NegativeBustSun, July 19, 2026
Lawrence's 9 rushing TDs likely regress; only 8 QBs since 2000 have matched that.
Trevor LawrenceQBJAX
Lawrence's nine rushing TDs in 2025 more than doubled his combined output from the previous two seasons. SI.com's Michael Fabiano and Footballguys' Jason Wood both flag regression risk: only eight QBs since 2000 have rushed for 9+ TDs in a season (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Kyler Murray, Mike Vick, Daunte Culpepper), making Lawrence an outlier. Wood recommends cutting rushing TD projections in half as a baseline, though Lawrence should remain a high-volume passer and rusher given his top-10 finishes in both attempts over four full seasons.
View Trevor Lawrence 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insightsSource transcript excerpt
Lawrence's nine rushing scores more than doubled his combined output the previous two seasons. As SI.com's Michael Fabiano pointed out last week, when you look at the list of quarterbacks who have rushed for at least nine touchdowns in a season since 2000, of which there are only eight (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Kyler Murray, Mike Vick, Daunte Culpepper), Lawrence looks like an outlier.
Common questions
Trevor Lawrence fantasy football FAQ
- What did Footballguys say about Trevor Lawrence?
- Lawrence's nine rushing TDs in 2025 more than doubled his combined output from the previous two seasons. SI.com's Michael Fabiano and Footballguys' Jason Wood both flag regression risk: only eight QBs since 2000 have rushed for 9+ TDs in a season (Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Cam Newton, Kyler Murray, Mike Vick, Daunte Culpepper), making Lawrence an outlier. Wood recommends cutting rushing TD projections in half as a baseline, though Lawrence should remain a high-volume passer and rusher given his top-10 finishes in both attempts over four full seasons.
- Is this good or bad for Trevor Lawrence's fantasy football value?
- STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Trevor Lawrence (QB JAX). Lawrence's 9 rushing TDs likely regress; only 8 QBs since 2000 have matched that.
- Where can I see Trevor Lawrence's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
- Trevor Lawrence's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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