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The Lineup Show - 10 BEST Fantasy Football Draft Strategies Ranked & Tiered with Joe Pisapia

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

50 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 27, 2026
Published
Mon, July 27, 2026
49
Player insights
36
Players mentioned
Topics
Josh AllenLamar JacksonBo NixBrock PurdyCaleb WilliamsChristian McCaffreyDavid MontgomeryJa'Marr ChaseJalen HurtsJaylen WarrenJustin JeffersonA.J. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownBaker Mayfield
Player analysis

Player insights

49

A.J. Brown

PositiveValue6:43

Joe Pisapia pairs A.J. Brown with Omari Hampton in a hero RB strategy example at the turn (pick 12 in 12-team leagues), indicating satisfaction with Brown as a WR anchor at that draft position.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveValue38:59

JSN is cited as one of the elite wide receivers (alongside Jamar Chase and Puka Nacua) that makes the hero wide receiver strategy viable; Pisapia notes JSN is slipping to sixth or seventh round after an amazing year, and he expresses strong conviction that JSN should not be outside the top three receivers, comparing the market's hesitation to unfounded concerns about James Cook last year.

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Baker Mayfield

NegativeProjection27:37

Baker Mayfield's trajectory is cited as cautionary; he scratched 5000 yards two years ago, was an MVP candidate last year, but then injuries derailed his season, landing him at QB12 this year. Joe Pisapia uses Mayfield as an example of quarterback volatility and unpredictability in the context of why the QB position is deep this year.

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Bijan Robinson

PositiveProjection11:00

Bijon Robinson is ranked alongside Jahmyr Gibbs ahead of Christian McCaffrey in Joe Pisapia's running back rankings, indicating preference for Robinson as a hero running back candidate over CMC.

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Bo Nix

PositiveSleeper25:37

Joe Pisapia identifies Bo Nix as one of his "magnificent seven" picks on Fandom NFL Today, noting that projection models show him producing QB9-level stats despite being drafted as the 15th quarterback off the board. Pisapia questions why Nix is projected for fewer passing yards than last year when the Broncos added Jalen Waddle and showed intent to open up the passing game. He encourages targeting Nix as a late-round value in super flex drafts, positioning him as a league-winner candidate in a year with a soft middle at the position.

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PositiveValue27:07

Bo Nix is highlighted as one of three perfect late-round quarterback options alongside Brock Purdy and Jared Goff; Joe Pisapia endorses late-round QB strategy this year and specifically names Bo Nix as a player who finishes as a top-12 QB despite being drafted late, making him a strong value play in single-QB leagues.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeValue22:07

Joe Pisapia uses Brian Thomas as an example of a player who might be the highest-ranked on a big board but not the optimal pick in a given draft situation; if five receivers are in the same tier and only one running back remains in that tier, the running back (even if sixth on the big board) may be the better selection if you can still get one of the five receivers at your next pick.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeRole38:08

Pisapia loves Bowers as an incredible player but expresses uncertainty about his draft value due to the Las Vegas quarterback situation; he notes there is uneasiness about the quarterback situation and that while he has good thoughts about Kirk Cousins, he doesn't know yet, suggesting Bowers' role and production could be affected by quarterback uncertainty.

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Brock Purdy

NegativeSleeper25:58

Joe Pisapia groups Brock Purdy with Bo Nix and other late-round quarterbacks as part of a strategy to avoid reaching for early-round QBs in super flex drafts. The implication is that Purdy offers value as a late-round option in a year with a soft middle at the position, allowing draft capital to be spent on elite wide receivers and other positions.

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PositiveValue27:07

Brock Purdy is highlighted as one of three perfect late-round quarterback options alongside Bo Nix and Jared Goff; Joe Pisapia endorses late-round QB strategy this year and specifically names Purdy as a player who finishes as a top-12 QB despite being drafted late, making him a strong value play in single-QB leagues.

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Caleb Williams

NegativeValue24:02

Joe Pisapia questions the opportunity cost of reaching for Caleb Williams in early rounds when similar production can be obtained from late-round quarterbacks, allowing draft capital to be allocated to premium wide receivers instead. The implication is that Williams' ADP is inflated relative to his expected production advantage over later-round options.

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NegativeValue28:35

Caleb Williams is characterized as expensive relative to Bo Nix; the source states 'Caleb Williams is expensive Bo Nix,' suggesting Williams is overpriced compared to Nix's value proposition, with the added note that Nix has better nails (a humorous aside).

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Cam Ward

PositiveBreakout28:03

Cam Ward is cited as a younger quarterback showing a step forward in development; Joe Pisapia notes Ward's progression as part of a broader trend of younger QBs becoming more comfortable at the NFL level, contributing to optimism about QB health and experience improving offensive production this year.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveValue7:18

Joe Pisapia identifies CeeDee Lamb as one of the great wide receivers available in the middle rounds of drafts, suitable for acquisition in the hero RB strategy after securing an RB1 anchor.

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Christian McCaffrey

NegativeInjury4:00

Joe Pisapia references McCaffrey as a cautionary tale from two years ago, noting that despite his early draft capital, he suffered injury that crushed fantasy seasons from day one; Pisapia had warned about the injury risk beforehand, emphasizing the danger of early running back picks with high workload history.

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NegativeValue10:25

Christian McCaffrey as a hero running back is compared to putting all chips on one number at a roulette table. Joe Pisapia notes that McCaffrey's ADP rose dramatically from 12–14th overall in July to 6th overall by Labor Day in best ball season last year, but Pisapia was uncomfortable making that investment despite McCaffrey's eventual success. The rapid ADP rise and injury risk profile make him a high-variance pick.

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Chuba Hubbard

PositiveBust2:44

Mitch Anderson expresses skepticism about relying on Chuba Hubbard as a late-round running back target in a zero-RB strategy, characterizing him as a fringe starting running back that would be undesirable to anchor a fantasy team's RB position.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveBreakout36:04

Joe Pisapia argues Loveland has an equal chance to outperform both Trey McBride and Caleb Williams despite not going ahead of them in ADP; the Bears showed their hand in wanting Loveland as a featured tight end, and Pisapia states "I think I know what Colston Loveland is every week," suggesting high confidence in his role and production consistency.

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D'Andre Swift

PositiveValue5:18

Joe Pisapia identifies DeAndre Swift as a rock-solid RB2 target in the hero RB strategy, suitable for acquisition after securing an RB1 anchor and building depth at other positions in 12-team leagues.

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David Montgomery

PositiveBreakout2:30

Joe Pisapia highlights David Montgomery's second-half rookie season as very useful in fantasy, exemplifying the type of late-round running back value that can emerge in zero RB strategies when the rookie class has strong second-half potential.

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PositiveValue5:18

Joe Pisapia identifies David Montgomery as a rock-solid RB2 target in the hero RB strategy, suitable for acquisition after securing an RB1 anchor and building depth at other positions in 12-team leagues.

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Drake Maye

NegativeValue24:02

Joe Pisapia questions the opportunity cost of reaching for Drake May in early rounds when similar production can be obtained from late-round quarterbacks, allowing draft capital to be allocated to premium wide receivers instead. The implication is that Drake May's ADP is inflated relative to his expected production advantage over later-round options.

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Ja'Marr Chase

NegativeRole29:01

Jamar Chase is mentioned in the context of quarterback-receiver stacking strategy with Joe Burrow; the source discusses stacking Burrow and Chase as an example of pairing a pocket-passing quarterback with a pass catcher.

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PositiveValue38:59

Chase is cited as one of the elite wide receivers (alongside Puka Nacua and JSN) that makes the hero wide receiver strategy viable; the source suggests these top-tier receivers are worth taking in the first round to anchor a roster.

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Jahmyr Gibbs

PositiveProjection11:00

Jahmyr Gibbs is ranked ahead of Christian McCaffrey in Joe Pisapia's rankings, positioned as the top running back option alongside Bijon Robinson, suggesting preference for Gibbs over CMC as a hero running back candidate.

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Jalen Hurts

PositiveValue25:11

Joe Pisapia cites Jalen Hurts as a historical example of a quarterback who controlled all the scoring in his offense (18 touchdowns a couple of years ago), justifying a reach in standard leagues where touchdowns are king. The reference suggests Hurts has demonstrated the dual-threat scoring ability that makes quarterbacks valuable in standard formats.

