Underdog Fantasy Football Show artwork

Ron Stewart's 5 Favorite Fantasy Football Picks

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

40 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Jun 24, 2026
Published
Wed, June 24, 2026
17
Player insights
6
Players mentioned
Topics
Breece HallJeremiyah LoveTee HigginsJosh AllenKyle PittsTyler Warren
Player analysis

Player insights

17

Breece Hall

PositiveValue0:12

Ron Stewart is taking Breece Hall in the third round as part of a running back-heavy draft strategy, viewing him as undervalued compared to other backs in the range like Javante Williams, Kyron Johnson, and ETN.

Insight page
PositiveProjection0:13

Breece Hall had 1.51 yards per out-run (top-10 number) and is one of seven running backs since being drafted to average 29+ receiving yards per game, showing elite receiving upside.

Insight page
PositiveRole0:14

The Jets' improved offensive line (with Olufoshanu and Joe Tittman getting better) and addition of Armand Membu should provide better pass protection, leading to more checkdowns to Breece Hall instead of scrambles.

Insight page
PositiveProjection0:14

In 12 games without Brady Cook, Breece Hall averaged 14.4 PPR points per game compared to 9.8 with Cook, showing significant upside with Geno Smith as the starter.

Insight page
PositiveProjection0:16

Breece Hall came off a career-high 1,000+ rushing yards with 36 catches and 350 receiving yards but finished as RB20 due to only 5 touchdowns; if the Jets improve their red zone efficiency, he has a pathway to RB7-8.

Insight page
PositiveProjection0:17

Breece Hall was fourth in explosive run rate and 10th in missed tackles forced per attempt last year, showing he still has the elite wiggle and elusiveness post-ACL injury.

Insight page
PositiveProjection0:18

In 12 games without Brady Cook, Breece Hall was RB17; with an improved offense, there's a pathway to him being RB7-8, making him appropriately priced in the third round.

Insight page

Jeremiyah Love

PositiveValue0:01

Ron Stewart is actively drafting Jeremiah Love at the 2-3 turn despite the Cardinals' weak situation, viewing him as the cheapest talent at running back in a year where the position is expensive. He compares Love's prospect profile to elite historical rookies like Saquon, Zeke, and CMC, who averaged RB12 production.

Insight page
NegativeProjection0:05

The Cardinals' quarterback situation with Carson Beck is a major concern, as the team could be projected for just 13 points per game by November/December if Brissett doesn't last the season.

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PositiveProjection0:08

Mike Clay projects the Cardinals offense as first in pass attempts with Jeremiah Love at 65 receptions, making him the RB9 in projections despite being notoriously conservative with rookies.

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PositiveMatchup0:09

Jeremiah Love's playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) is favorable with all three games in domes: vs. Jets (allowed 3rd most fantasy points to RBs), vs. Saints (17th), and vs. Raiders (9th most).

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PositiveRole0:10

Michael Flores indicated he will give the hot hand to the most talented back, and Jeremiah Love is the most talented player in the Cardinals backfield, suggesting he will get the majority of touches.

Insight page

Josh Allen

PositiveValue0:39

Josh Allen is ranked too low based on a percentage comparison of rankings versus ADP.

Insight page

Kyle Pitts

PositiveValue0:39

Kyle Pitts is ranked way too low, representing significant undervaluation in the current ADP landscape.

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Tee Higgins

PositiveValue0:18

Tee Higgins is being drafted as WR16 in the third round after being a 2-3 turn pick last year, but he matches George Pickens' production (12.6 vs 12.57 PPR points per game) while playing in a superior offense.

Insight page
PositiveProjection0:19

Tee Higgins scored 21 touchdowns in his last 27 games, and the Bengals have been tied for 7th, 2nd, and 1st in passing touchdowns in 2021, 2022, and 2024 respectively when Joe Burrow is healthy.

Insight page

Tyler Warren

PositiveValue0:39

Tyler Warren is ranked too low and should be drafted next to him; he's 3-4 rounds too cheap and represents the most mispriced player on the board.

