0:05>> Which players can we not stop drafting in 2026 fantasy football drafts? I'm Theo Gremminger, lead fan fantasy analyst right here at RotoWire. Joined
0:14today by my guy, Derek Brown, Debro from Fantasy Pros. And we're going to go ahead and get this thing started. Is
0:20Jaylen Waddle the best wide receiver value in fantasy football right now?
0:27>> Theo, he easily is, man. I don't understand what everybody is missing with Jaylen Waddle. He is ranked in ADP and all that kind of stuff as a low-end
0:34wide receiver two, high-end wide receiver three.
0:37And I think it's egregious, man. Like I don't I don't understand what people are missing with him. He is a freaking stud.
0:43And he's going from a run-heavy, run-centric offense to a pass-happy one, Theo. Like last year, Miami, 29th in neutral passing rate. Denver was fourth,
0:52and they're not slowing down. Like I hear all these Bronco fans in my replies and mentions, and they're like, "Oh yeah, but Denver's not going to throw
0:59the ball." Or Denver's going to Their defense is good. Didn't stop them from throwing last year. They were fourth in passing attempts behind only the
1:05Cardinals, the Bengals, and the Cowboys.
1:08And Waddle crushed on a per route basis, Theo. He was top 12 in every single metric we should care about. Target per
1:15route run rate, yards per route run, first downs per route run. I can keep going, dude. And every single one of
1:21THOSE METRICS, HE BESTED COURTLAND SUTTON. SO, HOW CAN WE SAY in a pass-happy offense in the Denver Broncos that Jaylen Waddle will not be a wide
1:31receiver one and the unquestioned wide receiver one of the Denver Broncos? How, Theo?
1:36>> I've had this conversation with a bunch of people recently, and it feels super weird. First of all, let let let's go
1:42let's go argument by argument. We'll go real quick on this one. Courtland Sutton's the established wide receiver one in Denver. Therefore, that's going
1:50to be more like split usage. Your thoughts on that one?
1:54>> Courtland Sutton has been the man because there's been nobody else able to step up alongside him. Like there's been no Robin to his Batman or no Batman to
2:02his Robin. Like and that's what Waddle is, man. So like I think again that narrative is false. Like people are like, "Oh, Denver's going to run a
2:08committee." Like that's what they've been doing. That's what you do when you don't have another established wide receiver that can take the reins.
2:16>> Yeah, I agree with you. And the Courtland Sutton argument is funny to me.
2:19Uh it's an older wide receiver and I I get it. Courtland Sutton's been really really solid over the last couple years.
2:26He had the the rookie year Bo Nix season was like the career season for Courtland Sutton. But people are not even taking
2:33into account like just how much Denver paid for Jaylen Waddle. A first-round pick, a third-round pick, a fourth-round pick. I I think it's crazy to think that
2:42he's not going to be the focal point here. We've heard that the coaching staff sort of talk about how this is
2:49they're making comparisons for year three Bo Nix getting a Jaylen Waddle to year three Josh Allen getting a Stefon Diggs. And we all know how good Diggs
2:58was that season. We're hearing that from the Denver coaching staff. So are they hyping up their own guys? I get it. But
3:04for me like wide receiver 23 wide receiver 23 feels like what Waddle's floor would be and sort of where his ADP should have been if he
3:12wasn't traded from Miami. Like if he was sitting there with Malik Willis, with all those wide receivers in Miami, then we'd probably say, "Yeah, Waddle, you
3:20know, he's he's right around that low-end wide receiver two, high-end wide receiver three line in a bad offense."
3:25So I agree with you like the Denver bump didn't happen. And we me and you talked about this like as soon as the trade
3:31happened. Like uh we podcasted really recently after and we were like dumbfounded by all the takes where people were like, "No, no, Jaylen Waddle
3:37is this stylistic add. He's not just this baller that they're going to build stuff around."
3:42>> Well, and and here's the thing that I don't understand because people can pick and choose the narratives that they want
3:46to sit or the players that they want to invest in.
3:49People Everybody is all in on A.J. Brown season and we're going to get to that.
3:53Everybody is all in on that because he goes to New England, and he goes from a more run-centric offense to a pass-happy
3:58offense. Everybody's in that. A.J. Brown is ranked as a wide receiver one everywhere you look at, and he's getting tons of hype. Deserve it.
4:04But then but then but then you turn it on and you say, "Well, why aren't you doing the same damn thing for Jaylen
4:09Waddle?" AND EVERYBODY'S LIKE, "WELL, UH I GOT EXCUSES AND PROBLEMS and questions." And it's like, "Why? What's the freaking difference? What?"
4:18>> Yeah, and Jaylen Waddle's had multiple seasons in his career where he's just been terrific, and we've seen it in different ways where we saw the rookie
4:25year where it was like the low adot usage, high target earner, over 100 receptions. Then we saw him like flip it
4:30around and have I think it was 3 1,350 receiving yards in year two. Um really he like his skillset was sort of held
4:39back with Tua Tagovailoa like you you know in these past years. I think there's a chance that he explodes this year. Do you think that he can be a wide
4:47receiver one this year?
4:49>> I have him ranked as wide receiver 10 right now in my rankings on fantaspros.com.
4:53>> It's spicy. I love it. And I think I think that's closer to what it should be than wide receiver 23. I think if we're
4:59going to kind of split the difference, um if this was The Price Is Right, I would say Debo is closer to the actual
5:04price. Um is that how The Price Is Right rules work? Let me let me know in the comments. I think I might have screwed
5:09that one up. I haven't watched that show in a long time.
5:12>> LIKE YOU HAVEN'T WATCHED THE PRICE IS RIGHT IN A MINUTE, DO YOU?
5:14>> THINK IT'S GOT TO BE like right on the number. Okay, so that's a bad one. But I think like his actual if it was like an
5:19over/under in Vegas kind of deal, I'll take the under on wide receiver 23 all day long. Will he get to wide receiver
5:2510? I think he's got a chance to do that, absolutely. And it's like this great track record of traded wide receivers in the offseason where we get
5:34hit after hit after hit. We saw it last year with George Pickens. We saw it the year before with Jerry Jeudy. We saw it
5:40the year before that with D.J. Moore.
5:42It's been a trend that we have followed in fantasy football. I'll just give you a quick head-to-head ADP debate, and it's going to not going to be hard for
5:49you. Jaylen Waddle versus Terry McLaurin.
5:53>> Jaylen Waddle.
5:53>> Waddle for me as well. Jaylen Waddle or Ladd McConkey?