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NegativeRole29:08

Jalen Hurts is characterized as a mobile, ground-game quarterback in the context of quarterback stacking strategy; unlike pocket passers like Joe Burrow, Hurts' rushing ability means stacking him with receivers is less critical to offensive production.

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James Cook

PositiveValue38:59

Pisapia uses James Cook as a historical comparison to JSN's current market discount; he notes that last year everyone in the industry couldn't draft Cook due to concerns about touchdown repeatability, but Pisapia had Cook everywhere and was very happy with the discount, suggesting the market was overreacting to coordinator/scheme changes that didn't materially diminish Cook's value.

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Jared Goff

PositiveValue27:07

Jared Goff is highlighted as one of three perfect late-round quarterback options alongside Bo Nix and Brock Purdy; Joe Pisapia endorses late-round QB strategy this year and specifically names Goff as a player who finishes as a top-12 QB despite being drafted late, making him a strong value play in single-QB leagues.

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Jaylen Waddle

PositiveRole25:58

Joe Pisapia notes that the Broncos added Jalen Waddle and demonstrated intent to open up the passing game, which supports his thesis that Bo Nix should project for more passing yards than current models suggest. Waddle's addition signals an offensive shift toward increased passing volume.

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Jaylen Warren

NegativeRole0:00

Warren is mentioned as a fringe starting running back option, part of a weak running back class that makes the zero RB strategy undesirable in 2026; Joe Pisapia suggests avoiding relying on such late-round backs as your primary running back depth.

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PositiveBust2:44

Mitch Anderson expresses skepticism about relying on Jalen Warren as a late-round running back target in a zero-RB strategy, characterizing him as a fringe starting running back that would be undesirable to anchor a fantasy team's RB position.

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Joe Burrow

PositiveValue29:01

Joe Burrow is positioned as a pocket-passing quarterback worth stacking with receivers in best ball and redraft leagues; Joe Pisapia explains that stacking Burrow with pass catchers makes sense because drafters are taking a shot on him outperforming his ADP, and the Bengals offense is expected to come along with him since he is not a ground-game quarterback.

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Josh Allen

PositiveProjection23:15

Joe Pisapia notes Josh Allen has historically provided a huge edge at the quarterback position for the last six years, even in years he finished as QB2; there is often a very large gap between him and QB3, making him a value from a ceiling perspective year over year. Pisapia is interested in taking him early if he lands at ADP or slips past it, though he acknowledges 2026 is the deepest quarterback class ever from a fantasy perspective, which complicates the decision.

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PositiveValue23:55

Joe Pisapia expresses confidence that Josh Allen will outperform his ADP, noting that while other quarterbacks in the negligible range (3rd–8th off the board) offer similar point differentials, Allen provides a meaningful advantage. Pisapia is comfortable with taking him at current ADP but advises against reaching for QB2 or QB3, preferring late-round quarterback values instead. In standard leagues, Allen's dual-threat scoring (passing and rushing touchdowns) makes him more valuable than in PPR formats.

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PositiveValue28:23

Josh Allen is identified as a premium quarterback worth drafting at cost if available; Joe Pisapia states 'if you can get the right guy at the right cost, mainly if you can get Josh Allen, then I think it's worth it to start building your team around him,' positioning Allen as a tier-B quarterback strategy in redraft leagues.

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Josh Jacobs

PositiveValue45:09

Pisapia cites Josh Jacobs as a historical example of price enforcement and ADP arbitrage working; when Jacobs was with the Raiders, he kept falling in drafts despite Pisapia's conviction, and Pisapia eventually took him at a discount. That year Jacobs "went bananas for the Raiders," validating the contrarian pick and demonstrating the value of enforcing price on players with a track record.

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Justin Jefferson

PositiveBreakout7:18

Joe Pisapia believes Justin Jefferson is due for a bounce back in 2026 after a disappointing 2025 season; he emphasizes that Jefferson remains an all-world talent and cautions against overweighting one poor season against his four prior glorious seasons, positioning him as a mid-round target in the hero RB strategy.

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NegativeRole8:44

Justin Jefferson is referenced as a dynasty asset; the mention occurs in the context of discussing draft strategy and the hero running back approach, with no specific projection, role change, or injury update provided.

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Kenneth Walker III

NegativeInjury10:10

Kenneth Walker has a documented history of breaking down annually and missing time each year, which makes him a risky hero running back candidate despite his strong playoff and Super Bowl performance. Age, situation, and health history should factor into whether to declare him a true hero RB.

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Lamar Jackson

PositiveValue24:59

Joe Pisapia identifies Lamar Jackson as one of the quarterbacks who controls all the scoring in their offense, making him valuable in standard leagues where touchdowns are king. This dual-threat scoring ability justifies reaching for him in standard league formats, though the implication is less value in PPR formats.

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PositiveValue26:48

Joe Pisapia identifies Lamar Jackson as the reigning MVP and notes he is the 12th quarterback off the board, positioning him as part of the soft middle at the position. Despite his age, Pisapia suggests Jackson remains a valuable option in a year where the middle tier of quarterbacks is stronger than ever, allowing teams to wait on the position.

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NegativeRole29:08

Lamar Jackson is cited as a mobile, ground-game quarterback in the context of quarterback stacking strategy; unlike pocket passers like Joe Burrow, Jackson's rushing ability means stacking him with receivers is less critical to offensive production.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

PositiveProjection18:14

Marvin Harrison Jr. put on 45 more pounds of muscle this summer, which Joe Pisapia's co-host believes qualifies him as a wide receiver one; the addition of muscle mass is cited as evidence supporting his WR1 projection.

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Patrick Mahomes

PositiveProjection26:48

Patrick Mahomes, the reigning MVP, is positioned as the 12th quarterback off the board and is endorsed by Joe Pisapia as a strong option despite his age; Pisapia emphasizes Mahomes plays in a great offense with a great coach, complete continuity, and an incredible set of weapons, arguing that his production will not collapse.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveValue38:59

Nacua is cited as one of the elite wide receivers (alongside Jamar Chase and JSN) that makes the hero wide receiver strategy viable; the source suggests these top-tier receivers are worth taking in the first round to anchor a roster.

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Saquon Barkley

NegativeProjection4:00

Joe Pisapia extensively discussed Saquon Barkley's 400+ carries two years ago on the Black Book and podcasts; he notes that when running backs hit the 400-carry threshold over the last 25 years (citing Hall of Famers Curtis Martin, Jamal Lewis, Edron James), they do not finish as RB1s the following year; Barkley did not finish as an RB1 last year despite the high workload, illustrating the regression risk of high-volume backs.

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Trey McBride

NegativeProjection36:04

McBride had the third greatest tight end season of all time last year, but Pisapia cautions that asking for a repeat of that performance could be asking too much; he notes McBride did not have a great quarterback situation last year, which contextualizes the sustainability of his elite production.

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Tyler Warren

PositiveSleeper36:54

Pisapia mentions Tyler Warren alongside Loveland as a tight end he is interested in during the draft, suggesting Warren is in the conversation for value and upside in the tight end tier that could go as early as round two or as late as round three depending on league dynamics.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

