0:00It's time for your week seven wide receiver rankings as always brought to you by Farmers Insurance our friends over at Farmers Insurance and Hayden.
0:08What is not our friend is the injury report right now because at the top we start with the question. It is Puka
0:14Nacua as your wide receiver one but to update everyone he left Thursday's practice with a calf injury. It is now being called minor
0:21but Ian Rapoport this morning said that it is minor but that doesn't mean precautionary and it's still up in the air whether he misses week seven.
0:30>> Your thoughts.
0:31I will take him out of my rankings if he does not play and if he's out there then the target shares too outrageous that
0:37even a limited version of Puka still goes absolutely nuts. Like I'll I'll say like I don't think that he's 100% healthy just watching him right now and
0:44he's still finishing with these ridiculous performances like all-time performances. Um so yeah, if he's out there too big to fail.
0:53>> Totally agree. I think the longer conversation that we don't have to get into is what happens if he does miss?
1:00Like what do they even run? Like what what [laughter] do they put on the field because you know Tutu Atwell and Puka
1:06Nacua no matter what is going to play like 73 78%of the snaps here. Um but the big thing for Puka Nacua with Davante
1:14Adams out is that he just becomes a major red zone presence a major inside the 10 yard line presence yeah and a
1:20major end zone presence. Like all his important underlying metrics in terms of targets per route run yards per route run fantasy points per route jump
1:27anywhere from 21 to 24%higher than they were previously as already a top five wide receiver out there.
1:33>> I agree that the more interesting stuff is like if Puka does not play what happens and I just want to quickly hit
1:38on the tight ends here. I have Tyler Higbee as my tight end seven we don't have tight end videos right now but
1:43last week 31 of 38 routes and then he's been his best game of the year was week three tight end seven on tight end three
1:50usage. That was without Puka Nacua and Terrance Ferguson. Now we don't have Davante Adams. So I think that Tyler Higbee would absolutely be a must play
1:58tight end one. And then Colby Parkinson, there's been three games without Davante Adams dating back to last year. Colby Parkinson's been the tight end seven on
2:05tight end seven usage because he's 6'7" and like 280 lbs, he also is a red zone threat. We saw that last week on
2:12something like the little red zone play action attempts to to the to the flats with him. So, I think that Colby
2:19Parkinson would become streamable if Puka Nacua is not out there as well. And then it's like someone like Jordan Addison kind of is in like the
2:26you know, the Puka Nacua role. He's just like way worse at it.
2:29So, it would be it would be hellscape at the wide receiver spots. But, I think that Higbee and Parkinson would be the
2:34guys that I would figure to be mixing in fairly often.
2:37>> Jaxon Smith-Njigba is your wide receiver two. This is against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Seahawks are actually two and a half point favorites here against
2:45the Chiefs. We know Sam Darnold has thrown seven interceptions since returning in week three. The Chiefs are actually number one in DVOA against
2:54opposing wide receiver ones. So, this is a fascinating underlying metrics game because we know Jaxon Smith-Njigba is 50%if not more of the entire Seahawks
3:04passing offense.
3:05>> So, I have these matchup maps, and it kind of just breaks down the different depths of the field and different
3:10positions, and it just ranks how many fantasy points the defense is giving up at certain buckets. And the Chiefs are dead last in giving up points on 15 plus
3:20air yards, dead last at five to 20 intermediate level, and dead last under 10 air yards. They have shut down every
3:27wide receiver, doesn't matter deep, underneath, intermediate, does not matter whatsoever. Now, the Chiefs have not faced any strong wide receiver groups this entire season. That's the
3:36context here, but they are coming off of a bye with Andy Reid and Steve Spagnuolo and Sam Darnold is like not seeing the
3:42field well. And still, because he's not seeing the field well, then Jaxon Darnold just gets four extra targets because you know, they're not up by a
3:48bunch of points. So, it's like Darnold's awesome, he was scoring long touchdowns. If he's not awesome, he gets extra targets. It doesn't really matter.
3:55>> I always love your Freudian slips. Like you just called Jameson Jackson Dart out of nowhere.
4:00>> It happened [laughter].
4:02>> I love it. You just You still have your players on your mind, you know, and they just slip out when we have the first
4:07names here. Yeah, I mean when pressured Sam Darnold has completed 38%of his passes for 4.6 yards per attempt. That's 28th and 25th in the
4:15league. As we always talk about Steve Spagnuolo kind of puts bad quarterbacks in a blender. I'm not calling Sam Darnold a bad quarterback. The dude just
4:23won a Super Bowl, but he's kind of playing like a bad quarterback right now. So, it's going to be interesting to
4:27see if he can bounce back and recover from this last game stretch that he has had. Okay, next you have Amon-Ra St. Brown. I mean, talk about a
4:36bad game stretch.
4:38He hasn't been a top five wide receiver in a handful of weeks.
4:42>> Yeah, he's been like really outlier bad and even in those games he is still clearing about 10 fantasy points per
4:48game. So, like that's your bad streak is still scoring as a top 30 six wide receiver in three straight. The usage
4:54underlying metrics is still awesome.
4:56Over the last month he's a wide receiver two in expected points. He's a buy low candidate. If anyone's panicking out there, just gobble them up. This team's
5:03projected for the most fantasy or most points on the week at 28 and a quarter.
5:09And then looking at the Pack Packers defense. One, I think it's an underrated defense. They're doing a lot of the Brian Flores kind of crowd the line,
5:15play zone coverage behind it. But because they play that style, they've allowed the second most fantasy points to wide receivers when the ball has been
5:23thrown within 10 air yards. Obviously, Amon-Ra St. Brown factors into a whole lot of that. So, get the ball out quickly to Amon-Ra St. Brown. More of
5:30like a PPR scam style offense against the Packers and I can see him catching eight passes for 90 yards and a
5:37touchdown here.
5:38>> The Packers have disguised their coverage pre-snap to post-snap at the league highest rate.
5:43And as Reeves noted, Jonathan Gannon has actually had success against Jared Goff in the past. In three career games against Jonathan Gannon's defense, Jared
5:50Goff has scored 8.9, 15.5, and 14.6 fantasy points. So, again, that's a match-up to watch just overall. Okay.
6:00Ja'Marr Chase off a bye at the Baltimore Ravens is your wide receiver four. Uh speaking of previous match-ups between these two,
6:10he has two 200-yard games against the Ravens. And in 11 career games here, he's averaged 12 targets per contest, seven and a half receptions, and 117
6:20yards per game. Now, it's a little different with Jesse Minter calling the defense, but, you know, maybe he just sees that purple and black, he just goes
6:26off.
6:27>> Yeah, last four of it is wide receiver seven, 16, one, and one overall since 2024 there. He's had 110 yards in all of
6:33them. Uh it got to the point where Marlon Humphrey, uh leading up to this game, his quote was, "It would be cool if I didn't match up
6:41with them so much."Which I agree. I appreciate the honesty. He knows what's what's up here. Yeah, the the Ja'Marr Chase season has just been kind of
6:48weird. We had like that late training camp injury, did not have the best week one. He obviously leaves with the concussion in in week four. Now we have
6:54had the bye week, so it's like he's kind of out of like our mind. And like this like the classic spot where like he just
6:59goes absolutely crazy. And we're like, "Oh yeah, there he There he goes again."
7:02>> Yeah. I did just pick him up in our dynasty league. I got him for like $240.
7:07So, I have another dynasty question I'll get to here in a little bit. Next is CeeDee Lamb, who's also on my team. This
7:12is at the Philadelphia Eagles. I mean, hey, Nif, we were to make it really, really, really simple here, even the best Vic Fangio defenses do a very good
7:22job against outside wide receivers and allow points against interior pass catchers. Now, CeeDee Lamb is playing in the slot less often than he has before,
7:33but still, if they want to free up one of these guys, CeeDee Lamb, it's a lot easier to do that than George Pickens.
7:38>> Yes, Quincy Anunwa Mitchell's going to face Pickens, we'll get to that in in a little bit. But in that 5 to 20 air yard
7:43window, they've allowed the third most fantasy points to wide receivers and then under 10 air yards, the fourth most as well. And if you guys have just been
7:49watching the Eagles, one Cooper DeJean is like not having the the typical season. He's missed some tackles.
