RotoWire NFL Articles on Isaiah Likely

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A switch from Winston to McCarthy doesn't seem like great news for fantasy, especially for Likely, who doesn't have a pre-2026 track record of standout target rates. Obviously he's in a very different situation than in Baltimore, but it did seem like Winston's laser focus on his top targets was helping Likely's fantasy production.
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Likely's volume at risk with McCarthy replacing Winston; may spread targets more

Likely gobbled up a ton of volume (11 targets, 126 yards, 30% target share, 80% route share), but a switch from Winston to McCarthy doesn't seem like great news for fantasy; Likely doesn't have a pre-2026 track record of standout target rates, and while he's in a very different situation than in Baltimore, it did seem like Winston's laser focus on his top targets was helping Likely's fantasy production. McCarthy may prove better or worse than Winston, but he'll likely have a higher percentage of dropbacks turn into sacks/scrambles, and it's also possible (though not guaranteed) that McCarthy spreads the ball around a bit more.

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