Yahoo Sports NFL on Derrick Henry

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Henry averages 4.5 yards per carry and is stuffed on 16.0% of rushes with Jackson on the field this season, compared to 3.5 yards per carry and a 22.9% stuff rate without Jackson... Over the past three weeks, a span in which Jackson played 1 offensive snap, Henry was hit behind the line of scrimmage at the league's highest rate (60.0%).
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STACKED’s take

Negative signalMatchup

Henry's efficiency craters without Jackson; expect stuffing and sub-50 yards vs. Jaguars.

Henry has rushed for the most yards (1,564) and touchdowns (16) of any NFL player against Jacksonville historically, with six career 120+ yard games against the Jaguars. However, this Week 9 matchup presents a significant downside: Lamar Jackson's absence dramatically reduces Henry's efficiency. With Jackson on field this season, Henry averages 4.5 yards per carry with a 16.0% stuff rate; without Jackson, he drops to 3.5 yards per carry with a 22.9% stuff rate. Over the past three weeks when Jackson played only 1 snap, Henry was hit behind the line at the league's highest rate (60.0%), averaging a league-worst 0.8 yards per carry on such plays versus 6.2 yards when not contacted in backfield. The source predicts Henry gets stuffed repeatedly and finishes with under 50 yards against Jacksonville's defensive game plan focused on containing him.

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