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Breaking Fantasy Football News + LATE ADP Risers & Fallers

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

23 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
No date
Published
22
Player insights
22
Players mentioned
Topics
Chris BrooksD.J. MooreD'Andre SwiftEmeka EgbukaJames ConnerJameson WilliamsJavonte WilliamsJeremiyah LoveJosh JacobsKeon ColemanKhalil HerbertLuther BurdenMalik DavisMarShawn Lloyd
Player analysis

Player insights

22

Chris Brooks

NegativeValue9:41

Chris Brooks is a late-round depth option rarely drafted before the 18th round, though he has earned favor with the coaching staff.

Insight page

D.J. Moore

NegativeValue17:16

Luther Burden is currently being drafted ahead of DJ Moore in FFPC formats, reflecting a shift in market preference for the rising rookie.

Insight page

D'Andre Swift

NegativeInjury18:23

D'Andre Swift left practice with an apparent injury and appeared to be in discomfort; his status is a major situation to monitor given his high ADP (46th overall in prime time drafts).

Insight page

Emeka Egbuka

NegativeInjury17:16

Emeka Egbuka is currently working off to the side and not practicing with the team, leading to a drop in his ADP relative to rising rookies like Luther Burden.

Insight page

James Conner

NegativeInjury22:24

James Connor is currently on the IR, which serves as context for the current state of the Cardinals' backfield and the potential for other players to see increased usage.

Insight page

Jameson Williams

PositiveBreakout28:35

Mike Washington identifies Jameson Williams as a massive value candidate, citing positive training camp buzz and reports from Dan Graziano regarding an expanded route tree. While Amon-Ra St. Brown remains the primary target earner in Detroit, Williams is projected to see an increase of approximately 20 targets, which is expected to push his ADP into the early fifth round in FFPC main events.

Insight page

Javonte Williams

PositiveUsage5:44

Javvante Williams has seen a surge in ADP, now locked into the mid-3rd round in FFPC main events and the 3-4 turn in NFC drafts, moving closer to the draft capital of Breece Hall and Jeremiah Love. His rise is driven by the release of Jaden Blue and Phil Mafa, leaving him as the clear beneficiary of a high-scoring Dallas offense with solid line play and pass-catching upside.

Insight page

Jeremiyah Love

PositiveValue21:22

Jeremiah Love is currently being drafted in the third round, with Mike Washington citing his unbelievable pedigree as a reason he could pay off at cost if the Cardinals receive solid quarterback play.

Insight page

Josh Jacobs

NegativeValue7:03

Josh Jacobs' ADP has settled into the late ninth round following uncertainty regarding his status on the commissioner's exempt list, though Brian Gutekunst expects him to play this season.

Insight page

Keon Coleman

PositiveValue23:35

Keon Coleman (referred to as Dejon Stribbling) is seeing his ADP rise in multiple formats, leading to a convergence with Mike Evans in wide receiver draft rankings. He is currently being drafted around WR36 as a low-end WR3.

Insight page

Khalil Herbert

PositiveValue18:53

If D'Andre Swift misses time, Khalil Herbert could become a significant value play for drafters, especially given his current 10th-12th round price tag.

Insight page

Luther Burden

PositiveBreakout10:14

Luther Burden is a major breakout candidate currently going 34th overall in FFPC drafts, with drafters buying into his year-two potential; he is fully healthy after a brief training camp absence. Mike Washington notes he is leapfrogging established players like Emeka Egbuka, DJ Moore, and Tee Higgins in ADP.

Insight page

Malik Davis

NegativeDepth Chart5:01

Malik Davis is firmly established as a depth player in the Dallas backfield, currently being drafted in the 14th or 15th round. He is considered a locked-in late-round target.

Insight page

MarShawn Lloyd

PositiveValue7:34

Mike Washington is high on Marshawn Lloyd, who has seen his ADP rise to 66th overall in high-stakes drafts, placing him ahead of Jonathan Brooks and Jaylen Warren. He is viewed as a potential breakout with significant opportunity and should get off to a hot start.

Insight page

Marvin Harrison Jr.