Insight page
Full transcript

Episode Transcript

402
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0:40Great brands, great prices. That's why you rack. Oh yes, we are back with your favorite series with one of your favorite people.
0:47This is Ron Stewart, a friend of the channel, friend of the show.
0:50Ron, you sent me about 16 names and I got to pick the five of that 16 that you can't stop drafting this summer.
0:57I know you're going to cover the other 11 on your channel a bit later on.
1:01So this list is a really exciting group and names that we haven't gotten to talk about enough this summer so far.
1:07Well, I figured I know how this goes. We all have guys that we've talked about a bunch.
1:12I don't want to come on here with the five guys you guys have been talking about and it's early like I've drafted.
1:19I've drafted 70 teams so you'll even see uh well it's actually funny it we're now in a space where in June
1:25that's not even that lightweight you know yeah like years ago it would be like I mean this is insane but you
1:31also have I have like 50 slow drafts going so there are there's like a section of players that are like I
1:37haven't drafted a ton of them but I keep clicking them in slow drafts and I know in like a week it's
1:43gonna they're gonna double in exposure uh you know as we do research as we start updating the rankings it becomes clear
1:49which guys I like love that okay let's dive right into it we're gonna go to ADP order here and the first
1:55name is a rookie imagine that with you Ron uh this is running back Jeremiah Love of the Arizona Cardinals right now
2:01the 12th pick of the second round running back 13.
2:04Why is he one of the names you can't stop drafting this summer?
2:07It's crazy because in the pre-draft stuff I wasn't all that interested right we've done this a bit now with Bijan we've
2:14done this with Gentie last year you take him in round one they disappoint everybody and now we're in a really weird
2:20spot I like that you included the ADP here because really what happens for me is I take one of these Jamar
2:26Chase, Kukunakua, JSN and then Derek Henry all of those running backs ahead of him are gone and you sit here in
2:32a spot of like sure it feels good to take Bowers or Pickens or Nico and all of a sudden you find
2:38yourself without a running back through three rounds so I've been warming up to the idea of you just take love one
2:44of those receivers likely makes it back if not you can still get McBride Bowers you can start something like Jamar Chase,
2:50Jeremiah Love, Trey McBride on a lot of drafts and it's something I've been warming up to where in the year it
2:56almost feels like this is the year of the running back where all roads have I mean it's felt like that the
3:02last two years really but running backs are as as expensive as ever which they haven't really been on underdog and we're
3:08getting a I don't know we overuse generational but you get what I'm saying a third overall pick in an era where
3:14before the Bison class I had guys telling me update your model running backs aren't going to go in round one anymore
3:20and now all of a sudden we get a third overall pick in the NFL draft and he's just going in a
3:26spot where you have to click him because even if he has the Bison rookie year even if he has the Gen
3:32T rookie year he's not sinking your team but he does have a massive amount of upside and I want to talk
3:38about the Cardinals like obviously if he went to the commanders or a better spot he'd be a one-two turn pick like
3:44that is kind of the elephant in the room but there's plenty of running backs going ahead of him whether it's the
3:50Von HN uh Bijan Robinson guys who are in I would say bottom third projected offenses like Jeremiah Love but the one
3:57thing I wanted to kind of highlight is that the offensive line for Gentty like yes he was on a bad offense
4:03last year but his offensive line was so brutal this is a stat from Jacob Gibbs on Twitter among 115 running backs
4:09with 250 plus rushes in a season this is from since 2012 there's been 115 running backs that have 250 or more
4:15rushes he ranked 115th in yards before contact per rush I'd assume you guys can speak on a little bit better I'm
4:21not all the way in the weeds with the offensive line but the Cardinals are ranked like 15th best by ESPN they're
4:27in the top 20 for like FTN four for four it's a decent offensive line right they get Paris Johnson they draft
4:33Chase Basantis you have Isaac Somalu it's at least going to be a functional offensive line so it's not going to be
4:39like historic 0.6 yards before contact and we know Jeremiah Love can take off with a long home run uh ability on
4:45top of that he has the reception upside so while the touchdowns might not be there uh in the context of this
4:51offense I still do think that there's going to be volume and running lanes from the get through yeah even Gentile last
4:57year was the RB 16 when everything went uh completely south I don't think that this situation is quite as bad as
5:03that I think that Jeremiah Love was the slightly better prospect over Gentile so I have him as a like fringe uh