665
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0:42Fred Meyer. Fresh for everyone. Fantasy Football drafts are the best part of the year.
0:46But what's the best draft strategy to win your fantasy football league?
0:49We're ranking and tiering the best fantasy football draft strategies, including a few sneakier ones your league mates don't know about.
0:55Let's go. Welcome into the lineup fantasy football show.
0:57I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mello. And Mello, today we are joined by a very, very, very special guest.
1:02We've got Joe Pisapia here to help us break down and rank some of the best fantasy football draft strategies for 2026.
1:08How's it going, Joe? Joe Pisapia. That's great. First of all, that's the most special I've ever been.
1:13I got three verys. I just want everybody to know that I got three verys there.
1:17So I'm a very special guest and I'm excited to join you guys.
1:21I've been following your stuff on YouTube and massive success.
1:23I'm jealous as a day one YouTube channel. This is my first day on the job as an independent and you guys are one of the gold standards.
1:31So I'm excited to be here hanging out with you guys and just talking ball, man.
1:35That's what we like to do. Let's do it.
1:38Before we get into it, that's a perfect segue to go check out Fandom NFL Joe's channel on YouTube.
1:43It'll be linked in the description and a card will be up here right now.
1:47So, but let's jump in, Melo, and let's talk about one of the first draft strategies that you're going to introduce today.
1:53We're starting off with one of the most, I don't know if common is the right word, but I think well-known is
1:59maybe the better way to put it. And that is the zero running back strategy, essentially bypassing running back the first four
2:05to seven rounds, let's call it, in order to load up at other positions, get a premium at other positions, and then
2:11target running back slate, maybe some guys with upside.
2:13And it's a very historically risky and controversial strategy.
2:15And I think this year, probably more than most, it's one I see a lot of people fading and trying to get their running backs early.
2:22And I absolutely do think there's a lot of wisdom in zigging while everyone else seems to zag.
2:27So maybe you can pull one over on your league mates, load up elsewhere and dominate everything but running back.
2:33But it's a really slippery slope to try to climb.
2:35It's not one that I'm sure I have the guts for.
2:38It's not one that I think I am brave enough for this year, because the next thing you know, you're relying on
2:44Chuba Hubbard and Jalen Warren to hold down the running back position.
2:47And that just does not sound desirable. What could go wrong?
2:50Yeah, what could go wrong with some fringe starting running backs in your actual fantasy team's starting lineup?
2:55To me, zero running backs kind of like, I don't know if you guys are foodies or if you ever watched the
3:01Food Network, but the show Chopped, it's like going on Chopped and trying to make like a filet mignon out of ground turkey and Twizzlers.
3:08To me, like maybe you're just better off starting with a nice beef tenderloin.
3:12In other words, your running back position. That's maybe the best analogy we've ever had on the show.
3:17Solid. Not going to lie. It's pretty solid. This is a strategy I have loved for years.
3:21And I think for me in 2026, just with the ADP landscape, it's like you said, Melo, like really difficult to try
3:27to attempt this unless you've got a lot of high conviction on late running backs.
3:31But Joe, where are you at with zero RB in 2026?
3:34This one to me is very annual pool. You know, you got to know what's going on.
3:39Like some years you get these running back classes with a lot of rookies that you feel like, okay, in the second
3:45half, if I draft a couple of these guys, maybe by the second half of the season, they start to come on.
3:50I remember Jameer Gibbs rookie season, you know, there's some guys there, you know, like the second half of David Montgomery was
3:56very useful in fantasy, his rookie season. But, you know, I think this year, especially when you're looking at the zero RB,
4:02a lot of it has to do with the size of the league you're into.
4:06So if you're in a 10 team league, I think it's much easier to do because the replacement value is easier.
4:12The waiver wire is going to be easier. If you're in a 12 or 14 team league, it gets way more complicated.
4:18So for me, I like, I prefer the next strategy we're going to talk about than to go full zero.
4:23I am a wide receiver guy at the end of the day.
4:27I do prefer to build my teams that way because I'm sure as you understand too, Mitch, like it's the war of attrition of injury.
4:33The quotient of injury can be so high at the running back position every year that it's one of those things you draft that early running back.
4:41Like for those people two years ago that went McCaffrey, despite ignoring all the data that, you know, good folks like me
4:46were trying to throw out there about, hey, bad things happen next year.
4:50Be careful. It just crushes your season from day one almost.
4:53And that's very difficult. I mean, I talked ad nauseum last year on the black book and on shows last year on
4:59podcasts about the 400 plus carries of Saquon Barkley.
5:01Yes. Two years ago. And when you hit that 400 carry mark over the last 25 years, Hall of Famers, the Curtis
5:07Martins, the, you know, great running backs like Jamal Lewis, Edron James, all these guys who did that.
5:12The next year they did not finish as RB1s.
5:14Did say, well, Barkley finished as an RB1 last year?
5:17No. So you've got to understand the workload, what you're going into with some of these RBs.
5:22To go zero altogether is tough, especially in a year like this.
5:25I think there's a couple of guys that are kind of on that 1A tier of running back that I kind of
5:31like the value of in that early second round.
5:33But again, I think it's something you can pull off more in shallow leagues than in deeper ones.
5:38Yeah, I think. And we like to put all of our takes in the context of a 12 team league.
5:44And so as a recovering zero RB drafter, I think this to me is a D tier as one of our least favorite strategies here for 2026.
5:51But Joe, perfect segue. You brought up our next strategy, which is one I'm actually loving this year.
5:56And that is the hero RB, also known as the anchor RB, which is taking a singular running back in the first
6:02round to solidify your RB1 spots that you can spend the next few picks building depth in the other positions.
6:07I think not only specific to 2026, but I wouldn't be shocked if this remains my favorite, at least for a few
6:13years, just because of what we're seeing with the way ADPs have shifted and running backs going earlier in drafts.
6:18And so I personally love this a ton. If you're at the one or two spot, you grab yourself Jameer Gibbs or B.
6:24John Robinson. And then you spend the next few picks solidifying at those other positions, come back and you grab a rock
6:30solid RB2 and David Montgomery or DeAndre Swift. And I think that's a much better start than trying to piecemeal something together,
6:36like Melo said with his Twizzlers into a filet mignon.
6:39Yeah, you can't get I'm not going to try to get better than that analogy because he's it's it's just so good.
6:45We peaked. We peaked. That's it. You're 10 minutes into the show.
6:48Might as well just call it a day. But the hero RB strategy is also, you know, for that back end, too.
6:54I want to make sure if you're at the turn.
6:57And again, the first show I did today was about identifying some of these values and these investments I want to make.
7:03Omari and Hampton is a great example of that.
7:05If I'm at 12 and I come away with A.J.
7:08Brown and Omari and Hampton, I'm very happy with that.
7:10I feel good about Hampton as my RB. The ADP is being dictated right now of some of the unknowns.
7:16The fact he was hurt last year, the fact that people don't quite want to buy in yet.
7:21But I think that's absurd because when you look at some of the projections across the board, it's projecting much closer to
7:27being a top five RB for Hampton than it is a top 10.
7:30So, I mean, why not take the plunge there?
7:33Whereas in the middle, there's so many of those great wide receivers, the Amon Ross, the CeeDee Lambs, even the Justin Jefferson,
7:38who I think is due for a bounce back.
7:41I mean, have we forgotten how great, what an all-world talent Justin Jefferson is?
7:45Preaching on the choir. Yeah. I mean, what the hell's going on out there?
7:48It's like, I want to shake people sometimes and say, do you remember football in 2024?
7:53I'm just curious. Because 2025, I get it. It was crap.
7:56I get it. I hear you. But let's put it in context, for the love of God.
8:00Let's not forget the other four glorious seasons before that.
8:03But going back to this strategy, you know, for me, this is the one that I like because it allows me to
8:09get the heavy wide receivers as well. It allows me to grab one of those big tight ends if they fall to
8:15a spot where I feel the value's there. And then I can play the field a little bit on that RB too,
8:21especially in PPR leagues where you can make up grounded RB with some of the guys that might not be the goal line guys.
8:27Yes. But they are going to get you the points.
8:30And I think that's something to not forget within that strategy.
8:33Yeah. Back to Justin Jefferson. I think there are nine reasons why we can forget last year.
8:37Also, I think I'm going to retire. Is he a Vikings fan, Mitch?
8:41I don't know if I hit a nerve. I wasn't sure.
8:44Oh, no. He's a Justin Jefferson dynasty owner. That's what it is.
8:47That's the nerve that was struck. No, thank you.
8:50I appreciate it. I actually think I'm going to retire after the high praise of the stupid chop jokes.
8:55I really appreciate you guys doing this show at me.
