Underdog Fantasy Football Show artwork

Jakob Sanderson's 5 Favorite Fantasy Football Picks

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

32 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jul 9, 2026
Published
Thu, July 9, 2026
3
Player insights
3
Players mentioned
Topics
J.K. DobbinsJerry JeudyKaytron Allen
Player analysis

Player insights

3

J.K. Dobbins

PositiveMatchup29:27

J.K. Dobbins is cited as evidence that dual-threat quarterbacks elevate running back production. Dobbins is fantastic next to dual-threat quarterbacks like Lamar Jackson, supporting the thesis that Rashad White will benefit from playing next to Jaden Daniels.

Insight page

Jerry Jeudy

NegativeRole21:59

Jerry Jeudy is positioned as a clear number-two wide receiver on the Browns behind Casey Concepcion. The source expects Concepcion to be better than Jeudy eventually and projects Concepcion to establish himself as the Browns' best wide receiver by year-end, implying Jeudy's role and production will be secondary. Jeudy is currently getting eight targets a game.

Insight page

Kaytron Allen

NegativeRole22:53

Katron Allen is a day-three rookie running back in the Washington backfield with rushing threat competition from Ja'Kory Krosky-Meritt and Rashad White. Allen profiles as a success-rate goal-line type running back. The source likes him as a prospect but expects day-three picks to yield almost nothing, suggesting limited fantasy value. There is a low-end path if he becomes a huge factor, but the source views it as unlikely he will be entrenched in an effective high-volume rushing role.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

