PodcastFrom Dynasty Points
Is CMC Washed Or Should We Buy? 5 Players With Pure Potential /w Paul Patterson
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
48 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 22, 2026
Published
Wed, July 22, 2026
13
Player insights
5
Players mentioned
Topics
Stefon DiggsKyler MurrayZay FlowersChristian McCaffreyMalik Nabers
Player analysis
Player insights
Christian McCaffrey
PositiveValue2:12
The source identifies McCaffrey as a contender buy at 60th overall on Keep Trade Cut and in the fifth round of Dynasty startups, despite being 30 years old. The rationale: he had 90 more expected fantasy points than any other running back in 2024, and even with declining rushing efficiency, he remains the best fantasy running back when healthy. His receiving role is so ingrained that he functions as a mix of 29-year-old Keenan Allen as a receiver and 29-year-old Devonta Freeman as a rusher, meaning his floor is a mid-to-low RB1 even if he declines further. At his current price (late first-round pick cost), he offers league-winning upside for contenders willing to trade future assets.
Insight pageKyler Murray
PositiveValue26:42
Murray is a buy at QB22 in startups and QB24 on KeepTradeCut, priced around Daniel Jones (coming off Achilles) and Matthew Stafford (potentially one year left), despite never finishing outside top-12 at QB and being in what the source calls his best season setup. Murray has scored 16.4 PPG last season (5 games, one partial), but prior years show 18.4, 18.9, 19, 22, 24 PPG—a consistent low-end QB1 floor. He's paired with the best WR duo and best coach (Kevin O'Connell) of his career; KOC's offense maintains high pass rate inside the 10-yard line regardless of QB mobility, and Murray has averaged 30+ rushing yards per game every year of his career, providing a floor raiser.
Insight pagePositiveProjection32:00
Murray is projected to finish in the mid-QB2 range in dynasty rankings, ranked behind Baker Mayfield and Cam Ward but ahead of Saquon Stroud, Malik Willis, and Daniel Jones. The source estimates a 70-75% probability that Murray plays well enough for the Vikings to want to retain him or that he remains a starting QB in 2027, with a 20% chance he plays well but signs elsewhere, and a 20-25% chance of a complete collapse. The source notes Murray's security hinges on Vikings' draft position and performance; if Minnesota drafts high enough to select a 2027 QB prospect, they may not re-sign Murray.
Insight pagePositiveRole38:18
Murray's fantasy upside depends heavily on his willingness to use his legs as he did in 2019-2020 and 2024. In 2024, he had 78 rushing attempts and 500+ rushing yards. The source emphasizes that Murray's scramble rate in the red zone was historically high in 2020 but dipped in 2021 when he rushed for only five TDs. Reports suggest Murray has been reluctant to run as much as he did when younger, but the source stresses that rushing is his 'bankroll'—his path to fantasy success. KOC's offense operates over the middle of the field, and Murray's ability to adjust and use his legs will determine how well he fits the system.
Insight pageMalik Nabers
PositiveValue5:30
The source calls Nabers' fall to 18th overall on Keep Trade Cut and in startup ADP 'ridiculous' for a 22-year-old with one of the best rookie wide receiver seasons ever. In 2024, he led the NFL in target share, was second in targets per route run, and had the seventh-highest points per game (higher than Justin Jefferson's and Jamar Chase's rookie years), all while playing with Tommy DeVito, Tyrod Taylor, and Drew Locke. He had 2.3 yards per route run with a terrible quarterback carousel. The source argues he is in the same talent class as CeeDee Lamb and Amon-Ra St. Brown, and that his value loss is due to injury noise and Giants QB uncertainty—not a change in talent. The source suggests he could have been a top-three startup pick had he stayed healthy and would easily trade Jefferson, Lamb, or St. Brown straight up for him to get four years younger.
Insight pageStefon Diggs
PositiveValue39:57
Diggs is being valued as if he's no longer an NFL player despite being a clear buy. Coming off a mid-season ACL tear with the Texans, he signed with the Patriots and ran only 65% of routes last year, yet still scored as WR25 in PPG with over 12 PPG and 25% target share. The source argues Diggs would be a discount compared to his current valuation regardless of which team signs him, with the Commanders and Chiefs among the best fits, though the Raiders could also be a strong landing spot.
Insight pagePositiveValue40:35
Diggs is valued outside the top 250 players on Keep Trade Cut and just outside the top 200 in startup ADP despite posting WR25 points per game (12+ PPG) on 100 targets, 1,000+ receiving yards, and 25% target share while running only 65% of routes in a part-time role after an ACL tear. The source argues this valuation is market lag and a misreading of his situation; he's being priced as if he's a non-entity when he should be a no-brainer value pick, comparable to or better than late-round options like Kate Otten, Drew Allar, Jacoby Lane, and Pat Freiermuth.
Insight pagePositiveRole42:00
The source believes Diggs' low valuation stems partly from a legal issue that has now been resolved and is no longer hanging over his head. Additionally, the source speculates Diggs is a veteran who prefers not to participate in training camp and practices, wanting to 'go hang out on boats all summer' before showing up for the season—a behavioral pattern that doesn't indicate decline but rather a lifestyle preference. The source would be 'absolutely floored' if Diggs doesn't play NFL football this year.
Insight pagePositiveProjection43:00
The source expects Diggs to play NFL football this year and projects strong efficiency upside; he ranked top-eight in first downs per route run last year (a stat more stable than yards per route and predictive of league-winning seasons), and in games above 70% route share he averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game (WR1-level production). Even a 5-10% chance of full-time role represents significant upside at current prices.
Insight pagePositiveValue43:52
The source has drafted Diggs in 'just about every single startup' this offseason and received him in trades because of his depressed valuation. Recent trade data shows him moving for a 2027 fourth-round pick, which the source views as a steal; he would 'trade every single 2027 fourth round pick' across his entire dynasty portfolio to acquire Diggs. Even as a pure value flip, trading a fourth for him now guarantees he'll be worth at least a third-round pick within two months, making it profitable regardless of whether the owner intends to start him.
Insight pageZay Flowers
PositiveBreakout17:00
The source calls Zay Flowers a 'screaming buy' and argues his breakout flew under the radar in 2024. He had 86 catches for over 1,200 yards on a Ravens team with the lowest or second-lowest pass attempts per game since 2018, posting insane consolidation and per-route efficiency. In his second season (2023), he had 26% target share and 2.35 yards per route run; in 2024, despite Lamar Jackson playing injured stretches and being replaced by Tyler Huntley and Cooper Rush, he posted 2.61 yards per route run and nearly 28% target share. He had the third-highest percentage of his team's receiving yards in the NFL last year. Film charting shows reception perception above 90th percentile against zone coverage and above 70th percentile against man coverage. Even without touchdowns, he averaged 14.5 PPG (including week 18), borderline top-12 among wide receivers. Now valued as WR22-24, he enters year four-five of his career (peak production window) with Lamar Jackson, a new offensive coordinator (Declan Doyle, who worked under Ben Johnson), and uninspiring wide receiver competition (Jacoby Lane, Elijah Surratt).