NegativeValue21:03

Mike Washington notes that drafters are still betting on Marvin Harrison Jr. in the late sixth round, highlighting a draft-day disconnect between the Cardinals' low win total and quarterback uncertainty versus the high cost of their skill position players.

Insight page

Michael Wilson

PositiveRole30:42

Mike Washington highlights that Michael Wilson received a significant three-year, $75 million contract extension from the Cardinals, which solidifies his role as a key WR2 alongside Marvin Harrison Jr. This financial commitment is expected to generate positive momentum and influence his ADP upward.

Insight page

Mike Evans

NegativeValue25:21

Mike Evans is currently drafted around WR30, with his ADP converging toward rookie Keon Coleman (Dejon Stribbling). Evans has been slightly banged up, leading to less draft steam compared to earlier in the summer.

Insight page

Mike Washington Jr.

PositiveBreakout1:59

Mike Washington is a high-upside rookie running back with significant buzz following positive reports from Ian Rapoport and the coaching staff. He dominated preseason play, averaging 7.9 yards per carry against backups. He is a strong target in the late 8th or 9th round, especially given the likelihood that Ashton Genty misses Week 1, which would grant Washington a heavy workload in a favorable matchup against Miami.

Insight page

Rhamondre Stevenson

PositiveUsage20:14

Rhamondre Stevenson is rising rapidly in ADP, reaching the 5th round in high-stakes drafts, driven by positive training camp reports regarding his role in the passing game and chemistry with Drake Maye.

Insight page

Rome Odunze

NegativeInjury10:58

Rome Odunze left practice with a foot injury; while the severity is unknown, Mike Washington notes it is on a different foot than his previous injury. Fantasy managers should monitor RotoWire for updates, as any significant time missed could further boost the draft stock of players like Luther Burden.

Insight page

Tee Higgins

NegativeValue17:33

Luther Burden is now being drafted ahead of Tee Higgins in FFPC drafts, which Mike Washington identifies as a notable ADP development.

Insight page

TreVeyon Henderson

NegativeInjury20:40

TreVeyon Henderson is currently missing training camp time and is not practicing in pads; his status is a concern, and if he misses the start of the season, Rhamondre Stevenson's ADP could climb even further.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