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0:49Sierra's got it! The same old show for the most part, Josh is traveling.
0:53He's still going to be on the show, I promise you guys.
0:56Things look different around here. It's all good. You guys know Jacob from the Waver Wire show.
1:01You guys know him from all the writing he does.
1:04One of the best analysts in the game. Honored to have his five guys that he can't stop drafting over on best ball.
1:11This also is going to matter over at Yahoo as well.
1:15The first name, we disagree. And it's in the top of what, 10 or so picks at the top of the game.
1:21Ashton Gentry, tell me why you're on him. Yeah, so this is probably my biggest stand in the first round.
1:27He currently goes right at the 1-2 turn. I have him ranked 8th overall in my best ball rankings on both underdog
1:34and DraftKings, which you can find over on Thinking About Thinking.
1:37And largely this just comes down to the fact that I think of all of the running backs going after those very consensus top four.
1:44He is the one guy that I'm most confident in having just an all-around, every single box checked part of the role
1:51in terms of I see a pathway for him to get a ton of receptions.
1:55I see a pathway for him to get a ton of carries.
1:59And I don't see any sort of backfield competition on him for goal line work.
2:03Probably, I'm guessing, the area of biggest disagreement from you, because I know you've been a little bit lower on him this
2:10year, is just what is the touchdown upside on the Las Vegas Raiders?
2:14And I think that's where I'm putting a lot of faith in Kubiak.
2:18And I'm putting a decent chunk of faith in the combination of Cousins and Mendoza to at least reach competence.
2:24And I'm putting faith in an improved personnel and health on the offensive line.
2:28Like for me, looking at last year, I also thought the Raiders would be more competent than they ended up being.
2:34I didn't know that Chip Kelly was going to be calling out plays that weren't in the play sheet from the box.
2:41I think Kubiak is going to be a little bit more locked in than Kelly and Carol and company were.
2:47There's no longer a nepotism factory running the offensive line.
2:50And I also think they had basically two offensive linemen that, to me, were worth a crap on their team last year.
2:56One of them was playing out of position all year and got hurt.
3:00The other one also got hurt basically immediately. So hopefully we get Miller, JPJ back healthy.
3:05Linderbaum is going to be a massive addition to the interior of the offensive line, even if he was probably way overpaid.
3:11He's going to still be easily better than anyone that was playing in their interior last year.
3:17And so I think it's going to be reasonably functional.
3:20And with that, I'm just banking on like 300 carries and 80 targets for Ashton Gentry in a Clint Kubiak design run
3:26game that I expect to be pretty darn competent.
3:29Yeah. And that was a flawless argument. I really can't like nitpick any of that stuff.
3:34Like to me, it is just the like upside four touchdowns.
3:37Like Saquon Barkley can have a similar season. I do think that the differentiator is just the receptions versus Saquon, Derek Henry, those types out there.
3:45And then Devon HN, James Cook, Kenneth Walker. I would guess that they're going to have fewer all around touches.
3:51And like those are the guys that he's competing with.
3:54So like he's one of the highest floor backs there is because like, I mean, Mike Washington is not going to get in there and get too involved.
4:02Like the touches are going to be there. I think he's around one, two turn pick.
4:07Like to me, I was like, could Saquon have like the Saquon season?
4:11I think like maybe that percentile outcomes probably just a gear that Gentty can't hit right now, unless I'm like really low
4:17on what his actual skill set is. I thought he was like fine as a rookie, but I did not see like this is B.
4:25John Robinson. This is Jameer Gibbs. You know, this is Saquon Barkley.
4:28I see more like this is Josh Jacobs, like totally fine.
4:31Hopefully he's he's more than that. Obviously, like this is a range of outcomes things and there very well could be a
4:38case that he's much better than the Josh Jacobs tier that I'm that I kind of had him in based off of his first year in the league.
4:46I think there's a little more juice there. I thought he was better than his numbers showed.
4:51Like consistently, I felt like when I would watch Raiders games, which wasn't very fun, I always I always came away thinking
4:58like, man, like Gentty looks pretty good. Jenny looks pretty good.
5:01And then I'd look up. It's 12 carries for 31 yards.
5:05And I thought a lot of that was just him getting met in the backfield immediately.
5:09Most of the times that I thought he had poor runs where he was causing his own inefficiency.
