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Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden fantasy football takes on Garrett Wilson
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden about Garrett Wilson.
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Insights
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All Underdog Fantasy Football - Josh & Hayden insights about Garrett Wilson
PositiveRoleOct 30, 2026
Ranked WR18 but faces significant headwinds from limited dropback volume and red zone equity. The Jets wide receivers collectively rank 30th in usage (20.7 expected points), and this will worsen to bottom-five once Breece Hall returns. Wilson plays the X with the most difficult assignments but must compete for red zone targets with two high-draft-pick tight ends (Sadi and Mason Taylor) and deep threats Omar Cooper and Adonai Mitchell. The team total is decent at 23.5 against the Raiders, but the core issue is not target share alone—it's overall dropback volume and where those dropbacks occur, with many happening outside the red zone where Wilson's value is capped. Kyler Gordon explicitly prefers starting Michael Wilson over Garrett Wilson.NegativeRoleOct 27, 2026
Garrett Wilson is one of the three wide receivers on the field in 11 personnel sets alongside Omar Cooper, which impacts tight end usage and role distribution in the Jets offense.PositiveRoleOct 23, 2026
End-of-season outlook has worsened now that the Jets offense is healthy and Breece Hall is back; with Hall's return, the Jets are expected to run the ball more, reducing Wilson's target volume and role in the passing game; Dvonte Adams traded Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. straight up for Justin Jefferson, specifically trying to get rid of Wilson due to these concerns about his usage in a run-heavier offense.NegativeMatchupOct 16, 2026
Garrett Wilson is coming off an awesome game but faces the New England Patriots, who are getting Christian Gonzalez back—a significant defensive addition. Gonzalez is one of the best corners in the league and will shadow Wilson on approximately 75% of his reps. Additionally, Wilson is playing in the slot less than previously, reducing his volume in a favorable area. Team total is only 18 points, suggesting limited offensive output.PositiveUsageOct 9, 2026
Garrett Wilson is a fringe WR1 against the Browns. He excels against man coverage, seeing a nearly 40% target share and 4.0 yards per route run in those situations, though he faces a tough individual matchup against Denzel Ward, who is having an awesome season locking down receivers.PositiveValueSep 30, 2026
Despite being a player many fantasy managers were hesitant to draft in the rounds 4-6 wide receiver range, Garrett Wilson has been a solid performer.PositiveValueSep 25, 2026
Garrett Wilson is ranked as the WR10 and is a strong buy-low candidate. He has seen a 44% target share against man coverage, and with Detroit playing high rates of man coverage and missing key secondary pieces, Wilson is positioned for a breakout performance. He is also noted as a positive regression candidate.PositiveMatchupSep 18, 2026
Garrett Wilson is a high-tier option with a favorable matchup against the Green Bay Packers. The source highlights his strong Week 1 metrics, including a 30% target share, and expects the Jets to pass more. The Packers' defense is criticized for poor sack rates and communication issues, creating a prime environment for Wilson to potentially produce his best fantasy season.PositiveValueSep 9, 2026
Ranked as WR14, Wilson is a strong play against a Titans defense that allowed a league-high 18 PPR points to opposing WR1s last year. The source is high on Wilson this season, citing improved quarterback play and a favorable matchup against the Titans' secondary, particularly if Alontae Taylor is forced to play outside corner. He is considered a great pick in the fourth round.PositiveValueAug 26, 2026
The source expresses a preference for investing in the New York Jets' offense, specifically highlighting Garrett Wilson as a target over players on the Arizona Cardinals.NegativeValueAug 26, 2026
The source identifies Garrett Wilson as a player in a preferred draft tier, noting that his current Yahoo ADP—drafted right after Tyler Warren—is considered an insane valuation.PositiveValueAug 3, 2026
Ron Stewart identifies Garrett Wilson as a must-have wide receiver in the 4th-5th round tier for championship upside; he emphasizes the need to exit your draft with one of the tier's elite options including Wilson, Jaylen Waddle, Lad Makanki, Terry McLaurin, and Luther Burks.PositiveProjectionJun 24, 2026
Garrett Wilson is projected for a median outcome of around 7-8 touchdowns, lower than Tee Higgins' consistent 10+ touchdown upside.PositiveProjectionMay 26, 2026
Had 23 red zone targets in 2024, significantly more than Z Flowers (13), giving him superior touchdown upside in half-PPR formats.PositiveProjectionMay 26, 2026
Finished as WR1 on per-game basis in 2024-2025 despite total points ranking lower, suggesting better week-to-week consistency than peers.PositiveProjectionMay 26, 2026
Analyst expects Wilson to maintain elite target share and production despite new receiving competition, projecting him as a volume hog in an improved offense.PositiveBreakoutApr 29, 2026
Believes Wilson is too talented not to eventually break out; expects him to put things together this year with new coaching staff and Geno Smith.PositiveProjectionApr 29, 2026
Ranked WR18 with new coaching staff and quarterback; ranking is vibes-based given unprecedented roster turnover and uncertainty.PositiveProjectionNo date
Garrett Wilson is Aman Ross St. Brown's A-tier WR ranking at WR6 overall after an elite recent performance and usage. Last week against Lions, he had DBs dancing and making plays at catch point; he was WR3 on WR9 usage with 38% target share. Expecting Mason Taylor, Adonai Mitchell, Omar Cooper, and Breece Hall to miss games, removing target competition. Gino Smith playing well. Bears defense allowed WR1 overall performance to Jaylen Coker. Faces Bears in week one; Jaylen Johnson is not a total shutdown corner, and Tyreek Stevenson is vulnerable to double moves—a skill at which Garrett Wilson excels at an elite level.PositiveValueNo date
Garrett Wilson is a preferred draft selection over both Trey McBride and Tyler Warren. The source indicates that while Warren is a target, he does not rank above Wilson in their personal draft hierarchy.PositiveValueNo date
Ranked as WR18, Garrett Wilson is considered a strong buy at his current ADP. Despite playing on a team expected to be poor, the source anticipates improved offensive efficiency and scoring. Competition like Amari Cooper and Adonai Mitchell is viewed as functional rather than a threat to his target share.PositiveBreakoutNo date
Garrett Wilson is positioned as a breakout candidate, with Ron Stewart's analysis highlighting his success on first-read targets from Gino Smith. The source selects him as their first flex pick, noting that this is Wilson's time to shine after previous years of underperformance relative to draft capital. Despite Adonai Mitchell at X and the team drafting Omar Cooper in round one, the source expects significant target volume to flow through Wilson, both on short-to-intermediate routes and downfield opportunities.