Insight pagePositiveBreakout20:06
Flowers is positioned for a breakout in year four/five of his career with Declan Doyle (Ben Johnson's former OC) joining the Ravens and Lamar Jackson as his QB. The source notes Flowers ran 600 routes in his rookie season but hasn't cracked 500 since; with a median expectation of increased routes and a new OC who targets him in the end zone, his peripheral profile screams WR1. His 17% red zone target share over three seasons exceeds Antonio Brown's 12% and Tyler Lockett's 8% at the same career stage, and both those players saw spikes to 24-36% and 28% respectively in years four-six. The source emphasizes Flowers doesn't need size to score touchdowns—finesse and skill matter—and notes he's improved his field-turning ability significantly.
Insight pagePositiveValue22:51
Flowers is being ranked inside the top four rounds in startups as WR20, well ahead of consensus, and is ranked one spot ahead of Lad McConkie in dynasty rankings despite McConkie's higher profile. The source argues Flowers' peripherals are not even remotely close to McConkie's—Flowers has already put on paper what McConkie is hoping to achieve. With identical seasonal cost and only one year age difference, the source finds it difficult to justify a meaningful gap between them, especially given Flowers' proven efficiency and the Ravens' potential for increased passing volume.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00Günstig ohne App. Bei Aldi gibt es einen Preis für alle.
0:03Diese Woche Bio-Joghurt mit Crispy Müsli, 150 Gramm für nur 89 Cent.
0:07Oder Igloram Spinat, 750 Gramm für nur 1,69 Euro.
0:10Entdecke weitere Angebote in deinem Aldi Nord. Aldi. Gutes für alle.
0:13Is Christian McCaffrey washed? Should Dynasty Players be on the run?
0:16Or should they be looking to buy? We ask this question and a few more to our guy Paul Patterson who joins
0:23us from Pure Potential with 5 targets that you should be buying right now to set yourself up for success in 2026 and beyond.
0:30It's Dynasty Points and it starts right now. Hello everybody.
0:33Welcome back. Thank you for joining us on our small corner of the Dynasty Fantasy Football landscape.
0:38Today we're joined by someone else in the Dynasty Fantasy Football landscape.
0:42Friend of the show for many years over from Pure Potential.
0:45This is Paul Patterson. We're happy to have you back.
0:48It's been a hot minute but not the first time.
0:51Won't be the last time you're bringing something for our subscribers, your subscribers.
0:55Five players that you deem worthy of buying in Dynasty.
0:58I'm excited. I'm sure these guys are all excited as well.
1:01Thanks for joining us. Yeah, absolutely. Appreciate you having me.
1:04Always happy to jump on with you guys and talk some player takes, buys today.
1:09We've got five names, different positions, different value positions, different fits on your Dynasty roster.
1:13But I think they all are good targets right now.
1:16I love that. Joining us today as always is Ryan Heath, Jacob Sanderson.
1:20Don't worry. If you missed the live, you can go back and watch that as this releases on the Wednesday.
1:26We're live on Tuesdays. When you're done here, head over there if you missed it already.
1:31I can already tell you from the future that 5 for 5 is going to go my way.
1:37I can tell you that much. Let's dive right in.
1:40You're like the USGA. Every year it's like, oh, the US Open is only a success if the winner shoots plus 8.
1:46Have you ever just considered that maybe people like to see an occasional birdie?
1:50What if you winning was supplying questions that people could answer?
1:54You know, that's another way to look at winning.
1:57The way I look at winning. Other hosts of a similar program have looked at winning that way.
2:02I don't know. Other hosts have made points worth double to try to screw a different host on this show over.
2:08But my version of winning is listening to Paul Patterson give us players to buy so that we can make ourselves better Dynasty players.
2:15Only you can help yourself become a better trivia player.
2:18Paul, let's go to our first player on this list.
2:22And I led in the open. Some people are saying time is catching up no matter what you do.
2:27But you say players need to buy Christian McCaffrey.
2:30Let's talk about why. Yeah, I mean, the reason why is just the price.
2:34I think you look at the last few years, like 2024, Saquon Barkley finishes as the overall RB1.
2:40He's a second round startup pick the year after.
2:42Granted, a couple years younger than Christian McCaffrey is right now.
2:46He also never hit the peak production that Christian McCaffrey gave us last year and has given us in every single healthy season of his career.
2:53So for me, looking at Christian McCaffrey, he's the 60th overall player on Keep Trade Cut.
2:58I've drafted him in the fifth round of my last two Dynasty startups.
3:02I just think you look at the players that are going around him.
3:06There is some opportunity costs in terms of young guys with upside.
3:10But the opportunity cost, I think, is just well worth it for a guy that as long as he's on the field,
3:16even last year when his rushing efficiency was way down, was easily far and away the best running back in fantasy football.
3:23He had 90 more expected fantasy points than any other running back in the league last year.
3:28And to me, he's like the contender buy of this year.
3:31Because if you think about all the guys that have a legitimate chance to finish number one at their position in scoring,
3:38like every one of these players pretty much is a top 20, 25 startup pick.
3:43Like Bijan, Gibbs, Chase, Puka, JSN, Allen, Lamar in your Superflex leagues, Bowers, McBride.
3:47All of these guys are going in the first couple rounds of startups.
3:51Yeah, you can buy in on like a Mike Evans and Derrick Henry.
3:55I like those guys too. They are not offering you the same type of league winning upside that McCaffrey is.
4:01So I just think to be able to get a player that can be the number one scorer in all of fantasy,
4:07I don't care if he's 30 years old. And at that price, you know, in the 50s, in the 60s of a
4:14startup or at the cost of a, you know, late projected first round pick, I think he's well worth it.
4:20Yeah, you'd mentioned the cost of the late first round pick, which I find especially enticing.
4:25I recently just updated my dynasty rankings. I still have them up at 1.25 base firsts.
4:29That's a price that I will freely acknowledge has a lot of risk baked into it where, you know, any moment in
4:36time you could come up with a zero. But I do think even among, or I should say, I think that among
4:43a objectively risky cohort of players, which is the high producing olds, that McCarthy does, or McCaffrey does seem to be the safest.
4:50You know, you compare him like a safe to like a Saquon Barkley or a Derrick Henry, for instance.
4:55And, you know, obviously Derrick Henry has been owning us.
4:58You know, anyone who's ever said anything about his aging profile for years now.
5:03But, like, it does remain true that if and when Henry stops being a successful explosive rusher, it's kind of over.