5:09top 12 running back he's kind of I'm drafting him at the turn so I don't really have a strong stance with
5:15him I think that the the maybe the little elephant in the room would just be some of the goal line touches
5:21might end up going to Algier um and if you're going to knock anything about Jeremiah Love would be some of some
5:27of those touches didn't go exactly right but I think if you just like zoom all the way out he was a
5:33hundredth percentile prospect in my model at everybody's model uh next to Saquon, Zeke, CMC, Reggie Bush, Melvin Gordon, Gentty, Darren McFadden, B.
5:40John Gurley, Adrian Peterson, Jonathan Taylor those guys as rookies average 14 and a half fantasy points uh and half PPR that
5:46would have been about the RB12s like the baseline historically is these guys finish right where he's kind of being drafted I'm
5:52worried about the Cardinals quarterback situation when we get to uh November and December that's my big concern with the Cardinals it's
5:58not necessarily the offensive line it's not about the touch split between Algeria and Love it'll probably go overwhelming to Love I
6:04just think this team in December they'll be projected for 13 points per game you know like I think it could get
6:10that bad uh because I just don't think that Brissette's gonna last the whole season I love that we're having this Jeremiah
6:16Love conversation though because you know during the draft process he was kind of boring to discuss because he was so far
6:22ahead of any other running back prospect that there wasn't a lot to talk about but now it's almost flipped where he's
6:28going after you know 12 running backs and we really need to nail down how good the talent is versus the situation
6:34I know a lot of people like you just mentioned Ron are bringing up the B.
6:39John Robinson rookie season where it was kind of hot and cold and kind of limited by touches this is going to
6:45hit close to home run but I'm going to look at what Michael for did with Brees Hall during his rookie year
6:51in 2022 and albeit that was a shortened year because of an injury but in the games that he played Brees Hall
6:57was the running back seven in points per game uh and that was even with a slow start of 12 8 and
7:0314 touches in the opening three contest and we all remember this vividly right that was the pony personnel stuff Michael Carter
7:09was the other running back so you know it's Michael Carter versus now Tyler Algier and James Conner which is a bit
7:15different but Brees Brees was really unleashed in week four you know and ever since then Michael for just knew about the
7:21hot hand knew who gave him the best chance of winning and that was a three to four game stretch where the
7:27Jets won all those games that might have been the last games they've ever won you can correct me if I'm wrong
7:33with that but so I don't even know if like the the Cardinals can even win four games this season and those
7:39two things kind of go together here but the very least we have seen Michael for uh have a slow start to
7:45a extremely talented rookie running back and once that rookie showed that he was clearly the most talented back in the group
7:51he just gave him 15 to 20 touches per contest yeah and he almost created his own efficiency in a way and
7:57Brees in like yes they were winning games but that Jets offense on as a whole was pretty bad uh he was
8:04breaking I think he scored maybe four rushing touchdowns in straight games he had the third most runs of 15 plus yards
8:10second most runs of 10 plus yards Brees during that six week stretch before he tore his ACL and uh it was
8:16just a sad day for all Jets fans he also had a two yards per out run which is just absurd so
8:22I think if LaFleur I mean it's not it's going to be even more obvious than it was with Brees I mean
8:28they drafted him third overall but they got Brees 30 targets through those six games that was fifth among running backs Mike
8:34Clay does his projections he actually has LaFleur this offense being first in pass attempts and then he has Jeremiah Love at
8:40like 65 receptions which Mike Clay is notoriously very conservative with the rookies he has I think I'm trying to think it's
8:46not Makai Lemon but you can oh like Casey Concepcion like wide receiver like 59 uh all of these like exciting rookies
8:52super low but Jeremiah Love is the one where he comes out as like the RB9 in these projections he's going to
8:58catch a ton of passes he has of course the breakaway speed the explosion and even if things are a little bit
9:04squeezed with Algier early on and uh however else you think that that running back room is going to get sorted between
9:10James Conner between Trey Benson who even sticks around this is somebody who split a backfield with Jadarian Price last year had
9:161300 plus rushing yards on under 200 attempts like I just think that with the pass catching with the long plays he
9:22can just sort of create his own efficiency and then his playoff schedule the scary part like you said yes if it's
9:28Carson Beck that is scary I do I do wonder if we're being too harsh on Carson Beck like we all sort
9:34of said similar things about Tyler Shuck nope we're not there's just there's a chance there's a chance there's a chance uh