188
0:00Late ADP risers and fallers and breaking fantasy football news you need to know.
0:06Theo Gremminger, lead fantasy analyst right here at RotoWire, just did another rankings update. If you're drafting over the next couple days, my rankings are
0:15locked in over at rotowire.com. It's the same rankings I'm going to be using in New York City at the NFFC drafts.
0:22Drafting three teams over there. Uh it's going to be a really really fun experience. It always is. And extremely tilting this time of year, especially
0:29because we're getting all of this late-breaking news uh that's really influencing how people are drafting, especially in these high-stakes drafts in FFPC and NFFC. We'll start off right
0:41at the top. It's Ashton Gentty. Ashton Gentty sort of settled in with this new normal type of ADP. 19th overall in the
0:50last few days in NFFC primetimes. Those are $1,800 entry leagues. Big-time entry fees and drafters are sort of cautiously
1:01opportunistic here with where they're taking Gentty. They're not taking him at like the one-two turn anymore, but they're still taking him inside of round
1:09two. We're seeing very similar draft capital when it comes to FFPC main events. But then there's a whole 'nother segment of drafters who are
1:18enthusiastically drafting rookie running back Mike Washington.
1:23We had Ian Rapoport come out and say that Mike Washington is going to be a thing this year. We've had multiple
1:30reports about how the coaching staff really likes him, and he looked awesome in uh preseason games. He averaged 7.9 yards per carry against actual NFL
1:40players. A lot of backups in there, but he still was dominant against those backups. And the Clint Kubiak scheme is a very friendly one for for managers.
1:49So, for fantasy managers. When we've seen uh Mike Washington recently, you see one-off situations where he goes in the eighth round, but his usual price
2:00tag is the ninth round. And this is the same thing for NFFC Primetime and NFFC Main Events. You're seeing him sort of
2:08living in the late ninth round. So, you've got drafters who are always sort of chasing these high-end handcuff running backs, especially ones where the
2:18starter is a little bit banged up. And then with Mike Washington, you get the added value that it would be surprising
2:25if if we saw Asant in week one against Miami. Just my gut feel is we will not see Asant in week one against Miami. And
2:33that's an unbelievably good starting spot for Washington. Vegas is more than a field goal favorite there. They're like three and a half point favorites in
2:41a lot of sports books. So, that's the sort of uh situation that the rookie get off to a red hot start. The usage should be very
2:49strong for Washington game one even without Asant. And if Asant does play, Washington should still have a weekly role in week one. So, it's as bad a as
3:00good a starting spot as you could ask for. I mean, how many games is Vegas going to be favored in? Uh the Miami one
3:06is definitely a great starting spot for him. We'll keep an eye on these two if you're drafting the next couple days. I
3:12think that's sort of the action is if you want to play it with Asant, you're going to see some leagues where the
3:17people are even more cautious and he falls to the beginning of round three.
3:21But if you really want Asant and you think this is all nonsense, you can get access to him if you're picking around
3:2618, he should be right there for you, sometimes a little bit later. And if you want Mike Washington and you have a late
3:33eighth round pick, you probably want to use that one on him. I wouldn't risk on the ninth round turn there, but probably
3:39you're going to get him in the ninth round if you're just playing it by the averages. Continuing the conversation, Javonte Williams.
3:46There's been late enthusiasm for Javonte Williams. You had Jaden Blue and Phil Mafah both waived and we know what Malik Davis is. So, Javonte Williams has
3:56really settled in. You're seeing him locked in to the mid-third round in FFPC main events.
4:04Not too far off of what we're seeing from Jeremiah Love and from Breece Hall.
4:09So, Javonte's right around the two running backs Breece Hall and Jeremiah Love that were going ahead of them through pretty much throughout the
4:16summer. And you're seeing him at the 3-4 turn in NFFC drafts. And we were seeing him go much later in NFFC drafts, even
4:25like a month and a half ago. So, I think drafters are just sort of come to terms that Javonte Williams usage is going to
4:31be excellent and people are chasing this Dallas offense where we have question marks about a lot of offenses, but we certainly don't about the Dallas
4:38Cowboys. Offensive line is solid. Dak Prescott is Dak Prescott. Both wide receivers are healthy. Jake Ferguson's there. They have a very good wide
4:46receiver three in Ryan Flournoy. And it seems like an offense that could lead the NFL in scoring. If they do, Javonte
4:53Williams is going to benefit from the offensive environment and that offensive ecosystem is enough to really boost him.