8:57I'm going to head out now. But no, I am also a fan of the hero running back strategy.
9:02I think, Joe, to your earlier point, when we were talking zero running back, you do have to be careful because hero
9:08running back can turn into zero running back really quickly with one unlucky injury.
9:12So that is the downside. If you're investing high capital in a running back and then not addressing the position for another four, five, six rounds.
9:19With that said, though, if it goes right, it can go really, really right.
9:23Because even if you're sacrificing or not giving yourself an edge at the running back two position, you still can get some
9:29guys late to hopefully bridge the gap a little bit.
9:32You can more than make up for it at that running back one position, depending on the running back you actually get
9:37and depending on where you're picking in the first round.
9:40And then also you're able to still feel they're really competitive team elsewhere.
9:44So to me, going here a running back allows for debatably one of the most complete roster constructions you can get.
9:49Yeah. Justin made a great point to Mitch about that to choose that person wisely.
9:53Now, I understand, you know, Hampton had injury last year, but he's young.
9:57All right. He's a new running back. It's he got a great offensive mind there in Mike McDaniel, who's going to be calling plays.
10:03And you're giving him a real boy, a quarterback for the first time, which is going to be very exciting to see
10:09what he can do with a facilitator like that in the football.
10:12But it's, you know, in that same range, you're looking at Ken Walker, who, you know, God bless him, incredible run in
10:18the playoffs, incredible performance in the Super Bowl. But he has a history of breaking down annually and missing time annually.
10:24So choose who you decide to deem your hero very carefully because age matters, situation matters.
10:28And then also when you start to look at some of the other landscape of the history of their health, all of
10:34that should factor into your decision making of whether or not you declare that player a true hero RB.
10:39I think if you take Christian McCaffrey as your hero RB, it's like going to a roulette table and just putting all
10:45of your chips onto one number and hoping for the best.
10:48Yeah. When it hits, it's amazing. You know, I liked it last year.
10:52You know, it's funny going into best ball season last year.
10:55He was going at like between 12 and 14th player overall.
10:58And I was like, awesome. Cool. Let's go. That was like July.
11:01And by the time we get, you know, from Independence Day all the way to Labor Day, he was like the sixth player off the board.
11:08And I just couldn't wrap my mind around it.
11:10And look, I was wrong at the end of the day, but it just wasn't an investment I felt comfortable making.
11:16And for a lot of good reasons, you know, I think leading up to it.
11:20We've been joking about our rankings. We've got Gibbs, Bijon, and then CMC.
11:24And we're like, are we just cowards for not putting CMC at number one?
11:27And yeah, right. Thank you. That's fine. It's fine.
11:30That's fine. But you know, I'm a coward with you.
11:32Exactly. We're all cowards. Before we jump into this next one, though, I'm glad, Joe, that you love this strategy, too, because
11:38I think Melo and I agree this one's going in our S tier for this episode as one of the best draft strategies for 2026.
11:45But Melo, give us our next one, which is honestly a great one as well.
11:49Yeah, this is another good one. And maybe you are a little bit of a coward like me and you want to
11:55load up on the running backs early. Screw zero.
11:57Screw hero. Let's go robust running back, grabbing three running backs in the first four or five rounds, completely locked down that running back position.
12:04Now, I will say in full point PPR and even half point PPR, it's a little bit less advantageous.
12:09One, Joe, you mentioned earlier, just in general running backs, you typically see a higher rate of injury, more injury risk in general.
12:16But also, like I mentioned, PPR, half point PPR receivers at much higher scoring position, deeper in your roster, not necessarily at the top.
12:22But like a PPR league, I'm much more likely to fill my flex spots with some receivers.
12:27So if you're grabbing running back that early, looking at starting, you know, three, four running backs, depending on your the size
12:32of your league and your roster settings, a little bit less advantageous to load up on running back.
12:37But with that said, they are the most sought after assets, especially when you get into the season.
12:42You need to start multiple. They get pretty gross and unstartable pretty quickly.
12:46It's not as deep as receiver like we mentioned.
12:48So from that perspective, you can never have too many running backs.
12:51It's like having too much money. I don't even think it's possible.
12:55I don't know, maybe somebody with a philosophy degree and a higher IQ than me can answer that question for me.
13:00But regardless, it's good to have a lot of running backs because worst scenario, if you do need receiver help later in
13:06the season, there will be no shortage of potential trade partners who are desperate to get one of your running backs.
13:12Yeah, that's a great point. I think this one to me feels like slightly riskier in terms of like team balance, obviously.
13:18And just what I would say is if you're going to go after this strategy, I would avoid picking more than one
13:24of the onesie positions, tight end and quarterback in those first few picks.
13:27And I would make sure you're loading up at wide receiver because like the last thing you want is that you're grabbing
13:33a bunch of running backs and you get Josh Allen and Colson Loveland.
13:37And then your wide receiver ones like Christian Watson.
13:39So I think this is a strategy for people who have a lot of conviction and confidence in their ability to hit
13:45the gems later at the wide receiver position. And we've talked about it ad nauseum on this show.
13:50I think the depth is great at the wide receiver position.
13:53You can get the wide receiver one overall Parker Washington so late anyways.
13:56So what's the point of drafting them early? Just want you guys to know it's going to live on the internet forever.
14:02How are we feeling about the robust running back strategy, Joe?
14:05Is that something you're doing at all in 2026?
14:08I'm not an RB robust fellow. Okay. I just, it's not, it's not my cup of tea.
14:12I prefer the hero where I lock in that one.
14:15And then I like to kind of fish around for some value there with that second running back.
14:20Because my thing is when you, when you, look, it's a passing league.
14:23That's where we are right now. I know last year it reverted a little bit back to the running back.
14:29And I actually talked about that in Fantasy Black Book last year.
14:32I was like, look, these last two years, you could see this moving a little bit towards the running back because you're
14:38getting a lot of youth and inexperience at quarterback.
14:40And you're getting a lot of over the hill guys who can't play anymore.
14:44That kind of weird in between. You know, there was supposed to be a group of quarterbacks that were supposed to take us in to this era.
14:51And they haven't. And you know, the Andrew Lux of the world retired.
14:55Like what was supposed to be at this juncture, the guys who were the Brady's and the Breeze's, like they're not there.
15:01All right. They're all gone. So now you're in a much different span because you're dealing with these guys who are year
15:06one rookie starters more often than not when they have the big draft capital.
15:10And there's a huge learning curve. I think it's going to be a little bit better this year.
15:15I think this year quarterback and, you know, when you start a quarterback and work your way out, it gives you a
15:21much better idea of what the pool is going to be and which offenses you should invest in.
15:26But for me, if you go robust RB, you miss out on so much of those wide receivers in a passing league
15:32that you end up in a deficit because those are the guys that have these massive weeks sometimes that will just on their own win you a week.
15:39When Jamar Chase, you know, drops 11 catches for 148 and two touchdowns.
15:43Yeah. It's game over. You know what I mean?
15:45Those kind of things. And it's not that the RBs can't have those days.
15:49God knows Jonathan Taylor was scoring touchdowns in a glorious clip last year.
15:53We all thought it was unsustainable. I know so many people that traded him like in October and it just kept going
15:58and they just hated their life because they just couldn't fathom that it could continue.
16:02But I do think you're going to see it revert back a little bit more and the learning curve go a little bit more.
16:09And you're going to see more and more of these RB by committee stuff, too, where they just don't know who it is.
16:15And it's going to be frustrating and fancy. So missing out on those top tier wide receivers, you better have a plan.
16:21And I just don't know if some of those offenses are prolific enough in the middle to get some of those guys.
16:27Like maybe Christian Watson can become a wide receiver one.
16:30Maybe. But you're asking a lot of things to break right for that to happen.
16:34His health. Jordan loves performance. Offensive line staying healthy.
16:36Yada, yada, yada. So it's just a lot you're asking, I think, of that task.
16:40I love. I don't know if you know Matthew Betts from the Fancy Footballers.
16:44Sure. We had him on the show. I've had Matthew on many shows.
16:47Great. Matthew's the best. How dare you see other guests behind my back?
16:51We're supposed to tell him, Mitch. That's on me.
16:53No, he's great. Matt is fantastic. Something I always love that he says, and this is more best ball specific, but he
16:59says you want to minimize the amount of things you need to get right.
17:03And I think that was so perfectly put right there.