5:58>> Jaylen Waddle and it's not close.
5:59>> I think I'm I'm I'm Jaylen Waddle on that one, too. Here's sort of the the the the one where I kind of the rubber
6:05meets the road for me.
6:07Emeka Egbuka or Jaylen Waddle?
6:09>> Jaylen Waddle.
6:10>> So, I'm going to Egbuka there, but it's it's again, it's really close and I had this conversation with like Pat Kerrane
6:16and those guys the other day and it was um they kind of pointed out like with Egbuka's ADP moving up, Waddle's ADP
6:22sort of sort of right where it is, you know, you're it's a it's a round difference. So, it's like an opportunity
6:27cost thing that that matters a lot. So, Tutu Atwell or Jaylen Waddle?
6:33>> Jaylen Waddle and again, it's not even close. I I have a lot of concerns about Tutu this year just because of how that
6:39how that passing offense is going to operate and the fact that they are so run-centric.
6:44>> Yeah, no, I'm with you on that one, too.
6:45So, this is definitely interesting stuff when it comes to Jaylen Waddle. I think pack your bags right now on Jaylen Waddle because I think there's going to
6:52be a correction throughout the summer.
6:53He's not going to rise up to like wide receiver 13, but I do think getting him at like wide receiver 23, it's sort of
7:01like right around like in the 40s and like FFPC, wide receiver 23 on Underdog.
7:05I think more likely than not, his ADP's going to rise up. I think he'll pass McLaurin. I think he'll pass Mike Evans,
7:11the kind of older guys and it's sort of the Egbuka Garrett Wilson, Tutu Atwell, Garrett Wilson tier. I think Waddle's going to probably ultimately settle in
7:19with those guys.
7:20Really a strong pick right now if you're drafting in July. We mentioned AJ Brown.
7:25He's another guy that you can't stop drafting. We've seen a huge ADP steam for him. FFPC, NFFC and on Underdog, a
7:33very recent occurrence, he flipped Drake London. So, there was like resistance.
7:37He was right next to Drake London and we saw AJ Brown flip him.
7:41Could he lead the NFL in touchdown catches this year?
7:44>> He absolutely can, Theo. And I think we're going to see a career season at A.J. Brown. And And again, this is not a
7:50hot take episode, but I I rank where I think it's either you're going based off of last year's results and expecting
7:56things to repeat, or you're worried about that, or you're trying to skate to where the puck is going to be, and
8:01that's where I am with my rankings. I don't care about consensus. I don't care about ADP and ECR and all that kind of
8:07stuff. I rank based off of what I'm projecting for the season. I have A.J.
8:11Brown as my wide receiver five right now in my rankings. And I know that, you know, that's not a ton above consensus,
8:17but it is when you look at overall rankings and A.J. Brown being like a second or third round pick, and I have
8:22him more closer to the one-two turn. And I think that's right though, Theo. Like A.J. Brown in run-centric offenses has still produced as the wide receiver 10,
8:3112, eight, and eight in fantasy points per game over the last four seasons. And everyone's like, "Oh, well, A.J. Brown took a step back last year." Well, first
8:39of all, he was dealing with an injury to open the season, and it still didn't stop him from ranking ninth in target
8:44share, 17th in yards per route run, eighth in first read share, and 20th in first downs per route run. So, still
8:49stellar in so many different metrics.
8:52And then we talk about the change in offensive structure of him going to the Eagles to the Patriots. Again, very much
8:58like Jaylen Waddle, where he goes from an Eagles offense that was 15th in neutral passing rate to a Patriots system that was ninth in neutral passing
9:05rate last year. And this is where we get to the touchdown upside. And I think A.J. Brown is live to score the most
9:11singular touchdowns in a single season that he's ever had in his entire career.
9:15When you talk about Philly was 32nd in passing rate inside the 10-yard line last year, the Patriots were 15th. That is a seismic seismic change, Theo. And
9:26A.J. Brown is going to be their go-to red zone weapon. And again, people are like, much like the Denver Broncos conversation, they're like, "But the
9:34Patriots spread out targets and stuff last year." And all this kind of stuff and there wasn't really an alpha number one. That's what you do when you don't
9:42have an alpha to command wide receiver one level volume and Stefon Diggs wasn't even a full-time player in that freaking offense last year.
9:52So A.J. Brown to the freaking moon, man.
9:54Like I think he has true like top three upside and that's what I'm saying with my ranking of him as a top five wide
10:01receiver and I want people to be above consensus. I want them to draft him aggressively because everybody's so worried about the health, the age, the
10:09change of systems and stuff and I'm over here saying, "What are y'all talking about?" This is all BS narrative street.
10:15When you look at the numbers, nothing says that and it should be wheels up.
10:20>> Yeah, it's a super interesting one and and I think you nailed it on a bunch of takes here where Stefon Diggs averaged
10:2712 and a half points per game last year in PPR. He had a thousand receiving yards. A.J. is such an upgrade at that
10:34wide receiver one spot. I mean, there's a chance he averages five, six points per game more than Diggs and I think
10:40like, you know, some people like when I discuss coach speak and quotes and I think some of it's a lot of fluff, but I
10:47one thing that stuck out with me was when the trade happened, they went up to Josh McDaniels and they all these
10:54Patriots beat reporters wanted him to compare this situation to when the Patriots got Randy Moss. They wanted him to say Randy Moss. Like they were
11:01begging for it. But he went out and said Rob Gronkowski and you talk about the red zone usage. I think it's going to be
11:09like A.J. Brown living in the red zone.
11:11We know what a presence he can be. We know, you know, a lot of these wide receiver one guys are somewhat moody when things don't go his
11:19way in terms of usage, but I think the Patriots know how the how to butter their bread and it's going to be A.J.
11:26Brown in the red zone, hyper targeting him, uh, an easy button target for Drake May, and like our friend Scott Here's
11:35another one. Okay, Scott Barrett, uh, who's who's our buddy, and Scott's Scott'll be on this show really soon, and Scott's super sharp. Scott's talked
11:41about how Drake May likes spreading the ball around. And therefore, he that gives him a little pause with A.J.
11:48Brown. I pushed back big on this one.
11:49Your thought on the narrative that Drake May is like the alpha-less, like, I don't know, quarterback communist who wants everybody to get three catches and
11:58then move on.
11:59>> You do that when you don't have a guy that can command volume. Targets are earned. Earning targets is a skill, and
12:07some of these players can only get to a 20 or a 22% target share, because that's their talent level. A.J. Brown has shown
12:13us that that he is an elite alpha that can command close to a 30% target share.
