0:00Let's talk Brandon Soarsby, the quarterback out of Cincinnati who now has entered the supplemental draft. The supplemental draft, Hayden, we haven't
0:06had a pick in since the 2019 summer. So, when you go back and watch Soarsby tape, what stands out the most?
0:14>> I think you got a very loose athlete.
0:15He's a plus athlete. There's a couple times as a scrambler where he would take off and run. I also notice his sack
0:22production is really, really outlier strong. And if you go back and look at the reasons why, there's a lot of play
0:27action in the offense, like like a absurd, it's like 50% of his snaps are play action, but also he's got the
0:33athletic traits to kind of escape some sacks out there, whether that's with his legs. He's also got some size to him as
0:40well. So, there's a there's a really good chart out there just looking at his scramble rate versus his sack rate.
0:45That's the promising stuff. His arm talent in terms of throwing at different angles on the run, I think that's pretty good. I think he's a toolsy-ish
0:54prospect. This is not Josh Allen athleticism. I think that the arm talent in terms of accuracy, arm strength, I think is more average than anything. Uh
1:03ultimately, I think I would be looking at a day-two selection just based off of the film here, based off the stats that
1:10I will get to here. So, I think a pretty fun prospect in general. You definitely have some questions the more you dig
1:15into it, though.
1:16>> So, in this video, we do want to talk about his individual talent, what he does well, some of his weaknesses, dive
1:21into some underlying numbers on top of that. And then go through what's the realistic outcome for him in this supplemental draft. Where might he be
1:28taken and compare that to maybe some prospects that were in the 2026 NFL draft and where they were selected. So, you hit on a lot of what I wanted to
1:37lead off with here with Soarsby in that just seven turnover worthy plays this past year charted by PFF and just seven
1:44sacks taken.
1:45That's all on 400 dropbacks, and you would think, just looking at those numbers, that you'd then be watching a very tentative, safe passer. Like that's
1:55not the case at all when you're watching Brandon Peters Uh the dude just wants to throw from all different platforms with a bunch of
2:03different trajectories on his throws and he does really want to throw down the field. In fact, I mean, you know, about
2:1152% of his passes were anywhere from behind the line of scrimmage to 0 to 9 yards, but then he really wanted to
2:16attack 20 plus yards down the field. He had 23 completions on those for 955 yards, eight touchdowns including 21 big-time throws. So again, 21 big-time
2:28throws 20 plus yards down the field. So in that case, he's kind of like a get out of your seat.
2:35This is a really fun player when he does want to create explosives out there.
2:39>> Yeah, he's a really fun quarterback to watch on them because his mechanics on every single rep is almost like a
2:46snowflake. Every single one is different whether it's the follow-through, it's a backpedal, throwing from like he's pretty much like parallel with the
2:54sideline on some of them. Sometimes he's parallel to the line of scrimmage. It's all over the place and I think that lack
3:00of consistency ultimately kind of hurt him with his accuracy where there were just some some of the most ridiculous touch passes. He releases the ball so
3:09much earlier than everyone else. He like really enjoys just kind of like Uncle Rico throwing this ball way down the field a lot of arc on it and then when
3:17it goes right in the breadbasket you're like, "Wow, that that's one of the best throws you'll ever see because the ball
3:21is in the air for so long." But also when you're playing like that, it's so hard to be accurate all the time. So So
3:27there was as many balls that were well short like like multiple yards short or well into the sideline as well and I
3:34think if you just like took a screenshot of his follow-through and the angle that he was throwing the ball from every
3:41single rep on these 20 plus yarders, you'd say, "What the hell is going on here?" And I think that loose mechanic
3:45stuff while fun ultimately hurt his ability to be consistent quarterback on some of these throws.
3:51>> Yeah, you the term textbook, he is the opposite of textbook because like you said every single rep felt very different. Sometimes it works out
3:59though, like he loves to throw on the move. There was this play against Bowling Green, it was play action from the left hash, he was rolling right. Uh
4:07a flick of the wrist and I mean a flick of the wrist and the ball is perfectly thrown 25 yards to the far sideline in
4:14stride on first and 10 and you're like, man that placement is perfect. I want him to do that every single time. But
4:20then a quarterback who moves around this much makes me nervous. Like he doesn't want to sit there and read the full
4:28field out without moving left or right, which then cuts off, you know, certain reads and certain opportunities for him to hit open receivers in the timing and
4:38the rhythm of an offense. Then there are other times like in quick game where he can be very swift with it and in fact
4:45his arm angles and his movement kind of create these angles to check downs to running backs, to tight ends that maybe
4:52other guys can get to. How loose he is with the ball it really reminded me of Drew Lock coming out of school.
4:59>> Mhm.
