NegativeProjectionTue, June 30, 2026Listen 23:58 – 24:25
Matthew Stafford headshot

Stafford's 8% TD rate is a glaring regression risk despite top-10 draft value.

Matthew StaffordQBLAR

Matthew Stafford's touchdown rate is identified as one of the most glaringly obvious regression spots this year. Despite posting an almost 8% TD rate and not rushing, he is not being drafted as a top-10 quarterback, suggesting the market may be undervaluing his regression risk or overvaluing other QBs.

View Matthew Stafford 2026 fantasy football value pagePlayer profile with fantasy value, ADP, projections, news, and source-backed STACKED insights
Source transcript excerpt
One thing that's really interesting, and this is not a catchable target situation, but like Matthew Stafford's touchdown rate is one of the most glaringly obvious regression spots this year. But for the first time, a quarterback who doesn't rush, who had like an almost 8% touchdown rate, he's not being drafted. It's like a top 10 guy.
Common questions

Matthew Stafford fantasy football FAQ

What did The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast say about Matthew Stafford?
Matthew Stafford's touchdown rate is identified as one of the most glaringly obvious regression spots this year. Despite posting an almost 8% TD rate and not rushing, he is not being drafted as a top-10 quarterback, suggesting the market may be undervaluing his regression risk or overvaluing other QBs.
Is this good or bad for Matthew Stafford's fantasy football value?
STACKED tags this as a negative fantasy football signal for Matthew Stafford (QB LAR). Stafford's 8% TD rate is a glaring regression risk despite top-10 draft value.
Where can I see Matthew Stafford's full 2026 fantasy outlook, projections, and ADP?
Matthew Stafford's complete 2026 fantasy football outlook — projections, ADP movement across every platform, injury context, and all source-backed STACKED insights — is on their STACKED player profile.
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