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Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden fantasy football takes on David Montgomery
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden about David Montgomery.
11
Insights
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Positive
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Insight ledger
All Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden insights about David Montgomery
NegativeProjectionJul 31, 2026
Montgomery is a fifth-round pick on Yahoo whose primary selling point is volume, but the source expresses hesitation because volume alone is insufficient justification given his age, lack of explosiveness, and the Texans' offensive line concerns. The source terms him a "desperation running back play" in a volume-based dead zone of the draft, where tight ends, quarterbacks, and wide receivers offer better value. Montgomery's volume upside is complicated by the Texans' offensive line instability and play-calling concerns. Nick Kaye's 19-game sample as play caller shows his ball carriers rank dead last in explosive run rate and fifth worst in dead run rate (zero or fewer yards). While the Texans added new offensive line starters and a run-blocking tight end, the line remains unsettled with Wyatt Teller on fringe retirement, rookie center Kaylin Rutledge, inconsistent Ed Ingram, and injury-prone Braden Smith. Additionally, Woody Marks is expected to split reps, further limiting Montgomery's volume ceiling.NegativeValueJun 26, 2026
Drafted as RB 20 in the fifth round, but analyst prefers to wait on running backs with more upside potential rather than betting on volume-dependent floor plays.NegativeMatchupJun 26, 2026
Texans offensive line ranked 31st in EPA per carry and 22nd in rush yards per game since 2023, creating a poor blocking environment for the running back.NegativeBustJun 26, 2026
At 29 years old with nine straight seasons of 180+ touches, significant wear and tear is a concern. Analyst worries both the pro and con cases hinge entirely on volume, which is a red flag.NegativeRoleJun 26, 2026
Expected to handle early-down role only, with Woody Marks taking passing-situation work. Limited upside due to committee backfield approach and offensive coordinator Nick Kaley's history of splitting backfields.NegativeProjectionJun 26, 2026
Ranked RB 25 overall with ADP at 50, slightly behind consensus. Analyst projects him as low-end RB2 at best, with limited pathway to pay off compared to upside picks around him.NegativeValueJun 26, 2026
Montgomery's ADP is 50 and he's being drafted as RB20, but the analyst ranks him RB25 at 64th overall, viewing him as similar to Tony Pollard, Chuba Hubbard, and Rondre Stevenson who get drafted much later.NegativeProjectionJun 26, 2026
Montgomery finished as RB31 in points per game last season and is being drafted as RB20 with the Texans, but the analyst ranks him RB25 overall at 64th overall, suggesting he's overvalued.PositiveUsageJun 18, 2026
Montgomery is expected to receive massive volume in the Titans offense.PositiveUsageJun 18, 2026
Montgomery is expected to get massive volume in the Bears offense and has a clear pathway to being a top-12 fantasy back.PositiveProjectionJun 18, 2026
The analyst compares Montgomery's profile to a player being drafted on volume alone, noting that in many seasons this type of asset doesn't always work out well in fantasy.