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Top 50 Wide Receiver Rankings & Tiers - 2026 Fantasy Football

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

35 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jan 29, 2026
Published
Thu, January 29, 2026
37
Player insights
37
Players mentioned
Topics
A.J. BrownAlec PierceAmon-Ra St. BrownBrian Thomas Jr.CeeDee LambChris OlaveChristian WatsonColston LovelandCourtland SuttonDavante AdamsDeVonta SmithDK MetcalfDrake LondonGarrett Wilson
Player analysis

Player insights

37

A.J. Brown

NegativeRole16:40

AJ Brown is clearly unhappy being a Philadelphia Eagle. Per Puka One's reading of Twitter commentary, the Eagles would have a very difficult time trading him or getting out of his contract, meaning Brown is likely to remain a Philadelphia Eagle for the upcoming season. This is compounded by his dramatic mid-season split: weeks 1–9 he was WR34 in PPG, but weeks 10–18 he was WR8. At age 28 heading into age 29, Puka One notes that while some receivers regressed at this age (Kenny Britt, Jakobi Meyers, Nate Washington, Brandin Cooks), others stayed the same or improved slightly (Mike Williams, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett), suggesting age 28-to-29 is not necessarily a regression year.

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Alec Pierce

PositiveProjection43:28

Pierce averaged 12.2 fantasy points per game overall but showed strong finishing power, jumping from 10.6 PPG in the first nine weeks to 13.7 PPG in the second half of the season. Puka Uno ranks him primarily for underdog best-ball/redraft leagues and would rank him lower in straight reddraft formats, citing his variance upside as the key appeal.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

PositiveProjection3:40

A-tier ranking. Third straight year finishing as top-5 WR in PPG despite Jameson Williams' strong second-half emergence. Plays 16 games every season; over past three seasons, ranks as top-3 WR in total fantasy points. Described as 'super boring' but one of the safer projections available.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

PositiveBust28:28

Dramatic second-year collapse; finished WR47 in PPG after WR13 PPG as rookie. Despite Trevor Lawrence finishing third in MVP voting and Travis Hunter missing the season, Thomas underperformed; Jakobi Myers emerged as clear WR1 for Jaguars in second half. Puka Uno gives Thomas benefit of doubt due to strong rookie season but acknowledges unexplainable falloff. Uno suggests Thomas has higher ceiling than Myers on Jacksonville, positioning him as preferred receiver target on team, though recent production contradicts this view.

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CeeDee Lamb

PositiveProjection4:17

Injury-impacted 2025 season led to George Pickens emergence and overall team target share decline from 29.9% (2023) to 24% (2025). Pickens expected to remain with Dallas in 2026. Lamb still young in his prime entering age 27 season. Historical comp: Stefon Diggs had comparable 2019 season and exploded to 20.5 PPG in 2020, suggesting recovery trajectory. His 2024 season was comparable to Diggs' 2019 campaign, which preceded Diggs' explosion to 20.5 PPG in 2020.

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Chris Olave

NegativeProjection12:26

Chris Olave's age-25 season is historically comparable to Calvin Johnson, Tyreek Hill, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Brandon Marshall, Tee Higgins, Terry McLaurin, DeAndre Johnson, and Jerry Judy. While some comparables (Judy, Johnson) declined at age 26, others (Hill, Johnson, St. Brown) improved, suggesting Olave is still in his prime and not at a natural decline point. With Tyler Shuck at quarterback, Olave averaged 18.2 fantasy points per game and finished as WR5 in PPG during that stretch, a significant jump from his mid-tier ranking earlier in the season. Puka One notes this top-five performance looks very promising, though he tempers expectations by acknowledging Shuck's long-term viability as a starting quarterback is uncertain. However, Olave has serious concussion concerns; with his prior brain surgery, even one additional head hit could be catastrophic, and this injury risk is factored into his price projection.

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Christian Watson

NegativeInjury29:19

Returned from torn ACL and immediately established as WR1 for Green Bay Packers in 2025 season. Despite successful return, injury history remains a significant concern for future seasons. Puka Uno notes he did not expect Watson to play at all given the severity of the ACL tear, making his WR1 role establishment a positive surprise, but the recurring injury risk is a persistent downside.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveBreakout34:14

Puka Uno expects Colston Loveland to expand his role in his second or third year, grouping him with Roman Dunes and Luther Burden as young receivers with growth potential.

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Courtland Sutton

NegativeRole22:48

Courtland Sutton has established himself as a predictable, low-end WR2/high-end WR3 with no one in Denver threatening his role. Puka One describes him as 'boring' but reliable—a player whose role and production can be penciled in with confidence.

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Davante Adams

NegativeProjection27:24

Despite WR11 PPG finish and 14 receiving touchdowns (second-highest of career), Puka One applies age-based regression model. Drafted in 2014, Adams is entering his age 34 season. Historical data shows nine of ten WRs entering age 34+ seasons decline; exceptions (Reggie Wayne, Larry Fitzgerald, Adam Thielen) are rare. More common pattern is sharp decline (Emanuel Sanders, Andre Johnson, Michael Floyd, Reggie White, AJ Green). Puka One ranks him low due to age-based concerns.

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DeVonta Smith

NegativeProjection38:22

Finished WR30 in PPG despite being drafted heavily by Puka Uno, who still views him as very strong talent. Averaged at least 60 receiving yards per game for fourth straight season but lacked touchdown production. Upside exists if AJ Brown is traded, which could elevate Smith's role significantly.

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DK Metcalf

NegativeProjection26:48

Metcalf is a 28-year-old receiver who has been underwhelming, finishing as WR33 in fantasy points per game last season. He has only finished higher than WR20 once in his career (2020). Puka Uno expresses uncertainty about Pittsburgh's quarterback situation and offensive direction, limiting upside outlook.

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Drake London

PositiveProjection4:53

Age 24 in 2024 with impressive volume despite poor quarterback play: 30.7% target share, 10+ targets per game, and 83 receiving yards per game in an offense that effectively was not able to throw the ball. Historical comp: Michael Thomas had a very similar age-24 season in 2017, which preceded a jump to almost 20 PPG in 2018. London's premium draft capital from USC and volume efficiency suggest significant upside if QB play improves in 2026, as quarterback play is unlikely to be worse than Michael Penix's 2025 performance.