17:06It's like you don't want to need to have nine things break right for Christian Watson to become your wide receiver one, these other things to work out.
17:13And so I think that just goes back to what we kind of said at the beginning of this tip.
17:19Is that you need to make sure you have a plan and you need to make sure you're actually getting wide receivers
17:25in those spots where you're not drafting running back early because we didn't even include zero wide receiver on this list for a reason.
17:31I think that draft strategy is going to completely burn you in 2026.
17:35Oh, yeah. That's not an option. I don't think that qualifies as a strategy.
17:38Yeah. Yeah. I've never seen anybody do it, but I guess that's just the inverse of robust RB where you're going to
17:44like you're trying to look down the trough at wide receiver.
17:47And realistically, like when does that start? I mean, are you starting with Garrett Wilson as your one or are you pushing
17:53all the way down to I will say this.
17:56There is a world this year where at wide receiver 23 DJ Moore and Terry McLaurin bounces back.
18:00And like maybe you can make it work with a couple of these veteran guys.
18:04But I think what's going to happen is people will say this is the Marvin Harrison here.
18:09OK, we've been saying that a couple of times.
18:11It hasn't worked yet. This is the Brian Thomas bounce back.
18:14Like you've got to have something. Alec Pierce is the guy that Indianapolis is paying him to be.
18:19Maybe, but we don't know. And I think that makes it very difficult to pull off.
18:24Joe, I think you missed the report that Marvin Harrison Jr.
18:27put on 45 more pounds of muscle this summer.
18:29So I think he is a wide receiver one.
18:31If that's all it takes, man, if that's all it takes.
18:34I'm going to hit the gym again, you know, tomorrow morning and just keep packing on that muscle.
18:39Yeah, we can probably get you out there for the Raiders at this point.
18:43But before we move on to the next one, though, Melo, I think we're in agreement.
18:47This is going to go A tier. This isn't as good as Hero RB, but I think we're feeling pretty strongly about
18:53loading up at running back this season. I agree with the contingency that you should also address receiver early as opposed to getting a onesie.
19:00Like if you're going true robust running back early, I would not grab one of the highest quarterbacks or tight ends.
19:06100%. This next one, we're cheating a little bit.
19:08It's kind of a strategy, but to me, it's more of a philosophy.
19:11Let's talk about tier-based rankings, which for anyone who doesn't know is drafting based on positional tiers, understanding where you believe there's a drop-off out of position.
19:19And if all players from that position have been taken in the tier you're looking at, attack another position.
19:24And I think this one is timeless. This isn't 2026, 2025.
19:27This is just a really good mindset to have when you're in a draft so that you don't go reaching on players
19:33and you have to find guidelines on how you actually value these guys because we all know everyone's got a plan until
19:39you get punched in the mouth during a fantasy football draft.
19:42Yeah, absolutely. Look, for me, this is fantasy Black Book 101, right?
19:45Which is my rankings are quantified. So if you look at it, you know, wide receiver is not a position because everyone's got a wide receiver one.
19:52Wide receiver one is a position on your roster.
19:55Most people are going to have one. So how do you create a roster advantage?
19:59Well, what I do is something called relative position value where you're able to look at all those, you know, the top
20:0512 wide receivers, compare their fantasy points by three-year averages, by the previous season, by the projections.
20:09It all cooks them in together. And then you see a percentage where the fantasy league average at wide receiver one or RB1 or RB2, whatever that is.
20:17And you see the pluses and the minuses. And it gives you an idea of how to stay above that fantasy league average because fantasy football is simple.
20:24It's about me outproducing you on my roster from as many spots as I can on a consistent basis.
20:29And if I can do that, I'm going to win more games than I lose.
20:33So that's fantasy Black Book 101 stuff. And I would say rankings are good.
20:37Tiers are good. Quantified rankings and tiers are best.
20:40And when you start to see that, you also know where to spend your draft capital.
20:44And in auction drafts too. Why am I overspending on a player that doesn't move the needle, right?
20:49I want to make sure that I get the guys on my roster that are going to move the needle.
20:54And to some of these strategies we discussed. Just robust RB or if you want to go, you know, heavy wide receiver, however you want to.
21:01You're creating a relative position advantage. And then if you're smart enough and you're savvy enough, you can make it up later
21:07if you know the right players to take. Or you can stay in that fantasy league average at wide receiver three or
21:13RB2 depending on where the draft pivoted for you.
21:15So yeah, tiers are the best. But quantified tiers are where you can really dominate.
21:19Love that. Yeah, I love that too. And just in general, tiering, I think we're all sort of alluding to the fact.
21:25I think this is common practice, almost common sense at this point in the fantasy community, which is great.
21:30Because the alternative is this kind of like reckless idiotic drafting almost.
21:34And the other thing... Which can also be fun.
21:36Which, I mean, it can be a good time.
21:38He's counting today, Mitch. I don't know what got into Justin.
21:41Justin came prepared. I'm running on like four hours of sleep.
21:44I think it's doing good things to my brain right now, honestly.
21:48That's what it is. I'm like flu game Jordan right now.
21:51The other thing I think about with my tiers...
21:53And this more so applies in stake drafts as opposed to auctions.
21:56But I think some people are really quick to just take the highest player on their big board.
22:01It's like, oh man, I really like... You know, whoever it is.
22:04It can be anyone. I really like Brian Thomas this year.
22:07He's still available. He's my top player on my big board.
22:10I'm going to take him. But maybe that isn't the best pick if you're looking and you have five receivers in that same tier sitting there.
22:17And only one running back who's sort of the last guy in that tier.
22:21He might be the sixth guy on your big board.
22:24But if you know you can get him here and still get one of those five receivers at your next pick, that's
22:30sort of the game you should be playing in drafts.
22:32I entirely agree. And I think it should go without saying the way we've all been praising this.
22:37This is absolutely in our S tier and a philosophy you should be using for every fantasy football draft.
22:42But Mello, before you introduce our next tip, if you haven't yet, please hit that subscribe button for fantasy football tips all
22:48summer long and through the entire season. Also, make sure to go check out Fandom NFL to catch Joe and his fantasy
22:54football and general NFL content all season long. But Mello, let's introduce our next draft strategy.
22:58Let's talk about a new position here we haven't done too much of.
23:02That is elite quarterback spending high draft pick on top three, maybe top five quarterback.
23:06We'll talk about it. We'll call it top three, maybe.
23:09And for me, I think where this is most interesting is top one, that being Josh Allen, because historically he has given
23:15you a huge edge in fantasy quarterback one overall for the last six years.
23:18Even in the years he was quarterback two, there's often a very big gap between him and the quarterback three.
23:24So from a forward perspective, ceiling perspective, he has historically been a value pretty much year over year.
23:29And from that lens, I'm interested in going early quarterback if I can get Josh Allen at ADP or maybe he slips past it.
23:35But the flip side of that is I think 2026 is probably the deepest quarterbacks ever been from a fantasy football perspective.
23:41And I really want to just grab a couple quarterbacks in the double digit rounds and still feel like I have an advantage.
23:47But the flip side to my flip side is if we really get a consolidation of tears here, I still feel confident Josh Allen will be above it.
23:55So while everyone else is battling basically, you know, in a negligible range of points, whether they took the third or the
24:01fourth or the eighth quarterback off the board, you can still get that advantage with Josh Allen.
24:05So maybe you take him. I could see it going either way.
24:08I don't have a problem if someone wants to take Josh Allen at ADP.
24:12Once we start going to the quarterback two or three, that's where I'm definitely less interested in going, you know, quarterback super high.
24:18And I'm probably looking for those later round values.
24:21Yeah, I think I'm kind of in that top five.
24:24I feel like I'm kind of Josh Allen or bust.
24:26I just like so many of those late quarterbacks.
24:29And it almost feels like the Trey McBride stat of there is more points between the tight end one and tight end
24:35two than there was between the tight end two and tight end 27 last year.
24:39It just feels like you've got a huge advantage with the top guy.
24:42And then why am I spending so much of an opportunity cost to get a Drake May or a Caleb Williams when
24:48I could get similar production later on and grab some of these wide receivers that we're excited about?
24:53Yeah, I would echo those sentiments. I would say the adjustments you make is in a standard league for, you know, those
24:59of you who still enjoy fantasy football in 1997.
25:01I hear you. I'm here for you. I get it.
25:04But those standard leagues, those guys that control all the scoring in their offense, Lamar, to a certain extent, Drake May, but obviously Josh Allen, right?
