PodcastFrom Fantasy Football Today
FFT Express - Fantasy Football ADP Busts! Biggest Draft Mistakes in Every Round (06/18 Fantasy Football Podcast)
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.
12 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jun 18, 2026
Published
Thu, June 18, 2026
10
Player insights
10
Players mentioned
Topics
Breece HallCaleb WilliamsChristian McCaffreyJameson WilliamsJordyn TysonKenneth GainwellMichael PittmanRJ HarveySaquon BarkleyTrayvon Henderson
Player analysis
Player insights
Breece Hall
NegativeValue0:03
Hall at 27th overall is too high because you're drafting him at his ceiling; while there's optimism about his return to peak form and improved coaching, the report that Aaron Glenn wants to use all three running backs is concerning.
Insight pageCaleb Williams
NegativeValue0:08
Williams at QB 6 is overvalued; while the analyst loves him, he hasn't performed like a top-6 QB yet and is being treated as if he already has, similar to Drake May last year who was QB 12-13 in ADP.
Insight pageChristian McCaffrey
NegativeValue0:01
McCaffrey at sixth overall is concerning due to being a 30-year-old running back coming off a 450 total touch season in 2024 after playing only four games in 2025; analyst would rather have St. Brown and Taylor over him.
Insight pageJameson Williams
NegativeValue0:07
Williams at 50th overall is too early; analyst believes he has an opportunity to be a borderline number two receiver but would prefer to draft him as a number three receiver.
Insight pageJordyn Tyson
NegativeInjury0:07
Tyson should not be drafted at this point due to a hamstring injury and the fact that he had injury concerns coming into the NFL; analyst hopes they're being cautious but is concerned about soft tissue injury issues.
Insight pageKenneth Gainwell
PositiveValue0:11
Gainwell at RB 32 in round eight is good value; analyst initially thought he was bad value but was convinced by Ty Bowles calling him a 1B running back, and he belongs around 90th overall.
Insight pageMichael Pittman
NegativeValue0:10
Pittman in round eight is questionable value due to going to a new team; Aaron Rodgers wasn't great for his receivers last year, and analyst would much rather have Chris Godwin than Pittman going into the season.
Insight pageRJ Harvey
NegativeValue0:08
Harvey is overvalued in round seven; he may not be the best running back on his team, struggled in the first 10 games when J.K. Dobbins was healthy, and is now dealing with a shoulder injury while Jonah Coleman adds to the backfield competition.
Insight pageSaquon Barkley
NegativeValue0:02
Barkley at the top of round two is overvalued; analyst would rather have A-Chan, Hampton, and Ken Walker due to offensive line concerns (group is a year older with injury issues) and chasing his 2,000-yard season from two years ago.
Insight pageTrayvon Henderson
NegativeValue0:07
Henderson at RB21 (51st overall) is overvalued; while he was good at times last year, he cannot be great unless Ramondre Stevenson gets hurt or there's a significant role change.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00Hey, before we jump back into the show, let's take a quick break.
0:04But not just any break. This is a refreshing break with Snapple.
0:09We all know about Snapple's iconic real facts. So let's take a minute to go over some of my faves.
0:15Snapple Real Fact 1983. The first player drafted to play pro football never played in the league.
0:21Snapple Real Fact 1119. The Grand Canyon could hold about 900 trillion footballs.
0:26Snapple Real Fact 2064. The first college football game broadcast on TV was on September 30th, 1939.
0:31Snapple Real Fact 1896. The tradition of playing football on Thanksgiving originated with college football in 1876.
0:37So grab a Snapple, take a second and enjoy the moment because let's be honest, this might be the most refreshing part of your day.
0:46Snapple, make your break more interesting. All right, now let's get back to the show.
0:51In sports, the tape never tells the whole story.
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1:18A look at early ADP and the worst values so far right now on FFT Express.
1:24All right, we're looking at the worst values on Fantasy Pros.
1:28PPR overall average draft position will go round by round.
1:31Here we go. Round one, Gibbs, Bijon, Chase, Puka, JSN, McCaffrey, St.
1:35Brown, Taylor, Gentty, Jefferson, James Cook, CeeDee Lamb. It's McCaffrey for me.
1:39I would rather have St. Brown and Taylor, for example, over McCaffrey.
1:43Not by much. But I think when you just talk about what the negatives are for him, we know what the positives.
1:51If he stays healthy, he hopefully will be great.
1:54But you're talking about a 30-year-old running back coming off a 450 total touch season.