4:59>> And the style that he plays with, like no holds barred, I'm just going to try this backyard football stuff and see how it
5:08goes. And again, I am stunned that it didn't end in more negative outcomes than it did. But at the same time I can
5:16see how it does lead to more negative outcomes once >> he reaches the NFL.
5:20>> Yeah, so we see the same way as a passer. Um I think his arm strength is more average than anything. I there was
5:28not that many plays where I thought he was like really lining up and firing the ball in there. And then sometimes when
5:33he did the ball would kind of escape a little bit high from him and I think that just goes back to the mechanics.
5:37Like if his mechanics were more sound as a as a as a passer I think that we would see more talent kind of come out of
5:42there. He's just a ridiculous throwing the ball on the run. Like he does have some of those like wow plays out there.
5:46I will say, he can run right by a lot of guys. Like he is an impressive athlete running the ball just right like either
5:54in the scramble drill, uh he can catch guys off by surprise. I do think that you should get him involved in the quarterback design game.
6:00I think that's where some people are doing the Jackson Dart stuff. I think as a rusher, there's definitely some similarities between the two. I just
6:06think that Jackson Dart's ball placement was just way better and his production was just way better than uh um what we have here. So, I wouldn't put
6:15them in the same tier of quarterbacks. I understand some of the the the comparisons based off of the rushing stuff, but I was just curious how how
6:21good of a rusher is he cuz I do think he's going to need to be one in order for him to get enough
6:26enough enough reps as an experienced quarterback to like round out some of the current concerns that we have as a passer.
6:32>> That's the other stunner when you go and watch his tape because he had 113, 105, and 100 carries in each of the
6:40last three seasons. And this past year was easily the most productive at 580 yd and nine scores. And a lot of these
6:48scramblers that you see, they go east and west. His is a lot of north and south.
6:54>> Mhm.
6:54>> And often times it was when either there was a blitz or the, you know, linebackers just either again were rushing or were uh
7:03voiding and evacuating their area. And as soon as he sees like the seas part between the guard center guard, he is putting his foot in the dirt and
7:12climbing up. And again, he's faster than the defenders think and he's destroying their angles. And so, maybe what should have been like a 7-yd run turns into a
7:2217-yd run. Uh that north and south stuff, I don't think you see as often again in the league cuz the coverages and the
7:29different styles that they play. So, I think he's going to have to attack it a bit differently because I don't know if
7:33you saw the same thing, but so often it was like through the heart of the pocket, which is cool to see, but again,
7:39a lot of the scrambles that we see from the best athletes and the best scramblers in the league. Those are more
7:43like extended plays versus oh, this is wide open. I'm just going to kind of do like the one-two turn down and then go
7:51and I'm going to create yards there.
7:52>> Yeah, I see it the same way. I think I think he's going to be an above average, you know, scrambler but nothing going to
7:57be like you obviously the the top guys in the league. So it's just like a nice thing to have in his back pocket. I
8:01don't think it's like enough for him to say he's a really toolsy quarterback that should go round one. Ultimately, I think I would take a chance on him
8:08like in the second-ish round. I don't I would need to obviously interview him and get to the bottom of this cuz he
8:14placed 9,000 bets and the common person betting 9,000 bets is is a lot. Somebody that's told you absolutely cannot do this for years and years and years and
8:22years and then you still do it 9,000 times, that is very much concerning to me. So uh you'd have to get to the
8:27bottom of that. I think just based off of his overall talent, how important quarterback is, a second or third round pick is probably the range. Some Some of
8:35the comps that I had, uh Kenny Pickett played this kind of game. He went in the first round. That didn't go out uh work
8:40well. Hendon Hooker was someone that popped up very statistically similar, a lot of play action, kind of a weird offense. Uh that's somebody else. Uh the
8:48names aren't very good for him. Drew Lock in terms of a passer, I think makes sense. Uh Spencer Rattler, there's a
8:53little bit to to uh this game as well.
8:55So yeah, I I think a second round pick, most of second round quarterbacks, it does not turn out. And I think most
9:06likely scenario, Brennan Armstrong does not turn out. But we have had some Derek Carr-esque type of guys that eventually get it done. Um so I think I would not
9:16be surprised if he is a third round pick because of the question marks and then some teams late in the second round, we
9:21can get to them, uh could take a dart. I just do not agree that uh he would have been a first round pick
9:27in the draft. Like that just makes no sense.
9:29>> Yeah, I was having to that a little bit more. You You mentioned third round. Um like Carson Beck and Drew Allar just
9:33went in the third round and he's he's better on the field than those guys.
9:36Like he is. Yeah. That should be the absolute floor that we're talking about here just an on-field standpoint. Now, what you also brought up is that
9:44there's some mentions that he has first-round ability, that he has first-round talent.