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Garrett Wilson

PositiveMatchup15:44

Garrett Wilson dealt with one of the worst organizations and quarterbacks in the NFL in 2024. Despite back-to-back seasons as a top-24 wide receiver and a 34% team target share, Puka One is concerned the Jets situation won't improve meaningfully, questioning whether moves like acquiring Kyler Murray would actually help. He ranks Wilson at 15 but acknowledges the team's quarterback situation must be monitored closely.

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George Pickens

PositiveProjection8:46

George Pickens averaged 17.2 fantasy points per game and finished as WR8 in 2024, his first top-36 finish by PPG. His age-24 season is historically comparable to Michael Thomas, A.J. Green, Odell Beckham Jr., Brandon Marshall, Dez Bryant, Nico Collins, Jaylen Waddle, Randall Cobb, and Drake London. Puka One projects both Pickens and CD Lamb can finish top-10 again next season despite playing on the same team, citing their youth and Dak Prescott's youth. However, production splits show significant variance: in games without CD Lamb, Pickens averaged 24.2 PPG and ranked #1 overall WR; with CD Lamb healthy, he averaged 16.8 PPG (low-end WR1), demonstrating the impact of target distribution when both receivers are available.

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Ja'Marr Chase

NegativeProjection3:00

2025 season decline to 19.6 PPG, but led NFL in targets per game at 11.6. Performance splits with/without Joe Burrow are significant: receiving yards improved from 83 per game without Burrow to 92 per game with Burrow; he ranked WR4 in PPG in Burrow games. Historical context shows he was WR1 overall last year and went at pick 101 in 2025 draft, suggesting recovery potential if Burrow stays healthy.

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Jakobi Meyers

NegativeBust33:18

Puka Uno notes that Jakobi Myers was the WR1 for the Jacksonville Jaguars in the second half of the past year but expresses concern about potential Jaguars regression, suggesting his elevated role may not be sustainable.

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Jameson Williams

PositiveBreakout19:36

Jameson Williams showed dramatic second-half improvement after a poor first half. He finished WR51 in PPG (weeks 1–9) but jumped to WR11 with 16.1 PPG in weeks 10–18, improving across every statistical category: targets, target share, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. Puka One notes Sam Leaporta's injury opened targets, but highlights that Williams is still incredibly young and historical comps (Amari Cooper, Brandon Cooks, Terry McLaurin) show age 24–25 wide receivers with similar seasons improved at age 25.

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Jaylen Waddle

NegativeProjection29:48

Puka Uno expresses significant concerns about Miami Dolphins team trajectory heading into 2026. No established quarterback on roster; offensive coaching staff appears to be downgrade. Tyreek Hill's injury expected to have minimal impact on Waddle's season, but overall team dysfunction is the primary concern. Uno characterizes Miami as going to be an absolute debacle.

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Jordan Addison

NegativeRole32:36

Puka Uno calls Jordan Addison a great player but cites uncertainty around the Minnesota Vikings offense as the primary ranking challenge. He notes that ranking any Vikings receiver is difficult until the team's quarterback situation is resolved.

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Justin Jefferson

NegativeProjection6:14

Jefferson was arguably the worst first-round pick in 2024 outside of Malik Nabers, declining from top-7 WR in PPG for five straight seasons to WR31 in 2024 (201 total fantasy points vs. 317 two seasons prior). The primary driver was poor quarterback play: with JJ McCarthy, he scored 10.7 PPG (WR33); without McCarthy (Max Bromer, Carson Wentz), he scored 16.3 PPG (WR10). Despite this, Puka Uno still believes Jefferson is arguably a top-2 or top-3 talent at the position, making his ranking difficult without clarity on the Vikings' QB situation.

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Luther Burden

NegativeBust30:36

Led NFL in yards per route run at 2.92 as rookie but limited field time; competing with Rome Odunze, DJ Moore for targets; Caleb Williams already very good with limited room for improvement. Ranked WR25 on Underdog. Historical comps (Rome Odunze, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Rashad Bateman, Jalen Dossan, Cadarius Toney, Trayon Burks, Dobson) show poor hit rates for similar rookie seasons; best historical jump was Rome Odunze. Puka Uno expects market to overweight based on yards per route run and late-season performance, similar to Marvin Mims and Gabe Davis overdraft in prior year. Uno ranks him WR25 out of respect for talent, offense, and rookie status, but doesn't believe he can sustain top-24 ranking.

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Malik Nabers

PositiveInjury7:21

Nabers had incredible rookie volume (11.3 targets per game, 35% target share) and started 2024 strong (12.1 targets, 37.7% target share) before suffering a torn ACL that required delayed surgery due to swelling. Puka Uno expects the injury to linger through training camp and into the season. While the upgraded coaching staff and Jackson Dart as QB represent improvements, Uno is hesitant to project Nabers with confidence due to past mistakes underestimating injury recovery timelines.

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Marvin Harrison Jr.

NegativeProjection40:52

Declined from rookie season, dropping from 11.2 to 10.7 fantasy points per game in year two despite Jacobs Brousette fueling passing volume. When healthy, appeared to be WR1 in Arizona. Current ADP on Underdog is WR37, suggesting Puka Uno may be ranking him higher than market consensus.

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Michael Pittman

NegativeProjection1:38

Pittman repeated his volume from the prior year with 6.9 targets back-to-back seasons and approximately 49–50 receiving yards back-to-back years, establishing him as a consistent WR3 archetype. Puka Uno expresses uncertainty about the Indianapolis Colts' situation heading into the next season but uses Pittman's stable volume profile to project his role.

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Michael Wilson

PositiveBreakout38:49

Drafted as top-five WR by Puka Uno in underdog leagues based purely on route volume and depth chart positioning, not talent evaluation. Second season showed 1.1 yards per route run (described as unfathomable), yet transformed into league winner. In weeks 11-18, averaged 21 fantasy points per game (WR2), with 11 targets per game, 7 receptions, nearly 100 receiving yards per game. Current ADP on Underdog is WR35, suggesting significant market undervaluation.