5:09Now, that's probably not going to happen until he's 57 years old, apparently.
5:13But he's obviously very reliant on that for his profile.
5:16You know, likewise, at receiver, you really can't fake it.
5:19Like, once you're washed, you don't score fantasy points anymore as a receiver.
5:23And that certainly would apply to, you know, insert your favorite of Devontae Adams or Mike Evans or if any of those guys, if it goes for them.
5:31But with McCaffrey, like, I think I tweeted out last year, he's a mix of 29-year-old Keenan Allen as a receiver and 29-year-old Devonta Freeman as a rusher.
5:40Like, I think he kind of already is washed as a running back or, like, as at least a rusher.
5:46And it doesn't matter because as long as he's still so good in the receiving game, he's just going to compile so many points.
5:53And even if he was to take a step back in the receiving game, it feels like that would be something where
5:59they'd have to address it almost the year after it happens.
6:03Because I think that his role is just so ingrained.
6:06So, I think that the floor in the short term, barring injury, is, like, higher from a scoring perspective than maybe we think.
6:13Like, I think absolute worst case scenario, he'd still be a mid to low RB1.
6:17I think he's a pretty fun buy at his current price in Dynasty where you're basically paying a year-to-year tag.
6:23Yeah, for example, I'm in a half PPR league where I have one of the highest value teams in the league.
6:30I have Josh Allen, I have Drake May, I have Jamar Chase.
6:33And there was a team that took over an orphan.
6:36They were looking to blow it up. And they put McCaffrey on the block.
6:40And it was like, this felt like the most impactful player I could go and acquire to juice my odds in this current season.
6:48So, I traded my current year, 2027 first and second, which I wouldn't do, like, in any situation.
6:53But with such a high-value team trying to go and get a bye week, it felt like the right type of kind of push the chips and move.
7:02Like, I have the value insulation. I have pieces at other positions.
7:05This is the best way I can access a really high ceiling at running back.
7:10And I think Dynasty managers can be way too well or nothing with, like, do I take the risk or do I play it safe?
7:17I think it's way more about picking your spots.
7:20And this feels like a spot where, yeah, build a young team around him.
7:24But go get Christian McCaffrey to kind of be the production engine for you in 2026.
7:29He's not just a regular old guy buy either.
7:32We're talking about well over 20-some million, over 30 million this year in dead cap if he got released.
7:37He's not going anywhere. So, you for sure got yourself more than a redraft player.
7:42And like these guys have said, more than a redraft plus player as well.
7:46Just a solid points option. Let's move over to number two.
7:49You have Malik Neighbors on your list. And this might seem obvious, but his price just keeps falling.
7:55With every wacky, wild, and weird New York Giants PR nightmare, every softball charity event that a video gets released from Neighbors,
8:01people seem to get further and further away from just how good he was when he's on the field.
8:07Let's talk Neighbors. Yeah, I'm not going to get any points for originality here.
8:11I'm just pointing out something that I just think is ridiculous, that he's fallen to be the 18th overall player on Keep Trade Cut.
8:19I believe he's the 18th overall in Startup ADP over the last month.
8:23This is just so silly to me. This is a 22-year-old player.
8:26He had one of the best rookie wide receiver seasons we've ever seen.
8:30As a rookie in 2024, he led the entire NFL in target share.
8:34He was second in targets per outrun. He had the seventh highest points per game mark, which was higher than Justin Jefferson's
8:41rookie year, higher than Jamar Chase's rookie year. Pretty sure he played games with Tommy DeVito as a rookie, or Tyrod, or
8:47Drew Locke, or one of those guys. And it didn't matter.
8:51Had 2.3 yards per outrun with an absolute terrible carousel of quarterbacks.
8:54This is a guy that we should have really no doubts that he is in the same talent class as, if you
9:01don't want to go as far as Jefferson or Chase, which I kind of would, CeeDee Lamb, Aminor St.
9:06Brown. I mean, he's that type of player. He's, again, he hasn't even turned 23 yet.
9:11And he's losing substantial value in Dynasty because he might start on the pup in his third season.
9:17I just, he was being drafted in redraft leagues right next to all of these guys that are four years older than him last year.
9:24And I just don't really understand what's changed. Like, if anything's changed, it's that the Giants have hit on a quarterback that
9:31at least seems competent and could have a pretty high ceiling as a player in the NFL.
9:36So this just feels like if there's any opportunity to get in on a guy like Malik Nabors, who could have been
9:43easily a top three startup pick had he stayed healthy last year, this is the time when you want to be sending
9:49out those offers, going and seeing if someone's even willing to budge off of him, whether there's a discount or not.
9:56Just the idea that he could be up for trade, I think is a huge opportunity.
10:00And I think in a lot of leagues, you could flip a Jefferson, Lamb, or Aminor for him straight up.
10:06And you're just getting four years younger. And a guy that's almost certainly going to be valued ahead of him, ahead of those players next offseason.
10:14Not really much pushback. Because I mean, I think he would have been the unanimous number one overall guy in startup picks,
10:21startup drafts, had he stayed healthy last year and had the season I would expect him to have had.
10:27My only pushback is, I'm just curious your thoughts on where his startup ADP you think will be next offseason, if he's never right this year.
10:34So like, let's say he misses four weeks, then he comes back.
10:38But he is like, I don't know, the wide receiver 24 for the rest of the season.
10:43There's a couple flashes where he looks good. But there's also a lot of, maybe he misses another couple weeks in between with some other compensation injury.
10:51And you just never get more than like a couple weeks of thinking you have this guy back.
10:57How worried do you, I mean, it's a possible question, but how worried do you think the market would get on like,
11:03oh no, it's Odell 2.0, it's just never coming back?
11:06Yeah, so like you said, it's a hard scenario to necessarily give a lot of confidence in.
11:11But my take is, I think basically no matter what happens this year, barring like a subsequent injury, I think he will
11:18be no less valuable than he is right now, like next offseason.
11:22Like no matter what, I don't think anything could really happen this year unless he like tears his Achilles or something, that
11:28he would not be valued at this. Because he's going to be younger going into next year than JSN was coming into, or is coming into this year.
11:37Like, he's still so young. I think it's so easy for people to be like, okay, he's a year removed from the injury.
11:44I mean, let's look at Jonathan Brooks right now, right?
11:47Like, what Jonathan Brooks' value is doing, he's like going in the sixth or seventh round and redraft.
11:52This guy has like 10 career carries. And this is someone who's never shown it in the NFL, didn't have nearly the track record in college.
12:00So, I mean, I think it's the right question to ask.
12:03And I just think, I think it's really hard for him to not hold this type of value, assuming that we're looking
12:10at him going into 2027 with a clean bill of health.
12:13So you mentioned the one of Amon Ra for neighbors.