12:19And so, I I I'll push back against Barrett with that, too. But, I mean, I love Barrett, but like we just see this
12:25differently, where it's like I think he's going to be their clear, undisputed number one. And we talk about the touchdown upside again, Theo. For a
12:33player that has been wide receiver 10, 12, and eight of the last few season of the last three seasons, has scored no
12:39more than seven receiving touchdowns in each of those seasons. So, what happens this year, Theo, if he gets similar volume, if he doesn't even get the
12:47volume bump that we're talking about here, because they're they're going to be more pass-happy, and and I think New England probably leans into the pass
12:54even more this year, because more difficult schedule, better weapons for Drake May, and the ability to chuck the freaking ball around the yard.
13:03If they don't even do that, and they just he gets the touchdown upside, then where are we going to see?
13:08Like, if he scores 12 touchdowns, and even the peripheral stays similar, he's going to be a top-five option, just because of the increased touchdown
13:16equity.
13:17>> It's funny how I didn't think this would end up being like A.J. Brown-type channel here, but I'm on A.J. Brown. I'm
13:23ahead of consensus. I have him slightly ahead of ADP. I think I had him and again my rankings up at rotowire.com.
13:30You can access those use the code Theo15 get 15% off.
13:35Awesome tools over at Rotowire. I was actually plugging in a bunch of my FFPC teams into our team sync. Absolutely sick stuff over there. But AJ Brown I
13:44had like ahead of ADP and it's funny. I don't think I'm high enough on him based on actual drafts I've been in. I've been
13:51in FFPC drafts where there's been some like sharp guys really pushing him up towards the beginning of the second.
13:56NFFC which is a start three wide receiver format, PPR format which is a little bit slightly wide receiver heavy drafters. AJ's going like 10 in some of
14:05those drafts. So like the money is the money is and people always say like Theo why do you talk about NFFC FFPC? I play
14:13sleeper, I play ESPN, I play Yahoo. It's because those are the money drafts in early July.
14:19The ADP for sleeper matters more when we get to the end of August but these guys are drafting every night for $350
14:25leagues, uh $2,000 league starting the FFPC. So like we're following the money with ADP there and everybody's speaking and just sort of keeping track. When I'm
14:34saying this is turning into an AJ Brown show, Jacob Gibb show was fire. Jacob Gibb is all over AJ Brown. He's just as
14:40high as you are if not higher.
14:42Uh Nelson Sousa that's one of his targets this year. Nelson's one of the best high stakes guys in the country.
14:47>> That Nelson's savage.
14:48>> Yeah. That's Nelson like one of his main targets is AJ Brown. Uh he shared several other targets and fades on the
14:54show if you didn't listen to it. Check it out on the podcast or if you're watching on YouTube check that one out.
14:58Um Dave Klugey all over him and now Debro all over him. I haven't had a guest that's been like negative towards
15:05AJ Brown. I'll say here's the one the one thing with AJ Brown. I have Drake London ahead of AJ Brown. So it's if
15:12it's a head to head decision for me I'm sort of leaning into London. Would it be fair for me to say Drake London is the
15:19safer pick but maybe AJ Brown if everything goes well because of the offensive environment is a higher upside pick if I'm looking at wide receiver in
15:27that range.
15:28London London's got some London's got some upside too there.
15:31>> I He does, but I I lean with A.J. Brown in both of those instances. Like I think he has the higher floor and the higher
15:37ceiling because of the quarterback play.
15:39Like Atlanta's quarterback play and their scoring opportunities that could limit London. Like he could he could absolutely just crush in a
15:47volume perspective and have such a high floor and the spike weeks. But the when you're comparing apples to apples, it's like which one of these offenses do you
15:55think scores more touchdowns? And it could be a massive chasm of how many touchdowns this year. It's easy the Patriots for me, Theo. And I have A.J.
16:04Brown just for context I have him as my eighth overall player right now.
16:08>> I I love it. I love the conviction. I'll say the last time DeBro was this convicted on A.J. Brown, he was telling
16:14you to draft the Jalen Hurts A.J. Brown stack. And that was the That was the year that A.J. Brown was traded to Philly. A.J. Brown at that
16:22time was a two-three turn pick. And DeBro was telling everybody to draft that stack. That stack ended up being unbelievably valuable in fantasy
16:30football. So, listen to DeBro when he's talking about A.J. Brown for sure. And I'll continue the Drake London A.J.
16:36Brown debate. I My answer is both, but I I I think Drake I think Drake London is is just I think he's that guy. I think
16:43he's awesome. I'll talk about him all summer long. Um let's stay at the wide receiver position. You got a couple more
16:48wide outs here. Uh let's talk about Christian Watson. Cuz Christian Watson we've seen his steam in ADP. Um again, you're you're paying a much higher price
16:58tag, but he's sort of going near some of these older wide receivers like the you know, and and we're seeing in in the
17:04NFFC FFPC sort of near the Davante Adams, Mike Evans, D.J. Brown I I excuse excuse me. D.J. Moore tier of wide outs.
17:14And I don't know. I've drafted a ton of Christian Watson, but the price is going up and up and up. Where are you at on
17:21Watson? What could a ceiling case season look like for him?
17:25>> So, where is he at right now in ADP in high stakes? Because I have him as wide receiver 19 in my rankings. That's where
17:33I've been. I've had him in that wide receiver 19 to 21 range. Um but that that's where I think he should be and I
17:40think there's a ton of upside there, Theo. Like I think Christian Watson Watson has top 15 or wide receiver one upside. I think we could see a very Will
17:48Fuller type of Terry McLaurin ceiling type of outcome for Christian Watson.
17:53Because if even if you look at last year, he produced as a top 24 wide receiver when he was back from the
17:59injury weeks 8 through 18. Wide receiver 21 in fantasy points per game. The clear number one for the Green Bay Packers. He
18:07led them in target share. He averaged 61.1 receiving yards per game. Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks are gone. So, the big thing for Christian Watson this
18:15year is I still think that Green Bay is going to get some of the other guys like Sam Williams involved and they're going
18:21to run not like a true rotation of like six dudes like they did previously. But but with Christian Watson, again talking
18:28about a guy similar to Stefon Diggs last year, he was a part-time player in that offense. He only had a 68% route share.
18:34Which out of 109 qualifying wide receivers, which basically every wide receiver that had at least 200 routes last year.
18:41That ranked 56, Theo. So, if Watson produces at this level and we have a long string of Watson being ultra hyper
18:50efficient on a per route basis over so many seasons where it's like, well good lord, he had 2.67 yards per route run.