9:40but what I'll say so really this is a Jeremiah Love take that can also be packaged as a Carson Beck take
9:47is what I'm just saying I'm just saying I don't know I don't know we'll see if it's truly like Shador level
9:53bad it could be Shador level bad but uh his final three games so for the fantasy playoffs all three are in
9:59domes uh at home versus the Jets who allowed the third most uh fantasy points to running backs last year in a
10:05dome versus the Saints who were 17th last year but there's going to be such a high pace with Kellen Moore that
10:11should be a good matchup on the road in a dome and then they host the Raiders who allowed the ninth most
10:17two running backs last year so that's a pretty good stretch all in domes during the winter we'll see if Carson Beck
10:23rains on my parade but I just think there's a lot of outs to this bet and it's like the cheapest we've
10:29gotten a player of this talent at running back in a year where running backs are super expensive so I just continue
10:35to take him uh at the two three turn and before you hop in I do want to ask you this because
10:41whenever we get a coach quote and especially if you don't actually listen to them you just read them yeah uh they
10:47can be off the races and interpreted in a whole bunch of different ways I'm sure we've is going to throw in
10:53the actual video here but I want to read you what Michael for said when asked about his running back room can
10:59split it up keep it fresh have a third down back we're not there yet but we want to get there but
11:05then one sentence later he says quote Steph Curry's on fire and he's supposed to get his sub you're not taking the
11:11hot hand out and well that's kind of the same approach you end up taking with a back like a back just
11:17like a basketball player any football player can get into a rhythm it's like just keep giving him the football like he's
11:23just feeling it right now so what is your interpretation he's gonna get the ball a ton I mean they drafted him
11:29third overall here like if they the owner like wants Jeremiah Love to be like the face of the franchise they're going
11:36to give him the rock and I think this is going to be a fairly balanced offense and they're going to be
11:42losing a bunch of games and Jeremiah Love is an exceptional receiving prospect so I think like the Mike Clay projections that
11:48Ron brought up like I fully believe that like he's going to catch a ton of passes I think he's touchdown opportunities
11:54are not going to be nearly as good as Derek Henry Chase Brown Kenneth Walker ahead of them but uh at the
12:00two three turn I think this is fantastic and half PBR I have like no qualms with this and like that's like
12:06fully incorporating how bad the Cardinals are going to be I think the gente season like he ended up still being like
12:12worthy of like a third round pick and I don't think the Jeremiah Love stuff is going to get nearly as bad
12:18environmental uh environmentally as the gente stuff did so I'm totally fine with where he's being drafted my thought is that is
12:24a roar shark test that when people hear hot hand and running back they get scared when in reality if you hear
12:30hot hand and Jeremiah Love compared to all the other competitors for the rock then Jeremiah Love is as talented as everyone
12:36thinks he is is going to get the hot hand he is the most talented player of that so to me that's
12:42actually like a good comment versus many interpretations of it being a negative one okay Ron uh that was 10 minutes on
12:48one name so we'll go to the next one and it links into what we just talked about Brees Hall is your
12:54next uh player running back 14 the second pick of the third round talk to me yeah and it's kind of in
13:00this same area where again like I'm taking I guess I haven't dove into the draft strategies part of the offseason yet
13:06but kind of this hero wide receiver idea of you take Chase, JSN, Puka you come around you take a Jeremiah Love
13:12and you come back around and you can take a Brees Hall and kind of get doubled up on running backs here
13:19I'm trying not to be a homer about Brees I will say last year I was completely out on Brees but this
13:25year I really like where we're at especially with these running back prices getting pushed up you're talking about Javante here Kyron's
13:31in this range ETN's in this range ETN a guy that I thought was going to catch passes out of college he
13:37really hasn't he'll even over 40 receptions once same with Kyron uh Javante last year he catches passes but he had 0.4
13:43yards per outrun which is just insanely bad Brees we know he's touched like 76 catches before his career 1.51 yards per
13:49outrun would be a top 10 number in any year he's one of seven running backs since getting drafted to average 29
13:55plus receiving yards per game and of course the elephant in the room is that the Jets suck but we do have
14:01an offensive line like that is the uh core tenant of this team is the offensive line Olufoshanu is getting better Joe
14:07Tittman's getting better I know you guys are big fans of uh Armand Membu as well he to me should have been