12:16Is that a, sorry, I'll ask this, but I apologize for cutting off, Ryan.
12:20Like, is that a trade that you'd be willing to make if you have a contender and you have Amon Ra and
12:27you're trading him for neighbors who, I mean, I agree, I have neighbors ahead of Amon Ra in my rankings.
12:33Yeah. But would you be willing to do that on an actual contending team, knowing it's possible you're trading a probable mid
12:40to high range wide receiver one for a bit of a question mark this season?
12:44So I'd say Amon Ra is the, is the one guy of that group.
12:48I think Lamb or Jefferson, I would do straight up in pretty much any situation.
12:53Amon Ra, I have like just slightly higher 2026 confidence in for, you know, various reasons.
12:58And that would be one where I would be willing to say, like in certain situations, like you already have a really
13:04valuable roster or, or whatever, like this is your, your last year where you're already kind of trending in a certain way
13:11where you're probably going to be set and going into a rebuild the following year.
13:15I could see holding off, but I'd say in more than half of situations, I would take that trade.
13:21And certainly in any, in any rebuilding context, I mean, that would, that would be a no brainer.
13:27But honestly, that's not even my favorite way to go out and try to get Malik neighbors.
13:32I think it would be looking at the next tier of assets down, looking at guys like Carnell Tate, George Pickens, even
13:38Teddero McMillan, who I do really like the idea that you could just add something somewhat negligible to him, which is kind
13:45of what the rankings, the consensus would indicate you could do and go and get a player that's already put that type
13:52of ceiling on film, I think would be an even better way.
13:55Keep your other elite players, right? And then go get, go get another one.
13:59The only thing I wanted to kind of layer on top of what you guys were both just talking about in terms
14:06of, okay, where, where will the market go with him?
14:09Where, how low could his ADP go? How high could it go as we approach his eventual 100% return?
14:15I, there's a weird thing in the fantasy football market now that happens where, because, especially in Dynasty throughout the entire off
14:21season, we're so plugged in and we're so constantly inundated with news.
14:25I, there's a effect to this that anytime we get a positive or a negative headline, even if it's something that we
14:32already should have known or already should have priced in a player's price moves, right?
14:36I distinctly remember when neighbors originally had his injury and it was pretty clear to everyone.
14:41Yeah. He may not be himself even for a good part of 2026 at that time.
14:46The debates we were having were, oh, should you trade him for Aminra or should you trade him for Jackson Smith and Jigba?
14:53And it's just slid more and more and more as we have had an entire off season to discuss, okay, well, neighbors,
14:59I had is had, maybe as he, he's had this setback in his injury and it could be until week eight or
15:06like with every additional projection that comes out, people's sentiments just reduce.
15:10And yes, we're seeing the opposite happen with Jonathan Brooks right now.
15:13As we get closer and closer to his theoretical return, there's more and more speculation about when could he return?
15:19How good could he be? What role could he have?
15:22I think we will see the opposite of that with neighbors at some point, there will be like the upshoot of positive
15:29news, even if the fantasy points don't really come in 2026.
15:32So yeah, I would be very much on Paul's side here that I think at some point you are getting the positive
15:39news cycle with Malik neighbors, uh, just coming out of the ether whenever it is in the 2027 off season.
15:45And I would be happy, uh, being ahead of market before then, just because I, I feel pretty confident that's coming regardless.
15:51The other part of it too, when you're talking about his value in the next year, like Paul did is we can
15:58guarantee one wide receiver as passing him immediately when the draft shows up, how many others, right?
16:03Cause we've talked about needing an influx of young elite talent and well, neighbors already has it.
16:08So how many wide receivers could really pass him to drop him down far enough to take that significant of a hit?
16:15Yeah. I don't, I don't know if there are any major clear candidates.
16:19I think Drake London could have the type of season this year where I could see him flipping neighbors.
16:25Cause I think he has like a top three, top five season in him pretty easily.
16:29Um, other than him, unless Bryce young kicks it up a notch and somehow we get a true year to break out from Ted around McMillan.
16:37I don't, I don't see anybody else really that could get into that conversation.
16:41Right. It would take a pretty extreme rookie landing spot again, outside of Jacob's future dynasty.
16:46One-on-one Jeremiah Smith to really put a significant gap as like you said, he's already going to be younger than Jason is heading into this year.
16:54So I like the Malik neighbors call. Let's go to number three and you don't have to convince me, Paul, as someone
17:01who's probably watched too many of his games, but Zay flowers is a screaming by he's a market report.
17:06Favorite. I would love to hear what inputs you have to the Zay flowers discourse, which still exists.
17:12It, it still exists somehow. I think Zay flowers is starting to go a little bit more mainstream.
17:17I feel like his redraft cost has gone up over the last few months.
17:21His dynasty value is like creeping up a little bit.
17:24People like Jacob Gibbs are talking about him, um, on his show.
17:28He came onto my channel and talked about him.
17:31I I've been calling Zay flowers a bias since early last year, because I think last year was his true year three
17:37breakout that it kind of flew under the radar for a lot of people.
17:42Like if you asked the average person, you know, you do like a man on the street, like, Hey, what was say flowers stat line last year?
17:50They'd probably say like, Oh, you know, 65, 70 catches.
17:53He had a thousand receiving yards. Maybe like this guy had 86 catches for over 1200 yards last year on a team
17:59that had the lowest pass attempts per game. Second lowest pass attempts per game since at least 2018, which is when I stopped looking back.
18:07Um, like this guy had an insane season in terms of consolidation in terms of per route efficiency last year.
18:13Um, even in 2024, four, his second season, he had 26% targets per outrun 2.35 yards per outrun.
18:18He follows that up last year in a season where Lamar Jackson plays stretches of games injured, looking completely ineffective.
18:24He plays with Tyler Huntley. He plays with Cooper rush.
18:27He still puts up 2.61 yards per outrun, um, nearly a 28% target share.
18:32I mean, these are the peripheral metrics that we look at guys like Drake, London, AJ Brown putting up in the third
18:38highest percentage of his teams receiving yards in the NFL last year.
18:42So this is a player that just, the talent is just so evident.
18:46And then you can go and look at more of like a film charting, like a reception perception as your proxy for
18:52film over the 90th percentile success rate versus zone coverage, um, above the 70th percentile and man impressed coverage.
18:58I mean, just extremely competent across the board. He runs all the routes.
19:02He's good after the catch. He does everything you'd want to see.
19:06He's just never, he hasn't been able to pair that with an offense that was really, really efficient or really, um, had
19:12the volume in the passing game or the consistent efficiency in the passing game.
19:16And he hasn't scored the touchdowns, but even so if you include his week 18 game last year, which I think you
19:23should, it was a totally meaningful game for the Ravens.
19:26Like it wasn't like a garbage time game for either side.