18:58That's insane. Is that going to come down?
19:00I There are certain offenses and certain players after a certain amount of time, we need to just expect they are going to
19:07be outliers. Jordan Love is an outlier in passing touchdown rate, much like Brock Purdy is every single season. That will continue. It continued for Russell
19:15Wilson for almost his entire career. So, I think that holds and Christian Watson's ultra-efficiency on a per route basis holds. So, if he gets if the route
19:24share goes up and we all talk about volume as king, yes, it's target volume, but it's also route volume. I mean, look
19:30at what Trey McBride did last year. He ran more like over 160 more routes than any other freaking tight end. If Watson
19:36gets a bump in routes and maintains this hyper-efficiency and he was wide receiver 21 in fantasy points per game, Theo. Good lord, dude. Like he's going
19:45to be a top 15, possibly a wide receiver one this year and you get to draft him unless I'm wrong and and I'm curious
19:52where ADP has has gone with him. He was a wide receiver three in almost every format to open the off season and even
19:59recently, but has he steamed up into wide receiver two territory?
20:02>> We're starting to see him steam up and again, if we if we're looking at NFFC, it's a little higher cuz it's wide
20:07receiver centric. FFPC, he's wide receiver 26. I think that's about where he's going to settle. And again, it's like it's not high enough for me either.
20:16Again, we talk about like the the wide receiver ones in their offense like Mike Evans and DJ Moore, I'll go Christian
20:23Watson over either of those guys. Um and I know you're a little higher on Evans than I am. We'll talk about him later.
20:29Um Davante Adams uh over versus Watson, I'm going to actually go Watson this year. And then you go down the list like
20:36Rome Odunze versus Watson, I'm going Christian Watson. So, it's sort of like it's easy clicks for me and people are so caught up on Christian Watson burned
20:45me in years past because of injuries.
20:47Green Bay just told you a lot about what they think of Christian Watson's health and his upward trajectory. They stuck with him through the injuries. Now
20:54they're in a position where he's going to be on the field a ton and he's going to be featured. They gave him alpha wide
21:01receiver one overall type money. And when I talked about this with Jared Smola, I'm like, you know, Watson's a guy where he's been at like a 19%
21:10target share guy.
21:12Could we get to a point where he's like 23%? 22%? Not like out of this world target share, but just a little bit higher, make the weekly
21:20floor a little bit higher, and make him more of a part of the the game plan. And you look at them this off season,
21:27Dontayvion Wicks would have those blow-up games and then disappear. Uh Romeo Doubs was constantly a headache for fantasy managers. We'd say, "Why is
21:36Jayden Reed not getting the time and Romeo Doubs getting it? We drafted Reed." Like it's And then you got both those guys gone. And I think what's
21:44going to happen is the three wide receivers are going to really, really tighten up. It's not going to be sporadic usage. It's going to be Reed,
21:51Golden, Watson. It's kind of Reed versus Golden in two wide receiver sets. Watson will be on the field in two wide
21:58receiver sets, three wide receiver sets.
22:00He's going to get a lot of first-read rates, and the guy can get behind any defense in the NFL. So, there's a lot to
22:05like. You mentioned Terry McLaurin. It sort of feels like 2024 Terry McLaurin when McLaurin set the Washington Commanders/Redskins record for the most
22:15touchdowns in franchise history. Feels like that one. And then also I can always bring this one up with the pro Watson takes. And really, if you
22:22disagree with us, take a shot on Jayden Reed or or or or Tucker Kraft or something. It feels like Green Bay,
22:30they've had two big disappointing losses. They've lost in the wild card round, the first round of the NFL playoffs, back-to-back years. Or Two
22:38years ago, did they win one? I I got I got to double-check that. But last year, lose to Chicago first week of the
22:42playoffs. The year before that, they get steamrolled by Philadelphia on the way to Philadelphia's Super Bowl. And it's like things have got to change a little
22:50bit. I think LaFleur view And and the franchise view themselves as a big contender. So, lean a little bit more into Jordan Love. I think that's great
22:57stuff. Let's talk about Parker Washington, where it's a constant discussion for me with every single guest um that when we just talk wide
23:04receivers it's sort of a BTJ versus Parker Washington thing. And I don't think it has to be in like a like it
23:10doesn't have to be like I'm only drafting one of them type deal, but are you on if you had one single fantasy
23:16team and I told you you got to draft a Liam Cohen wide receiver, are you going with Parker Washington or you go going
23:22with a bounce back year from BTJ?
23:25>> I'm going with Parker Washington and there is no hesitation for me and the thing that I think kind of kind of gets
23:31lost there's a few different things that I think kind of get lost in this conversation with Brian Thomas Jr. and Parker Washington. One, Brian Thomas Jr.
23:38when he came back at the tail end of last season and they're going to run back this three wide receiver core that
23:43they had last year. Brian Thomas Jr. was the lid lid lid lifter. He was the the high A dot, the field stretching guy.
23:50Parker Washington was basically Jacksonville's Amon-Ra St. Brown in the back half of last year and I don't think if you're looking at all these different
23:58roles Parker Washington's not going to become like BTJ, fine, if you want to make anybody wants to make a case of can
24:04he do what Parker Washington does? I don't think that the like that's a really applicable skill set one-to-one that like to ask him to operate in the
24:11role that Parker Washington did to in the last season, but Parker Washington's not going to be the field stretcher. Zay Jones is not a field stretcher.
24:19So, Brian Thomas Jr. is going to fill that role and that's not a high volume role. Like Trevor Lawrence was more
24:24aggressive going down the field last year.
24:26But I think when you look at the roles that these guys played to end last season when Jacksonville was cooking, Theo, then why are we like dismissive or
24:35questioning Parker Washington? Because it wasn't just like he was this like dump and run Wan'Dale Robinson of Jacksonville. He was getting usage and
24:44high leverage usage. Like week six through 19, everybody brings up this stretch and they talk about he had a 28.9% target share. He had 3.78 yards
24:53per route run. He had a 33.3% first read share. Those are all Amon-Ra type of numbers. Insane usage. But, the thing
25:01that gets lost in the sauce of that conversation at times is in those four games he also had six red zone targets. He
25:08also had 13 deeps on deep targets. So, there is high cholesterol usage that leads to upside outside of just this massive volume infusion. And I'm not
25:18worried about Travis Hunter this year.