25:11Jalen Hurts a couple of years ago, too, with the 18 touchdowns.
25:14That kind of stuff, right? When you're throwing all the touchdowns and you're scoring all the touchdowns, like that matters in those standard leagues because touchdowns are king.
25:22So I would just keep that in mind. If you're going to reach for a quarterback, do it in a standard league.
25:28Otherwise, I do agree with the sentiment. I just on Fandom NFL Today, part of this magnificent seven that I discussed, you
25:33know, I had a couple guys each position and one quarterback was Bo Nix.
25:37Oh, yeah. It's not pretty all the time, right?
25:40Not pretty all the time. In fact, the first half, you probably don't want to watch.
25:44You want to go out for a coffee. You want to go play with your kids.
25:48You want to just, just don't watch it. Second half, stats will be there.
25:52But it's really interesting because when you look at some of the better projection places, basically they're showing you the exact same
25:58year for him, which I think is hilarious because he's like the 15th quarterback off the board.
26:03And you're giving me the exact same season where he was basically like, you know, QB9, right?
26:07And you're telling me he's going to have less, less passing yards when they added Jalen Waddell and they showed you they want to open up this.
26:14That doesn't compute to my brain. So I went on a rant about that in the show today.
26:19I encourage everybody to go check that out because whether it's Brock Purdy or Bo Nix or, you know, some of these
26:25other folks, even if you carry this notion with you into super flex drafts, this is a year where you can very
26:31comfortably go Dijon, go Jameer, go, you know, even get to the middle.
26:35If you want to go chase or you want to go to another elite wide receiver and then start taking quarterbacks after
26:41this is the year to do it. The soft middle this year, which I like to call it in the black book is better than ever.
26:48You've got the reigning MVP. Every P is the 12th quarterback off the board.
26:51The reigning MVP. Now I get it. He's a he's he's almost as old as me.
26:56I get it, you know, and I'm old, but it doesn't matter.
26:59Like he's in a great offense with a great coach with complete continuity, with an incredible set of weapons.
27:04You can't think that, you know, everything's going to fall apart all the time.
27:08So, yes, the Bo Nix, the Brock Purdy is the Jared Goffs who every year finish.
27:12Oh, my God. NQB and nobody cares. Right. They're all free.
27:15So late round QB this year in single quarterback league is absolutely the way to go.
27:19And I think anybody who doesn't is nuts outside of the standard leagues.
27:23I it's like if I couldn't have named three more perfect quarterbacks that we've talked about on our show as Bo Nix, Brock Purdy and Jared Goff.
27:30Even later, if you think about Baker Mayfield, Mitch, right in super flex this year, coming off two years ago, he was, you know, scratching 5000 yards.
27:37Kind of thinking, oh, my God. Then you start off last year, MVP candidate and then injuries happen.
27:42Everything fell apart. Like there's just a quarterback 12.
27:45It's just crazy. It's crazy to me. It's very deep.
27:47And that's why going back and when you tie the whole stuff together, the big picture we're talking about, that's why I'm
27:53more optimistic that we're moving back away from the RB stuff, because I feel like QB healthy, better, more experienced.
27:59Some of that youth coming through to things are going to be a little bit different this year.
28:03The Cam Ward step forward. You know, the Tyler Shuck step forward that we saw last year.
28:08We're starting to see some of those younger guys start to get more comfortable at the NFL level.
28:13A thousand percent. Melo, I think we put this one in our B tier.
28:17I think if you can get the right guy at the right cost, mainly if you can get Josh Allen, then I
28:23think it's worth it to start building your team around him.
28:26But otherwise, we're trying to hit a lot of those later quarterbacks versus I love the way you put that the soft middle.
28:32We just called Bo Nix or no. Caleb Williams is expensive Bo Nix.
28:35And that's been the take we're living on. Yeah, with better nails.
28:38Yeah. Yeah. No question. We're not saying anything about Bo Nix's nails.
28:42No. No. I haven't seen them. I don't know what they are.
28:45On to our next draft strategy. Let's talk about team or quarterback stacking, which is drafting pieces from the same team, most
28:51commonly a quarterback with a pass catcher. Like, for example, Drake May and AJ Brown.
28:55We like recently discussed this in an episode talking about Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase.
28:59And so I think that this is very circumstantial.
29:01I think it makes sense when you're drafting a pocket passing quarterback like Burrow because you're taking the shot on him outperforming his ADP.
29:08And in that shot, you're expecting the Bengals offense to all come along with him because he's not going to be doing
29:14it all on the ground like, say, a Jalen Hurts or a Lamar Jackson or a Josh Allen.
29:19And so this is a great best ball strategy.
29:21If you're watching this video for best ball, put this in the SSS tier.
29:25You should be stacking your quarterback with receivers. But when I look at redraft, I sometimes think it can do a little
29:31bit more harm than good because people get all excited about stacking a quarterback with a receiver.
29:35And there's so much data behind the fact that if you've reached too far past ADP to make it happen, you're hurting
29:41yourself more than if you just drafted two guys from separate teams.
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30:26Visit homedepot.com. How doers get more done. Yeah, for me, I think this one is circumstantial, as you put it.
30:32If it falls in your lap and it makes sense, cool.
30:34Right. It's not something that I'm trying to do just, you know, I have to get this pairing.
30:39I have to get this group. It's not necessarily what you have to do.
30:43I'll give you a grade. For instance, two years ago, it worked out very well.
30:47Jake Seeley from The Athletic, a friend of mine.
30:50We used to have a radio show together for a couple years, and he runs the Flex League Championship, right, where all
30:55the experts come drafts like me and Eisenberg and Jake and all these.
30:59It's great. It's a fantastic league, really tough. I'm a three-time champion, by the way.
31:03I got the belts up there just to prove it.
31:06But one of those championship years, right, it fell into my lap in Super Flex.
31:10Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, which is a little bit odder of a pairing, where you go, oh, why would you do that?
31:16Because I control literally all the scoring of the Ravens.
31:19Because either Lamar is scoring a touchdown by passing or running, or he's handing it off to Derrick Henry and he's scoring.
31:25That's it. That's pretty much all the touchdowns save the occasional pick six.
31:28That's pretty much the Ravens offense, those two guys.
31:30So think outside the box with it, too. I'll say another interesting pairing in deeper leagues this year are Super Flex, like Tucker Craft and Jordan Love.
31:38Like, that's a pairing that's kind of a sneaky one.
31:40So not all of them are premium, necessarily. Some of them are kind of the under-the-radar ones where you should start to understand how certain offenses work.
31:48In a deeper league, too, if you really want to take a shot at tight end, I think Chigakonkwo with Jaden Daniels is a really interesting one.
31:55I love that. He's shown you his proclivity to go to the tight end.
31:59Zach Ertz, another guy, 100 years old, right? The last two years was very effective.
32:03Why? Because young quarterbacks prefer to check down sometimes and not take too much risk and just feel more comfortable throwing the ball to tight end.
32:10Chigakonkwo, younger, bigger body. You can make the argument, and especially the cost factor is, if you're wrong, who cares?
32:15But I think it's not just about the premium versions like the Derrick Henry Lamar.
32:19It's sometimes those lesser ones, too, that you're not thinking about that actually make a lot of sense as well.
32:25That sometimes if the value just comes to you and presents itself, and it's a good offensive ecosystem, then I think it's a good idea.
32:31Absolutely. First off, we love Chigakonkwo propaganda on this show.
32:34Oh, it is. I came to the right place.
32:36We are big distributors of Chigakonkwo. You're crushing it.
32:39Yeah, stacking's fun. I mean, forget strategies. It's just kind of fun.
32:42It's definitely better in best ball. I think we're all on the same page there.
32:46Yeah. It can strike terror in your league mates.
32:49I know I've woken up in the middle of the night, cold sweats, knowing I have to play Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek
32:54Hill on Monday Night Football the next day. It's just a scary thing.
32:58But the only thing I'll add about stacking, too, is particularly, I'm talking redraft here, not best ball.
33:03But people talk about, oh, it's all upside, and sure, there's a downside if the stack doesn't hit.
33:08But it's not only necessarily lowering your floor. It can also sort of cap your ceiling, particularly if you are taking multiple
33:14weapons in the same offense and starting multiple weapons in the same offense, even if you have the quarterback.
33:19Because at the end of the day, like especially in redraft, like I said, you're setting your lineup.
33:24Those guys are locked in, and there's only one ball.
33:26So you can sort of cap your upside if you're relying on multiple weapons to have a big explosion game.
33:32When really only one of them can have the ball at a time.
33:35That's a great caveat to mention is like double stacking, triple stacking is great in best ball.
33:40I would not recommend it in redraft. I would slide this one right into the C tier.