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Nico Collins

NegativeProjection12:00

Nico Collins took a slight step backwards in 2024 but maintained three straight seasons with at least 15 fantasy points per game. One game was negatively impacted when he left early with a concussion, which affected his season PPG average. Despite the step back, his multi-year consistency makes him difficult to fade.

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Puka Nacua

PositiveProjection0:00

S-tier WR1 ranking for 2026. Primary concerns are Matthew Stafford aging and potential passing volume regression in Los Angeles, but upside exists for red zone role expansion as Devonte Adams (ranked ~30) likely won't lead the league in receiving touchdowns again.

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Quentin Johnston

PositiveValue21:30

Quentin Johnston, drafted by Puka One as his most-drafted WR in the 70s, delivered 12.2 PPG and was instrumental in a $50,000 DFS win on Underdog. Johnston outperformed Lad Mcconi (11.3 PPG) and was the target of Puka One's preference throughout the season. Ranked WR35 by Puka One but currently WR42 on Underdog, Johnston shows consistent year-over-year improvement (WR77 rookie, WR40 year two, WR36 year three). The Chargers offensive line is expected to improve if health holds, and Puka One expects to draft him frequently due to market undervaluation.

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Rashee Rice

NegativeProjection10:49

Rashee Rice finished as WR6 in points per game, averaging 9.8 targets per game in 2024. However, Puka One banks suspension risk into Rice's price due to off-field behavior (Instagram post in early January), acknowledging NFL PR typically sweeps such issues under the rug. Additionally, Patrick Mahomes is coming off a torn ACL, which could impact Rice's target volume.

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Ricky Pearsall

NegativeInjury32:50

Puka Uno notes that Ricky Pearsall looked good at times during the season but expresses durability concerns, questioning whether he can stay healthy going forward.

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Rome Odunze

NegativeProjection42:20

Odunze was a league-winner candidate early in the season, averaging 19.9 fantasy points per game in the first four weeks. He suffered an injury in week five and upon return, his production collapsed to 8.3 fantasy points per game—an absolute train wreck according to Puka Uno. Uncertainty exists around DJ Moore's role, Luther Burden's development, and Colston Loveland's role in the offense going forward.

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Tee Higgins

NegativeProjection15:15

With Joe Burrow healthy, Tee Higgins averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game and finished as a mid-tier WR2. Puka One notes a long track record of this production level when both Higgins and Burrow are healthy, but the primary concerns are Higgins' own injury risk and Burrow's injury risk, making him difficult to project with confidence.

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Terry McLaurin

PositiveValue32:12

Puka Uno initially ranked Terry McLaurin lower due to age (31), injury concerns, and holdout history, citing poor historical outcomes for older receivers. However, he acknowledges he may be undervaluing McLaurin given his WR16 points-per-game finish two years ago when healthy alongside Jayden Daniels. Underdog drafters are taking him at ADP 32, suggesting the market may be pricing him higher than Puka's ranking, indicating potential value if healthy.

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Travis Hunter

NegativeRole33:23

Puka Uno mentions Travis Hunter as having an outside chance to play receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars, suggesting uncertainty about his positional role.

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Xavier Worthy

NegativeBust33:33

Puka Uno calls Xavier Worthy one of his worst calls from the past season, noting he drafted him heavily but the receiver produced absolutely nothing, indicating a significant miss on the prospect.

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Zay Flowers

NegativeProjection17:34

Despite volatile performance throughout the season—appearing unusable for stretches—Zay Flowers finished as WR13 in PPG (15 fantasy points per game) after bookending the season with WR1 finishes in weeks 1 and 18. This was better than Flowers has ever been in fantasy, per Puka One. However, he expresses concern about Lamar Jackson's declining athleticism and its impact on overall offensive upside going forward.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