7:54There's been some kind of coverage bust.
7:55I think a lot of that's also Mukuba, one of their safeties, who's been struggling. Their third linebacker has been struggling. And then even like Reed
8:02Blankenship, the communication with the new outside corner, that's just been worse this year. Plus the Eagles just do not have the same edge rushers on top of
8:10that. So, uh it's kind of like the the CeeDee Lamb style wide receivers have given the Eagles trouble. Parker Washington had
8:17124 and two touchdowns. Luther Burden 61 yards and a touchdown like as examples here. So, you know, where CeeDee Lamb is
8:25used is where the Eagles have been worse this this year. So, I this is the largest gap I'll have between Lamb and
8:30Pickens all year.
8:31>> Should he be S tier or is he the first name in A tier?
8:34>> Uh let's go S tier. He's been He's been so good this year.
8:37>> Well, what about the Green Bay Packers duo cuz they are back-to-back in your rankings. They're a little bit different in consensus rankings where Christian
8:44Watson is ahead of Matthew Golden by three or four spots. But here they are as your wide receiver six and seven at
8:50the Detroit Lions. I mean, both these guys are top three in terms of end zone targets. Christian Watson has nine of
8:56them and Matthew Golden has seven of them. So, is this A tier for this tandem?
9:01>> Yeah, let's go both of them in A tier.
9:02I'd be curious to know about those end zone targets. Like Christian Watson's end zone targets like are sometimes really close to the end zone and then
9:08Matthew Golden's end zone targets like happen to be like 50 yards away from the end zone. Either way, the air yards and
9:14all that stuff is lights out and the Lions have just been beyond pathetic defensively. Like this is just a complete eruption spot
9:21uh on all of the charts. If you've been watching the Lions, they've been struggling in one-on-one situations and they're kind of left on islands. Uh just
9:27one stat just for for both of these guys, 15 plus air yard throws against the Lions allowing the fourth most fantasy points per game. That It be
9:35Chris uh Christian Watson or Matthew Golden, both electric players here. So, this is going to be an absolute shootout game in Detroit. This is to me like the
9:43game of the week.
9:45>> Yeah, we've dug into the numbers, and 81%of you that watch our shows this summer ended up with at least one of
9:51Christian Watson or Matthew Golden. So, let us know if that's true in the comments below.
9:55>> Shame on the 19%by the way.
9:56>> Shame on them. Drake London is your wide receiver eight. This is against the San Francisco 49ers. I think this is an intriguing conversation just
10:05from a quarterback versus defense standpoint. Overall, Hayden, this is Michael Penix's former head coach, the guy who drafted him, calling a defense
10:14against him. And it's a quarterback who has obvious flaws out there.
10:19Um I mean, 42%of Michael Penix's throws are 10 or more yards down the field.
10:22That's fourth in the league. And then the 49ers are fourth in the league at defending those, allowing just a completion percentage of 41 and a half.
10:29So, the dude struggles throwing short, he struggles when pressured, and the 49ers, despite some of their injuries, are still being able to do that over the
10:37last 2 weeks.
10:38>> Agree on all those notes. I will say because he struggles in those areas, he kind of has to be a first read target
10:46quarterback, like the rest of the way.
10:47Like there's no such thing as a check-down. I've noticed like the Bijan receiving numbers are kind of coming down with Michael Penix. To me, he has
10:54to get the ball out quickly cuz there's just no second chance creation from Michael Penix. And what does that mean?
10:59I think that's going to mean Drake London's going to go absolutely crazy for the rest of the year. Like he has to
11:03throw the ball immediately to Drake London. Everything else is just like not going to work in this offense. The 49ers defense has been surprisingly good. Like
11:10Upton Stoutt is on the injury report. A bunch of their defensive linemen, once again, are in the injury report.
11:16But Zay Flowers, JSN, Waddle, Mike Williams, four wide receiver ones in a row have been top 25 wide receivers against the 49ers because
11:26of just, you know, catch-up mode here.
11:28So, you're at home against the 49ers. 23 and a half point team total is like rock solid for Drake London to have a wide
11:33receiver one moment.
11:35>> Yeah, that's a really nice team total for them where in other situations if like the market did not believe in the
11:40Falcons offense, it would be much lower.
11:41Now, they also did show some real garbage time efforts last week like they were down 31 to 7 to open the fourth
11:47quarter and that's when he went 11 for 17 for 152 yards and two touchdowns and two-point conversions. Oh, yeah.
11:54Yeah, I mean the 49ers have created nine sacks over the last 2 weeks and if they do that again, then Falcons are going to
11:59struggle here. Yeah, I mean teams are just blitzing the Falcons now and blitzing all these teams to keep their pass-catching running backs attached to
12:05the quarterbacks.
12:06>> Yep. Yep, that's what that's what's happening.
12:08Justin Jefferson on now your expert league fantasy team.
12:13We'll hit on that in a moment.
12:15Oh, buddy.
12:16Against the Indianapolis Colts is here.
12:18Um Look, I still can't tell you exactly how this offense is going to work passing-wise. I mean, Kyler Murray averages 6.1 air yards per attempt right
12:28now. Only 30%of his passes are going 10 or more yards down the field. Um on those short passes under 10 yards, he's
12:36completing a ton of them, 89%and then down the field, he's throwing about 52%. So, I mean, these guys have barely played
12:45together, the quartet of the core of their passing offense. So, will we learn more against a bad bad bad Colts team?
12:53>> I'm just like zooming out. I'm like not trying to figure out exactly the Kyler Murray stuff. I'm just like, okay,
12:59with KOC, a decent offensive line and let's say Kirk Cousins, Sam Darnold, Kyler Murray like directionally about the same level talent across the board
13:08there. These guys can throw the ball deep. Kyler Murray's scrambling around.
13:11I think he's healthy at least if I'm going to zoom in on anything, that they'll end up figuring this thing out.
13:16Like Justin Jefferson has been a top five fantasy wide receiver with all these quarterbacks except JJ McCarthy, and I do think that the bye came at the
13:22right time for, uh, the Vikings. Just getting, you know, Jefferson back to full health, Addison back to full health, Kyler Murray to,
13:28like, calm down for a second, which I think that's nice. Hopefully they get their left tackle back and then Jordan Mason's back. Like this should be like
13:34the starting lineup for the Vikings that they were expecting except for you know, Donavon Jackson. And we are drafting Justin Jefferson in the first round and
13:41then we get to the Colts match up and they're not going to have Sauce Gardner with a calf injury this week on top of
13:47it. They've already just been horrific on uh defense. Um, so the only problem I have with this game is: can the Colts
13:54offense move the ball enough to make this where Justin Jefferson ends up with eight plus targets in this one? Because they have been a little bit more run
14:01heavy in neutral situations, and the defense has been so dominant, and they could be like dominant specifically against this Colts team that can't
14:08create explosives and they can't make plays out of structure.
14:12>> The worksheet noted that Kyler Murray, Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson have only played together for nine pass attempts so far this
14:19season.
14:20>> Yeah.
14:20>> So, maybe that goes into my uncertainty of of what this group is beast.
14:25>> Speaking of uncertainty, Hayden.
14:26>> Uh you traded Garrett Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. straight up for Justin Jefferson. How are you feeling?
14:33>> I feel good about that one. I was looking around the league. I was like, "Who needs Who needs some wide receiver
14:38depth?"Uh and by the way, I also now need some wide receiver depth but that's the price you pay. Uh I'll take my
14:44>> Well, yeah, but Marv is a total zero in your brain. So, it's not like he counted as depth for you.
14:49>> guess. Yeah, I was I was really just like trying to figure out like I I'm feeling a little bit worse about the
14:54Garrett Wilson stuff now that everyone's healthy in that offense and like how does the end of the season uh look and
14:59then with Breece Hall back like I think they might run the ball a little bit more. So, I was like really trying to
15:03get rid of Garrett Wilson. That was my intention. I was looking around the league >> Oh, and then you just lucked into Justin
15:08Jefferson.
15:10>> I was I pulled up your team by the way and I was trying to figure out a team. I hated your team so much. I didn't even
15:15send an offer but I did pull up your team first.