4:59We also know he's got pass-catching ability. So, keep an eye on Javonte Williams. On the flip side, Malik Davis is going inside of round 14, round 15.
5:09That's a player that's completely locked in right now.
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7:07Talking about the Josh Jacobs situation and the fallout from it. Jacobs is a player that it's difficult to sort of predict where he's going to go in
7:16drafts. If you're chasing Josh Jacobs, usually it's around the ninth round that he's going to go. Sometimes a little bit later. I've seen him fall later than
7:25that, but we're sort of seeing him settle in after the dust has settled, after the whole commissioner's exempt list, that he's going somewhere in that
7:32late ninth. Now, we had Brian Gutekunst come out and say that they expect Josh Jacobs to play this year. But, MarShawn
7:40Lloyd, who I'm very into at cost, he's moved way, way up at ADP. So, for MarShawn Lloyd, you're looking at 66
7:49overall in recent $1,800 entry and NFFC Primetime drafts, and a very similar price tag for him in FFPC Main Events.
7:59That sort of price tag puts him ahead of Jonathan Brooks, puts him ahead of Jaylen Warren, and he's sort of brushing
8:05up on some of those dead zone backs that we've been drafting for weeks and weeks and weeks.
8:09So, MarShawn Lloyd should get off to a hot start. You still have, if you're completely fading Lloyd and you're trying to play like the chaos out of
8:18here, Caleb Johnson went from like being undrafted to very much being drafted every single draft, and we're seeing uh drafters start to draft Caleb Johnson
8:29really when you get to like the 14th, 15th round, he's in consideration, usually available to you in the 17th or 18th round. So, you're seeing some
8:38drafters sort of playing that, you know, Caleb Johnson getting a second lease on life. Uh very rare to see Chris Brooks
8:46go higher than like the 18th round. Uh Chris Brooks has a little bit less enthusiasm. He's been there with the coaching staff, though, and they seem to
8:54like him. So, the way I'd be playing it is draft MarShawn Lloyd, and then if Josh Jacobs is there in like the 11th
9:01round, if you want to lock down that backfield, sixth round and 11th round doesn't seem like a huge price tag to
9:06pay for for a Matt LaFleur uh backfield.
9:09Now, certainly things could get messed up for my plan if we see Caleb Johnson or Chris Brooks get an an outsized role,
9:16but I think the bet is MarShawn Lloyd.
9:18The vibes were excellent with with Lloyd for several weeks in a row, and now he gets this massive opportunity. The team
9:24took him in the third round a few years ago, 2024 draft, so he has familiarity with the coaching staff and the
9:30pedigree, and now a potential huge opportunity.
9:33Another player is Luther Burden. Luther Burden is a rocket ship right now, going 34th overall in NFFC primetimes. That's the end of the third round for Luther
9:43Burden. Really locked in there. Uh people are buying into this year two breakout. And after missing a little bit time in uh training camp, Burden is back
9:53and fully healthy and looks ready to go for the season. At the time I'm recording this, Romeo Doubs left practice with some sort of a foot
10:02injury. This could be absolutely nothing or this could be something. And it should be noted that the foot injury he had last year was on a different foot
10:11than the one he got sort of banged up with at practice. So, if we see anything significant with Romeo Doubs, and pay attention to rotowire.com,
10:19there'll be all constant updates for these injuries. If anything uh is sort of hanging on with with Romeo Doubs, then look for Luther Burden to move up
10:28even more. But, right now completely locked in, 34th overall. And in FFPC drafts, we've seen him leapfrogging Amon-Ra St. Brown, leapfrogging DJ
10:39Moore. Uh he always was pretty much going ahead of DJ Moore. But, Amon-Ra St. Brown is is a very significant one.
10:46Amon-Ra St. Brown's still sort of working off to the side, not practicing with the team, and we are less than a
10:50week away from the start of NFL football. A little bit longer for Amon-Ra St. Brown since he plays on Sunday. But, notably, Luther Burden in
10:57FFPC drafts is going ahead of Tee Higgins. I think that's a notable notable uh news for a ADP-wise.
11:05Also talking about Chicago, another recent news. Uh D'Andre Swift left practice with an apparent injury today and appeared to be in discomfort,
11:15according to uh a multiple beat reporters there. We have no idea what's going on with the D'Andre Swift situation. Uh I'm not trying to
11:22speculate on the injury, but we will say that it's a huge huge one to monitor, considering that he's moved up to 46th
11:30overall in recent primetime drafts. and he's been a lock fourth-rounder in FFPC main events. And you've got Kyle Manangai, who's running off to the side
11:41on Wednesday's practice, but he's not in pads, not practicing. But if Kyle Manangai comes back and Swift is banged up, that could be a huge value for
11:50drafters who are paying a 10th, 11th, and sometimes 12th-round price tag for Manangai. His usual ADP is round 10.
