FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast

Evan Ingram is positioned as a tight end one play for Week 7 against Arizona; he ranks second on the Denver Broncos in target per route run rate at 23% with a strong 1.89 yards per route run, and Arizona has given up the fifth-most yards per target and fourth-most fantasy points per opportunity to opposing tight ends, making this a favorable matchup.

Mason Taylor was the clear number one tight end for the Jets last week and faces the Miami Dolphins in Week 7, who have given up the second-most yards per target and third-most fantasy points per opportunity to opposing tight ends, making him a strong play for the week.

Mike Gesicki has underperformed against the Steelers, recording three receptions for 37 yards and one touchdown in one game, and two receptions in another, indicating he is not a reliable target against Pittsburgh's defense despite the matchup advantage tight ends typically enjoy.

Harold Fannin Jr. found the end zone on three of 27 targets against the Steelers, and the source recommends him as a tight end streamer for Week 7, capitalizing on Pittsburgh's historically poor tight end defense where tight ends have hit double-digit PPR points in 50% of games against them.

Tyler Warren exemplifies the Steelers' vulnerability to tight ends; he recorded nine targets, seven receptions, and 83 yards in a recent game, demonstrating the matchup advantage tight ends have exploited against Pittsburgh's defense.

The source argues Malik Washington is disrespected at wide receiver 42 in ECR despite being wide receiver 37 in fantasy points per game and producing at a borderline WR2 level. Coming off two straight top-36 weeks (WR 35 and 23), Washington has not scored a touchdown; the source demonstrates that adding a single touchdown to his weekly stat lines would place him in the WR2-3 range (12-18 PPR points). He's averaging 1.5+ rushing attempts over the last four weeks, has a 27.7% target share, nearly 30% first-read share, and 1.93 yards per route run—elite volume metrics.

Blake Corum had a strong performance last week against Arizona Cardinals as an RB2, scoring via the air as well. The Cardinals defense allowed significant production to opposing running backs, supporting consideration for Corum in similar matchups.

RJ Harvey bet the over for receptions and receiving yards; recommended as a top 24 running back start in PPR leagues for Week 7 with ECR 27. High target per route run share suggests Bo Nix is relying on him heavily despite Nix's poor quarterback play.

Patrick Mahomes had a bye week and is being compared to Aaron Rodgers in a QB1 finish discussion, with Rodgers preferred.

Bo Nix appears to have RJ Harvey as his best friend on the field, suggesting a strong connection and usage pattern between the quarterback and running back.

Evan Engram has a fantastic matchup this week against Arizona.

Courtland Sutton has a fantastic matchup this week against Arizona.

Jalen Waddle has a fantastic matchup this week against Denver.

RJ Harvey has quietly posted three top-24 RB finishes and only one finish outside the top-36 all season; he carries a 15.8% target share, 2.3 yards per route run, and an elite 41% target-per-route-run rate (WR1-alpha level usage). Against Arizona, which runs the highest zone coverage rate in the NFL (69.8%) and has given up the 11th-most yards per target to opposing RBs, the source projects Harvey to be peppered with targets and recommends starting him as a top-24 RB in PPR leagues this week (ECR 27).

Dak Prescott has been 'god awful' and is ranked below Aaron Rodgers for QB1 finishes; the source criticizes the Cowboys offense for lack of motion and play action.

CJ Stroud has been QB1 in each of his last three starts, finishing top-five in two of those games and QB13 in the other; he is described as 'the new hotness that everyone's talking about this week.'

Aaron Rodgers has posted three QB1 finishes over the last few weeks and is the best version of himself outside of Green Bay; the source prefers him over CJ Stroud (who has been QB1 in three straight starts but top-five in only two) and Dak Prescott for QB1 finishes this season.

Darnell Washington scored a touchdown in the previous week. The source mentions this in the context of Derek Brown's family league, where Washington's touchdown contributed to Brown's 0-6 record.

The source projects Aaron Rodgers as a top 12 quarterback for Week 7 with ECR QB 13 ranking. Against New Orleans' seventh-worst yards per attempt defense and fourth-highest passing success rate allowed, the source expects Rodgers to eclipse 270+ passing yards and score two passing touchdowns. The source notes this is the best version of Rodgers outside of Green Bay, citing his comfort in the Mike McCarthy system.

The source is making a touchdown prediction for DK Metcalf as a higher-difficulty pick in the touchdown calls contest, positioning him as a breakout candidate.

The source is making a touchdown prediction for Woody Marks against the Giants, flagging him as a breakout candidate to score in Week 7.

The source prefers starting Kyle Fannon over Kyle Pitts despite Pitts' recent touchdown streak, citing Fannon as the better player; Fannon has been quiet with two catches for 13 yards in his last two games but remains the preferred start.

