From the video
Mike Evans is set to say like basically be the same target earner he's been for the Bucks for the past two seasons... he's earned a target on 28% of his routes back-to-back years. That's top 12 back-to-back years. Right now on Sleeper, Mike Evans is going in like the middle of the fifth round... sharper formats like FFPC and NFFC, he's going solidly in that middle of the fourth round, and I expect that price to start coming up closer to the third and maybe the three-four turn in some sharper leagues. I have Mike Evans, I have Nico Collins, I have Tee Higgins all in a similar movement style, and they all have hamstring issues. Long strides... I truly coin flip 50/50, but the upside, the target share upside, the red zone upside... I'm willing to bet on Mike Evans.
STACKED’s take
Evans top-12 target earner at mid-fourth round value; 50/50 hamstring risk.
Evans is projected to earn targets at a 28% rate on his routes for the second consecutive year, placing him in the top 12 for target earning with strong separation metrics that have not declined. He is set to be basically the same target earner he has been for the Buccaneers for the past two seasons. Evans is going in the middle of the fifth round on Sleeper and solidly in the middle of the fourth round in sharper formats (FFPC, NFFC); the source expects his ADP to rise toward the third-round turn in sharper leagues given his improved target outlook. At current cost, the source is more willing to bet on Evans than Davante Adams despite recurring hamstring injury risk. Evans has suffered recurring hamstring injuries over the past two years, plus a hard-luck collarbone injury and concussion last season; as a long strider with multiple hamstring recurrences, Evans carries scar tissue that increases injury risk. The injury outlook is a true coin flip (50/50) for whether he avoids hamstring recurrence this season, though he could play 17 games healthy or deal with hamstring issues at some point. The source is willing to bet on Evans given the target share upside and red zone upside.
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