5:15I thought it was fixable errors. I thought it was him knowing he was in this crappy situation, trying to do too much, making too many risky decisions.
5:23I feel like that stuff is pretty common with rookie running backs generally, especially ones who I think understand that they kind
5:30of have to take big home run swings because grinding out three yards at a time going the way the play is
5:36designed just isn't going to be effective. So I give him a lot of grace from his rookie season.
5:42I don't know that he'll ever have like the breakaway type of runs that you see out of a Saquon Barkley out of a Jameer Gibbs.
5:50He was still a guy that was top 15 missed tackles force per attempt.
5:54I thought that was his calling card as a prospect.
5:57I still thought that showed up consistently week to week.
6:00So I think he is somewhere in between the Josh Jacobs tier and like the Jameer Gibbs tier from a talent perspective.
6:06But I think the reception upside that he had earlier on in his college profile, I still think that can show up.
6:13I especially think it can show up when you look at the Vegas pass catching depth chart, which is like Brock Bowers
6:19and just a total bunch of guys. So I think it's going to be pretty easy to find creative ways to get the ball in Gentry's hands.
6:27Yeah, the one stat that I gave for Jente to like show his upside case is when he was not contacted behind the line of scrimmage.
6:35His missed tackles per carry was 0.29. The league average is 0.16.
6:39So he almost doubled up the league average when he wasn't getting contacted.
6:43I do think there is like there's just like simple like statistics.
6:46Like if you're in a really terrible situation, you're going to be making errors because you're trying to get yourself out of this situation.
6:53Like you know, like I'm in a bad situation.
6:56I need to do whatever I can. You're going to have more errors and like, hey, I'm in a great situation.
7:02I can just like play this thing cleanly. And I do think that we should expect Jente to take like a bigger
7:09leap just with the Raiders hopefully looking competent this year.
7:12And I do think there will be a competent offense.
7:15Like I don't have that many worries with with Ashton Jente.
7:18I just liked maybe the Saquon Barkley and the Kenneth Walker kind of upside, but really tough decisions up at the top there.
7:25Lots of running backs at the one to turn this year, and we have to make running back.
7:30They're still back. They're they're big time back. Now I'm going to have to go to full PPR brain over at Yahoo.
7:37So like, yeah, start seeing me have some like different discussions here.
7:41Like give me give me a month kind of reset my perspective here.
7:44But I know most most of the leagues on Yahoo are PPR.
7:48So expect me to change by tune a little bit.
7:51All right. This one I'm looking for people to not be in on this guy.
7:55Colson Loveland in the fourth round. It seems like he's the guy that like everyone if he was in the third round,
8:02like everybody would be like, I still really like him.
8:05So tell me why you're specifically on him and like how you rank him versus Luther Burden because they're pretty much going back to back.
8:12They are. And I am a pretty big Luther Burden fan, but I found it very difficult to draft him because I
8:19think that his better teammate goes right behind him in Colston Loveland.
8:23He is my most drafted tight end. He was also my most drafted tight end in pre-draft contests.
8:28He is, I think, currently my third most drafted player overall.
8:31So he's a guy that I've been, you know, especially when it comes to tight end, almost building my draft strategy around
8:38having a significantly above market position too. He was also my favorite player in the entire 2025 draft, any position, fantasy or otherwise.
8:45I think he's just an absolute stud. Brings a level of blocking upside that maybe he didn't consistently reach, but that he
8:51can credibly play in line in 12 personnel. But also, I thought more than Tyler Warren, more than anyone in this tight
8:58end class, he's a guy that you can just isolate against the DB and legitimately win on slants, digs.
9:03And on basically one of the most important plays of the Bears 2025 season, that two-point play against the Green Bay Packers.
9:10They just ran a complete clear out isolation, James Harden type of route for Colson Loveland on an island gets the DB.
9:17He won easily gets in that two-point play. He, they took both rookies pretty slow last year, but Loveland was the one
9:23of the two that actually did eventually get to play a true full-time role.
9:27And unlike Burden, where his efficiency actually declined a little bit as he got more and more routes, Loveland really rose to
9:34the occasion because it was the last five weeks.
9:37He basically became a full-time player. And in the last four games, he goes six for 94-1, 10 for 91-1, eight for