1:59That's a lot to ask for a guy that last time we saw this over 400 total touches in 2023.
2:062024, he only played four games. So I'm a little bit concerned about McCaffrey.
2:10I would not take him at sixth overall. We just did a whole show on discounts.
2:16Players that had disappointing 2024, 2025 seasons and now are discounted in 2026.
2:20It's amazing to me that Ashton Gentty is still 10th overall after how disappointing he was.
2:26I thought that's where you were going to go.
2:29But I think he said I just don't know Jamie very well.
2:33No, I would take him in round two, but McCaffrey at sixth overall is a little concerning.
2:39All right, next round. We've got Barkley, Chase Brown, A-Chan, Devon A-Chan, Hampton, Kenneth Walker.
2:44Drake London, Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, Derek Henry, A.J.
2:47Brown, Nico Collins, and Jeremiah Love. Yeah, I'm going to start at the top with Saquon Barkley.
2:53I would rather have A-Chan than Barkley still. I would rather have Hampton than Barkley, and I'd rather have Ken Walker than Barkley.
3:01I'm excited that Barkley is going to get more involved in the passing game.
3:05But I think, again, we're chasing his 2,000-yard season from two years ago.
3:10We have offensive line concerns because that group is a year older and was really struggling with injuries last year.
3:17System change, which I think, again, will be a benefit to him.
3:21But I would rather have Barkley toward the middle to the end of round two than at the top of round two.
3:28Okay, let's go to 25 and beyond. Pickens, round three.
3:32Pickens, Josh Allen, Brees Hall, Chris Olave, Rasheed Rice, Devontae Smith, Kyron Williams, Travis Etienne A-Chan, Javante Williams, Malik Neighbors, Zay Flowers, and Lad McConkie.
3:40A lot to choose from here. Yeah, I hate a lot of these players in this range at their cost.
3:47I'm actually going to go with – Brees Hall's just too high.
3:51Look, there's a lot to like about him. I think he gets back closer to what we've seen when he's at his peak.
3:59I don't like the report that Aaron Glenn wants to use all three running backs.
4:04I think that's more coach-speak than anything else. But I think the offense will be better.
4:09I think the coaching will be better. I'm hopeful that Brees Hall will stay healthy.
4:14But taking him at 27th overall, you're drafting him at really what his ceiling is, and I think that's just too soon.
4:22I think I – Brees Hall – does Brees Hall have a Steve Holt quality to it?
4:28And has someone else done that before? I need to know because I said Brees Hall and I thought, Steve Holt.
4:35So I don't even need some help from the people.
4:38All right, round four. That's what you get on this podcast.
4:42Garrett Wilson, T. Higgins, Tedderall McMillan, Emeka Abuka. I like it so far.
4:46Josh Jacobs, Colston Loveland, Luther Burden, Cam Scadaboo, Terry McLaurin, Jalen Waddell, David Montgomery, Devontae Adams.
4:52A lot of guys who should be going round three comparatively to round four.
4:57For me, it's Jalen Waddell. I know it's at the end of round four.
5:01I just don't expect him to perform at the same heights that Dave does barring an injury.
5:07But if everybody stays healthy in Denver, we've seen the target leader max out at about 130 targets over the last two years with Bo Nix.
5:16That was without a Cortland Sutton pairing with Jalen Waddell.
5:19That was with Cortland Sutton leading the team. So I think Waddell will be good.
5:25I think he's going to be a very good number two wide receiver.
5:29I would not draft him. I think he's okay at wide receiver 23, but I would not draft him here in round four.
5:37Quick commercial break. When we come back, rounds five and more on Fantasy Football Today.
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6:35Get started today. All right. Welcome back. I'm looking at the worst ADPs in early ADP on Fantasy Pro's overall PPR rankings.
6:43Or ADP rather, not rankings. I think I said ADP enough times.
6:47I should have known that. Okay. Round five. Lamar Jackson, Jamison Williams, Travion Henderson, DeAndre Swift, DJ Moore, Quinshawn Judkins, Mike Evans,
6:54Bejal Tootin, Christian Watson, Bucky Irving, Joe Burrow, Rome Odunze.
6:58Yeah. A few guys going too early. I'll just put the two at the top, number two and number three on this list.
7:05Jamison Williams. We talked about this on the rankings debate show that we did on Monday.
7:11I think he's got an opportunity to still be a borderline number two receiver.
7:16I would prefer to draft him as a number three receiver, and I would not take him in 50th overall.
7:22And then Travion Henderson. Look, he was good at times last year.