19:29He had 14 and a half points per game.
19:32That was still, uh, I believe borderline top 12 among wide receivers last year.
19:36So you look at him now as in, you know, valued as like the wide receiver, 22, 23, 24.
19:42Uh, it just seems like a clear discount off of what he's shown us.
19:46The wide receiver competition for Baltimore is totally uninspiring.
19:49They let likely go. They brought in Jacoby lane.
19:52Who's like a deep threat. His profile wasn't particularly interested in.
19:55And then Elijah Surratt, who, you know, productive college player, not the most athletic goes on day three.
20:00I don't find either of those guys to be particularly threatening to Zay flowers role in the offense.
20:06They bring in Declan Doyle, the offensive coordinator who worked under Ben Johnson.
20:10Um, it's just a lot of things here that I really like.
20:13He still has Lamar Jackson as his quarterback. So just looking across it at his peripherals, his age, the part of his
20:20career that he's entering this year, four year five, where these guys can typically hit their peak production.
20:25I think everything kind of aligns for Zay flowers to break out in a big way.
20:30Yeah. I mean, I massively agree. I I've, I've been pretty pro Zay at almost every stage of his career.
20:36Uh, certainly now he looks like a player who's coming into his own at his first season up over 2.5 yards per outrun last year.
20:44Um, you mentioned the week 18 stuff. That's some of the silliest stuff I've seen.
20:48I don't understand that at all. Um, I mean, I've, I've become more and more in the habit of even not that
20:55it applies to Zay flowers, but, um, I've become more and more in the habit of including post-season games in kind of
21:02like the, any of the research that I'm doing.
21:04Cause it's, it's only higher stakes games, like us arbitrarily deciding which games count for fantasy and which don't seem odd.
21:11I would totally get the discounting it more if it was like a game of backups played against backups, but that was
21:17effectively a pre playoff playoff game, not to trigger Tom who I'm sure remembers it very closely, but like both of those
21:24teams were giving it 110% obviously to win that game.
21:27Um, yeah, I think really, you know, you look at Zay flowers and I think it's really the only thing that he's missing is routes.
21:34He ran up near 600 routes in his rookie season, become a better player since that time.
21:39He hasn't cracked 500 routes since, um, the Ravens are really weird.
21:43They have a lot of seasons where they have under 500 drop backs and then they intersperse like one of every three
21:50years, they have up over 600 drop backs. Um, some of that is like a little bit random.
21:55Um, and sometimes it's related to how the defense performs.
21:58Sometimes it's just game script stuff. It's what is a Lamar's health?
22:02A lot of the time as well. Of course, um, I think a median expectation should be that we see something a
22:08little bit in between how extremely run heavy they were last year and how past heavy they've been on occasion.
22:14So you get those routes up, you get a new OC that targets him in the end zone.
22:20Everything else that is in the peripheral profile screams wide receiver one.
22:23Um, so I'm, I'm super in on Zay. I, he was the guy that I, I just recently did my re-rank on and moved him up.
22:31Um, you know, not for any news or anything that happened, but just from like, you know, stepping back, you're not in
22:38the middle of it, start evaluating the profile from a, uh, a longer view.
22:42And I think he's, he's a guy that you definitely want to be targeting.
22:46Yeah. I've had to progressively move him up. He's inside my top four rounds now for startups.
22:51Um, my wide receiver 20. And so that, that puts him pretty, pretty well ahead of where the consensus has him again.
22:58I, you know, you look at someone like a lad McConkie.
23:01I mean, in a lot of ways we're hoping lad McConkie can put on, on paper, what Zay flowers has already put on paper the last two years.
23:10Like it's not even remotely close with the peripherals are.
23:13Now you look at that passing game, Mike McDaniel, Justin Herbert.
23:16I think you can see what this, you know, the Ravens are not going to throw for 5,000 yards.
23:22The chargers could do that. So I kind of understand that part of it, but the idea that there would be any
23:28kind of meaningful gap between these players when their seasonal cost is basically identical, their ages are not that different.
23:35They're one year apart. Uh, and again, the, what Zay has done efficiency wise, one more stat I throw out there, which
23:41is I'm pulling this completely from Jacob Gibbs. Cause he said this on my, uh, on my show on my channel.
23:47And I just love this. So he was, he was looking at some smaller wide receivers that you could compare favorably to
23:54Zay flowers, both in terms of their stature and also their first few years in the league.
23:59And one of those names was Antonio Brown, which obviously you throw those out.
24:03You don't want to throw that name out willy nilly, but similar size profiles, um, similar types of like early career production efficiency.
24:10The other one was Tyler Lockett. And he noted that Zay flowers over his first three seasons has a 17% red zone
24:17target share over the first three seasons. Antonio Brown had a 12% red zone target share.
24:22Tyler Lockett was at 8%, but both of those guys saw huge spikes in their red zone target shares from years four to six.
24:29Antonio Brown went to 24% and then 36%. Over the next couple of years, Tyler Lockett spiked up to, uh, 28% in his fifth year.
24:37And he had 28 touchdowns from years four to six.
24:40So you look at flowers, like the main thing you could knock him for is like, Hey, this guy doesn't score touchdowns.
24:46He's too small. He's not going to get the targets down there.
24:50I mean, first of all, right now, like all they have is extremely washed Mark Andrews to throw to in that area of the field.
24:57So I think just by virtue of personnel, like we could definitely see some more stuff schemed up, but, uh, yeah, I
25:04think you could also just see a player that continues to improve as a better feel for man coverage, more of the
25:11subtlety, get it, you know, getting in sync with Lamar.
25:14You don't have to be a big body to score touchdowns.
25:17You can do it with finesse, right? You can do it with, with skill.
25:21So I think that's another thing is let's not get too locked in to what the, the touchdown production has been to this point.
25:28I just want to throw, I just want to throw in at, since I've become known as like the Latin McConkie guy,
25:35I have Zay flowers, one spot ahead of Vlad McConkie and in my dynasty rankings as well, just to add more support to what these guys are saying.
25:43I have them a lot more than one. I will say there was a time this off season, he could be your
25:50third, fourth drafted wide receiver, depending on how you built that does seem to be the way of the past.
25:56It looks like you, you kind of have to reach around ahead before somebody gets and snipes them.
26:01The biggest improvements they flowers could make is something I've talked about a lot is turning up field.
26:07I mean, how many times would we watch him catch the ball and he'd run backwards and then run sideways and go nowhere.
26:14He started turning up field immediately. And we saw a massive difference between contract years, a healthy prove it Lamar Jackson.
26:20I don't think there's any way you go wrong here.
26:23Even if he doesn't end up in Baltimore at the end of the day, which would make me entirely sad, he's going
26:30to get fat paid and he is going to go somewhere that plans to utilize him no matter where he goes.
