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Fantasy Points fantasy football takes on Baker Mayfield
Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Fantasy Points about Baker Mayfield.
28
Insights
21
Positive
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Insight ledger
All Fantasy Points insights about Baker Mayfield
NegativeInjuryOct 30, 2026
Only 11 pass attempts in Week 7 against the Saints; injury concern affecting game script and volume. The source notes that Todd Bowles and the Buccaneers medical staff have a pattern of returning players sooner than ideal, creating uncertainty around Mayfield's workload and health status heading into Week 8 despite the blowout game script justifying the low attempt volume.PositiveInjuryOct 22, 2026
Baker Mayfield returned to practice in limited participation and is expected to play for Tampa Bay; his return helps all pass catchers, particularly Booker, even though Mayfield is not a star-level QB.NegativeValueOct 20, 2026
Baker Mayfield is a viable streaming option owned in 24% of leagues with a favorable upcoming schedule against Carolina, Atlanta, and Chicago. While he averages 19.2 fantasy points per game over the last three years—outperforming Dak Prescott and Matthew Stafford—the source expresses concern regarding his current thumb injury, poor early-season performance, and ranks him in the 'D-tier' behind Aaron Rodgers, JJ, and Kyler Murray.PositiveMatchupSep 25, 2026
Recommended start in Week 3 despite poor early-season performance ('played like absolute dog water to start the season'). Baker is historically one of the best quarterbacks in the league against the blitz; Tampa Bay's defense is blitz-heavy, creating open windows as Tampa's second-level players blitz, allowing Baker to find soft spots downfield. While he has four turnovers and seven sacks in two games and ranks bottom three in EPA per drop back, the source expects him to regress toward his career average given his historical track record. The source states 'Baker should be able to find the soft spot. I feel really good about this.'NegativeInjurySep 8, 2026
Users can pull up Baker Mayfield's comprehensive injury history to review all of his various injuries throughout his career using the platform's new injury filter.NegativeProjectionSep 7, 2026
Baker Mayfield is noted for playing through injury last season, which contributed to Tampa Bay's late-season struggles.PositiveValueAug 26, 2026
Baker Mayfield is a high-value streaming option and arbitrage play against Joe Burrow, as he offers similar fantasy production while being drafted 12 rounds later. The source suggests pairing him with a primary quarterback to chase weekly top-three finishes, noting he could emerge as a waiver-wire surprise similar to Matthew Stafford.NegativeInjuryAug 25, 2026
Sig Bloom points out that Baker Mayfield played with a severely bruised throwing arm that was never officially listed on the injury report, illustrating the lack of transparency regarding player health. Bloom also cites Mayfield as an example of a player who should have sat out due to injury rather than attempting to play through it, referencing his time with the Browns.PositiveValueAug 21, 2026
Baker Mayfield is a recommended late-round quarterback option for managers who wait until the end of their draft to secure a starter; he is currently ranked as the QB17.NegativeInjuryAug 18, 2026
Brett Whitefield highlights that Baker Mayfield played through a visible injury last year where his entire arm was black and blue, yet he was never listed on the injury report at all that week, illustrating the lack of transparency in injury reporting.PositiveInjuryAug 3, 2026
Baker Mayfield suffered a significant arm injury that caused dramatic collapse in throwing metrics. Deep throw rate plummeted from 1st to 32nd in the NFL; catchable throw rate fell from 7th to QB28. This sharp decline in ball placement and aggression directly impacted his receivers' production, particularly Amon-Ra St. Brown and Mecole Hardman, despite continued high target volume. Injury expert Jeff Muller warned to watch for quarterback to come out, suggesting severity of the arm injury.PositiveProjectionJul 24, 2026
Baker Mayfield has a chance to have a big bounce-back season. Two years ago he threw 41 touchdowns and is a gunslinger willing to pull the trigger and able to put up big numbers. If the Buccaneers' offensive line stays healthy, the offense structure should support high volume and scoring. However, Mayfield was on the injury report 11 times last year with eight separate injuries (foot, toe, biceps, knee, oblique, illness, left shoulder, right shoulder), and his completion percentage over expectation was only better than Shedeur Sanders in the middle bulk of the season, suggesting injuries significantly impacted his performance.PositiveValueJul 16, 2026
Baker Mayfield will be available very cheaply (around $1) later in auctions as a start-worthy quarterback option.PositiveProjectionJul 11, 2026
Baker Mayfield was on the injury report 11 different times with 25 different injuries and had the league's worst catchable target rate after the first five-week stretch.PositiveInjuryJul 11, 2026
Baker Mayfield played with a blown-out shoulder for the final six or seven games of the season, which likely impacted his performance and his receivers' production.PositiveInjuryJul 11, 2026
Baker Mayfield played with a blown-out shoulder for the final six or seven games of last season, which likely impacted Amika Buuka's receiving production.PositiveBreakoutJul 10, 2026
Baker Mayfield is among 22 quarterbacks with low-end QB1 upside this year, representing exceptional depth at the position.PositiveProjectionJul 10, 2026
Baker Mayfield is mentioned as having low-end quarterback one upside and can be considered as a late-round quarterback option with potential.PositiveInjuryJul 10, 2026
Baker Mayfield was playing hurt last year, which is being cited as context for why passing attacks may improve this season.PositiveProjectionJul 10, 2026
Mayfield played hurt last year, suggesting he could see improved performance in 2026 if fully healthy, contributing to expected passing yard increases.PositiveProjectionJul 9, 2026
Baker Mayfield was top-five to top-six in catchable throw rate in 2024, but that metric cratered last year due to injuries he played through (foot, toe, biceps, knee, oblique, illness, shoulder left and right). With a legitimate play-caller upgrade from Josh Grizzard to Zach Robinson (from the McVay tree), Mayfield's performance should improve. He has been a top-five quarterback off play action over the last three seasons. Comparable fantasy output to Joe Burrow at a significant ADP discount: posted 0.6 PPG less than Burrow in 2025, 0.2 PPG less in 2024, and 1.5 PPG more in 2023, while going seven rounds earlier.PositiveProjectionJul 9, 2026
Baker Mayfield was top five to top six in catchable throw rate in 2024, and has been a top five quarterback off play action over the last three seasons, benefiting from new play caller Zach Robinson from the McVay tree.NegativeInjuryJul 9, 2026
Baker Mayfield was on the injury report 11 times last year with foot, toe, biceps, knee, oblique, illness, shoulder left, and shoulder right injuries, playing through everything but not always playing well.PositiveProjectionJul 9, 2026
Baker Mayfield had a top-five to top-six catchable throw rate in 2024, but that cratered last year due to playing through injuries; a play caller upgrade from Josh Grizzard to Zach Robinson (from the McVay tree) should help in the play action department.PositiveProjectionJul 8, 2026
Baker Mayfield has been QB6 in fantasy points per game over the last two seasons and has actually outscored Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy by 0.1 fantasy points per game in that span.PositiveValueJul 8, 2026
Baker Mayfield is available deep at quarterback (around QB21) and gets a great opening schedule with the Bengals in week one (shootout game) and home against the Browns without Miles Garrett.PositiveValueNo date
Baker Mayfield is highlighted as a successful waiver wire quarterback pickup who provided value after filling in for an injury.PositiveProjectionNo date
Baker Mayfield is expected to throw 35-40 touchdown passes in 2026, with a focus on feeding Amon-Ra St. Brown and other key targets.