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Round 2 Running Back Rankings - 2026 Fantasy Football Advice

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

25 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jun 24, 2026
Published
Wed, June 24, 2026
11
Player insights
11
Players mentioned
Topics
Brock BowersCam AkersCeeDee LambChase BrownDe'Von AchaneDerrick HenryDrake LondonKeaton MitchellKenneth Walker IIIMarlon MackSaquon Barkley
Player analysis

Player insights

11

Brock Bowers

PositiveValue0:06

Named as a potential first-round pick alternative to round two running backs; source suggests Bowers could be drafted in round two as a viable option instead of waiting on round two RBs, indicating strong value proposition relative to the RB tier.

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Cam Akers

PositiveProjection24:30

Ranked #4 among round 2 running backs in the source's final tier rankings.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveValue0:06

Named as a potential first-round pick alternative to round two running backs; source suggests Lamb could be drafted in round two as a viable option instead of waiting on round two RBs, indicating strong value proposition relative to the RB tier.

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Chase Brown

NegativeProjection10:31

Ranked RB3 in round two; on a better offense (Bengals) than Kenneth Walker (Chiefs) with significantly more receiving upside—could outpace Walker by 30–35 receptions this season, making him preferable in full PPR scoring. However, in half PPR, Walker gets the edge because Chase Brown has a clear rushing ceiling: he will never be a high-volume or efficient runner, with a projected ~1,000 rushing yards and ~230 rush attempts this season. The Bengals' pass-heavy approach (Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Chase Brown all used in receiving game) limits his ground volume. If he doesn't hit for four receptions for 40 yards and a touchdown in the receiving game, his floor drops below Ken Walker's because he lacks the featured-back upside of a true centerpiece.

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De'Von Achane

NegativeBust20:22

Devon Achane is the first player added to the source's new 'shy away' list for 2026, a contrarian stance given that many analysts rank him higher or place him first on their boards. Multiple compounding risks outweigh his talent: (1) Loss of Mike McDaniel's play-calling design; (2) Miami's projected bottom-three offense with weak WR room (Malik Washington, Jaylen Tolbert, Tutu Atwell); (3) QB change from Tua to Malik Willis—a hyper-mobile QB who favors downfield passing and won't dump off at high rates, eliminating Achane's primary reception source; (4) Brutal playoff schedule (Broncos, Bears, Packers, Chargers, Bills from week 13 on) with likely tanking; (5) Ankle injury risk in late-season games where Miami will be down multiple scores and Achane benched. The source concludes: "Just too much risk for me taking Achane in round two. I will probably be a full fade this season." Ranked #7 (last) among Round 2 RBs.

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Derrick Henry

NegativeProjection16:22

Derrick Henry ranks 5th among round-two running backs (11th overall) despite elite rushing production: eight consecutive seasons of at least 10 touchdowns, over 300 touches and at least 1,380 yards in four consecutive seasons, 1,700+ yards in the last two years, and 34 combined touchdowns over the last two years. At 32 years old, he remains a monster on the ground, but his ranking is depressed by declining receptions (28 to 19 to 15 over three consecutive full seasons), indicating the team is scaling back his passing-game usage as he ages. The source projects Henry will replicate his first 16 weeks of last season (11th in PPR points per game) before a potential spike, not a breakout; at 13 projected receptions across 17 weeks, many weeks yield zero receptions, making half-PPR scoring vulnerable without touchdowns. Historically, only two 32+ year-old RBs have produced 250+ full PPR points in NFL history. Ravens offensive coordinator Todd Monken (in place since 2023) is departing to Cleveland, replaced by young play-caller Declan Doyle, introducing offensive scheme risk. However, the source expresses confidence in Henry's age-defying production, stating: "we haven't seen it that many times that a 32-year-old has produced these numbers, but I don't want to bet against Derrick Henry, so I think ranking him how he was last year until the spiked week is the best choice here."

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Drake London

PositiveValue0:06

Named as a potential first-round pick alternative to round two running backs; source suggests London could be drafted in round two as a viable option instead of waiting on round two RBs, indicating strong value proposition relative to the RB tier.