26:36He's truly an underrated weapon. So I love this call.
26:39Not just because I'm a Ravens fan. Keep that in mind.
26:42Number four, Kyler Murray, who has been like a buy for years across the dynasty market, finally gets to a new place
26:49with one of the best wide receivers. The NFL is seen with quarterback competition.
26:53Well, supposed quarterback competition that is, is to be believed that is a tight race to the end.
26:59Yeah. Now nobody, nobody wants to draft or trade for Kyler Murray.
27:02They're all getting off of Kyler Murray when he's the cheapest Paul, you're going against the grain.
27:07Why? Yeah. I mean, we look at what Kyler Murray has put on paper or well in the box score, um, pretty much every year of his career.
27:16And then you look at what every KOC quarterback other than JJ McCarthy and Max Brose are put on, on the box
27:22score every, uh, every year he's been a coach.
27:25And it just, it just seems like too easy, like too easy where I'm like suspicious.
27:30So like what, what is going on here? Um, to me, this feels like if, if Kevin O'Connell came out tomorrow and
27:37just said, Hey, there's no quarterback competition. Like Kyler Murray is just going to be the starter.
27:42I feel like there would be a meaningful shift in Kyler Murray's dynasty price tag, but that's like already where I am.
27:48Like, I don't, I just personally don't believe that there's a quarterback competition.
27:52And I do think the, the consensus doesn't seem that confident that Kyler Murray is the quarterback.
27:57I just don't know how you can really watch what JJ McCarthy did last year and think that this is any kind
28:04of a competition and maybe that'll come back to bite me, but I'm just looking at every year of Kyler Murray's career, right?
28:11He only scored 16.4 points per game last season, but it was five games.
28:15One of those was a partial game. I think, um, before that 18.4, 18.9, 19, 22, 24 points per game.
28:21He's always been at least like a low end QB one.
28:24He's earlier in his career flashed a higher ceiling than that.
28:28He's had at least 30 rushing yards per game every single year of his career, which is a nice little floor razor
28:34playing this year with the best wide receiver duo.
28:37I think he's ever been with pretty easily best coach he's ever played with.
28:41Um, another nice little wrinkle of the Kevin O'Connell offense always has a high pass rate inside the 10 yard line.
28:48Maybe that changes with more of a mobile quarterback, but I mean, he maintained that even with JJ McCarthy, who couldn't, could
28:54not succeed in that type of, uh, of environment, but he didn't like, Hey, let's go more run heavy to protect the quarterback.
29:01That just seems like a very strong tendency that he's had no matter what quarterback.
29:06So I think that can be a nice little ceiling razor as well.
29:10So you're getting him at QB 22 prices in startups, QB 24 on keep trick cut guy who's basically never finished outside
29:16of the top 12, probably in the best season of his career.
29:20Um, obviously age, not a factor with him, maybe job security, but yeah, at the price that he's going where he's valued
29:26around Daniel Jones, who's coming off an Achilles, he's valued around Matthew Stafford, who could have one year left in his career.
29:33I think he's just one of the best targets to go for us.
29:37Like your QB two option where you don't have to break the bank.
29:41You don't have to pass on premium assets in startups to lock up a very reasonable floor at quarterback.
29:47I really like it. And I resonate with this one, especially, uh, when it comes to just finding value in terms of
29:53later round quarterbacks or yeah, in dynasty, super flex your QB twos, what we've seen time and time again is two things.
30:00One, the guys that run tend to vastly outperform their costs and their ADPs and to the guys that play in these
30:07Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay coaching tree offenses tend to vastly outperform their ADPs.
30:11Kyler checks both of those boxes. Uh, I agree, Paul, in the sense that if there was, yeah, if, if KOC just
30:17came out and said, yeah, Kyler's a starter, there's no competition.
30:21I agree. His ADP would increase. I guess maybe my only light pushback is it, and this has just been experience in my own leagues.
30:28I think most people that have Kyler are already there.
30:31I think it might be a little bit of a difference between, uh, like the overall aggregate, like startup costs or values versus people that already have him.
30:40I think almost just completely are in on, yeah, he's going to be the starter this year and projects for 15 plus games.
30:47Uh, so that it might be more of like a trade versus startup value thing, but yeah, like in spirit, I'm a hundred percent with you.
30:54I think everyone is there. I mean, I'm always hesitant to say things are priced in because things are never priced in.
31:01I, I think the fear about Kyler is not, he's not going to win the camp competition to JJ McCarthy.
31:07I think the fear is he's playing on, on a zero security contract.
31:11And if he fails this year, it might just be over.
31:14So I think people look at him, um, compared to other options and see substantially more risk for 2027 and beyond.
31:21I don't think that anybody thinks that there's any chance that JJ McCarthy is starting in week one.
31:26Like, I mean, you look at like his seasonal ADP is best ball ADP.
31:30Like, you know, these are the people that are most focused on 2026 drafts right now that are drafting every day responsibly to information.
31:37And like, I don't think that anyone's drafting on underdog, for instance, in a way that suggests it's a quarterback competition.
31:44Like he's going at like 110 and JJ is 0% drafted.
31:47Right. Whereas you look at like, you know, the Chador Watson or the Falcons guys that go at the end of the drafts.
31:54Um, now I'm, you know, like I said, nothing is ever priced in.
31:58That's especially the case on underdog. So I, I suspect it's going to be one of those silly things where like, everyone
32:05seems to be drafting as though Kyler has already won the job, but when he officially wins the job is ADP will still move up around.
32:12I think it's, to me, the bigger concern is like the, the longer term stuff.
32:17Like what, because where, where would you have them?
32:20Like we're going to rank quarterbacks on the live show, or I guess I shouldn't say we're going to, we just did
32:26rank quarterbacks on the live show, which you're hearing after this pre-recorded show.
32:30And like, I think he's going to come in kind of in the mid QB two range.
32:35Like I'm curious where you have them in like some veterans that you prefer Kyler over that are maybe like a little
32:42safer, but that you think might score fewer fantasy points.
32:45Are we talking where, where would I rank him for this season or where would I rank him?
32:50Well, how about this? I'll just say, I don't even have to spoil because the episodes already happened.
32:56We have them in dynasty, like on our cumulative rankings.
32:59Like we have them right behind golf, Baker, Cam Ward, ahead of shock, Stroud, Malik Willis, Daniel Jones.
33:04Where, where do you land compared to where we have him?
33:07That's like exactly like, that's like exactly where I have him.
33:11I have him. So I have Baker and then I have Ward.
33:14I do have shock right in front of him.
33:17And I was, as I was typing up notes for this, I was like, I need to, I have check ahead of him personally.
33:24Yeah. I was, I was leaning towards flipping them and I probably will, but like same tier Baker shock ward Kyler.