25:20That's the other thing. People like, "Well, Travis Hunter was the slot wide receiver." They need Travis Hunter to play full-time corner this year. And if
25:27he's going to impact anybody on that field, like I don't see that when he does come onto the field, I think
25:33there's more of a chance that Jacksonville gets weird with him and they use 10 personnel and go four wide there and say we got two slot wide
25:40receivers as opposed to Parker Washington coming off of the field in those sets. I think Parker Washington is set up to smash, dude. And in that in
25:49that uh stretch of games he averaged 22.3 PPR points per game. That is akin to Ja'Marr Chase level, like top three wide
26:00receiver type of output. If he does that this year, he is going to be a massive, massive type of draft pick that is going
26:09to flip leagues. If he's even close to that production. Even if you nerf it and say, "Fine, he doesn't produce at 22
26:15fantasy points per game." which is absolutely insane, Cleo. If he's still at freaking like 18 or 17, we are talking about a massive ADP win.
26:25>> Yeah, I think with with with me it's I've had the the take that both of them are fine. And you're starting to see
26:32you're you're starting to see Park So, what's happening now is you're seeing BTJ steaming up into like the late fifths {slash} sixth. And Parker
26:40Washington starting to slide into the seventh. So, I actually don't mind the double tap and betting on both of these guys. It's sort of a Jakobi Meyers fade
26:47here. BTJ, I think that the ceiling outcome could still be there. He's going to get a lot of end zone targets, but
26:53really you bring up like the Amon-Ra St.
26:55Brown thing, we saw it before with Liam Coen in 2024 with the Chris Godwin season where it was only seven games, but it was Chris
27:03Godwin absolutely cooking. And when people say, "Oh, you know, Debro's talking about like give you this big round number scoring, sample size is
27:09small." It was consistent. And if you include the playoffs, it was five out of last seven games he had 18 points or
27:15more. So, it was not like some big 35-point blow-up week that like influenced this this point per game number. So, I'm open-minded to both of
27:23these guys. I think Jacksonville in general is sort of priced to to produce where like even like Touton where there's some
27:30question marks, he's now he's in the sixth round, BTJ's in the sixth round, Parker Washington in seventh, Trevor Lawrence is at a fun price, too, where
27:38we think this offense could score a lot, we think Liam Coen is really smart at play calling, and none of these guys are
27:43going to cost you a high draft pick. So, I think Parker Washington is super interesting. There's a a really smart hive of guys like yourself on Parker
27:51Washington pounding the table for him.
27:53Here's one thing that Jacob Gibbs brought up that sort of his doom and gloom scenario for Parker Washington.
27:58He's on him, too. But he made an interesting point that Jacksonville wants to do all this heavy personnel.
28:04They kind of showed you this off season with all these tight end pickups and giving Brenton Strange this huge bag. Uh
28:11do you think that that Parker Washington we could end up in something where he's boxed out a little bit in certain games
28:18because of this the lack of three wide receiver sets? Does that worry you at all? Or is it sort of like his usage is
28:25going to be so strong when he's actually on the field that he could overcome anything sort of weird on that sort of
28:31front?
28:32>> I mean, for him to get boxed out, like we would have to see just legendary type of like I mean, basically they would
28:38have to be like the the Rams they ended last year in 12 and 13 personnel. Like that's But those levels of like
28:45expecting a team to run multiple tight end sets that often is expecting even more of an outlier than expecting Parker Washington
28:55to be a full-time player if that all makes sense. And the other thing about that Okay, let's play that out Theo. What if
29:01they do utilize 12 and 13 personnel more but what if it's more on rushing plays and it's not in the passing downs? Like
29:09both of those things can be true and it not impact Parker Washington. And the other thing that could be true what if
29:16Parker Washington is the guy in two wide receiver sets over a Jacory Myers? That could also play out too and it's like
29:24with the the amount of usage and the fact that he was their clear undisputed wide receiver one to end the season like
29:33you just can't put that genie back in the bottle Theo. Like you don't go away from a guy much like Christian Watson.
29:39Whenever an offense and an offensive scheme and a and a coaching staff leans on a guy and they say can you be our
29:45wide receiver one? Can you be this elite weapon? Can you lead us to the promised land? Can we lean on you in that type of
29:53way? Christian Watson answered answered the bell he got paid. Parker Washington is also up for a contract. He answered the bell. So right now if they lean on
30:01him and he answered the bell why would they go away from that? Tell me that Theo. Like that's the other side of this
30:06coin. When you saw how good this freaking offense was leaning on Parker Washington for almost a 30% target share why in the absolute hell would Liam
30:16Cohen go away from that this year? Why?
30:19>> Yeah, I think that's >> To get Nate Borkercher more snaps on the field? Like come on dude.
30:23>> I think that's sort of like the you know when when when the the stakes were at their highest and Jacksonville
30:30was playing Buffalo in the playoffs what did they do in that game? They hyper targeted and hyper used Parker Washington. I also think what's
30:38interesting with with Parker Washington you talk about like explosive plays the guy's very explosive. I think like, you know, you you ask somebody what what
30:45what is Parker Washington, they sort of gravitate towards the like the slot usage. Uh he had a ton of explosive of
30:52plays that went for 20 plus yards, and they've talked about getting the ball in his hands and some manufactured touch it
30:57touches as well. So, Parker Washington, when he's there in round seven, really really really interesting value. Let's pivot over to the running back position.
31:06Let's go we talk about this year's version of is David Montgomery the 2026 version of 2024 Joe Mixon when Joe Mixon show
31:17showed up in Houston and was one of the best of ADP values on the entire board.
31:22I believe Mixon was north of 16 points per game that year, maybe 17 early on in the year, was giving you running back
31:29one production right out of the gate. It sort of feels like Houston wants to be very physical on both sides of the ball.
31:37They added a lot on the offensive line, and they went out and got David Montgomery, and they're saying a lot of
31:44really nice things about him. Most recently, Nick Caley came out and said he's all day tough, and then he went on
31:50to sort of praise the guy as I mean, that's that's that's high praise. That's an absolute bar from Nick Caley. Your
31:56thoughts on David Montgomery, is he a safe pick or is he an upside pick?
32:00People always say upside when it's like these younger guys, but David Montgomery 2 years of sort of in the background behind Jahmyr Gibbs, there's a lot of
32:08juice left in that tank despite him being a slightly the older back.
