NFL Fantasy - The Athletic on Brian Thomas Jr.

Brian Thomas overpriced at WR30; 2025 collapse, poor Lawrence chemistry, system change.

Brian Thomas is overpriced at ADP WR30 consensus versus the source's WR42 ranking. His 2025 collapse shocked the source: he was WR47 in PPR points per game in 2024 but collapsed in 2025. The team doesn't believe he is a versatile receiver; he ran mostly deep routes with yards per target climbing to 14.2 from 11.4, the latter being the optimal zone. Tape evaluators have proven Trevor Lawrence has zero chemistry with Thomas, who doesn't know when to run a crisp route or when to improvise based on coverage. With a new head coach (Liam Coen) since his 2024 breakout and mostly a new quarterback, the source can't put as much stock into 2024 as the market does.

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