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0:00Believe it or not, 2026 fantasy football drafts are already live on underdog.
0:04$200,000 of first in the big board and a hund,000 of first in the $3 contest that they have. Over $2.5 million of prizes.
0:12So, I need to go ahead. I need to get some rankings out there to help you all out. I'm going to give you wide
0:15receiver, running back, tight end, and quarterback over the next week or so.
0:19So, make sure you drop a like and subscribe. Now, starting off with the S tier, I'm going to keep it stupid
0:25simple. Puganua will be the wide receiver one. Now, there are going to be a couple different things changing from 2025 to 2026 with Puka. One, the most
0:34concerning will be that Matthew Stafford's going to be another year older. The second thing though, which is very much worth talking about, is
0:42Devonte Adams is probably not going to lead the league in receiving touchdowns yet again. Now, of course, we'll talk about Devonte Adams later in this video.
0:50I'm ranked around 30, but I think Puka could actually expand his role in the red zone. I will be concerned that you
0:56do have overall touchdown regression or overall passing volume regression coming to Los Angeles though. Now Jackson Smith and Jigba is going to be our next name
1:05with JSN. 21 fantasy points per game, 105 receiving yards per game in his third NFL season. He's actually one of the youngest wide receivers out of this
1:14list. And if you go over and you look at what we have with the range of outcomes tool on flockfantasy.com, you'll see that similar age 23 seasons
1:23to JSN were CD Lamb in 2022. What did he do the following season? Oh, he improved to 23 points per game. Puka Nakua in
1:312024. Oh, what did Puka do this past season? Oh, he was the wide receiver one in fantasy. We saw Jefferson from 2022
1:38to 2023. Odell Beckham Jr., Yes, was the one wide receiver that had as strong of an age 23 season 2 JSN that got
1:47significantly worse the following year as well as DeAndre Hopkins, but with Odell as well as Hopkins, I do think that those are outlier type scenarios,
1:55especially knowing that that was the year Hopkins had to deal with Brock Osweiler, very safe bet for JSN to absolutely dominate. And one thing that
2:03I do want to point out as well is if you are looking at the JSN pickum on underdog for the big game right now you
2:13are seeing a projection of higher lower 93 and a half receiving yards and this was what we saw pretty much all season
2:19last year. There's no reason to believe that those weekly projections are going to be any lower this next season. Now of
2:25course if you're not already checking out underdog projections the link's in the description. It's in the comment section. Code Flock will give you $75
2:33added to your account after you play your first five. And there are two big weekends that Underdog always has with promos every year. It's NFL opening day
2:44as well as the big game. I think that they're running five different promos.
2:49One is a free gimme pick. The other one's going to be I think they have two different profit boost packs up to 200%.
2:55So, if you're ever going to get on Underdog, now's the time. code flock link in the description as well as the
3:01comment section. Now, with Jamar Chase, much worse this past season, 19.6 fantasy points per game, but he did actually lead the NFL in targets per
3:10game at 11.6. If we go ahead and use the player comparison on flockfantasy.com and compare the games in which Jamar Chase played with Joe Burrow verse
3:18without Joe Burrow, obviously he was much better with Joe Burrow. That receiving yards number moved from 83 per game up to 92 per game. He is the wide
3:27receiver four in points per game in the games in which Joe Burrow did play. You can remove what we had this season, look
3:34back to last year where he's the number one overall player at the wide receiver position and the reason why he went at
3:40the 101 in this year's draft. Now moving over to the A tier, we are going to have a Monroe St. Brown. St. Brown's super
3:47boring. I don't really think we need to spend much time talking about him. Even with Jameson Williams coming out and performing quite well in the second half
3:55of the season, this was still St.
3:57Brown's third straight year finishing as a top five wide receiver from a points per game perspective. And if you look at
4:04the fact that he plays at least 16 games every single season, if you're going for total fantasy points, he is actually
4:11currently sitting as a top three wide receiver over the past three seasons.
4:16So, one of the safer projections you're going to have. And then with CD Lamb, obviously he got injured this past season, which led to the emergence of
4:24George Pickins. And we did see the overall target share in this offense fall from 29.9% in 2023 down to 24% this past season.
4:34And I would expect that George Pickkins is a Dallas Cowboy yet again this next year. But CDL Lamb still incredibly young in his prime going into his age 27
4:43season. We actually saw a very comparable year to Stefon Diggs in 2019 going to 2020. And what happened the following season for him was he exploded
4:53to 20 and a half points per game. Now moving over to our next here, we are going to be led off with Drake London.
5:00So overall, the Atlanta Falcons offense wasn't super super exciting. And if you go through and look at the play of Michael Penn, it's not like we can
5:08assume that the quarterback play is going to be worse this next year. London was making lemonade out of some sour lemons this past season. If you go
5:16through and if you look at the volume numbers, this was most impressive about Drake London. He actually had 30.7% of this team's targets here. He had over
5:2610 targets per game. He had a whopping 83 receiving yards per game in an offense that effectively was not able to
5:34throw the ball. You go ahead and you look at his range of outcomes being an incredibly young wide receiver. Drake London was only 24 years old this past
5:42year. You can go back and look at Michael Thomas with a very similar age 24 year old season in 2017. The
5:49following year he jumped up to almost 20 points per game. You can look at Alshon Jeffrey, Mike Wallace, Jaylen Wadd, and
5:55then obviously you had some guys fall off like Randall Cobb. But honestly, I think London can go in like a different
6:01bucket just because he also had the draft capital. So great prospect coming out of the USC. And it's not like he
6:07came out of nowhere either coming into the year. He's already going at the one-two turn. Now, Justin Jefferson was probably the worst first round pick
6:14outside of Malik Neighbors this past year. And Jefferson was probably worse than Neighbors because you kept on starting him and getting absolutely
6:20nothing. And it's hard to ignore the fact that this man went from being a top seven wide receiver in points per game
6:30every single season through the first five years of his NFL career to being the wide receiver 31 in points per game
6:38this past season. If you look at total fantasy points, I mean, this is a player that had 317
6:47two seasons ago, dropping down to 201.
6:50And the main reason, at least in my opinion, was going to be the play of JJ McCarthy. You go ahead and you look at
6:57the games in which Justin Jefferson played with JJ McCarthy. He scored 10.7 fantasy points per game, which was good for being the wide receiver, 33. And in
7:08the games with no JJ McCarthy, this is with freaking Max Bromer, this is with Carson Wentz, he had 16.3 fantasy points