14:13the offensive rookie of the year I really think that he was that good I saw a uh I love ball dinger
14:19so much man he did a breakdown of Membu's first ever career start versus the Steelers that was the Rodgers revenge game
14:25and he handled TJ Watt the entire game Jets have the fifth easiest schedule this year and last year Brees Hall didn't
14:31have the receiving numbers we usually expect but that's because you had Justin Fields you had Tyrod Taylor you had Brady Cook
14:37which just kind of lends yourself to one of the more crazy low passing volume teams ever this is a Ryan Heath
14:43tweet the 2025 Jets over the past five years they ranked 159th of 160 teams by total passing yards with 2,781 uh
14:49so just absolutely absurd this offensive line should be better Geno Smith will have protection that'll at least make the offense instead
14:55of being like stone worse like more like below average and then I think Geno Smith a little bit up in the
15:02air currently but if he plays if he plays for a while we get checkdowns to Brees Hall instead of the scrambles
15:08that you were getting for Tyrod Taylor and the scrambles you're getting for Justin Fields and then like Brady Cook wasn't an
15:14NFL quarterback he averaged 9.8 points per game in those games with Brady Cook Brees Hall he averaged 14.4 without that's full
15:20PPR though but it just sort of shows that he was that much better without Brady Cook and I think Geno's an
15:26upgrade even over uh your Tyrod and Justin Fields yeah I like all the running backs in this round like to me
15:32this is just where I think the position is still undervalued and half PPR like these guys just can outscore the wide
15:38receivers in this range it's like it is what it is um and I think that Brees Hall is just as good
15:44as A-chan and Kyron and Javante I want all these guys looking back at the history the Frank Reich part of this
15:50is the stuff that just makes me very concerned with this but with Frank Reich Jonathan Taylor had a 372 touch season
15:56behind a really good Colts offensive line uh I don't think Brees is quite as good as Jonathan Taylor but there's at
16:02least some history of this being a balanced offense very centered around uh a well paid a highly touted running back like
16:08they had with JT and now with here with Brees Hall so fully agree the offensive line is actually good it's not
16:14mediocre it's not bad it's actually a good offensive line uh and there's at least some semblance of a skill group now
16:20uh but beyond Brees Hall and Garrett Wilson so uh as long as Geno could stay out of trouble and you know
16:26hold the line it would be pretty hard for Brees Hall A-chan I think Kyron Javante all these guys their workloads are
16:32just like too set in stone to me that I think these guys are all going to be really good picks this
16:38one's pretty simple to me like we know Brees can do everything he's coming off a career high over a thousand rushing
16:44yards 36 catches 350 yards but that equaled the running back 20 in points per game on the season and there's an
16:51answer as to why and it's because touchdowns he only scored five of them I mean it really is that simple he
16:57has the talent to literally be a force in the receiving game we know we can create explosive plays and obviously pick
17:03up the yards black forward and create yards on his own but the team just has to get better in order to
17:09get in more scoring positions they were 29th in touchdowns per game again don't want to dig up the grave here Ron
17:15but 1.8 touchdowns per game last year for the Jets 29th in red zone drives per game and then 31st once they
17:21got to the red zone in terms of red red zone touchdown success rate so if you just get the league average
17:27in one two or all three of those categories then we are freaking off to the races here with Brees Hall so
17:33again this has nothing to do with his talent in terms of his ADP and it's I don't think baking in really
17:39at all of if this offense just gets to average in certain areas and scoring touchdowns then uh man oh man this
17:45could be a monster season for Brees yeah and I'll say too uh he finally looked like himself last year even like
17:51in the context of a bad offense he was fourth in explosive run rate 10th in miss cycles force per attempt so
17:57that like wiggle that we were looking for after the ACL turn just kind of like the injury riddled seasons like it
18:03looked like Brees Hall he just was kind of weighed down by his counterparts my last no on Brees uh he had
18:0912 games without Brady Cook in those he was the RB 17 in the games with Cook he was the RB 32
18:15so I think like the baseline here is it's like RB 17 with like even in a bad offense and I think
18:21if the offense becomes good there's a pathway to him being like the running back seven or eight so I think this
18:27is appropriately priced and uh I just still like the running backs over the wide receivers in this range okay Ron I
18:34can hear the comments yelling at us saying that hey you guys tell us to take good players on good teams right
18:40now you're telling us to take good players on projected bad teams uh so let's change that with these next two names
