From the episode
I talked ad nauseum last year on the black book and on shows last year on podcasts about the 400 plus carries of Saquon Barkley. Yes. Two years ago. And when you hit that 400 carry mark over the last 25 years, Hall of Famers, the Curtis Martins, the, you know, great running backs like Jamal Lewis, Edron James, all these guys who did that. The next year they did not finish as RB1s.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Barkley's 400 carries two years ago; historical data shows post-400-carry RBs regress.
Joe Pisapia extensively discussed Saquon Barkley's 400+ carries two years ago on the Black Book and podcasts; he notes that when running backs hit the 400-carry threshold over the last 25 years (citing Hall of Famers Curtis Martin, Jamal Lewis, Edron James), they do not finish as RB1s the following year; Barkley did not finish as an RB1 last year despite the high workload, illustrating the regression risk of high-volume backs.
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