11:59Even with him being a little bit banged up, I would imagine in the next day or so until we have clarity on De'Andre
12:05Swift, look for Manangai to move up a few spots as people sort sort of try to uh try to get something out of this situation.
12:13Another running back who's moving up significantly, and it's been like a freight train. We covered the NFFC $100,000 entry Legacy League, and in the
12:22Legacy League, Ramondre Stevenson went in the at the 501. So, he was extremely high up there for that draft. And it's
12:30sort of continued. He's up to 60th overall in NFFC primetimes, and he's 63rd overall in recent main events. And he's also making occasional fifth-round
12:42appearances. If we get any sort of late bad news when it comes to TreVeyon Henderson, and Henderson is missing some time right now in training camp, still
12:50not in pads, still not training with the team, if we get any sort of late news looking like TreVeyon Henderson might
12:56miss the start of the season, expect for Ramondre Stevenson's ADP to move up even more. Stevenson, I think, has been nothing but positive vibes throughout
13:05the month of August. A lot of talk from the beat reporters regarding his game, his role in the passing game, and how
13:12that connection with him and Drake Maye has been there in training camp. We all know how elite the usage was with
13:18Stevenson. And if you're drafting now and you're looking to fade the Stevenson rise and benefit from Henderson, I think you're going to see more and more
13:25TreVeyon Henderson seventh round exposure. I was in a 350 FFPC Big Gorilla today that I split with Scott Barrett and Rich Rebar, and we saw
13:35Trayveon Henderson go in the middle of the sixth for that one. But, I think it's some of these higher entry fee
13:40drafts, expect for him to fall into round seven. So, whether you see that as a value or still a player you'd fade,
13:47I'd probably lean into taking him in the seventh round. I mean, big surprise, everybody knows I'm a sucker for Trayveon Henderson. But, I've also been
13:53mixing in some Rhamondre Stevenson. I think Stevenson gets you off to a red-hot start, and if you're in sort of a hero RB build, getting Stevenson as
14:01your running back two puts you in a pretty good position for the first month of the season, maybe the first six weeks
14:07of the season, as we expect Stevenson to continue to have very strong usage.
14:12Continuing looking at some players rising and falling, a very interesting ADP convergence where De'Shawn Scrubling keeps moving up and up and up in
14:21multiple formats. In the NFFC Primetime and the FFPC Main Events.
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15:16the code Rotowire. Go to splashsports.com/rotowire, and I'll see you in the contest. We are seeing a convergence between Mike Evans, a
15:28a lock Hall of Famer, and De'Sean Scribbling, the early second round rookie. Right now, these two players are close enough in the wide receiver uh ADP
15:38that it's worth noting. Evans goes around wide receiver 30 right now, and Scribbling goes around wide receiver 36.
15:46So, Scribbling is appearing as a low low-end wide receiver three in a lot of recent drafts.
15:54It's a very interesting situation because we're going to get to see San Francisco in Australia against the Rams early on. Very tilting for managers with
16:03Evans and Scribbling. Certainly, you're paying a huge price tag for the rookie.
16:08Evans uh you've been banged up a little bit. Maybe a little less steam for him than there was earlier in the summer,
16:14but those two guys are way closer than we ever would have thought a few weeks ago.
16:19One other big noteworthy event when it comes to the 49ers is George Kittle got on the plane and traveled with the team
16:27to Australia. Kittle has moved into the sixth round in FFPC main events, living in there. Like locked into the sixth round. Never goes in the seventh. If you
16:37want George Kittle, be prepared to use an early sixth round pick if you're drafting the next couple of days.
16:43And Kittle [clears throat] has said that he is not going to travel with the team unless he's playing in the game. So,
16:49this is a noteworthy one that he actually traveled with the team. I would expect him to play in their opening game
16:55against the Rams. And the last time we saw George Kittle against the LA Rams, he had nine catches, 80-plus yards, and
17:03a touchdown. Just was awesome against them. Had nine targets in that game, caught all nine of them. So, keep an eye
17:09on George Kittle.
17:11Continuing looking at some players rising up boards. Jameson Williams, you had the Dan Graziano uh a report talking about how he's going to have an expanded
17:20route tree. You've had other beat reporters sort of speculating, some of it out of nowhere, that he could lead the Lions in targets this year. I would
17:28doubt that with Amon-Ra St. Brown there.
17:30I mean, I would seriously doubt that.
17:32But, I do think Jameson Williams, his targets could go up by 20 or so, and he could end up being a massive value. I've
