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Mattek Fantasy Football fantasy football takes on Garrett Wilson
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Mattek Fantasy Football about Garrett Wilson.
38
Insights
26
Positive
5
Negative
Insight ledger
All Mattek Fantasy Football insights about Garrett Wilson
PositiveProjectionOct 30, 2026
WR ranking against the dreadful Raiders defense; currently averaging only 14.2 PPR points per game. In a rest-of-season bet, Lamar Jackson is confident taking Garrett Wilson over Omar Cooper Jr., and would only consider Omar Cooper Jr. at 10-to-1 odds. However, Wilson has reportedly complained to coaches about his target allocation, which is a red flag for the Jets' passing game volume and distribution; this suggests potential target share concerns for the entire receiving corps.NegativeRoleOct 28, 2026
JJ McCarthy ranks Garrett Wilson with significant concern about his role and team context. Wilson must contend with both Adonai Mitchell and Omar Cooper Jr. on a Jets team that is very negative pass rate over expectation. Frank Reich and the Jets want to run the ball every single down if possible, which has not been great for Wilson's fantasy production.NegativeProjectionOct 26, 2026
Garrett Wilson scored only 4.6 PPR points in Week 7; the source attributes this to the Jets' offensive scheme prioritizing ball control and 12 personnel over pass aggression, which limits both floor and ceiling for all Jets receivers.PositiveUsageOct 22, 2026
Ranked 35 overall but the source would love to rank him higher. New York Jets are bottom-five in the NFL in pass rate over expectation and heavily favor running the ball. Adonai Mitchell's return this week will further stretch the thin passing game, limiting Wilson's target opportunities.PositiveRoleOct 21, 2026
Ranked 28th. The source wonders if Omar Cooper Jr. and Adonai Mitchell both being on the field is slightly bad for Garrett Wilson. However, his target-earning prowess has been on display this year, suggesting he can maintain production despite the added receiving weapons.PositiveProjectionOct 17, 2026
Ranked at WR14 for Week 6. Bejian Robinson still really likes Garrett Wilson this week, with context that Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall are out but Kenyan Drake is playing.NegativeUsageOct 15, 2026
Ranked 29th in Week 6 flex rankings, currently in D tier. Unclear how many Raiders DBs will be out this week against New England Patriots; if the four starting DBs are out, source may bump Wilson's ranking slightly, but it's a secondary consideration. When Wilson is in the lineup and Adonai Mitchell is absent, expect at least 7 targets with potential for more.NegativeProjectionOct 13, 2026
Ranked #28, averaging 17 fantasy points overall. The source describes Wilson as a reliable starter with a floor around 12 points but a ceiling limited to 25-27 points because the offense does not throw that much. Adonai Mitchell's return as a very good target-earning wide receiver will further limit Wilson's upside.PositiveProjectionOct 8, 2026
WR11 ranking for Week 5; the source still backs him as a clear starter despite last week's poor performance (5.7 points). The source attributes the low output to the Jets laying an absolute stinker and running only 32 plays, but notes that Wilson was still able to grind out points even in that limited-volume game.PositiveValueSep 30, 2026
Tyson Beant identifies Garrett Wilson as a wide receiver he would like to buy and advises against trading him away in a package deal because doing so would leave the team's wide receiver corps weak. He states 'Your wide receivers would honestly suck' if Wilson is traded away, reflecting high valuation of Wilson.NegativeUsageSep 28, 2026
Garrett Wilson saw 13 targets in the recent game, benefiting from the absence of Adonai Mitchell.PositiveProjectionSep 25, 2026
Garrett Wilson is ranked as the WR10, and Drew Lock expresses high confidence in his performance for the upcoming game despite a finger injury sustained in Thursday practice.NegativeUsageSep 21, 2026
Garrett Wilson ran only three more routes than Adonai Mitchell for the New York Jets in Week 2, indicating Mitchell's significant involvement in the passing game relative to the team's top receiver.PositiveProjectionSep 17, 2026
Wilson should be ranked ahead of Breece Hall given the Jets' expected negative game script and heavy ball-control approach (17-minute field goal drive with 14-05 personnel). He and Adonai Mitchell will be the primary passing options for the Jets, though they will face down games when the Jets employ heavy personnel packages.PositiveValueSep 11, 2026
The source expresses strong conviction in Garrett Wilson's draft value, stating 'The every pick I think other than the Garrett Wilson one has been fairly easy,' indicating Wilson was the only pick that required deliberation. The source prefers Wilson over elite receiver peers, explicitly stating 'I just like Garrett Wilson more than Devont Smith and definitely more than Lad. Definitely more than W.' Wilson was part of a draft haul that 'really worked out' for the team, validating the early selection.PositiveProjectionSep 9, 2026
Garrett Wilson is ranked 36th in Week 1 FLEX rankings. The source expresses strong confidence in Wilson as part of a bullish Jets offense outlook, stating 'I really like Garrett Wilson' alongside confidence in Gino Smith playing league-average quarterback and the team's overall potential.NegativeBustSep 6, 2026
