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Fantasy Points fantasy football takes on Michael Wilson

Every source-backed video insight STACKED has extracted from Fantasy Points about Michael Wilson.

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Insight ledger

All Fantasy Points insights about Michael Wilson

PositiveValueOct 29, 2026
Despite panic about Michael Wilson following the Marvin Harrison Jr. trade, the source trusts his volume, which remains excellent. The source attributes recent underperformance to bad luck and Jacoby Brissett playing poorly rather than a fundamental role decline. Even if Wilson finishes below average in efficiency, his volume should support a ranking around low-end WR2 at worst. Wilson is WR16 in XFP per game and faces a favorable matchup against Dallas, which plays single high at the third highest rate in the league. He's nearly three times as efficient against single high this year and ranks top 12 in targets per route run against single high over the last two years, well above Trey McBride, making this a better spot for Wilson than McBride on paper.
PositiveValueOct 7, 2026
Buy-low candidate despite 30 targets over the last two weeks; ranks second in targets per game and air yards per game over his last 12 games, making him a high-end wide receiver one by production. However, he's currently priced as a mid-range WR2 in most leagues. He's WR7 by expected fantasy points per game but only WR20 by actual fantasy points per game, with zero touchdowns on four end zone targets—a regression opportunity. He faces the Detroit Lions, the worst defense in football. Should be valued as a low-end wide receiver one in reddraft; has generated 30 targets in two weeks and is averaging double-digit targets per game, establishing elite target volume that warrants mid-round wide receiver one valuation.
PositiveMatchupSep 25, 2026
Michael Wilson is a strong flex play and 'get-right spot' for Week 3 against the 49ers defense. The source defers from script projection (WR39) to recommend Wilson, citing Arizona's offensive bounce-back potential and the 49ers' weak pass rush metrics (bottom of league in pressure rate and pass rush win rate). Michael Wilson has a 20% target share this season and his target per route run increases by 22% against cover-three (which the 49ers play over 50% of the time), jumping above Trey McBride in that coverage. The source explicitly states: 'I love Michael Wilson this week. Take it to the bank.'
PositiveValueAug 4, 2026
Wilson is going in the seventh to early eighth round in most formats. Coach Mike Lafleur has positioned Wilson as a Puka Nakua-type receiver in the offense—a strong, sturdy player who can play between the tackles, insert on safeties, and 'muck it up' in contested situations. Lafleur praised Wilson as 'tough as nails,' 'super competitive,' and 'a really good receiver,' noting similarities to Puka Nakua and Robert Woods in playing style. Wilson will handle the role of inserting on safeties and playing between the tackles in contested situations—a distinct role from Marvin Harrison Jr., who will be moved around the formation. However, Wilson's target share drops dramatically when Harrison is on the field; last season he averaged just 12% target share with Harrison active versus 25% when Harrison was off the field—a huge split that constrains Wilson's fantasy ceiling in the Cardinals offense and makes him a secondary option despite potential value.
PositiveProjectionNo date
Michael Wilson has excelled under new offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur with elite target volume and efficiency. Over his last 11 games, he averages 10.6 targets per game (compared to Jamar Chase's 10.0), 85.3 yards per game (vs. Chase's 79.7), and 19.1 fantasy points per game (vs. Chase's 17.9). In his most recent game, he received 17 targets and three screens, and now ranks top six in first-read target share. The source projects Wilson as a potential fantasy wide receiver one moving forward if the Cardinals' pace of play and volume hold, calling him a league winner. Wilson is being used in a Puka Shanahanesque role—playing as an X receiver with motion and condensed usage, functioning almost like a detached tight end—with zero catches from the slot, indicating specialized deployment. The Cardinals ran over 80 plays in a recent game—something they did not do once all of last year—reflecting the lightning-fast pace and pass-heavy system under LaFleur that mirrors the offense's approach when the quarterback was not Zach Wilson.