9:43137 in that playoff game, and then four for 56 in the final playoff game that he missed some snaps in with protocol.
9:50Overall, rookie season, 1.97 yards per route run, absolutely elite for a tight end, borderline elite for a rookie wide receiver.
9:56And I don't see any path for the Bears to not give him a near 100% snap rate this year because if
10:03you've looked at their wide receiver depth chart, it is Luther Burden, Roman Dunzey, and like absolute nobodies.
10:08So I'm expecting them to lead the NFL in 12 personnel rate, 13 personnel rate pretty comfortably.
10:13I think their base grouping is going to be those three guys and Cole Komet, who doesn't earn a whole lot of targets.
10:20That's going to be a really strong environment for those top three pass catchers to consolidate volume.
10:25And to me, he's the one from like a pedigree perspective, from a high-end efficiency in a full-time role data perspective, and
10:32just from a tape perspective that I think is the best player of the three and I think should be the focal point of their entire offense.
10:40So if I was betting on any tight end this year outside of the top two, you know, to be the tight
10:46end one overall, I think it's Loveland. And honestly, if you made me, I might even draft him ahead of Trey McBride.
10:53So I'm a pretty huge fan of his. I see it the same way.
10:57I mean, if it was back-to-back Trey McBride and Colson Loveland, like in the middle of round three, I would like really
11:04have to sit there and debate that. So we're getting a discount from that.
11:08But like you said, like the last four games, including the playoffs, like those games are humongous.
11:13He had 18 expected half PPR points. Remember, he's 21 years old.
11:16Like this, this just does not happen. I see the same thing.
11:20I think he like somewhat looks as flexible as like Travis Kelsey out in the route.
11:25And that is amazing for somebody as young as he was.
11:28Like you said, it was like three by one sets.
11:31He's isolated over there and the ball just going directly to him.
11:35And there's like really no negative notes I can come up with.
11:38Colson Loveland is going to get better as a blocker.
11:41And he's already plenty good enough. And I thought actually a plus as a blocker as well.
11:46So, I mean, they drafted him 10th overall last year.
11:49That's Ben Johnson's first pick. So I really do think that he should be a full round ahead of Luther Burden.
11:56I think he is underpriced. And I think especially in PPR redraft where you have to pick the tight end and that
12:02you have to choose which tight end you're going to start.
12:05You're not just doing best ball touchdown variance. I would rather spend the premium picks on the tight ends in redraft leagues
12:12because like if he's getting eight targets per game, like you want those eight targets.
12:16You don't want to be doing touchdown coin flips in redraft league where you're okay with it in best ball.
12:22So like my full PPR rankings and redraft are going to have Colson Loveland really highly.
12:27Like right now, if you were to say this is where he should be going, like what number overall do you think that even is?
12:35Yeah. So, I mean, I have him ahead of market even like in underdog half PPR best ball, which is the worst format for him.
12:42Part of that is why I think the cost is more depressed there.
12:46But yeah, if we're talking like a full PPR redraft format and I haven't published rankings for that yet, but I think
12:52I'll probably have him somewhere in like the middle of the third round.
12:56Like if you're saying full PPR redraft managed where I'm starting my tight end every week, it's like what I rather have.
13:03I don't know, like what I rather have Chris Alave or Colson Loveland, but I rather have Zay Flowers or Colson Loveland.
13:09Like that's where I'm starting to have that conversation.
13:12And I, you know, likewise the running back, but I rather have Kyron Williams or Colson Loveland, Javante Williams or Colson Loveland.
13:19I'm already making some hard decisions. So I think I'll have him substantially above market in those formats.
13:24Okay. We see that one the same. All right.
13:27We got a, let's do a couple of wide receivers back to back.
13:31I'll let you choose which one you're more fired up with.
13:34I'll just go, I'll go Josh Downs. I'll be a homer.
13:37So Josh Downs this year, the big debate I feel like has been, will he finally play in two wide receiver sets?
13:44Because last year tapered off in his per row metrics from his really impressive 2024.
13:48He still led the team in targets per run when he was on the field.
13:53But after drafting Tyler Warren, they went to a lot more 12 personnel than they previously had.
13:58Josh Downs was never playing in those sets and it completely zapped him of anything more than flex level upside.