33:31And then a little further down, I have Darnold Stroud and then a tear break to Jones Stafford.
33:36Yeah. Bryce Willis. So yeah, it's not that the market is like way far off in terms of his positional value.
33:42I just find that he falls into like a nice sweet spot of where you can get him, especially in startups.
33:49Maybe it's not exactly this clean in a managed league trading quarterbacks is never clean in, uh, in established leagues, but where
33:55you can acquire him, um, you know, versus what I think he'll do for you this year.
34:00You you're definitely right. You know, I was, I was framing it wrong as far as the, it's not that the quarterback competition is the issue.
34:08It's the security. And I am curious what you think, like, what do you think are the odds that Kyler Murray does
34:15fail in this system or that he's not a starting quarterback in 2027?
34:19I guess that would be my question because I just really struggle with this setup that he's in to see him not
34:25successfully starting like the whole year as an average quarterback, but it might not happen.
34:30I think his, I'd give him like, I'd give him like, I mean, succeeding is like a hard bar to say.
34:36I guess, I guess what I'll say for succeeding is, is what?
34:40Like did the Vikings wish to bring him back to be their starter?
34:44Yeah. Or just that he doesn't get benched, I guess would be, would probably be a good.
34:49Yeah. I don't know if, I mean, I could see, I feel like they're so done with JJ.
34:54I don't know if he'd even, if he did get benched and even know if they'd play JJ, but, um, they have Wentz kicking around still.
35:02So that's true. Um, I, I feel like he's probably like 70 to 75% to be good enough to, to be the
35:09Vikings or, or at least have the Vikings interested in acquiring his services next year, notably as a no tag clause in his contract.
35:16So they don't just get to have them for next year.
35:19He could sign somewhere else too, even if the Vikings want him back.
35:23Um, I think like I would boost him up considerably if I knew he was going to be on the Vikings for multiple years.
35:30I think that the most likely scenario is he plays well in the Vikings and they keep him and that would be great.
35:37And I think he'd then be a very big value.
35:40I think there's, there's like maybe that's like maybe slightly over 50, maybe then it's like a 20% chance that he does
35:47play well in the Vikings, but then goes elsewhere.
35:50And I'm probably less confident in him in other places.
35:53Uh, and then there's like a, that like 20, 25% chance ish that he like fully belly flops.
35:58But I mostly agree with you that he would have to be quite bad to like face plant in this spot.
36:05Yeah. And I think if you get that scenario where he plays well and then goes somewhere else, I don't know that
36:11the market's going to like immediately panic. Like you could sell, you could probably sell it somewhere else.
36:17Yeah. So that's where I feel like you can go and get him.
36:20I feel like it's relatively low risk. Like when you look at the quarterbacks around him, you know, what is the percent
36:27chance Daniel Jones is just never good again. Right.
36:30Like coming off of an Achilles or like the odds that CJ Stroud ever scores 15 points per game in a season.
36:36Like, I don't know. Um, like Tyler Shuck. I mean, are we more than 75% sure he's going to be the quarterback
36:43the saints want going into next year? You know, probably, you know, probably not.
36:47Um, I am. He could, he could be, and that would be my contention with Jacob.
36:52Yeah. Is it, I am. That's, I am. I'm way more confident Tyler Shuck is the quarterback in 2027 and Kyler.
36:58I like a lot more. That's fair. They're, they're basically the same age though.
37:03Right. So, I mean, it's, they are about the same age.
37:06I think that the saints are more invested in shock than the Vikings are.
37:10And I think shock is better. What? That could be true.
37:13I'm not anti, I'm definitely not anti shock. I have them all very close together.
37:18And I think that environment is amazing too. Like, I don't think shock has to be that great to succeed with Kellen
37:25Moore, Tyson, Alave in his own right. Yeah, for sure.
37:28Yeah. No, this, I do not want to turn this into like, it has to be one or the other.
37:34That I'm scared of is cam ward. Honestly, like cam ward is the one that kind of freaks me out in that
37:40group, but I recognize his upside as the younger guy.
37:43And if we'll never, whatever freaks me out on field.
37:46I think he's long jet. There's like, there's a degree to which the, the NFL media, the non-fantasy side of NFL media
37:53is so, so, so confident in cam ward that I'm, I'm willing to trust them a bit with it on the longevity aspect.
38:00Like, I just think that they view him in a very different light than we do.
38:05And I think that either they're right, um, or they're not, but I think that they, I think that the NFL will
38:11give him a couple more years before they admit that they're not.
38:15Yeah. I'll say this about, I'll say this about Kyler.
38:18It's really going to come down. His security is just going to come down to how well the Vikings do.
38:24If the Vikings are drafting high enough to get one of the quarterbacks in this 2027 draft class, I don't think they
38:31pass up on it for another veteran type quarterback on top of that.
38:34I think we need to see, you talked about the passing in the red zone.
38:39I think that's good for Kyler Murray. If he gets back to 2020 where his scramble rate in the red zone was
38:46so incredibly high, it dipped a little in 2021 where he only rushed for five touchdowns, but that's kind of his thing.
38:52And he needs to get back to it. A lot of reports and rumors about him just not wanting to run as
38:59much as he did when he's young. I got news for you.
39:02That's your, that's your bank roll. That's what's going to get it there for you.
39:07So a lot of discussions about how KOC operates over the middle of the field and can Kyler operate over the middle of the field?
39:14How does he adjust the offense going to be a lot easier if Kyler Murray decides to use his legs the way
39:21that he did in his big seasons in 2020, 2019.
39:24And, and recently, even in 2024, we had 78 attempts.
39:27It was up over 500 rushing yards. That's what he needs to do.
39:31I think he can do it. I think the price is fine.
39:35And like you guys talked about, I think he's a starting NFL quarterback beyond this year, unless he fails in a, in a catastrophic manner.
39:42Uh, so this is a, this is a, an approved player from, the gross QB guy.
39:47I am, I'm locked into quite a bit of Kyler Murray myself.
39:51Last player currently unsigned. You're getting ahead. You're getting ahead of the curve because the moment that news comes across the ticker,
39:57uh, he's going to go up on trade blocks in every league that you could possibly find Stefan digs, not signed lots
40:04of reports back and forth about where he could go.
40:07Obviously the commander is now in play now that the Brandon I you stuff is getting weirder.
40:12Uh, so he's been put in play there, Paul, not only do you have him as a buy, you have to have
40:19a spot in mind, I would imagine. So where do you see the best fit?
40:23And is that solely the reason you're buying? Well, the beautiful thing about buying Stefan digs is that he could sign for
40:30literally any team and he would be a discount compared to how he's being valued right now.
40:35He is being valued as if he just isn't a player in the NFL anymore.
40:39Um, yeah, I think the commanders or maybe the chiefs would be among the best spots.