32:11>> There's an incredibly high floor and there's RB1 upside with him. To your point, Joe Mixon in that season, RB9 in
32:17fantasy points per game, 17.2 PPR points per game. He finished that season, Theo, with 281 touches, and you look at all
32:27like basically Joe Mixon's usage in that year, fifth in opportunities share, 14th in snap share, 13th in carries amongst running backs. David Montgomery's is to
32:35come close if not surpass all of those totals this year. He's going to flirt with 300 touches and I think he's going
32:40to put up RB1 type of numbers, depending on how the touchdowns shake out for Houston. I'm not worried about Woody Marks at all. David Montgomery is
32:49getting framed because of his age as a dead zone back this year and I think it's unequivocally wrong. Your dead zone
32:55backs that we talk about in yesteryear is guys that like we believe in the volume, but the big question is is the efficiency going to
33:03be there? And then if the efficiency is not there, then they fall by the wayside and they get crushed because they're
33:08inefficient. Other players on the depth chart depth chart can eat into their workload or by mid-season hop them. We saw that with Madison, we've seen it
33:16with other previous running backs like Raheem White in previous years. And I don't think that David Montgomery, who is getting framed as this dead zone
33:23back, is a dead zone back at all because he doesn't fit that that paradigm. He's not in that type of tier, Theo. When you
33:31look at David Montgomery on a per touch basis last year, amongst all running backs with at least 100 carries, he was 30th in missed
33:38tackle rate, he was 12th in yards after contact per attempt, he was 22nd in yards per route run and 12th in first
33:45downs per route run. So still uber efficient both on the ground and through the air and oh by the way, he surpassed
33:53for for the Woody Marks hive out there, he surpassed Woody Marks on a per touch basis in explosive run rate, missed
34:00tackle rate, rushing success, yards after contact per attempt and yards per route run. So it's actually actually just oh, I don't know, every single
34:07freaking metric we should care about when we look at running back play and talent and skill. What David Montgomery lapped Woody Marks, just kept running
34:14around him at his age. He's not washed, he is going to be their unquestioned bellcow and I think you're getting him
34:23at mid to a low end RB2 prices and he is going to flirt with RB1 value and production this year. He is a smash
34:30pick.
34:31>> Yeah, I'm with you and it's one of the main reasons that I'm I love having a hero RB build this year.
34:37Is I know I'm going to get access to guys like David Montgomery at that four-five turn. He's running back 21 right now. It's sort of a bigger a
34:45bigger conversation is I don't mind a lot of these perceived dead zone guys this year. I think there's like some room to run where
34:53people talk about how these guys should be going a little lower. I think there's sources of potential volume with some other guys around Montgomery, but it's
35:00like Montgomery is aided by the fact that he's the old guy that's surrounded by all these like year two guys. So,
35:06it's Chatwood and Judkins and Tray on Henderson and Basil Tooten and then David Montgomery just sitting there as like the old guy.
35:15Um I'm with you. I think that David Montgomery there's a a ton of value in him, and structurally it allows you to go running back in
35:24round one or running back in round two, go with like one of the best wide receivers in football in round round one
35:30or round two, and then you can hit elite tight end, wide receiver, wide receiver, and then come back and get David
35:35Montgomery in round five. I think the hero RB build is going to be kind of back to it, and I think it's also uh
35:42open-minded to it because I think a lot of people are telling you go get running back running back. Well, I find guys in
35:47round five that I think are really good values, and it gets access to guys like you mentioned AJ Brown, I mentioned
35:52Drake London, Brock Bowers in a lot of PPR leagues. So, interesting stuff. And also, what do you make of his 25? All
35:59this stuff about like year two like what do you make of his a finished product who caught a ton of passes in college?
36:06Like the one of the upside things about what do you make of his he was NFL ready as a pass catcher, had the opportunity
36:12last year, gave us a couple of strong weeks. But, if Houston had this overwhelming enthusiasm with what do you make of his, they could have done things
36:20a lot cheaper at the running back position than going out and getting David Montgomery. There's plenty of guys they could have gotten a a Dowdle
36:26Foreman, Rashad White, those kind of guys. You go out and you get a David Montgomery, and you pay him the bag. So,
36:32uh David Montgomery, I'm completely with you. I think he's a strong click. Let's talk about another running back. Let's talk about the the ultimate comeback
36:40story, but the price of a brick is going up, D'Bro.
36:44Jonathan Brooks is rising and rising and rising in drafts, but is it just correct? And is he the running back one
36:52in a Dave Canales offense? And we're actually getting a discount on him because of the presence of Chuba Hubbard? Or is there like a resistance
37:00point where you're like, "Ah, I got to pump the brakes a little."
37:03>> I'm not pumping the brakes at all, baby.
37:04It's all gas. Where is he at in ADP? Cuz I want to know cuz I've had him at this rank, and I
37:09have not moved him for like the last 2 months.
37:12I want to know is ADP caught up with where I am right now in my rankings.
37:16>> So, running back 30, um and ahead of Chuba Hubbard slightly. Yeah, slightly ahead of Chuba Hubbard in FFPC, but what's interesting is the NFFC drafter,
37:27they have him like 30 spots ahead of Chuba. Like, NFFC drafters are gravitating towards the upside. And then if we want to talk about what round does
37:35that mean? So, like when we first had these pro Jonathan Brooks conversations D'Bro on like a pod months ago, we're like, "Oh my god, 10th round Jonathan
37:43Brooks all day long. Ninth round Jonathan Brooks all day long." You're starting to see him living in like round eight, round seven. And then we've seen
37:51the occasional round six Brooks. So, we talked about those dead zone backs.
37:56Sometimes in drafts now, you'll see drafts be super running back heavy, where like Montgomery goes in the fourth instead of the fifth. And you see like
38:04Travion and Judkins and Scat Abu pulled up. And then you'll see Brooks getting pulled up with like Swift and JaMycal Hasty and those kind of guys. So,
38:13I would say if you're going to like a home league draft, you have like a sleeper or an ESPN Yahoo. And drafters
38:19are getting sharper these days. They're not like influenced by like what the default rankings are on like Yahoo or something like that. Like, you can
38:26probably comfortably get Brooks in round seven, but if you think you're getting him in round eight or lower, I don't think it's happening anymore.
38:33>> Yeah, I and right now, so I have him uh as RB 29 in my rankings. And I've got him at 77th
38:43overall, Theo. Um and I think that that's appropriate because then you're getting at the top tier of that RB3 range where it's like split backfields.
38:51You're playing the game of is it Ramondre? Is it Travion? Is it Rico Dowdle? Is it Jaylen Warren? Well, we're doing the same thing with Jonathan
38:58Brooks, but the upside that he could truly take over that backfield where all these other guys, if you want to talk
39:03about even Bucky Irving versus Kenneth Gainwell, all of these committee backfields and everybody's like throwing their hands up like, "I don't know what
39:08to do with all of this." Well, you're doing that the same thing with Jonathan Brooks, but you're getting a discount and he could truly take over the
39:14backfield this year. When we look at Chuba Hubbard, was one of the most inefficient running backs in the entire NFL last year. He had zero explosive
39:23runs last year, Theo, on over 130 carries. He was bottom five in missed tackles forced, yard after contact per attempt.
