Footballguys on Puka Nacua
From the article
For Nacua, that would put a reasonable Week 4 expectation around 12-14 fantasy points, rather than the 20-point-per-game ceiling we've grown accustomed to. This data also aligns with the recent reporting from NFL insider Tom Pelissero, who said Nacua may be on a 'stricter snap count than usual.' Regardless, I'm starting Nacua in every format.
STACKED’s take
Nacua returns from groin injury; expect 12-14 points Week 4, then normal production.
Puka Nacua is off the injury report and will play in Week 4 after a two-week absence from a groin injury. Historically, wide receivers returning from groin strains show moderate decline in fantasy production, with roughly 25% of players performing outside normal range of variance. For Nacua, a reasonable Week 4 expectation is around 12-14 fantasy points rather than his typical 20-point-per-game ceiling. He may be on a stricter snap count than usual. However, the decline tends to be short-lived, and data does not suggest significant long-term impact on fantasy production beyond the first game back. The source states: 'Regardless, I'm starting Nacua in every format. You don't bench your first-round pick, especially if you're 0-3, because he's unavailable.'
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