7:16per game, and he was good for the wide receiver 10. So, I still believe that Justin Jefferson is arguably a top three
7:23talent at the wide receiver position, if not a top two talent in the league.
7:27Clearly, he's dealing with some of the worst quarterback play in the NFL. It's very difficult to rank him this early on. If we knew for sure it was going to
7:35be JJ McCarthy, maybe to be a little bit lower, but I hope the Vikings make a play. Now, Malik Neighbors is a wide
7:41receiver that obviously from a talent perspective has been incredible. the volume numbers were really unheard of as a rookie where
7:52he had 11.3 targets per game. Good for a 35% team target share as a rookie. And then obviously you go through and you
8:01look at what he did at the beginning of this season. He had 12.1 37.7 and then only 3.3 fantasy points. But you had
8:09that ceiling where he had already had 32 targets the first three games that he had played this year. Now you have the
8:15upgraded coaching staff. Not only do you have the upgraded coaching staff, but Jackson Dart looks to be the best quarterback that the New York Giants
8:22have had in a long, long time. My hesitation with Malik Neighbors is I have made the mistake over and over and
8:28over again, especially in early underdog baseball drafts. Like I made a video last January or last February talking about some of my favorite values. And I
8:37actually put Chris Godwin there because I'm an idiot and honestly I have underestimated the impact of these injuries going into the following year.
8:46and Malite Neighbors was not a clean torn ACL. Malite Neighbors had to wait a significant amount of time to have surgery due to the swelling. So, from
8:55what I've read, it does seem like this is going to be something that lingers through training camp and in basketball drafts in particular. Typically, these
9:02injured players that aren't at camp, you can actually get a discount on in August and September. But obviously I've been an idiot ranking these injured players
9:11for years now. So it's very difficult for me to come through and talk with confidence about neighbors. Now moving over to our next year, we are going to
9:19have George Pickkins. Now Pickkins's overall numbers incredible, right? I mean this was a wide receiver averaging 17.2 fantasy points per game this
9:29season. He was the wide receiver eight and this was the first time he finished as a top 36 wide receiver from a points
9:36per game perspective. Now, if you look at the historical range of outcomes, unbelievable for George Pickkins, his age 24 season was similar to Michael
9:45Thomas, AG Green, Odell Beckham Jr., Brandon Marshall, Dez Bryant, Nico Collins, Jaylen Wadd, Randall Cobb, and then Drake London this year. Now, one
9:53thing that is worth pointing out is George Pickkins was good all season long. I'm not gonna say he wasn't, but there was a very big difference between
10:02the games in which George Piggin played with CD Lamb versus without CD Lamb. The games without CD Lamb, you actually had
10:10George Pickins averaging 24.2 fantasy points per game. And he was the number one overall wide receiver in fantasy. In comparison to the games with CD Lamb, he
10:20was actually at 16.8 fantasy points per game, which was still good for a low-end wide receiver one finish. Now, I am
10:26gonna assume that he is the Dallas Cowboy this next season. And while it's very difficult to ever project two wide receivers from the same team, both
10:34finishing top 10, we just saw these guys do it. They're both young. Dak's young at the same time. So, in my opinion, no
10:41reason to believe that they can't do it again. Now, ranking Rashi Rice is also very difficult. Rasheed Rice was the wide receiver six in points per game.
10:49This past year, he averaged 9.8 targets per game. But a couple different things happening here. One, you have Mahomes coming off a torn ACL. Mahomes tore that
10:56ACL very late in the season, but he did have surgery pretty much immediately.
11:01The second thing with this is I don't know if y'all saw the post on Instagram, but Rasheed Rice continues to prove that
11:09he's a jackass. All right, not somebody you want to root for, not somebody you want on your fantasy team. I rank these
11:16guys in terms of just the raw amount of fantasy points that they are going to score. So, this ranking has a little bit
11:22of Rashid Rice suspension risk banked in. But, if I'm going to be honest, it seems like the NFL just frankly doesn't
11:29really care. I mean, ultimately, at the end of the day, the news coming out about Rashid Rice, that Instagram post, it happened early January when the NFL
11:39playoffs were happening where the Kansas City Chiefs were out of it. We got a long six, seven months till the NFL
11:44season starts. I'm going to assume that the NFL PR team sweeps it under the rug.
11:48I'm going to assume that they make sure people aren't talking about it. It's typically what happens. So, while I would like to say like, oh yeah, he's
11:56going to get suspended. He's going to miss time this he's probably playing.
12:00Now, Nico Collins will be our next wide receiver. Nico Collins did take a slight step backwards. Obviously, we can look at CJ Strad in the playoffs and
12:06absolutely clown on him, but ultimately Nico Collins had three straight seasons with at least 15 fantasy points per game. though it is hard to get away from
12:14him, especially knowing that he actually did have one of those games that he left early with a concussion that did impact
12:20his fantasy points per game this season to the negative. Now, going over to Crystal Lave, one thing that I wanted to
12:26do with flockfantasy.com is one, we can check his historical range of outcomes and actually see that Calvin Johnson, Tyreek Hill, Amanra St. Brown, Brandon
12:34Marshall, TAN, Terry McLaren, Deontay Johnson, and Jerry Judy all had similar age 25 seasons. Now, obviously guys like Jerry Judy, Deontay Johnson got much
12:43worse at 26, but Tyreek Hill, Calvin Johnson, Aman of Monro St. Brown got better at 26. So, not necessarily an age
12:51where you'd assume that these wide receivers start just naturally declining. He's still in his prime. But the other thing I wanted to check in on
12:57the site is I looked at the games in which we had Tyler Shuck starting versus Spencer Rattler because obviously Chris
13:06Ave went nuclear in the fantasy football playoffs which allowed us to actually have a very good score and a very good
13:14payday in underdog drafts this year.
13:16Thank you Chris Ave and with Tyler Shuck averaged 18.2 fantasy points per game.
13:23He was the wide receiver five in points per game during that stretch versus Whisperer Rattler. He was actually the wide receiver 18. So you saw him go from
13:32a mid wide receiver too to a top five guy. Now a couple different things. One, do I believe that Tyler Shuck is some
13:38incredible NFL quarterback and this going to continue forever? No, I don't.
13:42Two, Chris Ave still has serious concussion concerns. One hit to the head as somebody who's had brain surgery in the past and if you hit me in the head,
13:51I probably die. One hit to the head for Chris Ave. It's not going to be great.
13:56So, I'm going to bank that into his price, but obviously top five wide receiver down the stretch with Tyler Shuck looks very promising. Now, going
14:03over to Tedo and McMillan, I thought he was an incredible prospect coming out of school. He was a young rookie as well.
14:10And this is one thing that I think is very cool about the range of outcomes tool on flockfantasy.com.