Pitts faces the 49ers, who smother tight ends due to Fred Warner's elite off-ball linebacker coverage; the 49ers have given up the third-fewest fantasy points to tight ends and have not allowed a touchdown to a tight end this season, making Pitts a fade despite his three touchdowns in his last two games.

Penix faces a tough matchup against the 49ers' sixth-ranked pass defense DVOA; he provides zero rushing value and is averaging only 27.5 pass attempts per game while the Falcons are the fourth-heaviest run team in the league, limiting his volume ceiling.

Watson has an easier matchup against the Titans' pass defense (27th in EPA per pass, 29th in DVOA) compared to alternatives; he adds rushing value averaging 32.7 rushing yards per game with at least 22 rushing yards in all six games played, providing roughly a 65-yard scoring advantage over Michael Penix due to double-value rushing scoring in most leagues.

Warren is mentioned in the context of overlapping backfield usage with Najee Harris and Jaylen Helani; the source notes that Warren hasn't been as exciting as earlier in the season and faces a non-ideal matchup, though the Steelers' pass defense matchup is better than the Chiefs' run defense matchup.

Jones (QB25 in consensus ECR) is preferred over Deshaun Watson (QB17) for Week 7, representing an eight-spot gap in consensus ranking; the source expresses willingness to start Jones despite the Giants' reputation, suggesting Watson's recent performance makes even a lower-ranked alternative more attractive.

Fannin Jr. is ranked TE13 in consensus ECR, just one spot behind Pitts (TE12), and presents a viable alternative in the Browns-Falcons matchup; the source acknowledges an argument for starting Fannin over Pitts but recommends consistency and sticking with one tight end rather than chasing week-to-week production.

Pitts is ranked TE12 in consensus ECR alongside Harold Fannin Jr. (TE13); the source advises against chasing production week-to-week and recommends sticking with one tight end for consistency rather than rotating based on matchups, though Pitts is the preferred play this week tied to the better quarterback situation (Penix over Watson).

Penix is ranked QB18 in consensus ECR, just one spot behind Watson (QB17), but the source prefers him over Watson for Week 7; efficiency metrics are strong despite lower completion rate—yards and touchdowns per attempt are comparable to Brock Purdy, a top-tier QB—making Penix a viable start against the Browns despite the Falcons' matchup.

Watson has regressed significantly over the past two weeks, described as playing poorly and making the offense look 'awful'; the source expresses strong skepticism about starting anyone in the Browns offense given Watson's recent performance, noting he looks 'like trash' and is approaching a concerning trend after showing some promise earlier in the season.

Jones faces a difficult matchup against the Vikings and Brian Flores' defense; Flores' defense operates on another level beyond typical defensive schemes, with strong pass-rush and blitz-pickup capabilities; Jones had poor results the last time he faced Flores.

Barkley's return from IR this week creates workload uncertainty for the Eagles' backfield; his overlap with Emmanuel Wilson is more concerning for Wilson than Devon Veille's role is affected, suggesting a potential committee approach that could limit Wilson's touches.

Wilson is faded in a flex decision against the Chiefs; Saquon Barkley's return from IR creates workload uncertainty, and the Chiefs' run defense is elite (63.8 rushing yards per game, 3.2 yards per carry allowed); without a clear majority of rushing attempts, Wilson's outlook is poor.

Taylor is the only Colts player the source is willing to start in Week 7 against the Vikings, even coming off injury; the Vikings' defense is considered beatable for running backs, making Taylor a must-play despite his recent injury status.

Allen is identified as the Colts' best receiver, supporting a preference to avoid other Colts pass-catchers like Josh Downs in Week 7 flex decisions.

Downs is faded in a flex decision against the Vikings; he has not scored a touchdown and has posted fewer than 50 yards in three consecutive games; the Vikings defense has given up the third-fewest points to slot receivers, making this a poor matchup despite slot receivers typically being hot routes against blitz-heavy defenses.

Mason is favored in a flex decision over Josh Downs due to the Dolphins giving up the second-most fantasy points to running backs; even with a 40/35 workload split, Mason should outplay Downs, who faces the Vikings' third-stingiest slot receiver defense and has scored no touchdowns in three straight games with sub-50-yard performances.

Kyler Murray is the primary target in Vikings offense; even with missed time from Hawkinson, Murray is second on team with 21% team target percentage, ahead of Jordan Addison who is third option. This context frames Addison as less reliable than his recent production suggests.

Addison hasn't had a great season overall, but last two games show 142 yards and a touchdown; source prefers Addison over Scadaboo this week due to Scadaboo's fumble risk and uncertain workload. However, a second the source counters that Addison is the third option in Vikings offense behind Kyler Murray's wide receiver and tight end, with only 21% team target share, making him less reliable than Scadaboo's potential workload increase.