18:46all right two really good offenses the first one is T Higgins being selected as wide receiver 16 and the 11th pick
18:52in the third round I love T Higgins I feel like I and this isn't I don't want to start by like
18:58tearing down George Pickens but that's kind of what it was last year right we were drafting T Higgins at the 2-3
19:04turn Pickens went later it's like oh you can get like the same bet and the Dak Prescott offense next to CeeDee
19:10Lamb and this year we've kind of done a 180 on that where if you look at last year 14 game sample
19:16for both T Higgins and games with Jamar Chase that's like pretty much every game 12.6 half PPR points per game George
19:22Pickens with CeeDee Lamb 12.57 half PPR points per game and that was last year and kind of a lost season for
19:28the Bengals where the Bengals didn't even have Joe Burrow the entire season and still T Higgins was there because kind of
19:34like you're saying in half PPR it really is that simple it is touchdown upside T Higgins is a guy who scored
19:4021 touchdowns in his last 27 games you can say some of that is touchdown luck but also whenever Joe Burrow is
19:46healthy he has been in terms of the Bengals passing offense this is 2021 2022 2024 they've been tied for seventh tied
19:52for second and first in passing touchdowns so they're always going to be there and you can get him after these guys
19:58where I love Zay Flowers I love Garrett Wilson but projecting them for like their median outcomes are probably like seven or
20:04eight touchdowns for T Higgins he scores 10 plus in down years where he misses like four games and we've already seen
20:10next to Jamar Chase where he's had a top five season and then you also always have and look we all want
20:17Jamar Chase to play 17 games but like God forbid something happened to him T Higgins all of a sudden is someone
20:23that you're ranking every week as like what like the wide receiver four or wide receiver five in projections so he he
20:29has all the upside in the world like he's somebody he is my like the most drafted player so far I continue
20:35to wow he's the guy at the top of the exposure list because he's just so easy you get to the fourth
20:41round all the outside of I guess like Javante but he gets like that three four turn if you already have one
20:47or two running backs like I'm just taking T I have like no counter to this I like all the wide receivers
20:53there T Higgins has been the one to you know prove that he has the upside and that obviously the contingent upside
20:59just for him does not exist in you know Ladd McConkie, Tedrow McMillan, Garrett Wilson like T Higgins would go all the
21:05way up to the top five if you go go back to his player profile Josh you can just see uh later
21:11in the season he was going absolutely crazy I mean he was the wide receiver eight uh in his last four games
21:17there he was like routinely uh a wide receiver one you can see those huge spike weeks and those are the touchdown
21:23weeks and uh the Bengals are going to be projected for a ton of points the defense is getting a little bit
21:29better uh but it's still relatively bad there'll be plenty of shootouts here so like this is this is where he is
21:35like on a baseline projection and I like Ron is saying like there is like the most obvious contingent upside that does
21:41not exist with the other wide receivers with the same baseline projection it's pretty obvious why he dropped down from six catches
21:47and 76 yards per game down to four catches for 56 yards per game that's because we went from 17 games of
21:53Joe Burrow to eight games of Joe Burrow six games of Joe Flacco and three games of Jake Browning I mean as
22:00you said Ron the last time he played 17 games with Joe Burrow he was the wide receiver four in points per
22:06game yeah I mean we we care most about what we just saw but just rewind a previous 365 days and the
22:12dude was the wide receiver four in points per game with 17 games of Joe Burrow and now you're getting him as
22:18the wide receiver 16 and even if he misses multiple games as you said Ron he now has back to back seasons
22:24of 10 plus touchdowns this is a freaking layup to me uh and it's kind of why I'm moving over names like
22:30Javante Williams as I discussed in a previous video because all these wide receivers in this area like just really get me
22:36going and as Hayden just said T Higgins is the one that has scored as a top five wide receiver for the
22:42entire season before that's for sure by the way we'll link his channel in the description down below but if you aren't
22:48following Ron on YouTube then you're doing it incorrectly uh he's the man I actually watch his videos that can't be said
22:54with everyone else because I don't have time for it at this moment but Ron is the absolute best so go and
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24:01restrictions and important safety information thank you HEMS for sponsoring the show okay next up Jalen Waddle wide receiver 24 the 11th
24:07pick of the fourth round I've been itching to talk about Jalen Waddle all summer run and I'm glad you presented his