15:18>> Thanks, bud. Okay.
15:21Zay Flowers is next.
15:23We get Lamar Jackson back most likely.
15:27What I like about this matchup against Cincinnati is that Zay Flowers plays 47% of his snaps in the slot, and then from
15:34the slot, he's been targeted on 41%of his routes with a 5.38 yards per route run. And, as we have seen, you beat up
15:44the Cincinnati Bengals over the middle of the field.
15:47>> Yeah, and I just trust that Declan Doyle is going to have like a game plan to make sure DJ Turner is not on
15:54Zay Flowers and DJ Turner has been once again very strong at outside corner here.
16:00Turner by the way has played seven snaps inside the slot this entire season. So I think that we're going to get Zay
16:06Flowers away from him and like Jacoby Lane and Rashod Bateman, those guys will be sacrificed and then Zay Flowers will just be running those choice routes,
16:14backfield routes, crosses, all the fun stuff. So this is assuming Lamar Jackson is ready to go. Even if it was Tyler
16:20Huntley, I would only drop him probably like five to six spots here.
16:24Yeah, I think it's a fantastic matchup for for Zay Flowers.
16:28>> Chris Olave against the Pittsburgh Steelers is next for you. Are we going to continue on A tier? I'm assuming we
16:34are for the next three names. I'll I'll continue on there. Um the Saints Hayden are one of two teams that have not
16:40scored first in a game yet this season.
16:43I think that goes to play where this team is working from behind while they're running so many plays at least in most these contests. However,
16:51since the Taysom Hill broken hand, since they lost our left tackle, I mean, he's thrown for 240 yards combined in the
16:58next in the last two games.
17:00>> Yeah.
17:01>> So yeah, this is not quite and we'll talk about this especially with De'Von Achane, this Saints offense that we were
17:08so highly touting in the opening three games of the season. It's it's a lot worse.
17:13>> I think so. This is you we see this every year where when a left tackle, especially like a good one like Calvin
17:19Bangs goes down like we just don't recalibrate quick enough and I think we've seen that with the Saints in general. Um now, a lot of it
17:27also faced the the Minnesota Vikings in week five. We just like knew that was not going to be a clean one, but the
17:31Giants game was like more of mediocre than anything cuz like they got hopped out to a huge lead. So, I think that
17:35Chris Olave is going to settle in nicely, but I just don't like the combination of, you know, backup left tackle. I don't think that the
17:42replacement's been very good and Tyler Shelvin a broken hand, so I I kind of just knocked down Valdes-Scantling, Juwan, and Chris Olave
17:49like a couple spots across the board. Uh team total's at almost 21 points is more middle of the pack here. They're going
17:55to be in France uh against the Steelers defense, which has been just like a very good defense through and through. Jalen Ramsey's
18:03playing well. They have a bunch of defensive linemen that play well. It's a well-coached unit on top of things, so I
18:09think that this is a difficultish matchup, um but still definitely an A-tier player.
18:14>> Joe Burrow is the only quarterback to throw multiple touchdown passes against this Pittsburgh Steelers defense, which is probably a top-five unit this season.
18:22Um however, Tyler Shelvin has been lights out in the red zone. He is 20 of 26 with 10 touchdowns and zero
18:29interceptions in the red zone so far this season.
18:31>> All right. Well, I'm going to do a bold prediction. Here comes a red zone interception this week. You know, those
18:36When I see red zone numbers that he's a leading in you're like,"And here comes the >> And it's a >> Yeah.
18:43>> Nico Collins is your wide receiver 12.
18:45These two receivers that are next play each other. This against the Giants. Um the Giants have allowed only one passer, Hayden, to reach 200 yards against them
18:55this season. Now, part of that's cuz their run defense has been so bad.
18:58But over the last four games, like I said, they really haven't faced a quarterback playing to the caliber that C.J. Stroud is right now. So, Nico
19:06Collins is such a big difference for the team. Like I went back and looked at their weeks two and three when he was
19:11out and they scored like 13 and six points. And now they're projected for the second most points this week or thereabouts.
19:16>> Yeah, I had like the numbers a couple weeks ago on Football 301, the recap show I do over there, and CJ Stroud was
19:22like top five in EPA per dropback with Collins on the field and then was below average without Collins this year. And
19:28like we can extend that multiple years.
19:29So, I feel good about the Texans pass game. Jaylen Nowells stepped up. I'm assuming this is going to be the first game where Marvin
19:35Harrison's like really going to be a factor, maybe plays like half the snaps instead of the, you know, like a dozen
19:39of them like the last game. I think that that might impact Nico Collins like at the tiny little margins, but the big thing
19:46is like the last two weeks they're they've had like the highest neutral pass rates like they've ever had in the Stroud Demeco Ryans era. And I think
19:52that's where they should keep going and the Giants defense does not scare me in the back half. I don't care what the
19:57spreadsheets say right now. Like that secondary is not good and they don't have anyone that can defend Nico Collins one-on-one. So, I think it's a good
20:04match-up for him. And the team total's at 26 and a half points, it's the third highest. Like how many times have we
20:09said the Texans have the third highest team total of the week? It's been a very long time since we said that. So, I I
20:14feel very good about Nico.
20:15>> I don't know if we've ever said that.
20:16And maybe not. If we have, it's like dating back to Nico or excuse me, CJ Stroud's rookie season. Um The Giants over the last two games are
20:24blitzing at the second highest rate in the league. So, I really do wonder if CJ Stroud is going to pick that apart and
20:29replaces all those spots.
20:31Malik Nabers is next for you. Again, this is on the opposite end.
20:36You had a bold prediction for Tyler Shuck. I'll have one here for JJ McCarthy Um he just threw for 242 yards in a
20:43quarter. I don't think JJ McCarthy throws for 200 yards in this game.
20:48>> I'm nervous about this one, you know, like it was fun in, you know, when you're down 34-10 and you're playing Yolo ball and
20:56but you know, it's you're playing in Houston. Like that's not how the Giants were drawing this up. Like when the season started they were like not like I
21:02hope JJ McCarthy is our quarterback in week seven against the Texans here in his first start, he's been there for 2
21:08weeks.
21:09So, yeah, the team goes at 16. You know, dead last on the week.
21:13You know, this defense has been a little bit better recently because DeMeco Ryans is making the plays or play calling now. They have
21:20their starting linebacker back in the lineup, so things are going to be a little bit more functional. Like Jalen Pitre types are still on the injury
21:26report, we'll see if he plays.
21:28It's so easy to get Malik Nabers the ball. To me, there's like still no excuses. Like you he still has to catch
21:33six passes even in these difficult matchups we've seen like Jamarr Chase guys type of talent like have big games against the Texans, so it's not
21:39impossible. This is about as far down as I can move him now that he like looks like one of the best wide receivers in the in the
21:46game again.
21:47>> Yeah, JJ throws for 199 yards. 100 of those goes to Malik Nabers and 99 goes to Isaiah Likely.
21:53>> Yep.
21:53>> That that that's the point where the Giants are at right now. And like you said, if you look at the underlying
21:57numbers, the Texans have been bad against downfield big plays, but against the bad quarterbacks, they haven't been bad. Yeah, against the downfield big
22:07plays.
22:07>> Yep.
22:08>> Um and like Andrew Thomas has left games. We know that Jermaine Eluemunor has just missed games, and you're going up against arguably the best edge
22:15rushing duo in the NFL along with interior >> pressure. Oh, yeah.
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22:39Okay, are we done with A-tier here?
22:41Should I go to the B-tier next?
22:42>> Um no, I want one more A-tier just cuz of the Cowboys defense.
22:46>> Wow, this is DeVonta Smith against the Dallas Cowboys. He's wide receiver 17 in consensus rankings, but wide receiver 14 for you.
