thing I'm actually
8:19pretty excited to see for DS would be
8:22what happens if we actually do increase
8:24his average depth of target because his
8:26yards per target has been 6.4, 7.5, and
8:297.9. He did average 13.1 fantasy points
8:32per game in 2024. And frankly, he is not
8:35as bad as we remember from last season.
8:38He was a little bit banged up and then
8:40he was also playing in those games with
8:42Philip Rivers. you know, Philip Rivers,
8:44God love him, but he's not even at the
8:45level that Joe Flacco was when he was
8:47playing in 2024. My estimation is that
8:50it is Josh Downs that leads the
8:52Indianapolis Colts in targets. I also
8:54think the team is not going to be as
8:56successful running the ball this season
8:57as they were in 2025 because the threat
9:00of the Daniel Jones running stuff did
9:02create some lighter boxes for Jonathan
9:04Taylor. And I think one of the ways they
9:06are actually going to choose to combat
9:08some of the heavier boxes they are
9:09seeing would be to have Josh DS run a
9:12slightly different route tree than he
9:14has in the first three years of his NFL
9:16career. I will be heavily targeting Josh
9:18DS despite the presence of Keenan Allen.
9:21I still think he is a very strong value.
9:23Next up we are going to move to two
9:25graduates of the University of Texas
9:28Austin. We are going to begin with
9:29Xavier Worthy. Now, stop if you've heard
9:31me this one before, but Xavier Worthy
9:33is, I think, being very underrated by
9:35the market because he played last season
9:38with a torn labroom. Do I think that
9:40Xavier Worthy is a great NFL receiver?
9:42No, I don't. I think the preponderance
9:43of evidence would suggest that any great
9:46season he has in fantasy is going to be
9:48because Patrick Mahomes is great and
9:50because Andy Reid is a great play
9:51caller. But now, Xavier Worthy is so
9:54cheap in drafts compared to where he was
9:55in year 1 and year two that he has
9:57become a math-based play. If you just
10:00look at the Kansas City Chiefs offense,
10:01an offense that has been top one or top
10:04two in the NFL in pass rate over
10:06expectation every single year of Patrick
10:08Mahomes's career, you have about between
10:11580 and 620 pass attempts. Even if you
10:15give Rashi Rice and Travis Kelce insane
10:18target shares, you were still going to
10:19have quite a bit of meat on the bone for
10:22Xavier Worthy. You're talking like a
10:24minimum a minimum of about 90 targets
10:27with I think upside to like 115 or 120
10:30if you just kind of scale things based
10:32on what a wide receiver two in that
10:34offense would look like. I think that
10:35worthy is kind of an efficient way to
10:37actually bet on Kenneth Walker improving
10:39the Kansas City Chiefs offense.
10:41Something the Chiefs coaching staff has
10:42talked about quite a bit is having
10:44Kenneth Walker be a replacement for what
10:46was Rashi Rice's role in the game. So
10:48Rashi Rice and his short area targets,
10:51the screens, that was kind of a
10:52replacement for their very poor run game
10:54that the Chiefs had. Theoretically, the
10:56run game is going to be much better with
10:58Kenneth Walker, the offensive line,
11:00ranked as a top 10 unit by pretty much
11:02every grading service out there. And so
11:04all we are asking for for Xavier Worthy,
11:06who finished as the wide receiver 43 his
11:08rookie season, is can you simply stay
11:11healthy for 17 games? And maybe he
11:13can't. Ultimately, at the end of the
11:14day, Xavier Worthy might be too small.