40:44Um, you know, we could dream on other spots like the Raiders, I think would be a great spot.
40:50They've kind of expressed like they're not interested, but you know, maybe they changed their mind after they watch a couple more jail and nailer practices.
40:58I don't know. But the thing about Stefan digs, right, coming off of a mid season ACL tear off of the Houston Texans, he signs with the Patriots.
41:06So switching teams towards ACL over age 30 still comes back to the Patriots and then runs only 65% of the routes last year.
41:13And still managed to score as the wide receiver 25 in points per game.
41:18He had over 12 points per game. Now that's not going to win you a league, but he had 25% targets per
41:24outrun over 2.5 yards per outrun in this sort of not full-time, you know, maybe a little bit better than part-time most time role.
41:31Uh, he had over a hundred. He had exactly a hundred targets.
41:35He had just over a thousand receiving yards. And I think I've drafted him in just about every single startup I've done this off season.
41:43I've gotten him thrown into trades because he is valued outside the top 250 players on keep trade cut.
41:48He's valued just outside the top 200 in startup ADP.
41:51Again, he's being valued as if he's a complete non-entity when I just don't think that's the right read on the situation.
41:58This is not a guy that looked washed to me at all last year.
42:02Um, he does look like a guy who really enjoys having and spending lots of money.
42:07And so, you know, I, this strikes me as a situation where this is a player who's a long-time veteran doesn't want
42:14to participate in training camp, doesn't want to go to practices.
42:17He wants to go hang out on boats all summer, and then he wants to show up and get his paycheck.
42:23I just, I would be absolutely floored if Stefan Diggs does not play NFL football this year.
42:28And that's the only way that this price makes any sense.
42:32So, you know, a guy that is next to, um, Kate Otten in, in startups, you know, next to Drew Allar next
42:38to Jacoby Lane, Pat Fryermuth, like this, he just has potential to be so much more impactful in any type of team
42:45build, any team situation than those guys that are practically waiver wire fodder.
42:49So he just seems like such a no brainer.
42:52Yeah, I'm going to massively agree with Paul here.
42:54Uh, all of my like tea leaf reading, which, which is ultimately like we're, we're all listening to and reading the blurbs
43:01of the same handful of insiders that maybe know things about these, but yeah, my overwhelming, uh, impression is that teams are out on Brandon.
43:08Iuke, but that some teams are in on Stefan Diggs.
43:11I agree. It's very likely he's going to play NFL football this year.
43:15And what we saw from him last year was pretty impressive, uh, from an efficiency standpoint.
43:20Uh, he was one of the top eight receivers in first downs per outrun last year.
43:25Uh, that is a stat that has been very good at spotting future league winners.
43:30It's more stable than yards per outrun from season to season.
43:33Uh, guys don't have to have as big of like an increase in it to kind of hit like an apex outcome league winning season.
43:40It's just a great pre indicator. So he was amazing in first downs per outrun as Paul said, coming off an ACL
43:47in a part-time role, uh, in his handful of games above a 70% route share, he was averaging 17.6 fantasy points per
43:54game, like wide receiver, one level production. Of course, there's not like a guarantee that, Oh, he'll just come back and be a full-time player this year.
44:02Uh, but that that's at least in the range of outcomes.
44:05And if that's even a five to a 10% chance, uh, yeah, then I, I want digs on all of my teams
44:12at the prices that he's currently going in all formats.
44:15So yeah, this is a great call out. I suspect that this will become a much more popular take a week or
44:21two or three from now when digs does sign.
44:24Uh, but yeah, you guys are getting tomorrow's newspaper here is how I'm looking at it.
44:29Yeah. I'm looking at the screen. Tom's pulled up with recent trades.
44:32Um, I see three different deals here where he was traded for a 20, 27 fourth round pick.
44:38I just like to be on record. I would trade every single 20, 27 fourth round pick I have across my entire dynasty portfolio to have on it.
44:46I would, I would make that trade in every single league.
44:50I just see no, I see absolutely no reason to not do that.
44:54I love being able to say like, you know, the goal in dynasty is still to win.
44:59You know, you have to have players that score points to it.
45:02There's no better way to do that than getting them for near free.
45:06Even if you just want to play value games, if you trade a fourth for him today, I promise you, you will
45:13be able to trade him for at worst, a third round pick, probably more than that at some point within the next two months.
45:20So even if you don't have any intention of starting him, you don't think he's good anymore.
45:25He's going to be worth more than he is right now.
45:28Like just almost guaranteed unless there's some sort of additional scandal that comes out.
45:33And I think that's another part of why his value was low is there was this like legal thing that was hanging over his head.
45:40That's gone. Like it's, it's been waved away. Like it's not, it's not a thing anymore.
45:45So yeah, I just think it's a lot of like market lag and people not really thinking the situation through and just seeing, Oh, he's a free agent.
45:53Like it's the middle of July. I guess this guy's not going to play anymore.
45:58Yeah. I'm all aboard with you on this one.
46:01I think that's some of my favorite buys in dynasty are players like this, who I think do actually still have a
46:07chance at being startable over replacement, but you're paying for basically nothing except for the, the minimum expectation of production, you know,
46:14maybe in the early season and everything else is free.
46:17So all in on that. Um, I, I see those, those multiple straight up for a fourth type trades, and that's just, that's just money in your pocket.
46:25So definitely on digs. Yeah. It's just, we're at a point in the year.
46:30We're so far removed from watching people actually play football that these guys just become names on a spreadsheet.
46:35But when week one rolls around and Stefan digs is out there running 80% of the routes, you're going to be very happy.
46:42You took Paul's advice here and just went and shipped your fourth rounders for digs before he signs.
46:48Even if you are a trade to flip later type of dynasty player, that's five players.
46:52Paul Patterson is kind enough to tip us out on right now in dynasty.
46:57You can be going and making moves for now go and check it out.
47:01Stay in contact with your league. Most importantly, you need to head over to the pure potential YouTube channel, become a member in the pure potential discord.
47:09I hang out in there often. It's a wonderful community.
47:12Paul does incredible work on a consistent basis. It's high class, top tier type content, the type of things that you need
47:19to make yourself a better dynasty player. That link is going to be in the description.
47:23So feel free to hit like hit subscribe, and then immediately head over, click that link, watch some videos, great advice, fun
47:30guests, including a few of our own. Paul, thank you for joining us today.
47:34It's always a pleasure when you stop by here at the Dynasty Points podcast.
47:39We will see you guys on next week's episode.
47:41Again, if you missed it, go check out the live, see how these guys did on five or five.
47:47We got to get Paul in there to see how he does in this insane fantasy football NFL trivia contest.
47:53We'll see you guys next time. Remember that clear eyes and full hearts can never lose that your best days are always spent tilting.
48:00We'll see you guys next time.
