NBC Sports Rotoworld on Christian McCaffrey

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McCaffrey posted just the second 400 EP season of the last quarter-century. He also holds the only other 400 EP season. He averaged 23.6 expected points per game last year. That fell to 16 in Week 1.
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McCaffrey's 16 EP in Week 1 down from 23.6 average; underperformed expectations.

McCaffrey posted 16 expected points in Week 1, down from his 23.6 expected points per game average in 2025 when he led the league. While his 16 EP ranked 14th among running backs, the concern is efficiency: he cleared expectations by 0.8 points per game in 2025 but fell short by 2.2 points in Week 1. Kaelon Black ate into his role with 14 attempts, though McCaffrey remained a target-dominator with eight passing-game opportunities. McCaffrey's season will be a bust if he remains an average producer with a low-end RB1 workload, as he historically beats his fantasy expectations with ease.

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