14:16You can go ahead and we can look at Tedo McMillan's age 22 season and see who it comps to historically. We have Keenan
14:24Allen, Drake London, DK Mechaf, Percy Harvin, Stefon Diggs, Jeremy Macklin, Michael Crabtree, Jordan Addison, and Kenny Stills. Now, there were a couple
14:34of these 22-year-old wide receivers that got worse at 23, aka Jordan Addison, who had JJ McCarthy and Kenny Stills. I'm gonna be honest. I don't remember what
14:43happened to Kenny Stells in 2015, but the vast majority of the instances of these 22 year old wide receivers, whether it's Keenan Allen, DK Mechaf,
14:53Drake London, as you see a significant step up in points per game going from their age 22 to their age 23 season,
15:00especially with the guy that we like the prospect profile of. So, I'm going to give Tedo McMillan the benefit of the
15:06doubt. And I just realized we're taking a long time with this video. We're talking a lot about these guys. If you
15:11can't tell, I'm very excited to be back and talking fantasy football. Now, T.
15:15Higgins will be our next guy. With Higgins, you have to give him the same treatment that we gave with Jamar Chase,
15:19right? We got to look at the games with Burrow versus without Burrow. The games with Burrow, the man averaged 14.2 fantasy points per game. He was a mid
15:26wide receiver, too, as he's always been.
15:28Now, the concern with Higgins is one, his own injury risk, and two, obviously, Joe Burrow's injury risk. But when Burrow's healthy, when Higgins is
15:37healthy, we have seen a long, long track record of TH. Higgins being a wide receiver too in fantasy. Now going over
15:44to Garrett Wilson. Garrett Wilson dealt with maybe one of the worst organizations in the NFL this past season. Maybe one of the worst
15:51quarterbacks in the NFL this past season at multitude of points. The thing with Wilson is, is this situation going to get better? This I don't see how it
16:02does.
16:03What are the Jets? Are they going to bring in Kyler Murray? Is that going to save the New York Jets?
16:09I don't know. Wilson back-to-back seasons as a top 24 wide receiver. He's very good. When he's on the field, he had a 34% team target share this past
16:19season, soaking up all the New York Jets targets. Now, I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt because he's a
16:24young, very talented wide receiver, and the Jets quarterback situation can't be worse than what it was last year. I'm going to rank him at 15, but obviously
16:33we're going to have to see what this team does in free agency. Now, going over to AJ Brown, very different seasons
16:40for AJ Brown in the first half versus the second half. If you look at weeks 1 through nine, AJ Brown was the wide
16:46receiver 34 in fantasy points per game versus the second half of the season, weeks 10 through 18, he was the wide
16:53receiver eight. AJ Brown just played his age 28 year old season going to be 29 this next year. If we look at the range
17:02of outcomes tool, should we expect a wide receiver with the profile of AJ Brown to get worse from age 28 to 29?
17:10There are some guys that got worse such as Kenny Britt, Jacobe Meyers, Nate Washington, Brighton Cooks, but there are also some guys that stayed about the
17:20same, maybe got slightly better like Mike Williams, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett. It's not necessarily an age where we're going to assume that you
17:26just get natural regression. Clearly AJ Brown's not happy being a Philadelphia Eagle. I'm not a contract savant, but from what I've read on Twitter, it does
17:34seem like the Philadelphia Eagles would have a very difficult time trading him getting out of that contract. So, I'm going to rank this right now as Adrian's
17:42probably a Philadelphia Eagle this next season. Now, let's go over and let's look at some of these rookies. Now, on the Dynasty channel did a super brief
17:51introduction to this year's rookie class. Um, in short, there are three pretty good rookie wide receivers. Lemon is probably my favorite guy because he
18:00has the clear production profile. We actually just did get Daniel Jeremiah's first NFL mock draft as well, and he did have Lemon going as the first wide
18:08receiver off the board, but all three of these players are pretty much locked to be round one NFL draft picks. I think
18:15they all have the upside to be top 10 picks individually as well. And they all have very intriguing prospect profiles.
18:21If you go to flockfantasy.com, look at the prospects page, look at their FSC score, look at the historical hit rates, they're good prospects, and these are
18:29the three guys that I'd be most excited about. Now, obviously, this is going to change so much as the offseason goes
18:34through. Now, Z Flowers is going to be our next wide receiver. So, Z Flowers seemed completely unusable at points this year. like Zay Flowers looked like
18:43absolute garbage for a good stretch of the season. Now, thankfully week 18 when nobody's playing fantasy football anymore, he bookends the season in the
18:53most hilarious way because week one, Zay Flowers was the number one wide receiver in fantasy. Week 18, he was the number
19:01one wide receiver in fantasy. So, this actually led him to finishing as the wide receiver 13 in points per game. I
19:08know this was a season in which Lamar Jackson had a significant dip. I know a lot of people want to blame this on a
19:15Lamar injury. I would be a little concerned with a quarterback that runs the ball as much as Lamar does. If you
19:21just see some of that athleticism naturally go, what it possibly means for the overall offensive upside, but Zay Flowers was better this season than he's
19:29ever been in fantasy. Again, finishing as the wide receiver 13 with 15 fantasy points per game is nothing to overlook.
19:36Now, Jameson Williams is somebody that historically I've not liked, right? Um, and JMO, the first half of this season was absolute garbage. Jameson Williams
19:44with the wide receiver, 51 in points per game in weeks 1 through nine. But if you look at weeks 10 through 18, he jumped
19:51up to being the wide receiver 11 with 16.1 fantasy points per game. He jumped with his targets. He jumped with his
19:58target share, his receptions, receiving yards, receiving touch. Look at this from flockfantasy.com. literally every single statistical category, he got better in the second half of the season.
20:07Now, I do want to point out that you did have Sam Leaporta going down to the second half of the year, opening up more
20:12targets. But this is interesting to note as JMO is still an incredibly young wide receiver. And if you go through and if
20:18you look at the range of outcomes tool on flockfantasy.com, you do have some of these age 24y old wide receivers of
20:24similar seasons like Amari, Brandon Cooks, Terry McLaren who were able to get better at age 25. Now, let's move over to Igbuka. Igbuka is so difficult
20:36to evaluate. I think this team's going to tell us a lot about him in the offseason, but weeks one through five,
20:42he averaged 20 and a half fantasy points per game. He was the wide receiver, three in points per game. Every comment
20:48was calling me an idiot, saying I need to move him up my rankings. Then he gets injured playing San Francisco. In weeks
20:56six through 18, he's the wide receiver 56 in points per game. He goes from averaging 20 and a half fantasy points
21:03per game to 7.8. I've never I've never seen anything like it ever. And what was even crazier is his target share went up
21:10during this time. In the first five weeks, he only had 23% of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers targets where in the final 12
