The 3 riskiest Round 1 fantasy football picks
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
1 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Aug 15, 2026
Published
Sat, August 15, 2026
2
Player insights
2
Players mentioned
Topics
Christian McCaffreyDe'Von Achane
Player analysis
Player insights
Christian McCaffrey
NegativeBust0:05
Ian Hartitz identifies Christian McCaffrey as a risky first-round pick due to his massive workload of 450 touches last season and the historical decline of running backs reaching age 30, noting that only four running backs aged 30 or older have averaged 15+ PPR points per game in the last decade.
Insight pageDe'Von Achane
NegativeBust0:44
Ian Hartitz views Devon Achane as a risky first-round pick due to the potential for a worsening Dolphins offense and a projected decrease in pass-game volume, specifically citing Malik Willis's high scramble rate as a negative factor for check-down opportunities compared to Tua Tagovailoa.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00The three riskiest fantasy football
0:02picks in round one of 2026 draft. First
0:05up, we have Christian McCaffrey coming
0:06off a season in which he racked up a
0:08preposterous 450 touches across the
0:11regular season and the playoffs. We also
0:13have CMC now hitting the dreaded [music]
0:15big 3-0. Over the past decade, there've
0:17only been four instances of running
0:19backs age 30 or higher actually average
0:2115 plus PPR points [music] per game. Up
0:23next, we have Justin Jefferson whose
0:25quarterback play was so bad last season
0:27that it rendered one of the best wide
0:29receivers alive as nothing more than a
0:31wide receiver three in fantasy land.
0:32I would like to think that Kyler
0:34Murray could be better than JJ McCarthy,
0:36but he couldn't even average more yards
0:38per attempt than the artist known as
0:39Lion last year. It's not a given that
0:41things are going to be that much
0:42brighter in Minnesota in 2026. [music]
0:44And finally, we have Dolphins RB Devon
0:47Achane who, yes, managed to survive a
0:49bad offense in 2025, but they could be
0:51even worse in 2026. [music] And the
0:53bigger issue is potential lack of pass
0:55game volume. Less check-downs with Malik
0:57Willis scrambling around, guys. He has
0:59the highest scramble rate in the NFL
1:01over the past two [music] years.
1:02Meanwhile, Tua Tagovailoa had one of the
1:04lowest.
