Source + player page
Establish The Run fantasy football takes on Patrick Mahomes
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from Establish The Run about Patrick Mahomes.
4
Insights
0
Positive
4
Negative
Insight ledger
All Establish The Run insights about Patrick Mahomes
NegativeProjectionJul 28, 2026
Mahomes' scramble rate was abnormally high last season and is expected to decline significantly; the Chiefs removed quarterback sneaks from the playbook after his high ankle sprain injury years ago, and he won't be running much. The receiver core is not impressive—Travis Kelsey is aging, Rasheed Rice is talented but inconsistent, and Xavier Worthy remains unproven. The offense is being built around Kenneth Walker at running back, making it more run-heavy. From a math perspective, Mahomes may look better with fewer passing attempts, but Silva prefers other quarterbacks in that range like Trevor Lawrence, Herbert, and Dart.NegativeProjectionJul 28, 2026
Mahomes is practicing in full seven and a half months after ACL surgery, rolling out both ways and throwing on the run, which is impressive recovery progress. However, Evan Silva ranks him at 120 overall, well behind the home league ADP of 100 overall. Silva's concern is that Mahomes admitted he ran too much last year—a massive part of his fantasy success—and his scramble rate was off the charts compared to his normal baseline. The Chiefs may reduce his rushing volume following his injury, similar to how they removed the quarterback sneak from the playbook after his previous high ankle sprain.NegativeValueJul 8, 2026
Patrick Mahomes is going too close in ADP to elite dual-threat quarterbacks like Jaden Daniels, Drake May, and Jalen Hurts, suggesting he may be overvalued relative to those players.NegativeProjectionJun 1, 2026
Patrick Mahomes has fallen 3.9 spots to 92 overall, raising concerns about his ability to scramble post-knee surgery and his overall fantasy production. There are cleaner quarterback options available at his ADP.