22:55>> I think that Tanner McKee could do just fine in this offense. I think they're going to lean into the pass. Last week
23:01was a season high in neutral pass rate at 66%. This is like a team that's like living in three wide receiver sets and
23:08Tanner McKee was willing to push push the ball over the middle and then he gave DeVonta Smith multiple opportunities on these like sideline
23:15shots. So I think you know, structurally how the Jalen Hurts offense was working which is just like you know, vertical attempts. I think that Tanner McKee can
23:22kind of do that and now we don't have to deal with the tush push and I'm not sure if they're going to run
23:26the ball as much. We'll see if Saquon Barkley's actually going to play in this one. He's trending in that right direction. To me it's just against the
23:32Cowboys you throw the ball deep down field and live with the results and I think that's exactly what DeVonta Smith's going to do here. So last week
23:39wide receiver eight and wide receiver eight usage with Tanner McKee. That was against the Panthers backup corners but you know, it's still the Dallas
23:46Cowboys corners as well.
23:48>> The Eagles are the only team in the NFL to have zero successful under center play action plays in blitz so far this
23:54season. Like truly zero for zero. Zero for 18.
23:57>> Oh gosh.
23:59>> And you saw it last week like they tried in the first play of the game. Yes. So these weeks I mean
24:06I brought this up in Satcher's film with Tanner McKee.
24:08There's just nothing quick about his name and that's paired with an offensive line that struggles to communicate and then also has like a bad
24:16protection plan and so to me the best avenue for any type of success for the Eagles now is to go gun and spread it out. Like we can't
24:26do the under center stuff anymore even if Shawn Mayne and want to build the offense around that. So >> Totally agree.
24:31>> Maybe they'll adjust but there's also been some rumblings that Shawn Mayne and does not want to adjust what he's doing.
24:36Okay, unfortunately wow, B tier for the big boys on the outside. Quez Watkins, Zach Pascal and Jalen Reagor back to back in your rankings. This is
24:47just about where consensus rankings have Quez Watkins but they have Reagor as wide receiver 20. He's your wide receiver 16. So talk to the coke heads
24:56and the tetramines out there with this duo. [gasps] >> Um the Panthers are fourth in expected half PPR points to their wide receivers
25:03across the the season. So, both these guys can get home. By the way, that's at 34.7. They don't really use a a third
25:09wide receiver very much. Like, you know, if we give each one of those guys 40%of that, we're talking about they have wide
25:15receiver one upside based on the match-up. So, I think this match-up is fairly good. I like the Buccaneers corners, although they're kind of feisty
25:25out there, but because the uh defensive line is like really showing like a lot more depth this year than they have
25:31previously, and they still got Vita Vea, it's just like one of the most obvious pass funnels out there. So, like I think
25:36they're going to throw the ball relentlessly in this one. The Bucks have only given up 75 yd per game on the
25:41ground, and then they're, you know, above average in pass yd per game as well. So, Coker, Terrace Marshall, I think they're
25:49pretty equal talents. They kind of get there uh similar ways, but you talked about the differences, more explosiveness from Jaylen Coker, more
25:55like fluidity from Terrace Marshall. Uh I think match-up-wise it's it's pretty strong for for both of them. Team total's also at 23 and 3/4 points, which
26:04is like knocking on the doors of a top 10 number.
26:07>> Yeah, the Bucks actually face the league's fastest time to throw at 2.6 seconds, but fourth lowest in terms of air yd per attempt at 6.5. So, you would
26:15think that means fewer downfield shots.
26:17Then you look at like the Bucks, they play single high and specifically cover three 49%of time, that's second most in the league, and they kind of stayed
26:25static in their approach to no matter who they played so far this season. So, we'll see the Panthers dial up some
26:31shots in those single high looks quite a bit.
26:33>> All the best defenses is just blitzing, showing blitzes, simulated pressures, and then having guys deep downfield and making you throw the ball underneath.
26:40Like, that's that's how the best defenses operate right now. Like, shout out Brian Flores.
26:44>> Okay, Tee Higgins is your wide receiver 17. This is against the Baltimore Ravens, as we just talked about.
26:52Outside the red zone, Tee Higgins has a 26%target share, which makes sense. But Hayden, inside the red zone, just one red zone target this season. Uh we need
27:01that to even out a little bit. Like that would be great for those of us that drafted him in fantasy football.
27:05>> I'm sure that will. You know, when you're 6'4, I'm sure you will get more than that. Uh yeah, it's just been a kind of a weird
27:11season in general for for the Bengals.
27:13Like they were like stopping teams cuz their defense was so good. And like that's kind of coming come undone a little bit. Uh last week he was like I
27:21didn't think he was going to play. Then he goes out there and plays on that abductor injury. He doesn't really do
27:24anything against the Dolphins. It's just like felt like a good time to get the bye week out of the way. Kind of settle
27:29back in. Uh this game has a really high game total uh as well. It's just supposed to be 25 to 24. Uh slight
27:37slight favor or slight underdog for the Bengals. Like I always love those, you know, type of game scripts. Like we don't see that all the time from from
27:44Cincinnati cuz they're a good team. But like these are the type of games where Joe Burrow can drop back 42 times. And
27:49>> Yep.
27:50>> too big to fail.
27:51>> George Pickens is next for you. You hinted that we would talk about it. We are now. Um Should we talk about the Brian
27:59Schottenheimer comments? Or do you want to talk about his match up first? Let's do his match up first. Like this is a
28:02game last year in George Pickens'best season that slowed him down in week one.
28:07And I really wouldn't expect anything different.
28:09>> Yeah, so he had 30 scoreless yards against Philadelphia. I do remember in that week one game, he drew a couple
28:15defensive pass interferences. And like we were coming on stats versus film, I was like, "Hey, like this guy like it's going to work out." And then they played
28:21in week 12, and he finishes the wide receiver four that week. So I'm not saying that Pickens can't get home uh in
28:27this difficult match up. But Quez Watkins, I would say, is one of the top five best corners in the league. And
28:33they're not moving Pickens around the formation at all. Like I think it's like, you know, 2%in the slot or whatever it is.
28:38Um so that's going to be the battle. I'm not saying he can't do it. The team total is really strong at 24 and 1/2
28:43points.
28:44Um but it is definitely a more difficult match up. You're just like looking at, you know, talk about the CeeDee Lamb of it all
28:50versus George Pickens.
28:51>> So, Brian Schottenheimer talked about Pickens this week and he said, quote, "He needs to understand that he impacts us in the running game as well. He's got
28:58to do the same thing in the run game picking up safeties and blocking corners just like Juwan Williams does picking up
29:02blitzes so he can catch balls." Um if you go and watch some of the blocking snaps from George Pickens, not great. It's kind of
29:10like Marvin [clears throat] Harrison Jr.
29:11uh level effort during the days of the Arizona Cardinals. But um yeah, I This to me is not a squeaky wheel
29:20situation. Uh but we'll see.
29:23We'll see.
29:25Garrett Wilson is next as your wide receiver 20.
29:28The guy you just traded away, sent off into the distance. I mean, you talk about great match-ups though. This is against the Miami Dolphins. The Jets
29:36have converted a league-low though, 37% of their red zone trips into touchdowns.
29:41That needs to be better.
29:42>> It probably will be better. That brings us to the you know, Breece Hall has a chance to play. Uh Adonai Mitchell's
29:47expected to play. So, now we have Omar Cooper back in the lineup, Adonai Mitchell back in the lineup. Kenyan Drake and Mason Taylor both been out
29:54there uh the last couple weeks as well.
29:56And now we might get Breece Hall plus Bralon Allen's been playing well. That's a lot of players and the team totals at
30:0222 points. I will also say this about the Dolphins. And we see this a couple times uh each season. There's a a team
30:07that is so bad that they're actually good at against fantasy wide receivers.
30:12Not because they're like shutting them down, it's just because they're like you just don't need your wide receivers. And we're kind of reaching that point with
30:17the Dolphins. They're the second best defense against fantasy wide receivers this season, which is crazy because they don't have anybody in the secondary. Uh
30:25so, I don't want to lean into that too much because, you know, the Jets and Dol-Dolphins like this game could stay
30:29pretty close. And then now now all of a sudden Garrett Wilson's just dunking on these corners that we haven't really heard heard from at all. Um but because
30:36they've been so bad against tight ends and stopping the run and whatnot, like I think this is just like one of these
30:41games where like everyone can like kind of get home and we just might not see like some huge breakout from any of
30:47these guys. So, um don't love it.