17:39been well ahead of of ADP with Jameson Williams in my own rankings really throughout the last couple 2 months of the summer here. I have Jameson Williams
17:48at 43 overall in my PPR rankings over at rotowire.com. And when you look at the way drafters are treating him, he's
17:56starting to move to the early fifth round more and more often in FFPC Main Events, and much earlier than that in
18:03NFFC Primetime's where it's start-three wide receiver format. When we talk about Jameson Williams, you're looking at him with resistance points against players
18:12like Christian Watson, and he's going a little bit ahead of Parker Washington, multiple buzz guys there with Watson gaining a little bit of momentum with
18:21the Jacobs news, Parker Washington sort of being this ADP rocket ship, and now Jameson Williams getting a little bit of late buzz. But, Jameson has been really
18:31on nothing but positive vibes throughout training camp, multiple beat reporters talking about him, and it feels like this could be a career year incoming.
18:41Speaking of career years, Michael Wilson last year had his big breakout, and we saw Michael Wilson get rewarded with a huge contract extension today from the
18:53Arizona Cardinals. They gave him a three-year deal. Wilson's only 26 years old. They just made him one of the highest-paid wide receivers in football,
19:03especially when we consider number two wide receivers. If we're considering him the wide receiver two in Arizona, and we're considering Marvin the wide
19:10receiver one, and that's how drafters are treating it right now, then Wilson is one of the highest-paid wide receiver twos in football. 3 years, $75 million
19:20for Michael Wilson. He does not go into the offseason and get a chance to parlay anything into a free agent contract. On
19:26the contrary, the Cardinals locked him down, and we heard Monti Ossenfort sort of speculate last year that they and this throughout the summer that they
19:34wanted to extend Stan Wilson, and they did.
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20:36I would expect that this sort of positivity with the contract is going to influence the ADP a little bit. It's showing that the team loves him. It's
20:43showing that the team has big things in mind for him. He's going in the eighth round of main events. I'd expect for
20:50that to move into the seventh round.
20:52He's also going at around 70 overall in an NFC primetimes. I'd imagine sort of that sort of stays locked in, maybe
20:59trends up slightly. But, what's interesting is you're seeing late sixth round Marvin Harrison Jr. So, drafters are still betting on Marvin Harrison Jr.
21:09But, what's extremely interesting is when it comes to the Arizona Cardinals, it's a team with a pretty low win total.
21:15It's a team where we have quarterback question marks. We're paying the iron price for Trey McBride, like always.
21:21He's earned it. Jeremiah Love goes in the third round. And then, you have two wide receivers being priced in what I
21:28would expect you to in the in the seventh round and the sixth round. So, you're looking at four skill position players all going within the first seven
21:36rounds of drafts with a big disconnect between the Vegas total for wins and maybe the quarterback clarity for the year. But, we cannot deny that Wilson
21:46was incredibly productive last year.
21:48McBride is McBride, and then Love unbelievable pedigree. So, if we get solid quarterback play, I think three of these guys could pay off at cost,
21:56certainly. And there's an outside chance that all four pay off if it's extremely consolidated. It really comes down to Wilson versus Marvin Harrison Jr. Um
22:06that's the telling one, cuz McBride sort of his own thing. Love keeps getting pushed down. And then, we've also got Tyler Allgeier, who's started to move up
22:14in drafts with people sort of speculating that Love could be um at a not overwhelming work workload, even if he plays in week one, dealing with some
22:23ankle injuries still. We've got James Conner on the IR right now.
22:28Really looking at it, that's pretty much it. We're staying locked in. I know some of you guys are drafting this weekend.
22:35You can go check out my rankings at rotowire.com. I'm drafting this weekend.
22:39I'm drafting on Friday in New York City, the NFFC drafts. This show might air on Friday morning. Uh drafting a couple of
22:46drafts over there. I've got my silver bullet, which airs I'm doing later tonight. Uh then, this weekend I'm doing another primetime. Uh
22:55so, we're just drafting and drafting.
22:57Then, next week I go to Las Vegas. I draft FFPC and NFFC teams. We're going to start having regular season content.
23:03We are here right now. Really really thank everyone for all their support throughout the summer with helping this channel grow on YouTube and
23:12helping the podcast grow. But we're going to stay locked in all throughout the end. If you draft this weekend, then it's time to execute. You've been
23:20putting in the work. You've been consuming the content. Let's go win our leagues. Let's have awesome drafts and I'll see you soon.

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