9:48To me, and maybe this is an oversimplification, if he had first-round talent, he would just would have declared for the 2026 NFL Draft.
9:54And I understand that there are more reasons to stay in college now than there have been previously, but there's way more competition for quarterback in
10:02the 2027 Draft than there would have been this past one after Fernando Mendoza. I mean, it would have just been Ty Simpson. If he really did have
10:08locked-in first-round ability.
10:10Um I think he's a really fun player. He has obvious areas where he wins, as we outlined. But again, I don't know if we
10:16talked about enough of like the obvious areas that he has flaws. I mean, the fall-away, fade-away throws where it can turn
10:24what should be a great design and a good completion because he had, you know, a wide receiver that was drafted and
10:30another like freakazoid 6'5 guy that was one of the greatest athletes that we've seen in this draft class, and that means
10:36something at the college level. And too often, he turned them their wins into like 50/50 situations where they had to come up with big-time plays. And then,
10:45other than the Kansas game, I thought he was really suspect over the middle. And he got away with it at times. Like,
10:50there was this play against Nebraska where there was a little hook into a zone, and he stares right at it, and he
10:56doesn't throw it. And instead, he scrambles for 12 yards, so it's a nice gain, and it's a nice win. But again, I
11:01I want him to rip those throws in kind of the second-ish phase of the play, and he just was unwilling to do that, I
11:08felt, over the middle of the field. And that extends to the intermediate portion, too, where, you know, it was 21% of his attempts, but it was easily
11:17his like least productive area throwing to the football this past season.
11:20>> Yeah, there's just not a lot of full-field reads kind of going out there. A lot of this is kind of like the
11:24first half of the field, and then just like take a shot down the field. It's kind of how the plays would kind of work
11:29out.
11:29>> And just real quickly, I also didn't see a lot of small movements in confined space to reset and throw from the
11:36pocket.
11:36>> Yeah, I saw the same >> is an athlete, but he once he uses that athleticism, it is to throw from awkward
11:43arm angle around the pressure or to totally escape it as a rusher versus I'm going to work in this confined situation
11:50and continue my reads and then make a play and like in the design of the of the drawn up situation.
11:56>> The other thing, his interceptions and his like turnover worthy plays and stuff, it was two high shells and like he would just like throw it directly to
12:03the safety. There was a lot of times where some of his completions were also I was like an NFL safety puts his
12:10receiver into the hospital and there there was almost like too many plays where he's like not fact-checking what's going on with the
12:17safeties. And a lot of his big plays were like cover zero and stuff where there's no safeties to worry about. He
12:21can just throw the ball way up in the air and do that pretty well.
12:25But I thought a lot of his bad plays, it was like the same rep like throughout the entire season which has
12:31me a little bit concerned. So, Yeah, I think >> throw many interceptions, but when he did, they were spectacularly stupid and
12:38they were like in tight moments when trailing. That stood out to me, too. And there were even other times when the
12:43ball got tipped at the line when there was a pass rush and he was about to throw it into a single covered safety
12:49who had a safety over the top.
12:51>> Yeah.
12:52>> And he got lucky that the ball got tipped at the line of scrimmage.
12:55>> I have him firmly between Ty Simpson and Carson Beck. So, that's that's a pretty wide wide range. That's 13th overall to
13:0165th overall.
13:03And we also could learn that teams get to the bottom of this this betting stuff and his character and they're like I'm
13:08not going to take the chances on this.
13:10So, like I I don't think there's a floor that exists with him. I think this is tape is a boom-bust second or third
13:16rounder. We have a couple of these guys every single year. He I think if he had a huge season at Texas
13:21Tech, I think there was a chance he could go round to one, but that's like a lot of if-then statements. You can't be
13:25like if he had a great season, then he would have been a first-round player."
13:28Like I think that could have been possible, but that did not happen. Like he he was 74th, 64th, 68th percentile on
13:36like all the advanced metrics compared to drafted quarterbacks. That's better than Ty Simpson's production, but it is not the typical automatic first-round guy.
13:46So like I think the first-round prospect stuff is definitely overstated.
13:50>> Can we get into who might select him?
13:52Like how many teams do you think might spend a third-round pick on him?
13:57>> That list was longer than I was expecting it to be because how bad the quarterback twos are across the league.
14:03Like there's a lot of teams that do not have set-in-stone quarterback twos. The Packers, you know, the the Panthers, the Buccaneers. So like there's a lot of
14:12those type of teams. And then you have what, the four or five teams that are still looking for their franchise quarterback. I don't think that those
14:19teams, Dolphins, Cardinals, Browns.
14:23I don't think that they would >> Jets.