14:04My case going into this year is that I actually don't think it matters as much as people think about the specifics
14:10of the two wide receiver sets, because I simply don't believe that Shane Steichen is going to consistently call pass plays with
14:17his five eligible receivers being Jonathan Taylor, Alec Pierce, Tyler Warren, one of Ashton Doolin or Nick Westbrook-Akeen.
14:22Oh God. And one of Mo Alley-Cox or Ogletree.
14:25Like that just doesn't strike me as something that Steichen, who I think is pretty smart, is willing to do.
14:31So I think it's a pretty easy call. Either they're going to play downs on the outside in 12 personnel passing plays,
14:37or they're going to run way more 11 personnel this year in their passing plays, which is what they did in 2023
14:44and 2024 when Josh Downs looked like a breakout candidate in the first place.
14:48It's just pretty obvious to me that when it comes to man beating, route winner, that obviously now without Michael Pittman, Josh
14:55Downs is kind of the guy for that. They might have paid Alec Pierce to be an all-around wide receiver.
15:01I still think he's best suited as a deep threat plus, not a true 10 targets per game guy.
15:06And Tyler Warren, I think so far is at his best when he's able to work off of the run game.
15:13So if I look at which player on this team is actually best calibrated from a skillset perspective to walk in and
15:19take a lot of what Michael Pittman leaves behind, to me, that's Josh Downs.
15:23So I value him as highly as basically any wide receiver after what I see is a pretty staunch drop-off, like in
15:30the Roma Dunes, a Jordan Tyson, Marvin Harrison range.
15:33And he goes all the way back towards the 8-9 turn.
15:36I think he'd be perfectly fine going in like round seven, you know, with guys like DK Metcalf, guys like Jaden Reed coming up.
15:43And I prefer him straight up to Alec Pierce, especially if we're talking full PPI.
15:48All right. I like that call. Yeah, the stuff in three wide receiver sets for over the last two years, he's the
15:54wide receiver 27 per route in three wide receiver sets, like specifically where it's obviously harder to get yardage because you're competing
16:01with other receivers versus a tight end. So like the fact that like he's still a top 30 NFL wide receiver, and
16:07that gives you like the talent upside. And if he does play in two wide receiver sets, how the math works is
16:14that was eight extra routes per game last year.
16:16If you were going to copy paste the exact personnel breakdown, that would be about two extra targets per game, 15 extra yards per game for Josh Downs.
16:25Like that puts him in like the flex conversation and full PPR.
16:28So like you said, like they might not use 12 personnel as much this year, or Josh Downs hopefully should graduate into it.
16:35I think there would be some limitations you'd be sacrificing if he's out there in two wide receiver sets.
16:41I personally would be fine with some of those limitations and deal with it.
16:45And I agree with you on the Pierce and like Tyler Warren of it all.
16:50I think that those are great players in isolation for exactly what they're doing.
16:54But beyond that, I do think there's enough middle ground for Josh Downs.
16:58Plus Alec Pierce, I'm hopeful that his rehab is going to continue and just be a-okay.
17:02Could he have a setback? And then at that point, you can't, you really can't tell me it's Nick Westbrook, Keenan, I
17:09forgot who the other wide receiver that would be in there.
17:12Did you say it was Ashton Doolin? Oh yeah, team mascot Ashton Doolin has been a starter throughout the summer.
17:18Well, it can't be those two guys in two wide receiver sets and 12 personnel.
17:23I mean, we'll get canceled. I mean, that's insane.
17:25So like I do think there's like this like very real Alec Pierce upside in here.
17:30And I think that even if Alec Pierce was the exact same Alec Pierce high paid player, I still think there's room
17:37for Josh Downs in full PPR to be kind of in the mix for like flex play.
17:42Interesting player. Interesting player. Him versus Jaden Reed, like these two guys, like the same exact player.
17:47Yeah. Do you like Downs more than Jaden Reed?
17:50I have Reed ranked ahead because I'm like ADP sensitive, but at the exact same cost and in my redraft rankings, when
17:56I'm not building out rankings for like a 300 team portfolio, I'll have Downs ahead.
18:01So straight up, give me Downs. I just think that the pathway to like a 90% route rate is way clearer with Downs than it is with Reed.
18:09I think it's very possible the team's week one plan plan is Josh Downs 85 to 90% routes.
18:14I think the read bet is either like crushing it from 65 to 70% of routes or it's Matthew Golden or Christian
18:21Watson gets hurt slash Matthew Golden busts. And then they call an audible and Reed gets to play there.
18:27But yeah. Yeah. Reed's it's almost the exact same conversation.
