NegativeProjectionWed, July 22, 2026Listen 23:20 – 23:35
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McCaffrey's ceiling shouldn't be 20% worse than last year based on workload history.

Christian McCaffreyRBSF

Dave Richard argues that McCaffrey's ceiling should not be penalized 20% below last year's production based on historical data: 41% of running backs in the sample with massive workloads matched or exceeded their prior-year performance, suggesting his downside risk is overstated.

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Source transcript excerpt
If 41% of the running backs in this sample with these massive workloads were close to as good as they were last year or better, then I don't think it's fair to say that his ceiling is 20% worse of what he was last year.
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Christian McCaffrey fantasy football FAQ

What did Fantasy Football Today say about Christian McCaffrey?
Dave Richard argues that McCaffrey's ceiling should not be penalized 20% below last year's production based on historical data: 41% of running backs in the sample with massive workloads matched or exceeded their prior-year performance, suggesting his downside risk is overstated.
Is this good or bad for Christian McCaffrey's fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Christian McCaffrey (RB SF). McCaffrey's ceiling shouldn't be 20% worse than last year based on workload history.
Where can I see Christian McCaffrey's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Christian McCaffrey's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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