21:1813 weeks, he had 25% of this team's target share. So I I literally have no idea what happened. I mean, I think he
21:24was a great prospect at the same time, but he definitely flashed like Vlad Mcconi. Another one of these instances where you got to ask what the hell
21:33happened cuz as somebody who y'all know drafted Quinton Johnson as his most drafted player in the wide receivers 70s. I think my best score this year was
21:45a big dog team on underdog for about 50,000 which Quinton Johnson was on and I would not have won that 50,000 if it
21:50wasn't for him. Um, I I was rooting against Lad Mccon all season. I was rooting for Quinton Johnson to score the
21:57touchdowns. I was rooting for him to be the guy. And it was great that the Big Q had 12.2 fantasy points per game in
22:04comparison to Lad at 11.3. But it is just so confusing for a wide receiver to show so much talent in his rookie season
22:14where he finishes as the wide receiver 19 in points per game to fall down to the wide receiver 44.
22:22the the the end of Lad Manki's rookie year. He scored 18 14 20 17 15 29 16 fantasy points. He was a wide receiver one down
22:34the stretch and then he completely falls off. Now what may save Lad this next season is he probably won't have Kenan
22:41Allen and they do run a very similar route tree. Now going over to Courtland Sutton. I at this point Sutton seems a
22:48little bit boring. Like you kind of understand what he is. He's a low and wide receiver two, high and wide receiver three that we can pencil in.
22:55But it doesn't appear that anybody in Denver is threatening this. Um Devont Smith, I drafted a ton of them this past
23:02year. I thought I was a genius for it and then he fell flat. Didn't really do anything. Wide receiver 30 in points per
23:07game. I still think that he's a very strong talent. He just didn't really score the touchdowns this year. But this was his fourth straight season of
23:14averaging at least 60 receiving yards per contest. And you do have the upside if anything were to occur to AJ Brown
23:22with a trade that he could move a lot higher. Now, let's go over to two wide receivers that are very difficult to
23:29rank. Marvin Harrison and Michael Wilson. Now, same exact conversation we had with Quinton Johnson. I'm very biased here. Michael Wilson was a top
23:36five wide receiver drafted for me this year. He's one of the reasons we won a lot of money on underdog this season.
23:41Thank God. But the reason I was drafting Michael Wilson was not because I knew he was any good. I thought he was horrible.
23:51I just looked at the amount of routes that he ran in his first two seasons.
23:55Looked at the depth chart of the Arizona Cardinals and went, "Well, you know what? Here at the very end of an
23:59underdog draft, you can't find many wide receivers that are guaranteed to be full-time players. So, I drafted all of them." And somehow he goes from being
24:07one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL to being amazing.
24:13His second season, he had 1.1 yards per route run. That is unfathomable how bad that is. For him to
24:22jump from that mark to then all of a sudden turn into a legitimate league winner off the waiver wire. You don't
24:30see this at wide receiver. In the first 10 weeks, Michael Wilson was the wide receiver, 84 in points per game. But in
24:37weeks 11 through 18, he averaged 21 fantasy points per game. He was the wide receiver of two in fantasy, 11 targets
24:45per game, seven receptions, almost 100 receiving yards per game in the second half of the season.
24:52I I I want to root for him. I do. I will say when Marvin Harrison was healthy, Marv did appear to be the wide receiver
24:59want here. Now with Marv, um he got worse from his rookie season. He went from 11.2 two fantasy points per game
25:07down to 10.7. And this is with Jacobe Brousette fueling a ton of passing volume in this offense as well. So I I'm
25:14going to give the benefit of the doubt to Marv. I'm going to be honest with you'all. I haven't hopped in an underdog
25:18draft yet. I haven't even looked at the ADP. Maybe that's something I should do right now. Making sure that none of
25:23these rankings are horribly off. But let me pull this up. Who who are drafters taking between Michael Wilson and Marv at the moment? They got Michael Wilson
25:32wide receiver 35 on underdog and Marv is currently wide receiver 37. So apparently I'm too high on these guys.
25:40But anyway, Roma was garbage in the second half of the season. Like he took whatever Ibuka did and took it to the
25:49next level. Like 19.9 fantasy points per game in the first four weeks. He gets injured in week five, sits out. Then
25:56when he comes back from his injury, he averages 8.3 fantasy points per game.
26:00absolute train wreck. Horrible. And he looked like he was turning into a legitimate league winner at the beginning of the season. Now, situation
26:08going into this next year, who knows how big of a role DJ Moore has. Luther Burden is going in the right direction.
26:15And at the same time, you do have Coulson Leland as well. And again, Caleb Williams was already phenomenal this past year. You can't blame the
26:23quarterback play. Going over to Alec Pierce, Alec Pierce looked great.
26:27Averages 12.2 fantasy points per game.
26:29same exact as Rome, but he finished the season very strong. Like, he jumped from 10.6 fantasy points per game in the
26:37first nine weeks to 13.7 fantasy points per game in the second half of the season. Now, I'm going to rank Alec
26:42Pierce here primarily for like an underdog basketball draft. Like, if I was doing these just straight up reddraft rankings, I'd probably have
26:48Alec Pierce lower. Um, DK Mechaf, I have no idea what's going to happen with I I don't know what the situation's going to
26:54be in Pittsburgh. I don't know what their quarterback play is going to be like. DK Mechaf is a 28-year-old wide receiver though that um has been super
27:03underwhelming. I mean like if we go through and look at the seasons in which he has finished higher than the wide
27:09receiver 20. It's he's done it once and that was 2020. He was just the wide receiver 33 in fantasy points per game
27:15this past year. And the Steelers don't really have a path to like completely overhaul this offense with the quarterback. Now I don't know what's
27:24going to happen with Devonte Adams either. We can look at the fact that he was the wide receiver 11 in points per
27:28game. Look at the fact that the man came through and he had 14 receiving touchdowns, which was the second highest mark of his NFL career and say, "Yeah,
27:36he he is great, of course." But do want to at least acknowledge he was drafted in 2014. Is there any other player in
27:45these rankings half this high in 2014?
27:48No. Nine times out of 10, a wide receiver going into his age 34 season is going to decline. Now, not every time.
27:57Reggie Wayne had a very similar age 33 season. He got better at 36. Larry Fitzgerald had a very similar age 33
28:04season. He got better at 34. Adam Thielen stayed about the same, but you had Emanuel Sanders, Andre Johnson, Michael Floyd, Reggie Whites, and AJ
28:14Green all falling off the face of the planet. So, I'm very agist. I I'm going to look at the data and say, you know
28:20what, a lot of these guys do fall off at this age, and I'm going to rank Devonte Adams pretty low because of it. Now,
28:26moving over to Gtier, I I don't even know what to discuss here with Brian Thomas. Like, Brian Thomas did the lad
28:33mcconi, but 10 times worse. He was a better rookie and an even worse secondyear player. Like, if you would have told me, "Hey, Mason, just to let
