Yahoo Fantasy Football on Christian McCaffrey

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McCaffrey posted just the second 400 EP season of the last quarter-century. He also holds the only other 400 EP season. He averaged 23.6 expected points per game last year. That fell to 16 in Week 1. The worry for McCaffrey isn't that the workload is bad. His 16 expected points in Week 1 were the 14th-most among running backs. Kaelon Black ate into his role to the tune of 14 attempts, but CMC remained a target-dominator with eight opportunities in the passing game. The concern is that McCaffrey used to beat his fantasy expectations with ease. He cleared it by .8 points per game in 2025 and was held under expectation by 2.2 points in Week 1.
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Negative signalProjection

McCaffrey's expected points dropped 30% (23.6 to 16); underperformed expectations by 2.2 points.

McCaffrey's expected points fell from 23.6 per game in 2025 (when he posted the second 400 EP season in 25 years) to 16 in Week 1. While his 16 EP ranked 14th among running backs, the concern is that he used to beat his fantasy expectations by 0.8 points per game in 2025 but fell short by 2.2 points in Week 1. Kaelon Black ate into his role with 14 attempts, though McCaffrey remained a target-dominator with eight passing-game opportunities. McCaffrey's season will go down as a bust if he is an average producer with a low-end RB1 workload.

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