18:30I think the Downs odds of being in two wide receiver sets are higher.
18:34I think Jaden Reed's like efficiency floor is a little higher just because that offense.
18:38I was looking at the same three wide receiver set yards per route run last two years.
18:43Jaden Reed's 10th in the NFL and yards per route run out of three wide receiver sets, which is really impressive.
18:49So both those guys pretty interesting this year. Scrolling down the board, your next wide receiver, Casey Concepcion.
18:55Absolutely loved him as a prospect. Obviously the big con Cleveland Browns.
18:58So I'm curious what you're going to say here.
19:01Well, I wrote a lot last two summers about how we've changed wide receiver pricing, especially last year.
19:06I wrote about the changes in rookie wide receiver pricing.
19:09And one of the refrains I constantly mentioned was, you know, we're simply never going to get another opportunity like we got
19:16in 2022 when Garrett Wilson was for my money, the best wide receiver prospect in the draft and winds up being drafted
19:23in round 11 because he goes to this horrendous New York Jets team, despite potentially being the number one pass catcher on that team.
19:30I'm not going to say Casey Concepcion is as good of a prospect as Garrett Wilson was.
19:35I don't think that he quite is, but I don't think that the gap is that massive.
19:40And we're getting about the same price in a similarly bleak team situation, despite again, a very good chance that he immediately
19:46steps up as the team's number one pass catcher.
19:49I think Casey Concepcion profiles as an all around wide receiver who can play in the slot can play outside, can function
19:56as a deep threat, can function as a yak threat.
19:59There's a lot of similarities between him and say flowers who under this same offensive regime had a lot of success for
20:05the Baltimore Ravens was another guy who basically stepped in from week one and was his team's number one pass catcher ahead
20:12of a tight end in Mark Andrews. So I'm a pretty big Todd Monken fan.
20:16I'm a huge Casey Concepcion fan. And I just think this is a crazy price for a potential round one rookie wide receiver, number one pass catcher.
20:24The upside for him is to me much greater than kind of everyone going in the group before him, which are like
20:31a bunch of number two, number threes who are kind of capped at like 18, 20% target share type guys.
20:37This guy has legitimate superstar upside for me and could be a guy where who knows next year they get a better quarterback situation.
20:44He's coming off of a great rookie season. What if he's around two around three pick?
20:49This might be the only chance you ever get to draft this guy at this cost is like your wide receiver five wide receiver six.
20:56So he's a total auto click for me where I think you have a pathway to late season production like you always
21:03do with rookies, but you're probably just getting a pretty high chance of immediate starting production.
21:08That's not remotely priced in. So I'm all in on this bet.
21:11Yeah, we see this thing the same way. I think just his college tape, he did all the fun stuff in terms of like manufacturer touches.
21:19You can go watch his his punt returns as well.
21:22Plus, he would work down the football field. I thought he showed so much toughness for what his size indicates.
21:28And he's 196 pounds. We're not talking about 175 pound player.
21:31He really reminded me of Stefan Diggs. And then I also had Zay Flowers written down.
21:36And obviously, Todd Monkens talked about how similar those two players are to one another.
21:40Then we get ESPN reports reports from this offseason where he's used on deep shots to screens to run plays, which is
21:47kind of like the magic mix you're talking about.
21:50And I do think on top of that, your basic slant route dig routes third and seven situation.
21:55I still think that he's going to be better than Jerry Judy eventually.
21:59So bench stash for sure. It might take a little bit here.
22:02But I would be pretty surprised if Casey Concepcion has not established himself as the best wide receiver on the Browns by the end of the year.
22:11That's what they drafted him to do. And I think that he has the skill set to kind of do it.
22:17So I think it'll be pretty hard to predict which weeks we're going to want him.
22:22So I definitely understand the best ball appeal. But man, like you said, with Garrett Wilson, I can totally see where it's
22:28like, man, he's getting eight targets a game. Like Jerry Judy's a clear number two.
22:33And that would be a win in redraft as well.
22:36Last one here. You've been tweeting about it a lot.
22:39People are going to be surprised. Josh and I had just talked about Bill Krosky merit.
22:43I kind of liked Kate Ron Allen for what he is as a prospect.