30:50>> I mentioned the death league earlier. My star wide receivers are Jamar Chase and CeeDee Lamb, but I'm debating at the
30:56wide receiver three spot between Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave. And so your drastic ranking between the two makes me lean Chris Olave. However, like
31:06if you're not playing Garrett Wilson against the Miami Dolphins, you know, like when when are we playing Garrett Wilson?
31:10You know?
31:11>> You can always trade him. [laughter] >> Yeah.
31:16For some reason I kind of think Olave might have more bottoming out potential here just because of the Tyler Lockett-ness of it all at this moment
31:21and the offensive line, but that's a debate I'm going to have all all weekend long. Okay, DK Metcalf against the New Orleans Saints is next
31:31up. This one is in Paris, I believe. If I'm remembering correctly.
31:36Uh New Orleans is playing single high coverage at the third highest rate. And DK Metcalf against single high 32%of the team's targets. Um
31:45yeah, I mean we will need a big play at some point from DK this season that's for sure.
31:51>> Yeah, last four games he's the wide receiver 30 and wide receiver 25 usage.
31:55He's had some drops along the way, some defensive pass interferences along the way. Like I think it's pretty clear uh can be especially in you know, good
32:02enough match-ups. This is a defense that, like, structurally does not want players like DK Metcalf to be the ones that beat them,
32:09uh, but they also just, like, don't have enough talent; and you know, 165 yards to, like, Neighbors, 68 yards and a
32:15score to Justin Jefferson, 96 yards to Drake London, even a wide receiver 22 finish to Jahan Dotson, who got him, uh,
32:21down the field as well. So, they just like haven't been able to stop anybody.
32:24Team total's almost at 24 points above average uh in Paris here.
32:29On Metcalf, it's crazy to not change teams, still have the same quarterback in your role changes as large as it has
32:37this year. He's back to like, you know, the Seahawks version vertical X receiver stuff. And then Jeremy Bernard's going to get a lot of the manufactured
32:44touches. Now, they will throw a couple screens to DK Metcalf as a change-up because Jeremy's so physical as a blocker. And if they like the matchup,
32:52they'll throw the ball out. So, it's not that he just gets nothing underneath, but it's a lot more of these crossers,
32:57post verticals, passes, stop routes on the outside for DK Metcalf rather like than last year where like some of his best plays were like quick slants and
33:03that type of stuff.
33:05>> Yeah. It's why I like Jeremy so much.
33:07Okay, Emeka Egbuka is your wide receiver 22. On Thursday, Greg Auman posted and observed that it didn't seem like Emeka Egbuka was going
33:17to play because of a what? Concussion protocol and toe injury. And then he's practicing on Friday and we're back on track for Emeka Egbuka to play here at
33:26the Carolina Panthers. So, it's been a horrible season for Egbuka, a horrible season for Baker Mayfield, uh but, you know, three snaps against
33:35Ickey Ekwonu could kind of change this whole game for him.
33:38>> I think he's a perfect buy low. I just don't think they have anywhere else to go in the offense. Like I've seen that
33:44Chris Godwin just like does not have enough speed at this point. Ted Ginn is like very clearly in development. Cade Otton can't really make plays. So, to
33:52me, if this offense could just be like a little bit better than what it was, which is the worst quarterback performance in the league through first
33:59six weeks, then I think Emeka's like on pace to like become very fantasy relevant again. Across this season, he's the wide receiver 30 on wide receiver 19
34:07usage. He's wide receiver 20 in targets per game at 7.7.
34:12Um, and I just think that the quarterback play will eventually get better. Now, Baker Mayfield coming back from a thumb injury, he's always like
34:18comes back like a week early and then kind of stinks for a little bit. Like that's just like what he's done
34:22throughout his entire career. So, I don't like love the spot, but the Panthers defense, you can tell me if I'm crazy here, I think they're going to be
34:30end up being way better against the run than the pass for the next month or so.
34:33And I think just looking at the roster, their backup corners are not nearly as good as their front seven, and we
34:38haven't seen that in the spreadsheets as much. But like, I just think like the...
34:41I'm going to "I know ball" this one and think that the Buccaneers are going to have to throw the ball a little bit more
34:46than people expect. And to me, Emeka is the focal point of the offense if you guys have been watching that offense,
34:50which I really hope you have not.
34:53>> Michael Wilson is next. This is against the Denver Broncos. He is your wide receiver 24. Um >> There's been a lot of time spent talking
35:01about Michael Wilson. And hey, I don't want to call him overrated at all, but I think it's a lot of time spent on a guy
35:08that really hasn't performed consistently this season in a from a fantasy football lens, and that's, you know, tied to the quarterback play. But
35:14he's been the wide receiver 35, then wide receiver 84, then wide receiver 4 and 20, and then wide receiver 53 and 56
35:22over the last 2 weeks. And now he gets the Broncos, albeit a banged-up secondary. You don't know if Surtain's going to play or how much Rondale
35:29Moore's going to play and all this type of stuff, but that's a pretty rough go of it lately.
35:33>> Yeah, I think this is going to be a longer conversation. I'm assuming Pat Surtain's not going to play. That was
35:38like the latest report from Palmer. And then on the Michael Wilson of it all, last week I went back and watched all of
35:45the dropbacks for the Cardinals, like specifically just looking for like what Michael Wilson's doing. I think this is still an excellent role. He had two
35:51screens in that game. He was just missed on two different end zone shots where if he would have come down with either one
35:58of them, and they were just talking just missed on them, then we would not be talking about Michael Wilson like not
36:04like living up to expectations. So, I think he's still a buy low. I will say the Jacoby Jacoby Brissett is just not
36:10playing good football right now, and I think that is costing Michael Wilson some fantasy points here. Um so, yeah, I'm I'm guess I'm like kind of splitting
36:18the difference between he's been the wide receiver 28 this month, but on wide receiver five usage. I think that he's not going to live up to like the crazy
36:24usage that he's had, but I also don't think that things are going to be as bad as they have been recently. So kind of
36:28splitting the difference as like an upside wide receiver three, I guess.
36:32>> Yeah, my only concern is their schedule doesn't get any easier and they're not hitting the garbage time stuff nearly as
36:37well as they did last year because like the downfield passing is is rough.
36:41>> Do you see the Carson Beck stuff? He's had back injuries and he's just like barely able to walk off the practice
36:47field. So like their backup plan right now, like, you know, we might get nothing from Carson Beck. It's like too early to tell, but I was listening to
36:53the the Panther or the Cardinals podcasters and they're like, "This is not good."
36:58You know, Carson Beck's like, "I can't."
36:59He's just He can't practice.
37:01>> How?
37:01Wait. How can he not practice when he hasn't played in games?
37:04>> That's what they're saying. They're like, "Oh, this is We're talking about like non-contact, you know, back injuries. Like this isn't good."
37:11>> Wow.
37:12All right. Um are we going to stay in this here?
37:15Do we go down? What do we do from here?
37:17>> Um let's keep him in there. I think him and Imecca is pretty similar.
37:21>> Okay. Oops. That's my bad. This is Jameson Williams as your wide receiver 25. This is again against the Green Bay
37:28Packers secondary.
37:30Um the Packers so far this season have only allowed three of 13 targets on 20 plus yard throws to be completed. That's
37:37fourth in the league in terms of a 23% completion rate.
37:40>> Yep.
37:41I I had it that they had the lowest uh yards per reception allowed in the league. They just want everything to be
37:46a funneled underneath. It's a very very well-coached defense. Like I really respect them. The other thing about the Packers defense, they have three awesome
37:54safeties and all of them are making plays.
37:57Uh Bullard um and then uh Evan Williams has been making awesome plays as well.
38:02So just a a really well-thought-out secondary right now that works against Jameson Williams. All that said, you have a 20 team total at home. You know,
38:12this is the type of environment that Jameson Williams, even if the spreadsheets are saying it's not a good match up for him and I I do agree with
38:17that.
38:18This is still just the game that you want out there. Um so I think he's a boom bust wide receiver three. That's
38:23what he's That's what he's been. The Sam Laporta of it all is making his floor a lot lower on a week-to-week basis. It
38:29doesn't take away from the ceiling, though.