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Keaton Mitchell

NegativeDepth Chart13:33

Keaton Mitchell was brought in to be utilized consistently on early downs for the Dolphins, creating a depth-chart threat to Amari Hampton's workload. Mitchell is faster than Hampton, but Hampton is not slow (4.46 40-time at 221 lb). Camp reports in mid-to-late July and August will be critical to monitor, as Mitchell's performance or injury status could dramatically shift Hampton's value.

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Kenneth Walker III

NegativeProjection6:44

Ranked RB2 in round two; signed 3-year, $43 million deal with $28.7 million fully guaranteed, signaling heavy investment in the RB position—rare in modern NFL. Zero competition for early-down carries and goal-line touches; depth chart behind him consists only of scatbacks (Emmit Johnson, Berchard Smith, Immardi Demercado) who are receiving specialists, guaranteeing Walker a ton of carries and rushing touchdowns without QB goal-line vulturing risk. Limited receiving game usage is what prevents him from being a round-one pick; Chiefs will limit him in the receiving game. In a good year, could reach 300 rush attempts and 4–5 yards per carry, giving him rushing ceiling upside that Chase Brown lacks. Worst-case scenario he gets 15–17 carries plus screen targets and red zone usage. His role and touch volume are locked in on a good offense, providing both floor and upside.

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Marlon Mack

PositiveRole15:50

Marlon Mack will have all goal-line touches for the Dolphins. Even if he receives only 15–17 touches per week, if those touches come with 15–17 touchdowns due to the Dolphins' high-scoring offense and late-game clock-killing potential, he could accumulate 20 touches and multiple touchdowns in some weeks, making him valuable despite limited volume.

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Saquon Barkley

NegativeProjection2:15

Ranked RB1 in round two; projected for ~300 touches and double-digit touchdowns, returning first-round value despite not repeating his 2024 season (2,000+ yards, 20 TDs). The source cites Eagles' easiest schedule in weeks 1–14 (majority of season and path to playoffs) and top-three defense creating favorable game scripts; at 29 years old, no age-related decline concerns yet (RBs typically drop off after 30). Loss of A.J. Brown to New England is a concern but could paradoxically increase reliance on Barkley. Kevin Patullo's departure as offensive coordinator is the most significant positive factor; the Eagles' previous play-calling was described as "high school offense" with poor creativity, and new OC Sean Mannion has experience under Sean McVay, Kevin O'Connell, and Matt LaFleur, suggesting potential offensive improvement. Averaged 42 receptions per year over the last five years with five consecutive seasons of at least 33 receptions—many round-two RBs will project for far fewer receptions, positioning him as a more complete pass-catching back than peers.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