22:48And then you're on Rashad White here. So explain why we shouldn't care about a one-year, $2 million contract.
22:53And it's time to go in on Rashad White.
22:56Yeah, exactly. Rashad White, he seems potentially primed to join your list of guys who have less guaranteed money than the winner of Best Ball Mania.
23:04Yeah. Look, people who have subscribed to my newsletter for years know that I've kind of done a full circle on Rashad White.
23:10I really liked him coming out as a prospect because I just viewed him as being a guy that at worst clearly
23:17defined NFL role as a pass catching back. But you also got size with that.
23:22And so I always thought, hey, like if he shows to be a more efficient and effective runner in the NFL than
23:28I think he is in college, then you get a huge win.
23:32And even if not, you kind of always get this guy who's going to have a role with a ton of contingent
23:38upside because everything about him is just so fantasy friendly.
23:41He has the size for goal line carries. He has the pass blocking ability to play as many snaps as you need him to.
23:48He has the receiving ability that's legitimately value adding for fantasy and for an NFL offense.
23:53And we've seen that come to fruition. He was legitimately an awesome fantasy pick in 2023.
23:58And even as his real life rushing limitations caught up to him, whenever he was called upon for a larger role, he
24:04was generally fantasy viable in 2024 and 2025. Going into Washington, I just view him as being the highest floor and highest
24:11ceiling pick in this backfield because there's a lot of rushing threat competition between Ja'Kory Krosky-Meritt and Katron Allen.
24:17Allen being more of a success rate goal line type running back and Krosky-Meritt being more of a hit and miss boom bust speed back.
24:24White, I think you could make a reasonable case as an inferior runner to either of those.
24:29But I wouldn't say that any of those guys are so assured to be entrenched into an effective high volume rushing role that that's completely unavailable for White.
24:38What White does bring you is he's legitimately, to me, a top 10 long down and distance back in the whole NFL.
24:44He is very good in space, got great hands.
24:47He's an effective pass catcher. I think at worst, he's going to play that Austin Eckler role.
24:52And what I could see is over the course of the season, if Katron is just not giving you much, which is
24:58like a pretty reasonable thing for a day three round six rookie to not give you.
25:03And if JCM continues to be very hit and miss and you're not seeing enough improvement from him as a pass catcher
25:10and as a pass blocker, maybe they say, hey, you know what?
25:13White's not really what you want to be your lead runner.
25:17But if we're not playing a very good lead runner, regardless, why don't we just play the guy who keeps our whole
25:23playbook open on every play because he can handle all the pass protections you can throw to him, you can run with him.
25:30And he winds up just kind of consolidating snaps to 70, 80% snap rate.
25:34I don't think that's the most likely, but I think he can pay off his cost ish as just a pure Austin Eckler role.
25:41And I think you have a ton of upside for him to return more like round three, round four value in the
25:48case that he winds up just snap consolidating. The last thing I'll say too, is that despite being a very unexplosive runner
25:55for a allegedly 4-4-3 running running back, he was top 15 in missed tackles force per attempt.
26:00And he was above the 50th percentile and success rate, both in zone runs and especially in gap runs where he was 10th in the NFL.
26:07Also had randomly a top five PFF rush grade last year, which is generally kind of a get what's blocked follows the assignment type grading system.
26:15I don't think it's out of the question that the team views him as a better goal line option than JCM.
26:21So if Katron doesn't become a huge factor, I think he might be viewed as more reliable, has more size than JCM,
26:28and he can just become this high value touch magnet.
26:31So I'm pretty in on white, especially in best ball leagues, but like I'll even be drafting him in redraft as an RB3, RB4.
26:38So it's kind of fun to be back full circle on a guy that I've dogged a lot over the years, but I'm pretty into this year.
26:46He's like the coach's pet, you know, like these guys, it's just hard for them to like not have a long career.
26:53I have like almost no notes there. Austin Eckler was the RB31 in 2024 in full PPR.
26:58And that was with Brian Robinson, like clearly ahead of him.
27:01Eckler averaged six and a half carries that season.
27:04Like Rashad White is definitely going to have more than six and a half carries this year.
27:09So I do think there's like a low end RB2 path to him.
27:13I'm trying to think of like a good comparison to like kind of what last year could be like, you know, like maybe like Jalen Warren, Ramondre Stevenson.