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39:21>> Okay, let's talk Jaylen Waddle.
39:23He's next here.
39:24And despite how bad he's been, I mean, I don't think you can really move him much worse than wide receiver 26 on the season um, for this week. Now,
39:34Fball_insights, and you can post charts of anything, but he did one of middle pass rate on the X axis and in-breaker targets per
39:42route on the Y axis. And I mean, the Denver Broncos are on an island by themselves in the bottom left-hand corner. It is absurd. So, yes,
39:51obviously Jaylen Waddle's dropping a pass every single game, but Hayden, so much to me is just on the quarterback here. And uh, unfortunately, the
39:58quarterback is not changing at this point.
40:00>> He's not. I will give our audience some cope. Um, and maybe this is just more for me cuz I drafted plenty of Jaylen
40:06Waddle.
40:07They faced the Chiefs, Jaguars, Rams, 49ers, Chargers, and Seahawks to open the year.
40:13That's That without looking at the other schedules, that has to be the most difficult passing match-up schedule in the league so far.
40:20>> Now, counterpoint.
40:22Plays have been open over the middle of the field against those defenses, and he's just not throwing them.
40:27>> I agree, yeah.
40:28Uh not defending Bo Nix, I can easily see him saying, you know, I'm not going to lose this game. Uh all right, it's
40:34not going to be evident that I lost in this game by throwing all these interceptions. I'm still losing the game, but it's just less obvious.
40:40Uh, and I'm going to take more chances against the Cardinals defense, which is a little bit better at linebacker and up
40:47front than it is in the secondary. And like, you know, hopefully this is like what the Bears were talking about: like
40:52from week seven on, after the schedule kind of loosens up a little bit, they catch fire. That's as good of the cope
40:58as I'm going to give. Uh he's not catching nearly as many screens I thought he was. The deep shots have not
41:04been there like I thought they were. And then the last two weeks Sean Payton's called the two lowest neutral pass rate
41:09games of the season. That goes from like like first and through the first uh four weeks to like close to last over the
41:14last two weeks. So, hopefully, you know, Sean Payton was just kind of like easing the offense in and hopefully it kind of
41:19takes off from here. But that's that's all projection. There's nothing about this the first six weeks that makes us feel like that's actually going to
41:24happen.
41:25>> Yeah, mentioned this with Harmon yesterday that seasons are long. You know, think about all the positivity in your fantasy lineups last year about Luther Burden
41:36and Cole Kmet and Loveland, and that didn't start until week six of the NFL season. They did nothing for the first
41:41five. And yet, the final 10, 11, 12 weeks those were weekly conversations of, "Hey, these are must-start, can't bench fellas." So,
41:51again, it would be quite a turnaround for Bo Nix to magically feel better about his ankle and for him to start
41:57throwing over the middle of the field, but the schedule lines up for it, and he has done it in the past more often than
42:02he is doing this season. So, there's a chance. I'll leave the light on for it, but again, uh it gets easier
42:13from here out, especially against the Arizona Cardinals. Okay.
42:17Jerome Bernard is your wide receiver 27.
42:20Once again, I freaking love Jerome this week. Loved him last week. He was the wide receiver two.
42:25I mean, the Saints have allowed a league-high 26 red zone trips so far this season, and on top of that, Jerome's played in the slot 56 and 62%
42:34of his snaps over the last two games.
42:36>> I have a wide receiver 19, wide receiver nine usage in those two games. He's finished as the receiver three and wide
42:42receiver nine in them. He's, you know, he's exactly what Rodgers likes. He likes a little inside-outside player that can work over the middle. He's very
42:50physical, and you can see that obviously in the touchdown.
42:54And then after the game, Rodgers says, "There comes a time when the confidence starts to match the potential." And I think we're reaching that with Jerome.
43:01Very proud of him. So, all the signs are there for him to be a offensive rookie of the year candidate, one of the best
43:07waiver wire picks of the week. I thought you guys handled that extremely well on the waiver wire show. So, hopefully you
43:12guys our our followers have picked him up. And I think you pick him up and you keep starting him.
43:18And the team total's above average. The Saints, you know, are like willing to let a Jerome Bernard kind of beat them.
43:24That's just structurally how their defense operates. They have broken They've allowed so many broken tackles this year, and that's, you know, kind of
43:31playing right into Jerome Bernard.
43:33>> Um I talked about Joel or talked with Joel about this on our Amazon show. I asked Harmon this question last night on his
43:40channel. So, I'll ask you.
43:43Rest of season, you can only pick one rookie that you want to start or roster, and his name is not Jeremiah
43:52Love.
43:53Who is it?
43:55>> Well, I was going to say Jeremiah Love, so good good caveat there. It's >> I guess if you wanted to roll the dice,
44:06you like Jordan Tyson might have an easier path to like really getting there, but that's that's too risky for me. Um
44:13I'll say Jeremy.
44:14>> Yeah, I said Jeremy. Um I think Joe might have said Denzel Mims Washington after Jeremiah Love, and then Matt said, "Hey, Jordan Addison is an
44:22interesting shot once he gets back."
44:24>> Yeah, Kyle Pitts right there as well.
44:25They're all going to be like wide boom-bust wide receiver threes. I think all of them are like passing the eye test to me, which is nice.
44:30>> Well, Kyle Pitts is next for you. He's wide receiver 28. This is against the Cleveland Browns. He has had wide
44:36receiver 11 weeks bookend here.
44:39Um you know, the underlying metrics in terms of market share really favor him.
44:44Wide receiver nine in target share, wide receiver two in air yard share. But Hayden, like the team market shares matter less for the Tennessee Titans
44:51when they're projected for around 17 points every single week. Yeah, versus, you know, a team projected for 27 points.
44:58>> The the share numbers just drive me absolutely crazy. I I built this whole website to help me with my preparation.
45:04We use it for the show. Eventually, you guys will see this, hopefully. I don't have a single share website or part of
45:10the website out there. Like it is just all what are you actually doing for me on a per game basis here, per target
45:17basis.
45:18Get the shares totally out of there.
45:20That said, Kyle Pitts is by far the Titans best wide receiver. He was making some awesome plays last week. I think his
45:25ball skills are excellent. I think he can run the full route tree. I think that he's going to be a very, very, very
45:29good wide receiver.
45:31This matchup, he will see some Denzel Ward, but Denzel Ward only plays one side. So, if the Titans have any clue at
45:37all, they would like not put him to that side. We saw that with Garrett Wilson, who played less on that side a couple
45:43weeks ago. It's like a good like litmus test. Like, do the Titans have a pulse at all? Like at all. And if they do,
45:49then they can go the other way.
45:50>> Yeah, I mean, they're only what, one and a half point underdogs in this game. It should be like is projected to be the lowest total of
45:56the week, if I'm not mistaken.
45:57>> Oh, yeah.
45:58>> Uh talk to us about your guy, Xavier Worthy, as the wide receiver 29 against the Seattle Seahawks.
46:06>> Well, he kind of went to the Rashee Rice role except, you know, offering zero broken tackle ability. Um so, he's not
46:13nearly as good at it, but they had Jaylen Royals and Andrew Armstrong like just running wind sprints down the field and then Xavier Worthy would just like
46:20mesh concept after mesh concept. A couple screens behind the back or behind the line scrimmage stuff. You know you know what it is. Uh that's really fun
46:28against the the Chargers defense and it gets less fun against the Seahawks defense. You know he's going to have to do that with like here comes Nick
46:34Niemann worrying chasing him down and they got good linebackers and a well-coached team. Um so, it's just a little bit harder to get there. The
46:41Chiefs team total is under 20 points.
46:43So, we have not said that very often. Um they are the three-point dogs here against the Seahawks. I totally get that. With Rashee Rice out here, you
46:52know, Mahomes is still going to get his like to some degree. So, I think that Worthy and Kelce are like fine enough
46:58plays. It's a little bit harder to see the total upside here assuming that they're going to run Kenneth Walker, you know, he's going to get 30 touches in
47:05this one in a revenge spot.
47:07>> Yeah, last week Xavier Worthy was the wide receiver 27. So, a repeat of that would be I think the best you can expect.
47:15Um okay, Denzel Boston is next. I am starting Denzel Boston in a league.