244
0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here, back with another video. As I've gone through drafts so far this year, biggest decision point I've been faced with so
0:06far is what are we doing with these round two running backs? Unless you're drafting Brock Bowers, Drake London, maybe CeeDee Lamb or Jefferson fall in
0:15round two. It feels like other than those players, you're going running back in the second round if you have anywhere from like a number three pick all the
0:23way through pick 12. The tough part is this whole range projects very similarly. All of them have early upside and so it's really difficult to know how
0:34exactly to rank them, but it's going to be a a decision point that, you know, 80% of you are going to be faced with
0:40and so we should figure out how we're going to rank them. So, that's what we're going to do today. I spent some
0:45time thinking about how exactly I want to have them ranked and we'll go over those rankings today. This will be for
0:51half PPR scoring. If you want to see standard, want to see full PPR, have that on the website as well, but this is
0:56for half PPR scoring. Make your adjustments from there.
0:59Um, not included in this video are of course round one running backs.
1:03I think the round one running backs are fairly locked in so you've got basically three tiers in round one. It's the Gibbs
1:09and Bijan tier. Rank that however you want. I have it Gibbs and Bijan. Then it's Jonathan Taylor and McCaffrey into like a second mini tier. I have it JT
1:18then McCaffrey and then Jente James Cook again. I have it that way. I really don't care if you want to rearrange like
1:24McCaffrey over Jonathan Taylor, Cook over Jente, but I think those three tiers are locked into round one and those are the tiers like I wouldn't put
1:32Cook over Christian McCaffrey.
1:35After that though, it gets really, really tricky. So, we'll start off with my running back seven right now and that's Saquon Barkley. I doubt a lot of
1:43you are going to expect me to have said that and given that he was an honorable mention in the running backs you regret
1:48drafting video, but that was more like a discussion point. I was kind of asking for all of your input like what do we
1:54think about Saquon Barkley this season?
1:57Um And as I broke down all of these running backs, he does stand out in my eyes. Um there are concerns, but of course there
2:05are concerns with every single running back. Uh I mean, truly every running back after Gibbs and Bijan. They're the only two running backs you have no
2:11concerns with. Um And my concerns with Saquon still remain, right? The playoff schedule is brutal. It is by far the hardest in the NFL. We of course want to
2:20make it to the fantasy playoffs. Those are the weeks that matter the most. And so if he has a brutal schedule, then
2:25that is not ideal. Uh and then also, I just don't know what's going to happen with the loss of A.J. Brown, of course
2:31going to New England. Uh is that going to impact the offense to a greater deal than a lot of people are willing to
2:37accept right now. He is such a difference-maker on offense even when he's not getting the football. He's impacting how defenses need to play, and
2:45that opens things up for the players, including Saquon Barkley. If the offense were to take a step back, which we'll get to in a second why I mean, that's
2:52probably not going to happen. But if it were to take a big step back, that would obviously be bad. Uh end of the day
2:57though, why I have him ranked here is number one, yes, the playoff schedule's hard, but in weeks 1 through 14, which is the
3:04vast majority of the season, and we're trying to get into the playoffs.
3:07Anything can happen once you make it to the fantasy playoffs. So, in helping you get there, they have the easiest schedule in the NFL weeks 1 through 14.
3:15And while the loss of Brown could have a negative impact on the offense, uh it could also cause the team to rely more
3:21on Saquon Barkley. Uh we also think they could use Tank Bigsby more this season, but we don't know. That is purely a
3:30projection on our end at this point. Um and there's no reason to believe that it's going to be some sort of massive
3:36split in a way that for, you know, some of the running backs on this list, they could be splitting part of the offense
3:41this season. Uh so, because it's more of a projection, you know, we've been wrong on that plenty of times. When you have,
3:47you know, a a supreme talent like Saquon Barkley is, typically when we say, "Oh, it could be the backup. You know, this rookie could
3:54take over. This scat back could get more touches." Usually we're wrong. And the the lead back just has a monster workload. Um I think the biggest and
4:02most significant reason though is uh Kevin Patullo's gone. And really last season uh you watch those games and you're like, "How are these skill
4:12players doing nothing? Like how are we looking at an offense of Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Saquon Barkley? Like these are
