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Matt Harmon fantasy football takes on Jaylen Waddle
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Matt Harmon about Jaylen Waddle.
24
Insights
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Positive
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Insight ledger
All Matt Harmon insights about Jaylen Waddle
PositiveUsageSep 15, 2026
Thought Antonio Williams' film was really impressive in Week 1. Good routes, explosive out of breaks, and created some good separation. That offense needs more options and he definitely commanded some opportunity with his play. Reminder: I will have weekly charting notebooks on RP. Looking to post the first one today with Williams, Matthew Golden, MHJ, Waddle and more.PositiveValueAug 27, 2026
Matt Harmon explicitly prefers drafting Jaylen Waddle over Rashee Rice at their current respective ADPs.PositiveUsageAug 26, 2026
One of my annual favorite pieces to write this time of year: Who are the most likely candidates to be the WR1 overall for the 2026 season? The WR1 overall has to check 3 boxes: - Path a dominant target share - Tethered to an efficient offense/QB - Must be verifiably great at football I did an extra deep dive into the loaded position and looked at all the players in Tiers 1 and 2 of my rankings to assess how each candidate stacks up: <https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy/article/the-top-16-most-li...PositiveUsageAug 22, 2026
now take waddle’s route success and layer it on top of great projected usage. #TrustTheTrinity x RP 🔥🚀 [Retweeted](PositiveUsageAug 22, 2026
Jaylen Waddle's 2025 #ReceptionPerception Profile 👀 Some highlights: - 73.5% success rate vs. man coverage - 81.3% success rate vs. zone - 76.5% success rate vs. press coverage (81st percentile, career-high) Waddle's role in the Broncos offense will look quite different than the one he played in with the Dolphins—a big factor in why I'm so high on his production ceiling this year. We saw some of that in the preseason game last night (shown below). Full profile here <https://receptionpercepti...PositiveNewsAug 22, 2026
.@MattHarmon_BYB is drafting Jaylen Waddle EVERYWHERE 🔥 [Retweeted](PositiveUsageAug 20, 2026
Jaylen Waddle averaged 2.32 yards per route run, one of the best marks at the position, and he lands in Denver. @MattHarmon_BYB of @YahooFantasy and @RecepPerception is buying. Part of the @RotoWire Fantasy Football Marathon. [Retweeted](PositiveBreakoutAug 19, 2026
Matt Harmon is sky-high on Jaylen Waddle, viewing him as a transformative player in the Broncos' offense who will consolidate the roles previously held by multiple depth receivers. Harmon ranks him as his WR20, projecting him to operate as the off-ball movement Z receiver and benefit from 'easy button' targets that the offense struggled to distribute last year. Jeff Bell also ranks Waddle above Tee Higgins, noting that while there are valid concerns regarding Waddle's injury history, his talent and role keep him ahead in the rankings.PositiveValueAug 15, 2026
The wide receivers with an ADP in Rounds 4 to 6 on Yahoo last week. There are going to be some big hits from this range. Also, some swings and misses. Still one of my favorite ranges to take players at the position.NegativeUsageAug 12, 2026
Matt Harmon notes that Jaylen Waddle is part of a group of modern WR1 types with a low nine-route percentage, recording 9.7% on nine routes.PositiveNewsAug 9, 2026
“Jaylen Waddle is flat-out the most mispriced player in fantasy this year.” @MattHarmon_BYB and @adamlevitan discuss Waddle’s outlook in DEN: [Retweeted](PositiveUsageAug 5, 2026
As I've said for months now, Jaylen Waddle is in line for a massive role shift in Denver. Jaylen Waddle's charted snaps in #ReceptionPerception from 2022 to 2024: - 77% outside - 81% on-ball Jaylen Waddle's 2025 snaps in RP: - 83.9% outside - 78.5% on-ball What Sean Payton describes below is essentially the opposite of that and better suits his skill set. I am not often this hyperbolic, but I think that alignment changes almost everything about how people perceive him as a player. It's a big...PositiveNewsAug 1, 2026
