ESPN Fantasy Football on Aaron Jones

ArticleMatchup rankings for Week 4: Warren, McMillan among those to upgrade
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Game script could be a big factor here, which is why Jones gets the nod despite pedestrian 3.9 yards per carry and 11.6 fantasy points per game averages. The Vikings are favored by 11.5, but the game has an over/under of 38.5.
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Game script favors Jones for RB2 production despite modest season averages.

Jones gets the nod for Week 4 despite pedestrian 3.9 yards per carry and 11.6 fantasy points per game averages, due to favorable game script. The Vikings are favored by 11.5 against Miami with an over/under of 38.5. Over the past three years, nine teams favored by more than 10 with a sub-40 over/under all won, and their primary running backs averaged 14.8 fantasy points, 16.2 carries and 18.9 touches. Jones' 67% snap share and 61% carry share suggest he'll capitalize with fantasy RB2 caliber numbers.

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