24:13name here today yeah he is to me one of the most underrated true talents in the NFL you could go all
24:19the way back to his time Alabama is just like one of the most explosive efficient prospects ever he has been next
24:25to Tyreek Hill his entire career and he still has a career 2.11 yards per out run which like anything over two
24:31for an entire career what are we I think we're in like what year five or year six of Waddle at this
24:37point like it's just year after year on a total holistic view of his career he is efficient on a per target
24:43basis despite the target competition you also he's had a lot of down years due to injury and then like Tua also
24:49getting hurt so you kind of have like a tandem there but we have a 63 game sample with Tua at 12.1
24:55half PPR points per game that would be the wide receiver 11 last year so that's just a massive sample of him
25:01in a good offense that's what we're getting this year where it is Bo Nix it is Sean Payton this Broncos offense
25:07with Sean Payton has kind of been a proven staple we talk about offensive lines seems like every offensive line ranking has
25:13the Broncos at number one uh also when you look at kind of the more film metrics you have reception perception he
25:19was 77th percentile versus man 74th first zone 81st first press last year and that was on kind of a sinking Dolphins
25:25team like lost season and he was still a fringe top 24 guy and I just think that this is such a
25:32boost they give up a first round pick for him he's going to be the guy in this offense and if you
25:38want to get really in the weeds the Broncos had the third most pass attempts from play action last year with 180
25:44Jalen Waddle last year even in a bad season for his standard had 4.17 yards per outrun on play action passes the
25:50seventh most in the NFL so you get kind of a good marriage of skill sets there I think that this could
25:56be the year that we've kind of been waiting for since I want to say 2022 for Waddle where he finally gets
26:02back into the top 12 point per game wide receivers and kind of fully uh you know we sort of talk about
26:08these wide receivers in their first year with a new team you can kind of think back to like Stephon Diggs with
26:14Josh Allen there's been plenty more since then uh but this could just be you know we don't have a good baseline
26:20for what it looks like when Waddle is in this offense as the number one and I I don't want to put
26:26a ceiling on what that could be I mean yeah we've seen wide receiver ones with Sean Payton be like the top
26:32scoring player in fantasy for like multiple seasons in a row I had the same notes like the screen rate for for
26:38the Broncos last year top three RPOs top three play action top three so all like the the benefits that we get
26:44from a good coaching staff we get with him and I think all the quick hitting stuff that would go to Marvin
26:50Mims and Troy Franklin you got Jalen Waddle man like that's the reason why he got brought in like the Troy Franklin
26:56stuff the Marvin Mims stuff was fun while it lasted for like the three plays that they would get that stuff's going
27:02to go to Jalen Waddle plus all the vertical stuff like when when Bo Nix is rolling out and throwing the ball
27:08across the football field those big crossing routes are now going to go to uh Jalen Waddle as well so like Corlin
27:15Sutton I think's a nice number two uh I think that his targets are going to come way down this year and
27:21I think Jalen Waddle is like the centerpiece of this offense he's the joker of the offense and they traded a damn
27:27first rounder plus for him they're going to get their money's worth here so I got I think he's he's a layup
27:33and I think like to your point if you're going to do the uh hero wide receiver love Brees Hall and then
27:39you go to Jalen Waddle like I do think that's a very nice balanced team everyone knows that I love Luther Burton
27:45I've loved Luther Burton for a long time Ron I know you're my boat I think I'm just straight up drafting Jalen
27:51Waddle over Luther Burton at this price right now and you know the public's doing the opposite where are you at with
27:57that Ron I I talked about this I did a uh a wide receiver rankings video and it just sucks uh we've
28:03especially the underdog market we've gotten too smart so I love Luther Burton I love Trevion Henderson but so does everybody else
28:09so like I am drafting those guys exactly 8.6 percent of the time when it makes sense I'm even taking someone that
28:15didn't make this list because you guys talk about him so much I'm taking Lovelland over Burden because I think he just
28:21straight up out projects Luther Burden so I hate it uh I'm hoping and you know when I get my buddies in
28:27my ESPN league I can take Luther Burden there in the fifth round but when you're when you're playing in real leagues
28:33it gets it gets tricky I I would love to be all in but uh we all like Luther Burden together like
28:39you can uh Ben Johnson can only hop on the mic and speak so glowingly so much uh until he just kind
28:45of zaps us all of our EV well I didn't mean for that to turn into a negative thing it was just