11:16He really might. it truly he might be
11:18too small, but this is a first round
11:21wide receiver who played injured for all
11:23of last season who plays with the
11:25greatest quarterback in the NFL and
11:27probably the greatest play one of the
11:28five best play callers in the NFL. I'm
11:30not going to I'm not going to put him on
11:32the Shanahan level or the McVey level,
11:34but I think Andy Reid is awesome at his
11:37job. We're going to transition from
11:38Xavier Worthy to his UT uh fellow
11:41alumnist and that is going to be Matthew
11:43Golden who frankly was not very good
11:46last season, right? Uh only topped 10
11:48PPR points three times, four times if
11:51you include the postseason. His best
11:52career game was actually that playoff
11:54game against the Bears. But the
11:56decision-making for the Green Bay
11:57Packers is why I have landed here. They
11:59let Dantavian Wixs go. They let Romeo
12:02Dubs go. They don't bring in a second
12:04tight end with Luke Musgrave dealing
12:06with a neck and back injury. Tucker
12:08Craft is not going to be fully healthy
12:09to start the year. Yet, they really only
12:11have three receivers that they can count
12:13on, which is Golden, it is Jaden Reed,
12:16and it is Christian Watson. We've also
12:18seen Christian Watson kind of struggle
12:19with his health. Everyone involved in
12:21the Packers organization has said, "Hey,
12:23man, it's going to be Matthew Golden's
12:25year." I actually remember at uh they
12:27had an event at the Green Bay Stadium
12:28and they brought in Jordy Nelson, they
12:30brought in James Jones, they brought in
12:32Donald Driver and all of the formers
12:33Packers wide receivers when asked about
12:35the wide receiver room, they all said
12:37they were very excited for Matthew
12:39Golden. You know, I'm not the first one
12:40to make this point, but Jordan Love did
12:42overthrow Matthew Golden on what would
12:44have been two separate 90 yard
12:46touchdowns in the first three games of
12:48the season in 2025. Obviously, if he
12:51catches those, things go in a very
12:53different direction. We are thinking
12:54about Matthew Golden in a much different
12:56level, but the price is just so cheap
12:58for a guy who was a first round pick
13:00just one year ago and has had the runway
13:03cleared in front of him. I absolutely
13:05love taking Matthew Golden. And frankly,
13:07pretty much every draft I do, I get at
13:10least one of worthy Golden or Josh DS
13:13who all kind of go in the same range.
13:15There were a number of guys I thought
13:17about taking as the absolute last
13:19receiver here. You know, I do think that
13:21guys like Tank Dell are very
13:22interesting. I actually think Zachariah
13:24Branch is a really interesting name as
13:25well. Jacobe Lane or Cyrus Allen would
13:28be kind of more trendy sleeper names,
13:31but I'm actually going to go with one I
13:33don't think you guys would expect from
13:34me, and that is going to be Jeremy
13:36Bernard, who comes in as a relatively
13:38high RAS guy who was not counted on as
13:41an everyown wide receiver because he
13:43played for a team that strengths were
13:45running the ball and on defense, but he
13:47was drafted, I think, higher than a lot
13:49of people think. He was the 49th overall
13:51pick. And if you look at the competition
13:53ahead of him, I I've been very guilty of
13:54this, not seeing a week one role for
13:57Jeremy Bernard because he's likely going
13:58to be behind Friouth as the third pass
14:00catcher. But the guys that he has to
14:02surmount are Michael Pitman Jr. coming
14:04off of a down efficiency year changing
14:06teams. DK Metaf who is just not a great
14:10stylistic fit for what Aaron Rogers
14:12wants to do at this stage of his career.
14:14And then Fri Mouth in Washington. He
14:16basically has to get on the field over
14:18one of those players and then earn more
14:20targets than two of those players. And
14:22just generally speaking, guys who were
14:24drafted this high in the actual NFL
14:26draft are not the sort of guys that we
14:29are used to seeing as you know basically
14:31undrafted in a lot of leagues. And so I
14:34look at some of the other names that are
14:35going ahead of him. I look at guys like
14:36Jerry Judy like what's the ceiling on
14:39Judy? What is the ceiling on Florenoi?
14:41What's the ceiling on Antonio Williams?
14:42What's the ceiling on Trey? I mean,
14:43Jaylen Jaylen Naylor versus Jeremy
14:46Bernard. To me, that's not close. Give
14:47me Jeremy Bernard every single time in
14:50that scenario. So, we had seven wide
14:52receivers who I target in every single
14:53draft. Malik Neighbors, Luther Burton,
14:56Parker Washington, Xavier Worthy,
14:58Matthew Golden, Jeremy Bernard, and Josh
15:00DS. If you want more of my rankings and
15:03more of my content, you can get that
15:05over on flockfantasy.com.
15:07You can subscribe using code Davis. Link
15:09to that is in the description and down
15:10in the comments. the season pass only
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15:15everything that you need to draft a
15:16winning fantasy football team. And I
15:18will see you guys back tomorrow.