33:44I don't think this is a great one. But again, it's circumstantial if it falls to you.
33:49Like, why would you not take great value to get two guys in an offense you believe in?
33:54But Mello, let's jump into this next one. Let's talk about the tight ends, and let's talk about elite tight end.
33:59And basically the same thing as elite quarterback, but just the tight ends.
34:03You're taking a top three tight end or so early in your draft.
34:06And it actually does have a pretty good historical track record of being a league-wing strategy if you are right about who that elite tight end will be.
34:14And that is obviously the much harder part. That's the hard-hitting analysis you come to the lineup for.
34:19You have to draft good to win. Fantasy football works if you're right.
34:22If you're right, you do good. I mean, tell me where he's telling lies.
34:26Yeah. In the words of CM Punk, I don't know.
34:29I don't say anything wrong on this show. That's how I keep my professional credibility.
34:33Never once. Not so far. I got to be honest, man.
34:36You kind of crushing it today. But you look at years past, you have like Travis Kelsey obviously would go very high every year.
34:42And more often than not, it was a very good pick.
34:45He'd hit on ADP and it'd be a good strategy.
34:48I mean, just last year, if you drafted Trey McBride in the second or third rounds, that was a tremendous league winning strategy.
34:54Going into 2026, I think it's still something I am interested in because of how confident I am in both Brock Bowers and Trey McBride.
35:01Obviously, the situation with McBride in Arizona is a little bit scary, but we saw what he did last year.
35:06He can afford a dip in production and still be very, very elite.
35:10Brock Bowers in this Raiders offense with Clint Kubiak.
35:12We talk about it on the show. I am super hot and bothered by the upside that's there.
35:17So it's something I'm interested in doing definitely, but it's not necessarily something I'm going out of my way to do.
35:23Because if you're taking one of those top couple of tight ends, there's really good running backs and really good wide receivers on the board too.
35:30Yeah, for sure. To me, this is like the top two guys.
35:33I don't want to spend the elite tight end pick for where he's going right now on Colson Loveland, even though I
35:39think he's absolutely the tight end three. I just think Brock and Trey present the actual difference-making upside and the league-winning upside
35:45that I'm willing to take the shot on. Because I think for this to work, you need this guy to separate from the pack significantly.
35:51I got a question for you, Mitch. It just popped in my head.
35:55Absolutely. After my big love letter to Colson Loveland on the show today.
35:58Of those three, who's got the best and most of McBride, Loveland, and Brock Bowers, the most solidified and stable quarterback situation?
36:04It would be Colson Loveland and Caleb Williams. But I would make the argument that Trey McBride did not have a great quarterback situation last year.
36:11He had the third greatest tight end season of all time.
36:14He didn't. And asking for the repeat of that could be asking a lot.
36:18Now, I love Trey McBride. I loved him in college.
36:21He's a great human too. He's like one of these guys.
36:24Like, if you don't root for Trey McBride, something's wrong with you.
36:27Like, if you love football, Trey McBride's a dude.
36:29I think the nice thing about Loveland is that he's not going ahead of the other two, but I think he's got
36:35an equal chance to outperform both of them. And I think what's so interesting about that is, and again, this is something
36:41I mentioned on my show today on Fandom NFL, which is if you, there's like a flare gun that goes off in
36:47your draft when that first tight end goes off.
36:50And it's like, okay, if you want one, it's coming soon, so you better figure it out.
36:54Right. Now, when that is, is great because if you're in Loveland like me or you're into Tyler Warren or Tucker Crout,
37:00you start to have an idea of, okay, this is the range now where I've got to pay attention and close attention.
37:06It could start as early as round two. It could start as late as round three, depending on the league you're in and the people you're drafting with.
37:13So to me, this is the one that is the most dangerous philosophy.
37:17And you also have to come to terms with the fact that your wide receiver room might look a little different.
37:23Yeah. But you have to understand one of those tight ends is acting like your wide receiver 1A.
37:27Yes. Because that's how good they are. So you have to come to terms with that and understand it and know your
37:33limitations and know what you're good at in terms of drafting analysis in order to make this work.
37:38This is a strategy that wins you a league, but if you're not careful, it can set your roster back too.
37:44So you better really have your, you know what together in order to pull it off.
37:48And again, watch the flare gun. That's what you watch for in every league.
37:52Yeah. That tight end run happens quick. It does.
37:54It does. And you don't know exactly when because every draft is like a snowflake.
37:58They're all a little different. So whatever that value is, whatever, like you've got to see it.
38:03Look, if they all run in round two, well, okay, that's not where you want them.
38:07That's fine. But if it gets in round three and then all of a sudden you see like, you know, Trey McBride
38:13go early and then there's a wait before, you know, Brock Bowers because there's uneasiness about the quarterback situation.
38:18Look, I love Brock Bowers. He's an incredible player.
38:21But again, I love Mendoza. I'm thinking good thoughts, but I don't know yet.
38:25Kirk Cousins. Right. I think I know where we are at the stage with Kirk Cousins.
38:29We should hopefully know. We should. And there's Colston Loveland and they've showed their hand.
38:33To me, the Bears showed exactly who they want to be in the future.
38:37We'll see what Luther Byrd is. We'll see what Romadunze is.
38:40I think I know what Colston Loveland is every week.
38:42Mel, we are going to slide this one into our B tier.
38:46I think Joe put it perfectly. This is a high risk, high reward, but it truly can be league winning if you
38:51hit on the right elite tight end. And let's get into a strategy we alluded to earlier.
38:56The hero wide receiver, also known as the anchor wide receiver.
38:59We went through this with the running back position, but taking a singular wide receiver in the first round to solidify your
39:05wide receiver one so that you can spend the next few picks building depth in other positions.
39:10I don't prefer this to hero RB, mainly just because of the scarcity of the position.
39:14And I think if you do this, you kind of have to rip running back, running back afterwards.
39:19And I think it can be a really good approach if you grab a guy like Jamar or Puka or JSN.
39:24And I think it's a good year to do it because these guys, you're able to get JSN.
39:29I've been seeing them slip to like sixth or seventh after such an amazing year.
39:33You know what, Mitch? I'm having this weird PTSD year over year about JSN that I had about James Cook last year
39:39where everybody, all these really smart people in the industry, my colleagues, my friends even, can't draft James Cook.
39:44And I kept saying, why? They've changed nothing. What did they change?
39:47Like, tell me what they brought in that makes James Cook less valuable.
39:51And I'm listening to it. Well, he can't repeat the touchdowns.
39:54Well, he doesn't have to quite repeat them. Can he give me 80% of them?
39:58Well, guess what? I had James Cook everywhere last year and I was very happy I did because he came at such a discount.
40:04And I feel like we're doing that same thing.
40:07So let me get this straight. There's no other really great wide receivers there and the run game is possibly worse.
40:13I'm sorry. The only knock is Clint Kudyak leaving town.
40:15And that was enough for me to put Kuka above him.
40:18It is what they elevated from within in the play calling.
40:21So it's not like it's a new body there.
40:24You know what I mean? It's like they hired from outside.
40:27They promoted from within. So JSN discount, sign me up.
40:29I'm good. I'm with you. I don't think he should be anywhere close to outside of the top three receivers.
40:35Whether you have him at two or three to me is a moot point.
40:38Yeah, that's kind of where I'm at too because I've been as the coward we keep talking about here today.
40:44I am nervous about Clint Kudyak leaving too. We've seen coordinator changes, you know, really adversely affect people's output or their production.
40:50With that said, me being concerned isn't me saying fade JSN because I'm still taking him top five in any draft.
40:55So with that said, as it relates to the strategy of hero wide receiver, if I can get one of those top
41:01receivers and feel really good about that and then still grab a couple of running backs before you hit the running back
41:07dead zone, as some people call it. Again, it's not something I'm going out of my way to do.
41:12But if the draft falls that way, it is a great way to get really great upside, get your elite receiver who
41:18can have a game breaking type of performance. You see these top receivers do every so often, 30, 40 point a week
41:24while still getting solid production and investing solid draft capital at the running back position as well.
41:29Absolutely. I'm torn on this. Is this A tier or B tier?
41:32I think we let our guests decide this one.
41:34Yeah. I'm going to go B tier. B tier.
41:37All right. Is that okay? Is that cool? I'm with it.
41:40I'm with it. I'm a wide receiver diva myself.
41:42I just want to, you know, and most leagues are PPR now, you know?
41:46So there's more easier birth for the running back situations, more depth on these guys you can get, you know?