7:27I don't think he can be great unless Ramondre Stevenson gets hurt or there's a significant role change.
7:33So Henderson would not be somebody I'm taking at RB21 at 51st overall.
7:37And we're into round six. Carnell Tate, Drake May, Jadarian Price, Tyler Warren, Jaden Daniels, Marvin Harrison Jr., Parker Washington, Caleb Williams,
7:45Brian Thomas Jr., Jalen Warren, Jordan Tyson, and Chuba Hubbard.
7:48Yeah, some questionable values in this round as well.
7:51I'll just go with the guy at the bottom in Jordan Tyson.
7:55I don't like the fact that he's not healthy right now for a guy that had an injury question coming into the NFL.
8:03So hopefully they're just being cautious and this hamstring injury is not something that's going to linger.
8:09But we have soft tissue injury already for, again, a guy that will struggle with it at Arizona State.
8:15Jordan Tyson should not be drafted at this point.
8:18I'm not sure Caleb Williams should either. Man, I love Caleb Williams, but it's almost like, you know, think about Drake May last year.
8:26Drake May was something like QB 12 or 13 in ADP.
8:30We were projecting, hoping for the big year. Caleb Williams hasn't done that yet.
8:35It's being treated like he already has, I think, to go QB 6 when there's so many great values.
8:41It's been frustrating, honestly, because I want to draft.
8:44Caleb Williams. I just don't think I should when I like, I mean, we keep going here.
8:50Jalen Hurts is the first pick of round seven.
8:53DK Metcalf, Justin Herbert, Alec Pierce, Ramondre Stevenson, Dak Prescott, Cortland Sutton, Tony Pollard, Trevor Lawrence, R.J.
8:59Harvey, Mekhi Lemon, Tucker Craft. Yeah, it's R.J. Harvey.
9:02You know, just a guy that may not be the best running back on his team.
9:08We saw last year in the first 10 games of the season when J.K.
9:12Dobbins was healthy. R.J. Harvey was struggling to be a productive fantasy option.
9:17He did very well when Dobbins got hurt, but a lot of it was his touchdown as opposed to what he was doing as a rusher.
9:26You add in Jonah Coleman. You have Harvey now dealing with the shoulder injury.
9:30I'm going to guess he slides a little bit after this news, but I would not be taking R.J.
9:37Harvey here either. Okay, last round for this show.
9:40It's a fun exercise, by the way. Kenneth Gainwell, Rico Dowdle.
9:44We're in round eight. Gainwell, Dowdle, Michael Wilson, Jackson Dart, Quentin Johnston, Matthew Stafford.
9:49By the way, Quentin Johnston is wide receiver 40, if you're curious.
9:53Matthew Stafford is QB 12. I'll say the names again.
9:56RB 32, Kenneth Gainwell, Rico Dowdle, Michael Wilson, Jackson Dart, Quentin Johnston, Matthew Stafford, Michael Pittman, Patrick Mahomes, Jaden Reed, Chris Godwin, Harold Fannin Jr., and Brock Purdy.
10:06There's really not anybody that stands out that's like just bad value.
10:10It's probably Pittman just because, again, going to a new team.
10:13Aaron Rodgers was good at times last year, but he wasn't necessarily great for his receivers.
10:19And so does Pittman have an opportunity? You've talked about this a lot.
10:23Does he make more sense for Rodgers at this point because of the routes that he'll run?
10:29And that might be the case. But I think when you start to look at some of the receivers in this range,
10:37like I would much rather have Chris Godwin than Michael Pittman just going into the season.
10:42That might not be what ends up happening by the end of the year.
10:47But I think Godwin's just in a better spot with what his role is in Tampa Bay with Baker Mayfield by comparison, especially without Mike Evans there.
10:56So a lot of good values here, especially for the tight ends.
11:00You know, if you can get one of these tight ends at this spot, especially once you go a little bit further
11:08than some of the names you listed with Kyle Pitts and Sam LaPorta, that's fantastic.
11:13But I don't think there's really anything like tremendously that jumps off the page like this is just bad value at this spot.
11:20Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that should be the case, right?
11:24I originally thought Kenneth Gainwell was bad value, but to hear Ty Bowles talk about it, you know, call him a 1B running back.
11:32I think I was probably wrong on that. And he belongs around 90th overall.
11:37And that is it for Fantasy Football Today Express.
11:40Thanks for watching and listening. Talk to you tomorrow on Fantasy Football Today.
11:44Don't podcasts.