"I think Waddle is probably the most mispriced player in fantasy right now." -- @MattHarmon_BYB [Retweeted](PositiveNewsJul 31, 2026
This is a GREAT pod. Get smarter hearing @MattHarmon_BYB chopping it up on WRs like Nico Collins, Jaylen Waddle, and Jayden Reed with @ScottBarrettDFB and @BGWhitefield It’s a show I’m NOT on and I’m telling you to listen. That’s how good it is. <https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/school-of-scott/id1757483459?i=1000779297917> [Retweeted](PositiveUsageJul 23, 2026
Could Quentin Johnston find success in Mike McDaniel’s offense in the Jaylen Waddle role? [Retweeted](PositiveValueJul 22, 2026
What is going on with Jaylen Waddle's ADP? @TheOGfantasy discusses with @MattHarmon_BYB 🏈 [Retweeted](PositiveUsageJul 17, 2026
🔥Great stuff here from @AlfredoABrown 📝Sutton ran most dig routes on the Broncos but was bottom 3rd in YPRR on dig routes in the ENTIRE NFL 🚀What does Sean Peyton do? Goes out and gets Waddle who was #1!!!! On YPRR on digs last season 📈Digs and other horizontal breaking routes are heavily correlated with fantasy success especially for YAC WRs 🔨Buy and draft Jaylen Waddle everywhere you can [Retweeted](PositiveNewsJul 16, 2026
Everything Jaylen Waddle 📈 [Quoted](PositiveValueJul 15, 2026
Jaylen Waddle is valued ahead of consensus at receiver 12, with redraft ADP around wide receiver 21; he should be targeted in the early fourth or late third round in best ball formats.PositiveRoleJul 1, 2026
Perimeter X receiver with heavy diet of in-breaking routes; this archetype is increasingly valuable in today's game due to efficiency gains from throwing over the middle of the field against two-high safety shells.PositiveValueJun 4, 2026
Matt Harmon ranks Jaylen Waddle at WR12 and is very high on him this year, placing him in the WR11–13 tier alongside DeVonte Smith and Lad McConkey. Harmon would draft Waddle over the entire fourth-round ADP group including Zay Flowers, Lad McConkey, Garrett Wilson, Tedo McMillan, DJ Moore, Luther Burden, DeVonte Adams, and Terry McLaurin, and feels great about that decision tier-wise. However, he wants to hear a positive Bo Nix training camp update before going 'balls to the wall' on Waddle conviction.PositiveValueNo date
Matt Harmon is significantly higher on Jaylen Waddle than consensus, ranking him 26th overall compared to his Yahoo ADP of 37th. Harmon views Waddle as his number one target at his current ADP, projecting him as a potential top-10 receiver and a league-winning pick. He cites a positive role change from an outside 'X' receiver to an off-ball slot receiver in Miami's offense, noting a lack of competition for targets as reasons for his optimism.PositiveValueNo date
Matt Harmon projects Jaylen Waddle as significantly undervalued at his consensus ADP of WR23/51st overall in half-PPR, believing he should rank closer to WR12. Harmon cites three key factors: (1) Waddle is an efficient receiver who wins at all three levels and beats man press coverage at a high rate on a per-route basis; (2) Denver runs substantially more plays than Miami did last year (Dolphins ranked dead last in plays run), providing higher base opportunity; (3) Waddle will experience a seismic role change from outside on-ball receiver in Miami to a movement Z receiver in Denver, allowing him to take a career-high percentage of snaps off the line of scrimmage and access more efficient targets in motion, similar to Brandon Cooks' 2016 role shift when Michael Thomas arrived. Harmon states he will be "really in on Waddle this year" and believes "the market has this one completely wrong."NegativeRoleNo date
Matt Harmon notes that Jaylen Waddle has been primarily an outside on-ball receiver throughout his career, contrary to common perception. His route distribution emphasizes slants, outs, digs, and flats while avoiding nine routes, curls, and comebacks—the exact inverse of QJ's current usage pattern, serving as a model for how QJ could be deployed in McDaniel's offense.