The source traded for Garrett Wilson mid-season while rolling the league, but the trade backfired when Jordan Love posted a goose egg in week one of the playoffs, leading to a playoff loss. This represents a cautionary tale about mid-season trades and overconfidence in receiver value.PositiveProjectionAug 18, 2026
The source views Garrett Wilson as an automatic pick for their scoring format, projecting elite target share and total target volume; he is considered a good pick in the middle of the third round.NegativeValueAug 7, 2026
Speaker mentions Garrett Wilson as one of the still-available quality receivers in the mid-round range, indicating comfort with Wilson as a viable option in this draft tier alongside Devonte Adams and Tee Higgins.PositiveValueAug 6, 2026
Wilson has been consistently productive with 14, 14, 12, and 12 fantasy points per game across four seasons. If Gino Smith can be the 19th best quarterback in the NFL, Wilson is one of the best picks on the board.PositiveRoleJul 14, 2026
Selected as part of a heavy wide receiver start strategy from the middle slot; part of a top-five that includes St. Brown, Derrick Henry, Tee Higgins, and Quintez Cephus. Mattek uses him as a flex option for week one, with the final decision between him and Mecole Hardman to be made based on matchups and rankings.PositiveMatchupJul 14, 2026
Garrett Wilson is a flex option whose week one start will depend on matchups and rankings relative to other receivers.PositiveProjectionJul 14, 2026
Garrett Wilson is selected in the fourth round as part of a heavy wide receiver start strategy.NegativeProjectionJul 13, 2026
Garrett Wilson missed time with injury and averaged 14 points per game last season, but his actual game logs (9 points, 4 points) show he was unreliable in fantasy football despite being a highly drafted wide receiver two.PositiveProjectionJul 13, 2026
Garrett Wilson could easily be a top 15 wide receiver in fantasy football.PositiveValueJun 23, 2026
Garrett Wilson is part of a comfortable part of the draft board in the fourth round that the analyst likes.PositiveValueJun 18, 2026
Referenced as a comparable first-round WR who was drafted to a terrible team but still commanded significant fantasy value, unlike Casey Concepcion.NegativeProjectionJun 1, 2026
Garrett Wilson is projected for a 30% target share and 110 receptions, but the source considers him a target while acknowledging it would not be surprising if it does not work out given his status as a New York Jet.NegativeUsageNo date
Ranked at WR17 by Mattek but with caution about being too high on him with Omar Cooper Jr., Adonai Mitchell, and Kenyan Drake all playing. Mattek notes that Wilson's target share could drop from 30% to 22% when surrounded by other very good players, similar to concerns with Harold Fannon—when elite receivers play alongside other very good players, opportunity concentration decreases.PositiveProjectionNo date
Ranked 28th in 'a much less positive game environment,' but the source emphasizes that 'Garrett Wilson is having a phenomenal start to the year, averaging 15.8 fantasy points per game, scoring touchdowns, dominating the targets.' Target share data shows 30%, 19%, 36%, 26% across games, indicating consistent high-volume usage. With Adonai Mitchell out, the source states 'Feel very good about starting Garrett Wilson,' showing strong conviction despite the lower ranking.PositiveUsageNo date
Garrett Wilson is considered a high-end wide receiver capable of buoying his quarterback's fantasy performance; his role is expected to be even more critical given the Jets' shift to a pass-heavy approach following Breece Hall's injury.PositiveUsageNo date
Garrett Wilson is ranked as the WR11 for the week, with Mattek projecting a massive 35-37% target share due to the absences of Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall.PositiveUsageNo date
Ranked 26th overall. With Adonai Mitchell out this week (weak toe with injured finger), Wilson should see a target share north of 30%.PositiveValueNo date
Ranked 30th overall, Mattek Fantasy Football considers Wilson a mid-tier buy currently and will actively pursue him in fantasy trades. Despite Adam Thielen complicating the receiver landscape, Wilson hasn't played with another good wide receiver except DeVante Adams, whom he underperformed alongside.PositiveBustNo date
While the market assumes Garrett Wilson will be an absolute target dominator in the Jets' offense, his career production has been disappointing. Despite excuses regarding poor quarterback and offensive line play, his total career accumulation does not support the current market hype.NegativeProjectionNo date
Wilson's production is heavily dependent on Gino Smith's performance; Smith is extremely pressure-sensitive, ranking top-15 in EPA per play with 3+ seconds to throw but bottom-5 when under pressure. Wilson has huge upside if Smith plays well, but the Jets' track record suggests caution.PositiveValueNo date
AJ Brown considered Garrett Wilson at the 3.7 pick and indicated Wilson would have been his preferred choice over Zay Flowers, but ultimately opted for Flowers instead.PositiveValueNo date
Host prefers Garrett Wilson over Terry McLaurin for touchdown mining, indicating Wilson is a better target for red zone/touchdown upside in the same round or nearby rounds.