NegativeProjectionThu, June 18, 2026Listen 0:43 – 0:44
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Matthew Stafford fantasy football insight from The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

Matthew StaffordQBLAR

Stafford's 17.7% touchdown rate is concerning because 16 QBs since 2014 with prior-season TD rates above 7% underperformed expectations by 1.7 PPR points per game the following year. The analyst expects Stafford to be drafted as a fringe top-10 QB in home leagues despite this regression pattern, making him a fade.

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Source transcript excerpt
Matthew Stafford at a 17.7% touchdown rate... 16 quarterbacks since 2014 with a touchdown rate in their previous season above 7%... They've underperformed versus expectation by 1.7 points per game... I would almost guarantee you that when you do your home league drafts... this August Stafford is going to be a fringe top 10 guy, if not a top 10 guy. And that's when you know that you should probably be avoiding him.
Common questions

Matthew Stafford fantasy football FAQ

What did The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast say about Matthew Stafford?
Stafford's 17.7% touchdown rate is concerning because 16 QBs since 2014 with prior-season TD rates above 7% underperformed expectations by 1.7 PPR points per game the following year. The analyst expects Stafford to be drafted as a fringe top-10 QB in home leagues despite this regression pattern, making him a fade.
Is this good or bad for Matthew Stafford's fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Matthew Stafford (QB LAR).
Where can I see Matthew Stafford's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Matthew Stafford's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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