27:21Like those guys were like RB2s ish, like in committees, but like they had some clear moments.
27:26I think it's going to be hard to go away from despite not having that much money.
27:31So I think baseline, I like Katron Allen, day three picks, almost nothing always.
27:35And then Bill, I think is pretty limited. I like him, but I think he's pretty limited.
27:40He should be a change of pace back. Maybe like Tony Pollard, TyJ Spears, Tony Pollard.
27:45You can see an outcome right there. Plus the commanders have invested a lot into their offensive line.
27:51They got both tackle spots figured out. Jaden Daniels obviously has a humongous ceiling.
27:55We know about that. So like there is a pathway to them consolidating this.
27:59And it's also like a top 10 offense. We just watched this like two seasons ago when he was a freaking rookie.
28:05So I like this call. I think their rushing attack is going to be way more efficient than the quality of their backfield.
28:12Because if you look last year and the year prior, especially in the games Jaden Daniels played, like we've seen each of
28:19Brian Robinson, washed Austin Eckler, Jeremy McNichols, JCM, Chris Rodriguez, like all of these guys have been efficient running backs.
28:25And it's like either that means that a bunch of total jags, frankly, are in fact, secret top half running backs in
28:31the NFL, or just kind of whoever plays next to Jaden Daniels is going to be able to get totally fine efficiency.
28:38So I think Rashad White can potentially look way better in this situation than we're used to him looking in Tampa Bay.
28:45And again, he just gives you so much more in every other facet of the game that I think JCM doesn't need to just be better or Katron.
28:53Either of them doesn't need to just be better than White as a runner.
28:57They need to be like a lot better than White as a runner in order to justify them staying on the field when they have other limitations.
29:05Yeah, the Jaden Daniels stuff makes total sense. If you guys have looked at Lamar Jackson teammates, no matter what, whether they're
29:12in their prime or not, their best seasons are next to Lamar Jackson.
29:16Like that's that's the same thing with Derek Henry, who was maybe a little bit past his prime when he signed on with the Ravens.
29:23And his numbers are like literally better now than they were in this prime.
29:27Same thing like J.K. Dobbins. All these guys are like fantastic next to dual threat quarterbacks.
29:32It makes sense if you guys have watched any any football in your whole life, you can see why this would be the case.
29:39Like not all that surprising. Plus Rashad White. It's kind of my favorite thing.
29:43The best ball community just loves like the same type of players and stuff when you can find the guy that runs counter to that.
29:51Like to me, there's always some hidden value in there because he's not the sexy name.
29:56I think that the unsexy names are you can have some some nice hits with that type of profile.
30:01I think that's exactly Rashad White. Yeah, I think I want team Rashad White over Bill Krosky Mary.
30:07I think in really deep leagues, I'm open to Katron Allen, you know, having some value later on.
30:12But I think it's gonna take a lot for Rashad White.
30:15So five good names there, Jacob. Tell us what you got for the rest of the summer as we kind of head
30:22into the the prime of the calendar. Yeah, you can find all my written work, as always, on thinking about thinking, which is jacobsanderson.substack.com.
30:29My most recent article up there was taking a deep dive into ambiguous wide receiver and tight end rooms.
30:35So with three or more drafted pretty close together in the mid rounds over the last five years.
30:40What have been the hits? What have been the misses?
30:43And then the one I'm working on right now will be applying that to teams like the Bears.
30:48We already discussed a little bit Jags, the Colts.
30:51So a lot of the names we discussed today, plus some more.
30:55And I have rankings up there for best ball already.
30:58And pretty shortly, I'll be dropping redraft rankings for high stakes and for your home leagues as well.
31:03So we'll have you covered all summer. All right.
31:06Awesome. Yeah. Go give Jacob a ton of support here.
31:09I truly want to be best analysts in the game.
31:12Do not miss what he's tweeting out on top of that.
31:15So we'll be back. I don't know when the rest of this month could be kind of funky.
31:20Stay patient. We're going to land the plane here in a little bit.
31:24But just stay patient around here. So like, subscribe, leave a comment.
31:28Tell us how much you love Underdog and how excited you are about Yahoo.
31:32All the fun stuff that the bosses want to hear about.
31:35So until next time, I don't know when. Have a good weekend.
31:39Later.

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