Footballguys on Tucker Kraft
From the article
Tucker Kraft is an industry darling, and I certainly understand the upside case. But he's coming off a major injury, and we're basing his TE5 ranking on an 8-game sample size last year. The problem is that he caught six touchdowns in an eight-game span, and touchdown volatility suggests regression.
STACKED’s take
Wood's TE8 rank vs. consensus TE5; injury recovery and low target ceiling concern.
Jason Wood ranks Kraft as TE8 versus consensus TE5 (ADP 5), placing him 3 ranks below market expectation. Wood cautions that Kraft is an industry darling but is coming off a major injury and his TE5 ranking is based on an 8-game sample size. Kraft caught six touchdowns in that eight-game span, and touchdown volatility suggests regression. He had just 70 targets in 2024 in a 17-game season (a career high), and the Packers don't throw a lot with plenty of other viable targets. Wood argues this doesn't justify tiering Kraft with Pitts, Fannin, Warren, and Loveland, who all have paths to 100+ targets. Wood has low odds of adjusting even if Kraft's injury concerns clear in camp, citing the Packers' low passing volumes and breadth of target alternatives.
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