4:19stars up and down the lineup. How are we looking at this team being like three and out, three and out, three and out,
4:25three and out? Like how is that occurring?" It really was because they're running a high school offense.
4:29They were not doing anything creative.
4:31The play calling was horrible. And the hope is that will change this season because of course he is gone. Uh we
4:37don't know. So Sean Mannion's our new offensive coordinator. We don't have any sort of history of him calling plays. So we don't really know what he's going to
4:44do. The um appeal here is basically he either played or coached under Sean McVay, Kevin O'Connell, Matt LaFleur.
4:52Like a lot of these coordinators that we really respect. And so having you know played for them or coached under them,
4:59the hope is that we should be optimistic here because you know he's been in systems that have been highly successful not only in you know NFL terms but
5:07fantasy as well. We also look at Saquon Barkley he's only missed six games over the last four years. He has at least
5:121,240 yards, nine touchdowns in each year, averaged 42 receptions per year over the last five years. Um I think a lot of people view him as you
5:22know pure early down. But there's a number of running backs going in round two that are going to project for far
5:27fewer receptions than Saquon Barkley. So it's still a supreme talent on again the team with the easiest schedule in the NFL weeks 1 through 14 by a good chunk.
5:36Uh going to have receptions. Uh he's not going to have the year he had in 2024.
5:40Don't be drafting him in the early second round being like, "Ooh, cross my fingers. Maybe I'm going to get like over 2,000 yards, 20 touchdowns." That's
5:47not going to happen, but they're going to win a lot this season. Like, not only do they have the easiest schedule, they
5:52have potentially the best, but easily the top three defense in the NFL. So, that's going to lead to a lot of games
5:57where they get up, the other team can do nothing against this defense, and all of a sudden, even if Saquon's not, you know, ripping off
6:0580-yard touchdowns, if he just consistently is getting 20 touches every week, it's going to be someone that's basically returning first-round value in
6:13fantasy. Like, he's basically in line for another 300-touch season, double-digit touchdowns. Um I would say maybe this is the last season that I
6:22feel super confident that like the you know, physical aspect of Saquon Barkley, like, you know, running backs once they hit 30 years old really start to drop
6:31off. Um I would say Saquon might be one of those players who is such a physical freak that that might not happen. Uh but
6:3629 this season, uh so I'm not concerned.
6:39It really is 30, 31 where you start to get a lot more worried. So, again, I think among these round-two running
6:44backs, I mean, I've Saquon Barkley ranked first. Next up, Ken Walker. Um 3-year, $43 million deal, $28.7 million
6:55fully guaranteed. Uh whenever we see that happen, it typically is good a good thing in fantasy. It does not mean that
7:03this is one of the best running backs in the NFL, right? Just just getting, you know, one of the larger contracts in
7:08free agency doesn't automatically make you one of the best running backs. But what it does is, it says, "Okay, you are
7:15now going to a team that is investing heavily in a position that teams do not want to invest in nowadays." So, the
7:22running back position has been devalued by the NFL. Teams know they can get pretty decent production relatively cheap, so they don't want to pay running
7:29backs a lot. So, when you see someone get nearly $29 million fully guaranteed, and you look at the depth chart, and
7:34you're like, it's Emmit Johnson and Berchard Smith. I think they have Immardi Demercado, too. Like, it's only scatbacks.
7:41It's only guys who are going to get potentially receptions. We know without a shadow of a doubt that there is zero
7:47competition for early down carries or goal line touches for Kenneth Walker on the Kansas City Chiefs.
7:54Not not an offense where, you know, you've got even we just talked about Saquon. Saquon has the risk of Jalen Hurts stealing rushing touchdowns,
8:01right? That's not going to happen for Kenneth Walker. They're not putting Mahomes on a torn ACL out there to go have you know, goal line rush attempts
8:08quarterbacks things that's not going to happen. So, while they'll throw the ball a lot when they get in close and why that could limit some of his
8:13touchdown potential, the fact of the matter is Kenneth Walker is going to have a ton of carries, a ton of rushing touchdowns.
8:20What holds his value down from being in round one in my opinion is those receptions. Like if they are actually going to use some of these running backs
8:28on like at all like if they're going to give a running back touches it'll be on third downs, right? If all the backups
8:34are scatbacks, passing down specialist.
