Fantasy Points Fantasy Football artwork

Fantasy Points Fantasy Football on Matthew Stafford

VideoJJ Zachariason's Fantasy Football Strategy and Late Round QB Picks (My Guys)
Watch on YouTube

From the video

Video: JJ Zachariason's Fantasy Football Strategy and Late Round QB Picks (My Guys)
you're going to get the random pocket passer like Matthew Stafford last year, where you get a a relatively unpredictable touchdown rate outlier season... Matthew Stafford certainly has a touchdown rate at over 7% last season that will regress... don't draft him there. There's no reason to draft him there
Mentioned at 5:38 – 10:20

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

7% TD rate will regress; expect QB8-12 finish, avoid at current ADP.

Matthew Stafford exemplifies the unpredictable pocket passer archetype and serves as a cautionary tale on TD rate regression. He had a touchdown rate over 7% last season that will regress; JJ Zachariason expects him to finish QB8-12 in home leagues and advises against drafting him at his current ADP due to regression risk. Stafford last year delivered an outlier TD rate that was relatively unpredictable, and similar random pocket passers will likely emerge this season (1-2 expected) but are harder to identify in advance. The market has become sharper on this fade than it was five years ago.

Matthew Stafford headshotMatthew StaffordQB · LARPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight

More on Matthew Stafford and from Fantasy Points Fantasy Football