NegativeProjectionTue, August 4, 2026Listen 22:27 – 25:12
Drake Maye headshot

Maye's high deep-ball completion rate is likely to regress toward the mean.

Drake MayeQBNE

JJ Zachariason warns that Drake Maye's 58% completion rate on deep passes (15+ air yards) is likely to regress. Historical data for quarterbacks with similar high-efficiency deep-ball seasons shows an average 7% drop in completion rate and a 1.2 point-per-game decline in fantasy production the following year.

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View Drake Maye 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insights
Source transcript excerpt
Of those 24 quarterbacks who had year over year 30 or more deep ball throws with a 53% completion rate, they average a drop in completion rate of 7 percentage points.
Common questions

Drake Maye fantasy football FAQ

What did The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast say about Drake Maye?
JJ Zachariason warns that Drake Maye's 58% completion rate on deep passes (15+ air yards) is likely to regress. Historical data for quarterbacks with similar high-efficiency deep-ball seasons shows an average 7% drop in completion rate and a 1.2 point-per-game decline in fantasy production the following year.
Is this good or bad for Drake Maye's fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Drake Maye (QB NE). Maye's high deep-ball completion rate is likely to regress toward the mean.
Where can I see Drake Maye's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Drake Maye's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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