8:36Well, if they don't want to give Kenneth Walker 27 touches a game, they will limit him in the receiving game. It's
8:42also worth noting like I don't know I think in people's minds like I said before people don't view Saquon as a pass catcher. People kind of
8:49view Ken Walker as more competent in that area. That's not really the case in terms of like what they've done so far
8:54in the NFL, right? Saquon has five consecutive seasons of at least 33 receptions and his backup Tank Bigsby has never been used in receiving game.
9:03So, we know that Saquon is probably the best pass catching back on the roster there. Ken Walker has only one career
9:09season above 31 receptions and his backups are passing down specialist. So, in terms of what the differentiator is between the two of them, they're both
9:19going to get a lot of touches. They both have a lot of touchdown potential.
9:22But Saquon probably is going to have more receptions, more work in the receiving game. Saquon also is a more talented running back. Saquon is on the
9:30team that, you know, I trust will have more positive game scripts. His quarterback is not coming off a torn ACL. So, there are just a lot of factors
9:38going in his favor, but I think you know, among the rest of these round two running backs, Ken Walker is so locked
9:43in that when I get into round two, I just want to be sure. You know, I want to draft into a situation where I know
9:48what's going to happen, I know there's upside, and I know there's a floor there to where even if the player isn't as
9:54good as we think, even if the offense regresses a little bit, or just has a bad season in terms of touchdown luck, I
9:59know they're getting the touches and they're they're going to have like a certain amount of value in fantasy. And that's Kenneth Walker. I know in a worst
10:05case scenario, he's going out there, he's getting his 15 to 17 carries, he's adding on a screen target or two, you
10:11know, he's going to be used if they get close to the red zone.
10:14Some of these running backs we talk about, I have some hesitations in terms of their role. Not not like a massive a
10:21hesitation, but I know that a shadow of doubt that is his role and that has a lot of value in round two, especially on
10:27such a good offense. So, Ken Walker number two on this list.
10:31Third, Chase Brown. Um really really difficult choosing in between Chase Brown and Ken Walker. And this is one where if you wanted to flip these two,
10:38I'm totally fine with it because Brown is on the better offense, right? I think I would rather attach myself to the
10:44Bengals than um Kansas City. And he also has a lot more upside in the receiving game. I mean, he could outpace Walker by
10:51like 30 receptions, 35 receptions this season. And in full PPR, I would take Chase Brown over Kenneth Walker. So, that is one of the differences in the
11:00scoring formats there. But, these rankings again are for half PPR. Um and in half I still give Ken the edge uh
11:07just because Chase Brown is never going to be a high volume runner or an efficient one.
11:12Ken Walker, I mean, in a good system, I feel like if he has a really good year, he could be in like the upper
11:18fours to five yards per carry. Like that's like the the talent of running back that he is.
11:23Chase Brown is never going to have a high yards per carry, and he's never going to have like 300 rush attempts.
11:28Ken Walker in a good year could have 300 rush attempts. That's just not going to happen for Chase Brown. He's had about
11:32230 rush attempts for like right at a thousand right below a thousand rushing yards each last two seasons. That's basically what I would expect from him
11:40this year. So, if he can stay healthy, he's going to be around a thousand rushing yards in my opinion. Again, in a
11:45good season Ken Walker could blow right past that and that makes up a big difference there.
11:51Ken Walker matched Chase Brown's production last season on the ground as part of a split. You know, like Ken Walker hit 17 or more carries only
11:58twice. He played at least 57% of the snaps one time. I just feel like the potential here for Ken Walker to blow
12:07past the 57% snap snaps here one time and he still matched the early down production. Like there's a chance here that we get a boatload of carries for
12:16Ken Walker on higher efficiency as well and I don't think the receptions in half PPR are enough to make up for that in
12:22the way I do think they are for full PPR. So, again, very close. I think Chase Brown is still a really really good pick. But the lack
12:30of a rushing ceiling is pretty clear with him and that's more a function of the offense. That's not like, oh, what
12:36if he improves as a player this season?
12:37Why would they give Chase Brown a lot of carries on the ground? Like they're correct in saying we have Joe Burrow,
12:42Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Chase Brown who we can use in the receiving game. Why would we run the ball? Like
12:46they're going to drop back a ton and that can still lead to games where you'll only get, you know, 11 or 12 rush