28:40you know, Trevor Lawrence is going to be third in MVP voting. just let you know.
28:44Um, Travis Hunter is going to go out for the season. I would have been like, "Oh my gosh, should we be drafting Brian
28:50Thomas at the 101? Should he be the number one overall play?" No, he's the wide receiver 47 in fantasy points per
28:57game. 47.
29:00That was a falloff from the wide receiver, 13 in points per game as a rookie.
29:06I I I literally can't I can't explain what happened. They extended Jacobe Meyers. Myers was clearly the wide receiver one on this team in the second
29:13half of the year. I'm gonna give Brian Thompson to benefit it out though because again he was the wide receiver one as a rookie. Now Christian Watson
29:19will be our next guy. I didn't even think Christian Watson was going to play this past year with the torn ACL but he
29:23came in. He was the wide receiver one for the Green Bay Packers. Of course with Christian Watson you always do need
29:28to be concerned about injuries. Looking over at Jaylen Waddle and I'm afraid that this Miami team is just going to be
29:34an absolute debacle. No quarterback. Um, coaching staff looks like it's a downgrade at least on the offensive side of the ball, but I'm gonna assume that
29:43Tyreek Hill doesn't really make a difference this season with his injury.
29:46Quinton Johnston, the big Q, you know, you know, I'm probably going to get suckered into drafting him. I have him here at wide receiver 35. Where are
29:55people drafting him on underdog right now? Is he going to be my most drafted player yet again? Now, he's wide receiver 42 on underdog. So, it looks
30:02like I may end up with a lot of him. He continues to get slightly better every year. Went from wide receiver 77 as a
30:08rookie, wide receiver 40 as a secondyear player, wide receiver 36 as a thirdyear player. I think the Chargers offensive line should be greatly improved if
30:16they're just able to stay healthy, which is no reason to believe they can't. Now, Luther Burton, I know everybody wants to
30:22look at the yards per route run data.
30:24Um, he was at the very top of the NFL in yards per route run at 2.92 and everybody wants to be super excited
30:29about he didn't get on the field. You have Lovelind, you have Roma Dunce, you have DJ. Caleb Williams was already very
30:36good. I don't know how much better you can assume that Caleb's gonna get. So, I haven't checked. Let me see where
30:42underdog drafts are taking him. Now, I'm going to assume based off what I see on Twitter that I'm going to be super
30:47underweight Luther Burden. Yeah, Luther Burden is the wide receiver 25. If you look at similar rookie seasons to Luther Burden, like it's not great the
30:57historical hit rates that we have. Like Roman Dunce had a similar rookie season.
31:02Donovan Peoples Jones, Rashad Baitman, Jan Dodson, Cadarius Tony, Trayon Burks, Dobson. Like literally the best jump that we had from a rookie season like
31:11this to his secondyear wide receiver was Roman Dunes.
31:16So I I I know everybody's going to absolutely hate this because he went crazy with his yards per out run. Ended
31:21the season somewhat strong at least with one big game. And what we saw last year, that week 17 when all the money's won on
31:28underdog, whatever player goes off, that's what people are going to remember. We saw Marvin Mims be horribly overdrafted this past season. You all
31:36remember the Gabe Davis year. I almost think that Luther Burton's going to be somewhat similar to that. Now, of course, I'm going to rank Luther Burden
31:42with respect is one, I think he's a good player. Two, I think he's in a good offense. Three, he's a rookie, so we're
31:48going to assume that he gets better. But so I'm not gonna have him like wide receiver 70 like Marvin Mims, but I
31:53don't know if I can get to him being a top 24 guy. Now, Michael Pitman Jr., I don't exactly know what the
32:01situation's going to be with the Indianapolis Colts this next season.
32:05Obviously, Pitman did come through and just kind of repeat what he did the year prior with his overall volume numbers.
32:126.9 targets backto-back seasons. Um about 49 50 receiving yards back-to-back years. You kind of understand what Pitman is. He's going to be a wide
32:20receiver three. Um, going over to Terry McLaren. Terry McLaren dealing with an injury, had the hold out, possibly led to it. Honestly, I I know he's an older
32:30wide receiver and if you look at the historical range of outcomes here, it's not great with Terry. Um, but with him
32:36going into his age 31 season, I may be a little too low on him just knowing that if he is healthy as well as Daniels
32:44being healthy, like he was the wide receiver 16 in points per game two years ago. Let me see where's his ADP right
32:50now. Underdog drafters are taking him at 32. So, it does appear that maybe I'm too low. Um, Jordan Addison I think is a
32:57great player. I just think that again Minnesota Vikings offense, it's super tough to rank any of these guys until we actually see what they do at
33:04quarterback. And then let's just rapid fire this last tier. I mean, obviously the lower we get in these rankings, the more I'm going to need to adjust and
33:12we're going to adjust these all offseason, don't you worry. We got Boston Conception as the other two rookie wide receivers that have a chance
33:18to go in round one. Ricky Pierol look good at times, but can he stay healthy?
33:23Juan Del Robinson.
33:26Yes, he was much better than a lot of wide receivers were ranking him after, but you're gonna have Malikite neighbors this next year. Jacobe Myers was the
33:33wide receiver one for the Jacksonville Jaguars in the second half of this past year, but a little bit worried that we
33:39get Jags regression. I think that you have a higher ceiling with Brian Thomas and you have the outside chance that Travis Hunter, they still want to play
33:46at receiver. Um Jawan Jennings looks like he could be in play to be the wide receiver one in San Francisco. Um,
33:53obviously older wide receiver, limited sample, but I mean, hell, he's the guy down the stretch. Xavier Worthy, I drafted a ton of them this past year.
34:00One of our worst calls, absolutely nothing. Godwin and Evans, two old, crusty guys dealing with injuries this past season. Really hard
34:08to take much away. Khalil Shakir, he's never gotten the job done with no competition in Buffalo. I think the Bills address wide receiver this
34:15offseason. And then DJ Moore, very inefficient. I think Luther Burden as well as Roma Dunce and Coulson Lovelin all expand their roles in their second
34:24third years. But I think that's all I got for y'all. Again, if you want to hop in drafts right now, they're on
34:29underdog. If you want to check out any of those Super Bowl projections and get that gimme free pick, it's going to be
34:34something along the lines of Drake May higher lower half total yard for the big game. You can find the link to underdog
34:40fantasy in the description in the comment section. Code flock. It's going to get you $75 added to your account after you play your first five. And on
34:48top of that, you'll get those gimme picks and you'll get all the bonuses.
34:51The two biggest weekends for underdog gimmies are going to be the big game as well as NFL opening week. Make sure you
34:59take advantage of those two weeks, please. But much love, ladies and gentlemen. I really appreciate you and I'll hit you up with the running back
35:05rankings soon.

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