47:20Hey Nick, can be high variance. He's doing a high wire act right now. Well, one cuz he's playing with Deshaun Watson, but his aDOT per target is uh
47:3017 yards.
47:33Everything is just so deep.
47:35Fortunately, the Titans allow a league-high 75%catch rate to outside wide receivers, but I'll just bring up the Casey Conception stuff. All of his
47:43numbers are so short and so low. Like Denzel Boston has 578 air yards on the season. Casey Conception has 182. I
47:53would love it if both were at like 350.
47:55>> Yeah, [laughter] no, I totally with you.
47:57Like Casey Contes A dot is at under 7 yards. We can get that up. Now he's getting, you know, 23% of his targets are screens. Like let's
48:04not take that away. It's just like on the other plays like let's send him down. So like he is lightning fast. Um
48:10the problem is like the catchable ball rate numbers are like really weak for both of them. Even though, you know, Casey Contes is like working underneath
48:16his catchable ball rate under 70%still.
48:19So it's like you know, we're just like not getting enough production out of these guys not because they're fault, but just because
48:25of the nature of the passing. With Denzel Boston, he's been running really pure like this season. He's the wide receiver 26 on
48:32wide receiver 36 usage. That gap has was larger a couple weeks ago and now it's starting to get closer and closer to his
48:39expectation. And unfortunately, like he can finish below his expectation because the quarterback play is like well below expectation.
48:46>> Right. With a different quarterback, he wouldn't have to run pure. Like he could still have the same weeks that he's
48:50doing because of the talent, but he has to with the quarterback he's attached to. Oh yeah.
48:54>> Oh yeah.
48:55>> Okay, De'Von Achane is next for you as wide receiver 31. And if we are adjusting for Chris Olave, I mean we
49:01have to adjust for De'Von Achane.
49:03He has finished as wide receiver 45 or lower in three of his last four games and the Steelers are quite good versus
49:10these slot types.
49:12>> Yeah, I'm just like trying to find somebody I feel more comfortable with out there. I think that the ceiling is
49:17pretty compromised. So if you want to like roll the dice, I think that there's some players that are coming up in this episode that
49:23you could say I just like their upside ability a little bit more. Yeah, the the usage is coming down over the last month
49:29though. He's still the wide receiver 27 in expected points. Like at one point that was like top 20. It's kind of, you
49:34know, dropped down a little bit. Uh but also like last game they were up 34 to 10 at like near halftime.
49:41You know, so like you can almost not entirely throw that game out, but that was a weird game. And then you had
49:45Flores like the week before that. Like we could come back and be like, you know what? They still threw the ball 44 times
49:50and Achane got his 62 yards and got out of there.
49:53>> Yep. Okay.
49:56Next is Omar Cooper against the Miami Dolphins. We did get confirmation that I'm Mitchell will play.
50:03Do you think that one of these guys is going to own the two wide receiver sets snaps or do you think that they're going
50:08to kind of rotate them between he and I Mitchell?
50:11>> I think it's going to be more of a rotation. I looked into it. The Jets have used three wide receiver sets on about
50:1771%of their pass plays this year. That's about 15th, but I think the context of that is they haven't had their wide
50:25receiver two and wide receiver three healthy while they've had two awesome tight ends healthy for them for a lot of those games. So you have to assume like
50:32that number is only going to come up now that the wide receiver group is out there. So I think he's going to still be
50:37out there for at least 71%of the drop backs. I think it's probably going to be closer to like 80. I'm going to guess
50:43Cooper and I Mitchell kind of split two wide receiver sets and I think it's going to be that Cooper is just going to
50:48get a lot more of the you know, first read type of targets.
50:52He looks really good. Like his explosiveness was >> Yep.
50:56>> pretty evident in in that game.
50:58And like you said, like we haven't seen his like kind of signature, you know, yak, lower your shoulder moment. So there's a chance that he's just like
51:05that he can easily be the best rookie outside of Jerry my love rest of season this year.
51:09>> Yep. Trey Tucker is next.
51:12This is your wide receiver 33. So the Rams have not allowed a passer to have 208 Excuse me, 219 passing yards against
51:20them in a game this season. Now they get Kirk Cousins who is playing some good football right now and Trent McDuffie is still not practicing.
51:27Correct me if I'm wrong.
51:28>> Mhm.
51:28>> So that's a big deal for Brock Bowers because Brock Bowers has been slowed down somewhat against the top corners.
51:36We saw it with Christian Benford last week and when Benford wasn't covering him then he the ball was just going his
51:41direction. So if your number one corner is out then that also trickles down I think, to Trey Tucker having some uh uh advantages against others,
51:52especially with how he's being targeted and used down the field.
51:55>> Yeah, across the season, he's the wide receiver 24 and wide receiver 33 usage.
51:58I think that's like fairly sticky. Like, I like, you know, kind of the boom-bust wide receiver three range. Uh I think
52:04Kirk Cousins playing really nice football. Like, those two throws to Trey Tucker on the those touchdowns were like two of the best throws that you'll see
52:11the entire season.
52:12Um so, yeah, I think that, you know, Kirk is doing what Kubiak is telling him to do, which is like, you have to throw
52:18those deep balls. And guess what? Like, most of those deep balls go to Trey Tucker, who is really, really, really fast on tape. Uh I had the same notes
52:25defensively. Like, historically, the Rams do not get beat beat deep this season, second fewest wide receiver fantasy points on passes with 15-plus
52:34air yards.
52:35Um that's just like something structural that on top of just like how much talent they have back there.
52:40Um but, it does take a step back um without McDuffie, for sure. So, I think he's a boom-bust wide receiver three,
52:44like he'll be the rest of the year.
52:46>> Okay, last name we'll spend a lot of time on is Malik Washington. This is your wide receiver 34. I mean, he is
52:54your new Cole Beasley. He is your new Wan'Dale Robinson, in terms of if you want seven and a half to nine and a half
53:03fantasy points in your lineup, that is what Malik Washington is giving you on a weekly basis.
53:07>> Yeah, I think I'm going to have to move him down a couple spots. Just before we got started, Caleb Douglas is probably
53:12going to come back. Um and not that Caleb Douglas is going to some some crazy threat, but we're working on like
53:18pretty slim margins right now with with Malik Washington.
53:22Um the team total is at 17 and a half points. He's a little bit more insulated cuz he's going to get some backfield
53:26touches. He's going to get the the quick game stuff, where Chris Bell and Caleb Douglas are going to kind of take the
53:31top off of things, but um yeah, I'm not scared of the Jets defense whatsoever here. It's just more that we kind of
53:37like took advantage of the Malik Washington PPR scheme over couple weeks without Caleb Douglas like you know, it's a little bit harder to
53:45sell that uh once we get the guy that was supposed to be like the top guy in the passing game back in the offense.
53:50And by the way, Chris Bell I think he's passing the test I I test-wise like he's got tons of burst uh even though he's
53:56like very clearly coming back from a a big-time injury.
53:59>> Yeah, the Dolphins are doing it right.
54:00Again, a lot of their rookies look really strong and they're losing close games.
54:05So, I I want to see Malik Washington, Chris Bell, and Caleb Douglas for like the rest of the season.
54:10>> And see if that can be their wide receiver trio heading into next season.
54:14That'd be cool.
54:15>> Okay.
54:16Jordan Addison is your wide receiver 35.
54:20Uh Keenan Allen is your wide receiver 36.
54:24Yes, ahead of Josh Downs who's at wide receiver 41.
54:27>> Uh and then we have, you know, Casey Concepcion. And let's talk Jacoby Lane a little bit. I am intrigued by Jacoby
54:35Lane. I keep talking about him this week. Uh he played one half in the first game of the season and saw
54:42three red zone targets including two end zone targets and then a touchdown wiped away not because of anything he did. And
54:48then this past week with Tyler Huntley at quarterback, he gets another end zone target on top of it. So, I don't want to
54:55go overboard and say that hey, finally we have a wide receiver two that matters on the Ravens. But just from a winning
55:01football game standpoint, he is going to be a significant role player for this team because he brings some element to their offense that really no one else
55:08does in that room.