41:51So again, if you don't have some elite wide receivers, it's tough.
41:55And look, for those of you who hit on JSN last year, that's awesome.
41:58That doesn't happen every year where you get somebody that kind of discount.
42:02Well, Joe, I have a feeling you're going to love this next one because this is robust wide receiver.
42:07We call this the Joe draft strategy here. I don't know.
42:10It feels like you guys are not going to like it as much as I do from some of these conversations, but we'll see.
42:16Spoiler, I do like it. Probably not as much as you, but if you haven't caught on yet, it's just drafting receiver heavy early.
42:23We'll call it three receivers in the first four or five rounds, completely locked down that receiver position.
42:28This draft strategy, I feel like, has been all the rage the last few years, at least compared to what it was maybe five, ten years ago.
42:35So people the last couple of years have been acquiring or accumulating wide receivers early in drafts like as some sort of life-saving medication.
42:41And ironically, it's like it would have been the right thing to do maybe five, ten years ago.
42:46But like you mentioned, Joe, like we've seen teams start to shift more run-heavy offenses, at least compared to what they were a few years prior to that.
42:54And we've seen these two tight end sets, and the game has shifted a little bit.
42:58So it really hasn't worked out, at least to the extent that people had hoped for the last couple of years.
43:04And now we're seeing these running backs start to get drafted a little early again, and people starting to prioritize running back
43:10again, because there's such scarcity at the position. But like we've talked about with a couple of these strategies, sometimes you do
43:16want to zig while other people zag. And if you're able to load up on wide receiver early, hit on some of
43:22your picks later at running back in some of these other positions, I think that is a fine strategy to take.
43:27With that said, it's obviously risky if you're fading running back by loading up on receiver early.
43:32And with that said, the one thing I would definitely recommend if you're going robust wide receiver is to wait on your onesies.
43:38I'm probably not grabbing one of the first few tight ends or quarterback if I'm really going truly wide receiver heavy early on.
43:44Yeah, I feel like I have a general rule.
43:47I want to leave round five with two running backs.
43:49And so I fully agree with that. I agree that it's a good strategy, and it's a strategy that was working for a few years there.
43:56The last couple of years, obviously, that pivot because of the experience of the quarterback, again, it's something that I tried to
44:02drive home for people in the Black Book the last two years.
44:05It was like, hey, quarterback's ugly a little bit, you know, especially that bottom group, especially in Superflex.
44:10So that means the ripple effect is scoring is not going to be what you think it is necessarily.
44:15You're going to see some reversions or you're going to see some, you know, back to basics kind of football.
44:21And you saw a lot of that the last two seasons.
44:24I do think that swings back a little bit.
44:26That being said, I don't think this pool, the way it's lined up in ADP at least, in the consensus really lends
44:32itself to building a good roster that way. I think it's more of a C this year than what you guys do.
44:38But it's also a, if the value falls to you and it makes sense, again, you're creating a relative position value advantage.
44:44It's not terrible. Just you have to have a plan.
44:47That's all. Like everything else. It's kind of like to Justin's point.
44:50Absolutely. All right. We're going to slide that one in C tier.
44:53Speaking of value, perfect segue into our final draft strategy.
44:56ADP arbitrage, which is in layman's terms, the best available approach.
44:59You're just picking players each round based on who's fallen the most past ADP and kind of often ignoring your positional needs.
45:05Before I give like my actual opinion on this, I just want to say I find this the least fun strategy.
45:10A ball in fantasy football. Interesting. I just don't think you have any conviction on anyone.
45:15You're just kind of like clicking the highest button in your draft the whole time.
45:19And I don't know. I feel like it takes part of the fun away from it, but I actually don't think it's
45:25the worst strategy because I think consensus ADP gets sharper and sharper every year.
45:28And if you're consistently getting values below where they're going in drafts, like you're bound to hit on some guys.
45:34I just, it's not a strategy I would ever rely on to win my draft.
45:38I think it's one that you implement at certain times because you're noticing guys falling too far past their ADP.
45:43I wouldn't do it blindly because the rankings on some sites are better than others and worse than others.
45:48Yeah. So that's the other thing. I would say if you have your guys and let's say like if you can leave
45:54the first five rounds with, you know, five of your top 50 guys, then that's good.
45:58So getting your guys is important more than it is necessarily the ADP arbitrage of it.
46:03If certain players that you don't love, I mean, I'll give you a, for instance, it was a couple of years ago
46:09when Josh Jacobs was still playing for the Raiders.
46:11I remember nobody wanted him in this draft and he kept falling and falling and falling.
46:15And I'm like, I can't. And I was like, you know what?
46:19I love Josh Jacobs, but he shouldn't be there anymore.
46:21And I priced and that was the year he went bananas for the Raiders.
46:25And I was glad that I did it because I think at certain points you just have price enforcing to a degree
46:31is important with players that have a track record, regardless of the fact you like them or don't like them.
46:36But just kind of clicking the top guy off the board every time isn't a strategy.
46:41That's just kind of lazy fantasy, especially site to site.
46:43You're going to find different rankings and different issues.
46:46So if you don't work on your own rankings, it can be a lot trickier.
46:50So don't love it. But to the degree of getting the best player, screw whatever the positions are, that I am for.
46:56Because the draft is for one thing, acquiring talent on your roster and as much of it as you can.
47:01And then you can figure out the rest later.
47:04Yeah. Yeah. I think especially like you said, if you have your convictions and you're actually getting your guys in, especially if
47:10you're getting them at a discount, I think there's definitely high upside there.
47:13You know, a lot of if you're truly going after your guys, I don't have a problem with that.
47:18But like you said, too, you don't want to just be clicking top guy on the board because he's eight picks past
47:24what some consensus rankings or some jerk like me online said is the right guy to take.
47:29Like that is probably what I wouldn't do. I think ironically, though, if you're truly like mindlessly just taking best available, I
47:35certainly don't think that's a winning strategy. But I also think it might be the best strategy for not losing because consensus
47:41is typically solid enough where, you know, you're not going to have your convictions and then be so wrong that you're terrible.
47:46So if you're just in some degenerate home league and you're trying to avoid like getting a tattoo or eating 74 hot
47:52dogs in a week or something disgusting like that, by all means, do what you got to do.
47:57But I just don't like it as a winning strategy.
48:00Shout out our guy. Some of those things are rough, man.
48:03Do you play in leagues like that? You guys were?
48:06Yeah, we had a buddy in college eat 74 hot dogs.
48:09Yeah, it was awesome when we were all living like 10 feet from each other.
48:13Yeah, you could like come over and he's just eating hot dogs.
48:16I don't know why I mean, I don't think it's as good to live after that close to him.
48:21Yeah, you can ask him. But I think if you are blindly doing ADP arbitrage, this to me is a D tier.
48:27If you're using it selectively and taking guys you have conviction on, I think it's circumstantial and it can be a good strategy.
48:33But those were 10 of the best draft strategies for 2026 in fantasy football.
48:37I want to give a huge thank you to our very, very, very special guest, Joe, for tuning in.
48:42Make sure to check out Fandom NFL. And Joe, do you have anything left to plug before we get out of here?
48:48Nah, I plugged the hell out of here. Look, this was super fun.
48:51I'm so glad you guys asked me to come on and I appreciate you reaching out to me, Mitch, last week too.
48:57Absolutely. It's great to meet Justin. Incredible work today by you.
49:00It's all downhill for here the rest of the season.
49:03It most certainly is. Yeah. But you know what?
49:05Like, it's great to see folks like, you know, and I started in this business, gosh, I mean, almost 17 years ago now.
49:12Right. And, you know, everything from Sirius XM radio all the way through all these different companies over the years and stuff
49:17like that to see what it's become and to see folks like you out there with their own channels and stuff like that.
49:24It's inspiring. It's awesome. It's kick ass. And I'm just so proud to see what the industry's become with a lot of
49:30smart people doing their own thing because it wasn't an option years ago.
49:33And now look at me. Old guy's got to start his own thing.
49:37So go check out Fandom NFL. Go buy a fantasy black book.
49:40Check out the RPV rankings on Amazon and keep watching shows like this because Mitch and Justin know what they're doing.
49:45And it's a great show. That's the best outro ever.
49:48I appreciate it so much, Joe. Before we get out of here, as always, Mello, do we miss anything?
49:53I'm definitely done for the day. All right. We'll catch you guys next episode.

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