12:51attempts from Chase Brown and if he doesn't hit for like four for 40 and a touchdown in the receiving game, he can
12:57have a little bit of a lower floor than Ken Walker could have. And then again, um you know, if we look to Ken Walker, which is more
13:05likely that one of these two players is featured on the offense? The player that has Ja'Marr Chase, the player that has
13:11Tee Higgins to contend with, or the one who has, you know, like a 50-year-old Travis Kelce, Rice coming out of jail,
13:18Worthy who was a huge bust last season with a quarterback with a torn ACL? Like it's possible Ken Walker is like the
13:22centerpiece of this offense. That's not necessarily the the for Chase Brown. So, that's how I would rank them. but again, if you have a different take there, I'm
13:29fine with flip-flopping those two. So, so far in round two, Saquon, Ken Walker, Chase Brown. Fourth, I'm going to put Amari Hampton.
13:37Uh Hampton basically loses to Chase Brown because of Keaton Mitchell. And this is one where I'm saying, "Watch camp reports when camps really open up
13:46in mid to late July into August. What are they saying about Keaton Mitchell?"
13:49If Keaton Mitchell goes out there and stinks, Keaton Mitchell gets hurt again, we're going to skyrocket Amari Hampton probably into round one. That's the
13:56potential on this offense. The problem is, I really think they did bring uh Keaton Mitchell in there to be utilized consistently on this offense. He's not
14:06someone we're going to start every week as running back two, but he'll get enough early down work where you're annoyed when you have Amari Hampton. I
14:12don't want to be annoyed with my round two running back uh with getting that work. Um so, I just prefer um Saquon,
14:19Ken, and Chase Brown. Why I think he should be still above the other two players we'll talk about is that ceiling. I want to be in on this player
14:28or on this offense. And this player honestly, like truly Hampton was a great prospect last season. Um I think some people say, "Okay, they brought in
14:36Keaton Mitchell because Keaton Mitchell is a speed back, right?" And we know um like McDaniel loves speed, right? He drafted the fastest wide receiver,
14:43signed the fastest running back, brings in David Njoku who's a highly athletic tight end. Like he just wants to surround this offense with as many fast
14:50people as possible, get them moving across the field, and it's going to work, right? This is going to be a great
14:54offense that I want to attach myself to.
14:56And I think people view Hampton because he's a bigger back as slow. He ran a what? A 446 40 at 221 lb. Like he is a
15:06physical freak. Like he's fast. I promise you, he gets into the open field, this is still the type of player that Mike McDaniel wants to
15:13feature. Keaton is faster. I just don't want people to think that Amari Hampton is like Kyren Williams out there running super slow or like Cam Akers or
15:20something like that. He is fast, I promise. It's just that I really don't think they would have gone out in free agency, grabbed
15:29Ke'Shawn Mitchell, given him as much money as they did, if they didn't plan on using him consistently. And I don't think that like there's any sort of risk
15:37factor for those like first three running backs that I'm going to be annoyed that the other player is getting too many touches. And I truly believe
15:45you could be annoyed that Ke'Shawn Mitchell is getting more touches. Why I think he should be up here though is I
15:50want to be attached to this offense.
15:52It's a great offense. And he's going to have all of the goal line touches. So, even if we only get like 15 to 17
15:59touches per week from Marlon Mack, if it's coming with like 15 to 17 touchdowns because they're scoring so much, and it's coming with, you know,
16:07late game clock killing potential where he could still get 20 touches and multiple touchdowns some weeks, that's going to be really beneficial. So, I
16:14think he still has to go above the last two on this list just because I think the offense could be so good. Number
16:20five is going to be Derrick Henry.
16:22Henry's coming off eight consecutive seasons of at least 10 touchdowns, including a year we only played eight games. So, he had a game where he had or
16:30a season where he had eight games, still scored 10 touchdowns. In all of the seven other consecutive seasons, has at least 12 touchdowns. Like he's a
16:38monster. He has over 300 touches, at least 1,380 yards in four consecutive seasons, 1,700 plus yards last two years, 34 combined touchdowns the last
16:48two years. He is still a monster. Even at 32 years old, the odds are he's still going to be highly dominant on the
16:55ground. The reason he's fifth and 11th overall, so fifth in the running two running backs, 11th overall, is just because of the receptions. He's
17:02played 17 games three consecutive seasons, three straight full seasons here.
17:07Reception totals have dropped from 28 to 19 to 15.
