Kyler Murray's poor TD output and middle-field inefficiency make Jefferson a scary round-one pick.

Identified as the scariest round-one pick on the list due to poor quarterback fit with Kyler Murray, whom the speaker does not believe is a very good NFL quarterback. Speaker projects Jefferson for ~100 catches and 1400 yards but only 7–8 touchdowns because Kyler averaged just 1.2 passing TDs per game over his last four seasons and Vegas has his TD line at 17.5 (incredibly low). Jefferson's middle-of-field targeting, where he eats, is inefficient with Kyler, who doesn't target that area often. Drafted over similar-skilled receivers like CD Lamb in a more prolific passing offense and workhorse RBs with double-digit TD floors. Additional risk from potential JJ McCarthy starts if Kyler struggles.