39:30>> Yeah.
39:30>> Everything on a per touch basis that you look at. And Brooks, again, like the thing that that people are so scared off
39:36about is the two torn ACLs. Well, if you followed the news on him from the jump after the first ACL repair, nothing was
39:43glittering and amazing. They were all like, "Oh, well, he's Everything was very tepid." And then the ACL reconstruction failed. It just seemed
39:51like it was doomed from the start if you were reading in between the lines. And I think we're going to get the Jonathan
39:56Brooks that was an amazing prospect So, to be kind to rewind, his final year in college, amongst all FBS running backs at least
40:04100 carries, 21st in yards after contact per attempt, ninth in elusive rating, and 21st in yards per route run. So, if
40:13he starts the season off as the passing down back and Chuba Hubbard is eating into the early downs. Fine. I'm not
40:19playing for weeks 1 through 5, Theo.
40:21When I'm drafting Jonathan Brooks as an RB3, I'm playing for the rest of the freaking season of the back half of the
40:27season when he's rocking it as their clear RB1 on an improved offense that's going to remain run-centric and he's a top 15 back on a weekly basis in
40:36rankings. So, Jonathan Brooks, there's so much freaking upside for him to tilt the leagues in the sense of you're drafting him as your RB3 or RB4 on
40:45teams. And if he produces and he and by the middle of the season we turn over the cards, Theo, and he is a weekly RB2,
40:52but he's an RB2 in your freaking flex spot, this is what puts teams over the top in best ball, in high stakes, in all
41:01of these formats. It's just easy money.
41:05>> Dave Canales is also an RB whisperer.
41:07We've seen it with multiple backs, multiple seasons, including getting the most out of Chuba Hubbard. So, I'm with you. I think Brooks, even when the price
41:15has gone up, it's sort of like where he belongs. Uh it's also been multiple instances where a Canales back has sort
41:21of taken over. We saw it last year with D'Onta Foreman providing all that value.
41:25What it comes down to for me with Brooks is if he's healthy, he's actually, I think, a safer pick than some people let
41:32on because he's such a talented receiver and I think that's something that this Canales offense wants where Chuba Hubbard, you're very limited with what
41:41you can do with him as a receiver, even as an opportunistic pass catcher, he's not very good. Whereas Brooks, you can
41:47scheme and design stuff to get the ball in his hands. Elite potential use in the screen game. You talk about Texas, his
41:54numbers at Texas were pretty much in line with Bijan Robinson's when he took over that year. So, we're talking about really high-level prospect coming out.
42:03Was the first running back off the board in the 2024 draft class.
42:07So, when we talk about running backs, you know, everybody knows the first round guys. Don't have to dive them at all, but in round two there is literally
42:14like five or six backs who go back-to-back-to-back in like all formats now.
42:18Kenneth Walker, O'Marien Hampton, Devon Achane, Chase Brown, and Saquon Barkley.
42:24What's the right answer with that group of five guys?
42:28>> Chase Brown. Chase Brown all day every day, baby. And I was I I'm not going to say I've been out on Chase Brown in
42:34previous seasons. I really like Chase Brown, but I am I'm just I'm all in on him this year and I see top three type
42:42of upside from him, Theo, because that's how he's produced in various iterations of the seasons previously. And everybody was so like burned out the gate last
42:51year for Chase Brown and another player like if you drafted him last year, you remember the sting of like weeks 1
42:56through 5 when he was RB 34 in fantasy points per game, but it kind of gets lost in the sauce in weeks 6 through 18.
43:02He was the RB6 in fantasy points per game, Theo. And then everybody wants to interject into the conversation, "Well, yeah, but what about Samaje Perine?"
43:09Okay, what about Samaje Perine? So, in weeks 13 through 18 when Samaje Perine was back, Chase Brown still played 60.5% of
43:17the snaps, so still the clear back and he played 70.6% of the snaps in the red zone. And so, the reason I bring all this up is
43:26because Chase Brown was still the preferred back in the red zone. The problem though, Theo, is that the usage as far as touchdowns and red zone
43:35carries, just how it shook out, despite Chase Brown in weeks 13 through 18 having that 70 almost 72% red zone snap
43:42rate, he had 17 red zone carries versus Perine's 13. If that comes back more towards the the the variance swings and
43:50the median swings back to Chase Brown in the touchdown department, even if Perine stays like at a 30% snap rate during the
43:57season or a 35% snap rate, if the touch touchdowns and the usage for Chase Brown swings back in his direction and I mean basically what
44:06we're talking about with touchdown usage and red zone usage during that same stretch weeks 13 through 18, Chase Brown was the
44:15RB2 in fantasy points per game, Theo.
44:18He's got the top three upside and basically you're drafting him as a top 10 player. I've got him as a round one
44:25guy and I'm willing to take him there if I have to in various formats because I think we're going to see a career season
44:32and the other thing we want to talk about, Theo, is we want to bet on guys in contract seasons. Hello, Chase Brown. He's going
44:38to have a monster season and try to get paid in an improved offense for the Bengals and everybody's like, "Well, you
44:44had an improved offense." Like, yeah, we get a full season of Joe Burrow and more positive game scripts with an improved
44:50defense behind the Bengals and I saw it on Twitter and I kind of pushed back against this yesterday and it was like,
44:55"Yeah, but if the defense is improved, then Chase Brown's not going to get all these checkdowns." Wait a minute. Wait a
45:00minute. Then you're not looking deep enough, I truly think. Because if you look at Joe Burrow over the last five years in games, in these situations
45:08where we're talking about like close games, neutral script. So, in games within three points on the board for Cincinnati, Joe Burrow has been top 13
45:17in three of those five seasons in checkdown rate. So, sure, like they've done more checkdowns if the Bengals have been been trailing. That
45:26that's intuitive. I get that common sense. But that doesn't mean that Joe Burrow goes away from the checkdowns and using Chase Brown in the passing game
45:33even when the score is close, Theo. I just think that we're set up for a Chase Brown smash season.
45:38>> Yeah, I mean, the Bengals are a team that's they're really kind of easy to figure out. It's going to be incredibly
45:42consolidated. It's as much as Ja'Marr Chase can handle. Tee Higgins, one of the better wide receiver twos in football, if not the biggest upside wide
45:50receiver two. And then you've got Chase Brown who's been such an effective player. You bring up like Samaje Perine.