14:25>> be offering the other Jets. I don't think they would say a second-round pick cuz that's most likely to be a top 40
14:29pick. I think that's a little bit rich for this type of profile. I do think it'd be more interesting, Tampa Bay
14:35Buccaneers, Baker Mayfield's on expiring contract at 51st overall. The Philadelphia Eagles just doing the analytics of this, that could make some sense to me. And then
14:45you get into the third round, and that's where I think the Lions, you know, they took a chance on Hendon Hooker in the
14:49third round. And like a lot of those teams begin to make more sense. So I think it's a pretty even range of teams
14:56that can take him. Like I don't think there should be a clear-cut favorite because I think a lot of teams are going
15:00to look at him as a developmental quarterback two, not a franchise quarterback. And once we get past the top 40 or so picks, every team's on the
15:08table at that point. So I can see a lot of teams doing third-round picks, and then maybe a couple late seconds.
15:16>> But then the late second thing, you don't know it's a late second. That's the part of this, right? Because if you
15:22use and put in one of your selections, then that is lost in the 2027 NFL draft.
15:28And you know, there's more layers to this where I believe the league is now split up into like three different sections and it's all through email.
15:34It's kind of like blind bidding and all this type of stuff. But to me, that is why, you know, no team is going to spend
15:41a first-round pick on this. Like that that should be impossible. Like I know the Jets have three first-rounders, but it is your first-round pick that is
15:49lost. And so, I also get the idea that hey, a team that spends a second or third-round pick on a quarterback, that
15:57doesn't mean they're locked into that and they can easily move off of them just the next off-season. But I just don't think that this fits like the
16:02Jets' timeline in that way where they are more focused on the 2027 draft as a whole and losing out on a third or
16:11especially a second-round pick, then kind of changes why that they've accumulated all of these selections. So, I don't think the Browns are going to do it. I don't
16:19think the Jets are going to do it. And more so to me, it's more of the the Packers, the the Bucks. The Eagles would
16:26be an interesting one because, you know, they have Tanner McKee, but he's in a contract year. They just made the move
16:30for Andy Dalton, so that would make a very crowded 2026 quarterback room for them. And then on top of that, you know,
16:37when Terrelle Pryor was suspended uh in college before joining the NFL in the supplemental draft, the NFL then added a suspension on top of that. So, they do
16:47have the power to suspend him for four, five, six, however many games he wants to once Sources B does enter the league.
16:53>> Yeah, I think the suspension's not going to matter cuz he's not going to be starting the first couple games anyways.
16:57I would be surprised suspension or not.
16:59Um I I do think the risk of him being permanently suspended if he, you know, uh like relapse with all this stuff.
17:05Like that that's definitely on the table and should be accounted for. Um he's going to be a backup this year no matter
17:10what. So, I think we see it the same way. I I do think that the the teams that have three quarterbacks is just
17:15harder to make that work. Like it's not impossible, but the Browns have that.
17:19The Cardinals I'm not saying if these team None of these quarterbacks are actually good, but they have three guys in a competition now. It's a little bit
17:25harder for those teams to kind of get it done. So, that's where I think it's Yeah, it's the Panthers, it's the
17:31Dolphins in the third round. Like, those type of >> Couldn't Le'Raven be a part of this, too?
17:35>> Possibly. Now, two is on a one-year deal. I think that would would make some sense. Um So, yeah, I think I
17:41think a lot of those teams would be the third round, which makes me kind of 50/50 if it's going to be third round or
17:46second round at this point. Uh that's kind of the grades that he that they've gotten. And then I can see >> My fear is that everyone thinks, "Oh,
17:53he's going to go for a third rounder."
17:54So, one team believes that they have to put in a second rounder for him.
17:57>> Yeah, I mean, I can totally see that being, you know, I mean, there's some really bad picks in the second round for
18:02for quarterbacks and for other positions, too. It's not just the quarterbacks, too. But, like, remember, Kyle Trask goes in the second round to
18:08the Buccaneers. Like, do you think Jason Light's looking at Kyle Trask's profile versus Soarsby and kind of think, "Hey, maybe this is a a chance we're taking."
18:15I think teams like the Bucks when it's an expiring quarterback contract, getting Soarsby in early to kind of feel like, "Okay, is there a path where he
18:23can actually start in 2027?" I think those are the type of teams that makes the most sense. So, yeah, I don't have a good answer. I
18:31think it's pretty flat across who could do it.
18:33>> That does it. Hopefully that helped.
18:34He's an interesting watch, and uh hopefully that came through with our discussion here. Um thank you all for tuning in. The supplemental draft isn't
18:42until mid-July, so there's a whole 'nother month of conversation about this, and I know he has a pro day workout on like July 10th as well. So,
18:51we get some eyes on that on top of it.
18:52So, thank you all for watching. Hit that subscribe button, and we'll see you in the next video.