Elite rusher at 32 with declining targets; ranked 5th despite monster production.

Derrick Henry ranks 5th among round-two running backs (11th overall) despite elite rushing production: eight consecutive seasons of at least 10 touchdowns, over 300 touches and at least 1,380 yards in four consecutive seasons, 1,700+ yards in the last two years, and 34 combined touchdowns over the last two years. At 32 years old, he remains a monster on the ground, but his ranking is depressed by declining receptions (28 to 19 to 15 over three consecutive full seasons), indicating the team is scaling back his passing-game usage as he ages. The source projects Henry will replicate his first 16 weeks of last season (11th in PPR points per game) before a potential spike, not a breakout; at 13 projected receptions across 17 weeks, many weeks yield zero receptions, making half-PPR scoring vulnerable without touchdowns. Historically, only two 32+ year-old RBs have produced 250+ full PPR points in NFL history. Ravens offensive coordinator Todd Monken (in place since 2023) is departing to Cleveland, replaced by young play-caller Declan Doyle, introducing offensive scheme risk. However, the source expresses confidence in Henry's age-defying production, stating: "we haven't seen it that many times that a 32-year-old has produced these numbers, but I don't want to bet against Derrick Henry, so I think ranking him how he was last year until the spiked week is the best choice here."