45:56Like, are people actually bringing up Samaje Perine? Like, Samaje Perine will be 31 years old in September. It's a huge positive to Chase Brown that that's
46:05the running back two behind him. Chase Brown averaged 16 plus points per game last year. He had 69 catches.
46:12Um, there's a lot to like there. He's a super safe pick at the running back position and he has upside. The Bengals
46:19just feel like a team that could just be scoring like point after point after point. I think they're the favorite for
46:24me in the AFC North and even though they've improved their defense significantly, it's still a team that's going to lean towards shootout
46:32environments with that sort of passing game. So, Chase Brown really a strong pick. I think there's a couple of guys I'm interested in that range, but Chase
46:39Brown certainly, if you walk out of your draft with wide receiver Chase Brown as your start or another running back and
46:46then Chase Brown, you're feeling really good about where you're at structure-wise.
46:50Let's finish this off. Last player to talk about, if a tight end not named Brock Bowers finishes as the tight end one overall
46:59this season, who is it going to be?
47:02>> It's Dalton Kincaid, easily, Theo. I love him and I think that he is going to be another guy that defines leagues for
47:08people this year because I think you're looking at Dalton Kincaid, he can be this year's he can be last year's Trey McBride. Is basically
47:16where it boils down to. And if you look at Dalton Kincaid again, people want to talk about, okay, well, you're using
47:21small samples here and I've done it with Parker Washington, we've talked about Christian Watson, we talked a lot about a lot of different players.
47:29Using the small sample, fine. Can it be you're you're basically baking in some risk of if that small sample does not replicate into a
47:39full season in the next year. Okay, fine. I'm willing to drink and and just absolutely just guzzle down that that risk because this is where we've seen
47:48Rashee Rice of previous years, Amon-Ra St. Brown of previous years, where we've taken small samples and said, "If you're the guy, you're the freaking guy." And
47:55last year when the Bears needed him the most, Cole Kmet Loveland was that dude week 16 16 through 20 last year, Theo.
48:03Cole Kmet Loveland had a 25.6% target share.
48:07He would had he averaged 81.6 receiving yards. He had 2.49 yards per route run.
48:12And a 34% first read share, 0.116 first downs per route run. I know I'm throwing a lot of numbers at people.
48:19Just know that if he would have produced at that rate throughout the entire season amongst all tight ends with at least 20 targets, he would have ranked
48:27first, first, fourth, first, fourth, and second in all so top four in every one of those metrics. And if you compare
48:34those metrics in that sample size, Theo, to 2025 Trey McBride and 2024 Brock Bowers, which again are
48:44the two guys right next to him in ADP and ahead of him in ADP, on all of those per route numbers, Theo,
48:51in that sample size, Cole Kmet Loveland bested both of those seasons. Those numbers are better than Trey McBride was last year. They are better than Brock
49:01Bowers was in 2024. If we get a full season of that type of freaking usage from Cole Kmet Loveland this year,
49:08Theo, he's going to flirt or be the runaway tight end one in fantasy and you are getting him as the tight end three
49:16right now behind those other two guys.
49:18>> It's sort of finding reasons to fade Cole Kmet Loveland. I mean, it's really hard for me to to find reasons to like
49:24not click him when he when he's available. You talk about all those metrics, plus you have the the pedigree where he's such a highly drafted player.
49:33It was one of the first it was the first first round pick for Ben Johnson in his era as Chicago Bears head coach. Um
49:41there's something to that. And you talk about the explosive plays, the YAC ability, and he gets those downfield looks. Uh the air yards, I mean, I think
49:50it's would be of be a surprise if he doesn't lead all tight ends in air yards this year as well. Like he's going to
49:55get over the top deep looks in this offense. We know the scheme is great.
50:00And oh yeah, he's got a quarterback who likes to target him and he's got a head coach who is maybe the best play caller
50:06in football. I mean, there's probably some Sean McVay people out there, but Ben Johnson top top two, top three.
50:11Debro top two. Yeah, there we go. Okay, we'll we'll scale it back a little bit.
50:15Debro, we've done some bold prediction shows. I'm sure we'll do them again at some point. Let everyone know once again where they can find your work and then
50:22drop the boldest bold prediction you've got for the 2026 fantasy football season.
50:28>> Find all of it at FantasyPros. Currently all a ton of my draft kit stuff is out right now. I've got my perfect draft
50:34article which literally walks you through 80 plus players and every round of your draft. So if you need what that one thing for your draft, if you're not
50:42using the tools over at Rotowire or FantasyPros and stuff, then pull this article up. Have it for all your drafts.
50:47As well as my player at my top targets article was live. My players to avoid is also live. And before we get into the
50:53meat and potatoes like heavy heavy draft season, my top 200 will be live on fantasypros.com and that is legit exactly what it sounds like. It is 200
51:02players and yes, it's quarterback, running back, wide receiver, tight end.
51:05Also, I'm I am a psycho. I'm going to write up 15 to 20 kickers and defenses.
51:11So whether you are playing best ball, whether you are playing deep leagues, whether you are playing your eight team office league, that top 200 will cover
51:18you for all of it, Theo. And my boldest prediction that I can sling at you right now, man, is that Mike Evans will lead
51:25the entire freaking NFL in receiving touchdowns. He will be 2024 Davante Adams. You look at Evans, he is not washed. He was second in separation
51:35score and route win rate last year. And people want to talk about, "Well, yeah, but he didn't produce that well."
51:40He had one of the lowest catchable target rates in the entire NFL with Baker Mayfield playing like a shell of himself last year. Brock Purdy has
51:47proven that he is an outlier like I talked about previously in passing touchdown rate. In three of the last four seasons, he has had a 7% or higher
51:54passing touchdown rate. So, you look at Mike Evans, he enters an offense that was eighth in red zone scoring attempts per game last
52:03year, Theo. They had two guys for San Francisco that were inside the top 10 in red zone targets. Christian McCaffrey being one of them. Jauan Jennings, who
52:12is not on the team this year, being the other guy. Mike Evans is live to lead the NFL in red zone targets. If all this
52:20happens, Mike Evans is going to be another smash ADP win for people.
52:24>> Well, there we go. Check out Derek Brown. Highly recommend all of his work.
52:27Stick with us here at RotoWire. We're dropping a show a day in July and August. We're going to help you crush
52:33your fantasy leagues this season.
52:35>> [music]