17:12It's very obvious that they're scaling back that usage a little bit. Makes sense. He's now going to be 32 years old. He's going to turn 33 like early
17:21next year.
17:22He's old. He's going to break down at some point. I know he's the king. I know that he's Derrick Henry.
17:27At some point he's going to regress. I'm not saying you don't draft him because of that. I'm just saying it makes sense
17:33that the Ravens look at this and say, "Hmm, maybe maybe we don't give him 400 touches this season. How can we limit
17:39his touches?" The receiving game. That's just the easiest way to say pull him off the field in those snaps. Don't feature
17:45him. And so there's a world here where maybe he doesn't play a full season, but also even in a full season, you know, if
17:50he's only going to project for like 13 receptions across 17 weeks. That's a lot of weeks where he has zero receptions.
17:57And if you're in half PPR, even if he has 100 rushing yards, if he doesn't score, that's 10 half PPR points. That's
18:03still not that good. Uh, he still was able to finish eighth in adjusted points per game last season, but a huge part of
18:09that was week 17. Over 200 rushing yards and four touchdowns. He was 11th in points per game leading into that week,
18:16which is exactly where I have him ranked right now. So, I'm not saying he's going to fall off. I'm saying he's basically
18:21going to do exactly what he did for the first 16 weeks of last season before exploding in week 17. That's exactly
18:28what I think is going to happen. I don't view him as a running back that is going to like I mean, I don't even want to use the
18:34word breakout. He's 32 years old. I don't think he's going to like break out, have this highly dominant season where um,
18:42you know, he has like 25 touchdowns or something and you don't even care at all that he's getting, you know, 0.8
18:48receptions per game. Um, there's also a little bit of risk here that you know, Todd Monken has been their offensive coordinator since 2023. So, while he's
18:56been in Baltimore 2024, 2025, he's been the offensive coordinator. He's gone.
19:00He's in Cleveland now. Um, Todd Monken is a coordinator we like, we respect, we think he he calls good plays, he runs an
19:06offense really well. Uh, now they have Declan Doyle. It just It just opens up some risk. We just don't know. Um, I'm
19:12optimistic about Doyle, but there's obviously some level of risk in a play caller that is very young that we have never seen call plays. Um, the one
19:21positive is I trust Ben Johnson, and Ben Johnson handpicked him to be offensive coordinator for the Bears last season.
19:26Of course, we know he was offensive coordinator, but Ben Johnson is still the one scheming up plays, calling plays, things like that. So, he wasn't
19:32calling plays for Chicago last season.
19:34Uh, but uh, when you're handpicked from Sean Payton by Ben Johnson, like handpicked to to leave Sean Payton to now coach under Ben Johnson,
19:44I mean, that's pretty good company to be in. Um, he was also apparently highly regarded in coaching circles. So, this is someone that it's not where we're not
19:51worried where it's like, "Okay, it's going to be a dumpster fire out there in Baltimore." It's probably still going to be pretty good play calling. I just want
19:56to raise the fact that it could be some sort of situation where it's not as optimal as before. But, yeah, the
20:03biggest issue with um, Derrick Henry is still just a lack of targets mixed with being 32 still even for Derrick Henry.
20:10Um, we don't know if there's going to be some sort of drop-off. You'll need around around 250 uh, full PPR points to pay
20:18off, you know, a top 10 price tag for a running back. There've only been three running back seasons, two individual running backs in NFL history, who have
20:27been 32 or older and have dropped 250 full PPR points. Again, the format for half PPR that we're working in here
20:34benefits Derrick Henry more. I'm just saying that, you know, we haven't seen it that many times that a 32-year-old has produced these numbers, but I don't
20:42want to bet against Derrick Henry, so I think ranking him how he was last year until the the spiked week is the the
20:49best choice here.
20:50Then lastly, one that will probably surprise a lot of you is Devon Achane. I think a lot of people honestly have
20:54Devon Achane first on this list or at least have him higher. Uh, this is the first season I'll be posting a shy away
20:59list on the website. So, last like 3 years I've done a must draft players list. I'm doing that obviously. That's been posted so far. It's going to be
21:06posted like over time. More and more players get added.
21:10But this year I'm also doing a shy away list. And the first player I added to that list has been Devon Achane. I think
21:16he's an immensely talented player. Um he was a must-draft player either last year or the year before. I can't remember which one. Like I like him as a player,