55:10>> Yeah, I think very well put. Um I don't love that he's going to get DJ Turner in this one. Now, DJ Turner is
55:17like a great athlete. I think that's going to give Jacoby Lane a lot of troubles, but there's kind of a size
55:21mismatch between the two there. So, like some of these like back shoulder balls and um we'll see. They can move Jacoby
55:26Lane around and Rashod Bateman's actually seen DJ Turner too. So, I don't want to like knock the match up too much, but historically
55:31this is the type of wide receiver that kind of takes a beating versus uh the Bengals. Uh I think that Jacoby
55:37Lane's going to finish with like, you know, seven touchdowns this year and Lamar Jackson is playing excellent football. Dalton Doyle's been awesome.
55:44Their offensive line looks way better than I thought it was because Vegas is awesome. They're going to maybe get Cam Jurgens back from the concussion
55:50protocol this week. Well, we'll figure that out in a little bit. And I think there's a chance that the Ravens like
55:54really take off. So, um yeah, I think Jacoby Lane's is a very fun waiver wire addition. I think that if he's still on
56:00the waiver wire, if your like league's asleep, I think that he's one of the best bench stashes there is. Uh we have
56:05not seen Lamar with this type of player.
56:07I guess it's like we have and it's been Mark Andrews and Mark Andrews has been awesome. So, hopefully Lane's kind of
56:12the next coming.
56:14>> Yeah. Oh, Emeka Egbuka doubtful according to Wease to play.
56:19>> Come on.
56:20>> So, so so maybe the original Greg Auman post was was correct here from the start.
56:25>> Enough.
56:26>> Um well, I guess then we have to bring up and I'll just throw up like Josh Downs' name just real quick. He's been outside the
56:35top 40 wide receivers in three straight games. This is a huge spot for Shane Steichen, by the way. Like, if he
56:41somehow pulls an upset, I'm not sure if it's really going to matter in the end, cuz this, you know, ship is kind of barreling
56:47towards the iceberg a bit. But hey, I mean, Shane Steichen is a good coach, and if he's the one to kind of, with
56:53this decrepit roster, uh, bounce back against a Brian Flores defense, that'd be a statement. But maybe for the Chargers and the Eagles,
57:02not for the Colts.
57:03>> Well, I'm not sure. I I can easily see um the new ownership saying we want somebody that's going to lead the charge
57:13at GM and we've already found the head coach that's been successful. And like it's just going to be we need a new
57:18top-down approach. And I think a lot of times like ownership cares about the GM stuff because like that's who's like calling shots on the business and like
57:27communicating with them. Like there's there's so much on their plates that they kind of view them as like this is like my right-hand man. And like they
57:35might just say, I needed a couple months to figure out who that is. And by the way, we already got Shane Steichen at
57:40home. Like where could we be set here?
57:42Unfortunately, for like this matchup though, the Vikings are like throw the ball out quickly to our guys out in the flats.
57:48And the Colts are like, okay, we'll do that. And then could Josh Downs catch the football? That would be nice. He's
57:54not going to break any tackles. He's just too small. And that's where I kind of go to Keenan Allen. I'm like, Keenan
57:58Allen's catching the football.
58:00And he at least can like break a couple tackles because he's so big.
58:04Like Keenan Allen's been better than Josh Downs this year. Like I I don't know what else to say. Like that's that's not that crazy to to say. Like
58:10I've been watching the game. Like Josh Downs is just like not making enough plays.
58:13Um >> Yep.
58:14>> Even though he's way faster. It's just like his catch radius is so small. Like I mean You kind of nailed the Josh Downs stuff
58:21from this offseason. You're like, we kind of like him in the slot and like that role. And then you try to
58:25extrapolate from that. It's just he just doesn't have, you know, like those skills and his size.
58:30>> I never debated that he wasn't going to play in two wide receiver sets. It was just if he was going to be successful in
58:34those two wide receiver sets. Cuz anytime he lined up outside previously, it was, hey, we create this perfect environment for him.
58:42Like we motion him and we stack him and we do the it's never just aligning up on the ball and winning his routes. It just
58:48wasn't that. And I'm not a Josh Downs hater at all. I was just trying to be a Josh Downs realist. And on top of this,
58:52like Tyler Boyd is DNP DNP to open the week.
58:56>> Yeah.
58:58Tough team right now.
58:59>> It's real it's real rough.
59:01Uh okay.
59:02I mean, I do feel like we need to say something about a Chargers, excuse me, a 49ers wide receiver.
59:08They are 26 point projected team total. They are favorites by now just two and a half on the road.
59:16But Mike Evans is not going to play. We can go down the entire list of 17 other wide receivers that are not going to
59:21play. You have Christian Kirk as the highest. What is your confidence level in having Christian Kirk the highest of the 49ers wide receivers.
59:28>> Like wide receiver 43 or whatever it is, that's about my confidence level here.
59:32But what I'm going off of is a single Brock Purdy quote where he said, "Christian Kirk and Brandon Cooks look awesome." or whatever it was. It was
59:40something like that. I'm like, "Okay, well he listed those two guys." Uh you know, Christian Kirk was the guy that was like, you know, brought in
59:47first, you know, probably making the most money, um has played the most football, uh and can play inside and outside, so he's going to be the one I
59:54rank the highest. Jacob Cowing uh has been out there just eating snaps or Jordan Watkins been eating snaps but has not played uh or like earned any
60:04targets. Uh yeah, we talked about this.
60:06It's going to be George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey going crazy and then if I had to say one wide receiver randomly has a spike week, which by the
60:11way, it happens every year. Like De'Anthony Robinson will finish as the wide receiver eight on a week uh every single year with Shanahan. So it's totally
60:18possible. My top option for that would be Christian Kirk. I hope we're not there though in fantasy leagues though.
60:24>> Yeah, I'm I'm I kind of wonder if the Christian Kirk positivity is because he's the only one of these wide
60:30receivers we have not seen taking the field this year and we've seen all the other guys.
60:34>> But sometimes that's like a good like if I've seen the other guys fail, like at least like what's in this box? What's in
60:38this Christian Kirk uh coming off another calf injury box?
60:42>> I hear you. Um Okay.
60:45You have like Wan'Dale, he was actually ahead. Uh and then Chris Godwin.
60:50Do you want to say anything about Chris Godwin now that Emeka Egbuka is listed as doubtful? I'll say this, Godwin has not reached
60:5750 receiving yards in a game so far this season. He is averaging 3.8 air yards per target and a career low 9.4 yards
61:05per catch and it looks like a career low in terms of his uh >> Correct.
61:10>> aesthetically athletically movement ability on the field each week.
61:15>> I think I would play him over Malik Washington. Um >> Okay.
61:20>> but I'm kind of looking at the Jordan Addison stuff and be like, do I just want, you know, a functional offense
61:24most likely coming off a bye against the Colts? But yeah, that should be kind of the tier for Chris Godwin. Like I'm not
61:30saying like where Amari Cooper is at wide receiver 22, Chris Godwin like that he's just not capable of that anymore.
61:35So, I think he's a wide receiver three fill-in if you had to with Amari Cooper listed as doubtful, but not feeling great about it.
61:43>> Okay. I'm sure we just screwed up production on that entire moment, but that's totally fine.
61:49We did it. Thanks everyone for tuning in. Hayden is constantly updating his rankings where he was top six in the known universe
61:58last week. And he's going to continue on that streak, you know?
62:04Yeah. Got to get first one of these, you know? And then we'll be like, "Really?"
62:07We'll really blow up. Hayden will get to 200,000 subscribers if you get first in one of these weeks. That's That's That's
62:11what we need.
62:12>> We've been saying that for a long time.
62:15>> Look, YouTube now less about subscribers, you know?
62:18>> It's all about the algorithm. You guys You guys are great. You guys are great.
62:20>> I know. I'm just joking. Uh thanks to Weaves and Mo Show. Again, we'll be back Sunday morning as well for the Starts It
62:26Show starting at 10:30 a.m. Eastern. And as always, when triple zeros hit Sunday Night Football, we'll have every game recapped by that point and giving you
62:36the information that you need to know about every single fantasy relevant player. So, see you all then. Up the Villa. Talk to you guys soon.