From the episode
Chase Brown is next for you... he's a positive regression candidate, but I don't love the matchup... he has a target share of about 10.7%... that was around 16% last year... that would equal about 35 fewer targets on the year.
STACKED’s take
NeutralProjection
Brown's target share down 5.3%; tough Jaguars D but strong offense.
Chase Brown is the last A-tier running back and a positive regression candidate, but the Jacksonville matchup is difficult. His target share has dropped to 10.7% (15th among RBs) from around 16% last year, which would equate to roughly 35 fewer targets for the season—a notable decline. The Jaguars' defensive line is elite (third-best against RBs last season, averaging 58 rushing yards per game allowed this season, fourth-best). However, the Bengals are projected for 27 points (fourth-most), so the source is 'riding the environment' despite disliking the matchup.
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