21:24but the loss of Mike McDaniel is going to hurt. And that offense is not maybe going to be a dumpster fire, it's going
21:33to be a dumpster fire. And think about all the offenses we've been talking about today, right? Philly, KC, Baltimore, uh Kansas City, um
21:43there was one more that we were talking about the Bengals, right? Cincinnati.
21:47Like great offenses.
21:49Miami.
21:51Do you really want to attach yourself to the Miami Dolphins in round two of your draft? Probably not. They're going to be
21:56really, really bad. The top wide receivers on this team are Malik Washington, Jaylen Tolbert, and Tutu Atwell. They're not exactly linked to
22:04free agents right now. They're not exactly free agents who are going to be jumping over the moon that they signed, right? It's going to be a bad offense.
22:10Maybe Chris Bell steps up when he's healthy, but who knows when he's going to be healthy. Odds are this will be by
22:14far the worst wide receiver room in the NFL. Um I've heard people say, "Well, that's a positive, right? Achane is going to get a lot of receptions." I
22:21don't see it that way. I don't see it being a positive. Malik Willis is a hyper-mobile quarterback. He is not going to dump off at a high rate. Um
22:27think about what the offense was with Tua.
22:29It is Tua drops back. If even 1 second later he has any pressure or no one's open, he dumps off to Achane over and
22:36over and over again. And that was the offense, and that's why Achane racked up a ton of receptions even though the
22:41offense wasn't that good. That is not going to happen for Malik. Malik favors downfield passing. It's a small sample, but he favors it. But we have all the
22:48data in the world to tell us that hyper-mobile quarterbacks don't dump it off. They scramble, and then they run it. And so these plays that you were
22:54getting dumped off before for Tua, they're not dump offs anymore. Now they're quarterback runs. And so that's going to eat into his production. It's
23:01likely that a lot of teams destroy the Dolphins, and so if they're among the bottom of the league or the bottom in
23:07points per game and plays per game, that's not a system where you want to have the running back. And I think
23:12losing McDaniels just like adds risk that like all these play calls that were designed to go to the best players. Like McDaniels didn't care if
23:20only three players got touches in a game. He would throw the ball and use um every offensive play to design something
23:26to his best players. And not every coach does that. We don't know if their new coach is will do that. Uh so that's a
23:31problem, and you know what? If he's the only good player on the team, it's pretty easy for a defense to sell out to
23:36stop him. And so you have all those risks, and it's like I don't see what the upside is here for Achane's
23:42perspective to pay off that risk. If the upside was he's the number one overall running back, sure, take on that risk.
23:48But how often have we seen the number one running back come from a team that's bottom three in um plays per game and points per game. It's
23:56not very often. Usually those players struggle more than expected. And then you look at the schedule.
24:02They're going to be tanking later in the year. Like I promise you, from week 14 on, they have the hardest schedule in
24:07the NFL. They play the Broncos, the Bear the week 13 on, excuse me. Week 13 on.
24:12Broncos, Bears, Packers, Chargers, Bills. It is a brutal schedule later in the year. And if they're alive for the number one pick in the NFL draft heading
24:22into that, and Achane even has a slightest of ankle injuries, I don't think he's playing. And so if that risk is also there in round two, I don't
24:31know. I just don't see it. And even in those games, they're going to get smoked by every single one of those teams.
24:35You're going to get to the fourth quarter, you're going to be down three, four touchdowns, and Achane's not going to be out there catching dump-offs. He's
24:40going to be on the sideline with the other running backs playing. So that's not something you can say about any of
24:45the other running backs today. Just too much risk for me taking Achane in round two. I will probably be a full fade this
24:50season. So those are my round two running back rankings. Again, it is Saquon Barkley, Ken Walker, Chase Brown, Cam Akers, Raheem Hampton, Derrick
24:59Henry, and then Devon Achane. Let me know what you think the rankings should have been in the comments section down below. And if you want to see how those
25:05rankings change for standard scoring, for full PPR, how wide receivers are mixed in, whether you are in a two or three wide receiver league, how a flex
25:13spot added in impacts things, check out my rankings, custom rankings as well, the fantasyfootballadvice.com.
25:19That's it for this one though. Thank you all for watching. Please leave a like if you are still here. Please subscribe on
25:23YouTube or Spotify if you are new.
25:25I'll catch you all on the next one.

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