28:51more hyping up Jalen Waddle and what he could be uh here in this offense and all the ranks and percentages that
28:57you threw out there I'll throw out one more where the the Broncos two wide receivers last year ranked 12th in terms
29:04of crossing route target rate which is exactly what we want with Jalen Waddle uh Bo Nix went on the mic just
29:10a couple weeks ago and said that there was an element of explosiveness that they've lacked over the last couple of years
29:16and that's exactly what Jalen Waddle brings the table and if you just freaking look at it like Troy Franklin had 18
29:22targets inside of the red zone last year that is more than what JSN Justin Jefferson Corlin Sutton CeeDee Lamb Nico Collins
29:28Puka Nakua Teru McMillan all those guys had if we just funnel those to Jalen Waddle now like that is freaking awesome
29:34so it's almost as if we are able to get a player like this without having to take him anywhere close to
29:40the upside being factored in at a high level despite him going around a lot of players like Burden like Egbuka like
29:46Tedderon McMillan where the upside is uh kind of baked into those players because they are in their second years right now
29:52and I was looking at the Troy Franklin stuff the red zone his a dot in the red zone was at three
29:58yards and I remember watching those a lot of that's just like little bubble screens and just like get him like uh
30:04some cheap yardage as you know it's a little bit harder to throw into the end zone uh that's going to Jalen
30:10Waddle like all that all the funny business that we've seen with Sean Payton is just all going to Jalen Waddle because
30:16he's just a way better athlete than the rest of the guys all right we'll close us out with the tight end
30:22that's Kyle Pitts the man is even richer than he was last week tight end eight the 12th pick of the ninth
30:28round this is on a three-year 54 million dollar extension 36 million guaranteed we've had a lot of discussions not just about
30:34the individual tight ends here Ron but also the strategy of drafting tight ends and where you are able to select them
30:40and feeling confident in selecting them and Kyle Pitts is kind of in that middle ground like I said at the end
30:47of the ninth round so talk to me about Pitts and while you're in this year I went through and I ranked
30:53all these tight ends and I got to the end of it and I said I'm not sure that Tucker Craft should
30:59be two rounds more expensive than him I have him currently ranked as my tight end five like I would be open
31:05to taking him probably around earlier than he goes this is a range to you kind of touch on it where I'll
31:11take Kyle Pitts and you can take either two guys super late or you can sort of double up in this range
31:17like you could do like Pitts Kincaid and to me that's a really fun room uh to just sort of cut off
31:23at two but when it comes to Pitts they have now fully endorsed him I think that he is I'll be honest
31:29the AAV stuff and spot track I'll kind of leave to you guys but I see it's it's Kittle McBride and then
31:35it looks like it's Pitts in terms of AAV yeah which is pretty nuts it's also pretty vindicating for all the nerds
31:41out there where we have stuck by Kyle Pitts uh and it's just as simple as Coupe Fiasco on Twitter I'm sure
31:47you guys have heard of him he is a big tight end guy he's always talking about you need to be a
31:53top two target on your team in terms of having upside they're pretty much like every top five tight end season you
31:59have to be a top two target on your team to get the targets or to get the touchdowns and after him
32:05and after Drake London it is it's Bichon who Bichon's awesome but he's not going to get more targets than Pitts and
32:11then of course you have Zachariah Branch you have Jahan Dotson Alameda Zaccheaus they could I will say I would maybe chill
32:17out a little bit if they do sign like Diggs or Debo but we'll cross that bridge when we get there whatever
32:23book you hop on pretty much it's Pitts in this like 700 plus receiving yards range uh it's McBride it's Bowers and
32:30then Pitts is in this tier of like Pitts Loveland and Tyler Warren and he goes three or four rounds later kind
32:36of and I hate to say it the upside is baked in I love Colson Loveland but sort of what we just
32:42said with Waddle where Waddle probably projects similarly to your Lad McConkie, Tedderall, McMillans but those guys are kind of like the
32:48sexy uh year two year three breakout sort of similar to Tyler Warren and Colson Loveland and with Kyle Pitts we sort
32:54of saw it last year like you can't take the genie out of the bottle and then put it back in in
33:00five games without Drake London his 17 game pace was 119 receptions 1400 yards 10 touchdowns and as much as the London
33:06splits mattered I think that there was definitely more context there because you had Michael Penix go down so then you had
33:12Kirk Cousins in the offense and then what ended up happening is that they played a lot more like under center with
33:18Kirk Cousins now we have new offensive coordinator so I think there's just a lot going on more than just like okay
33:24Drake London wasn't there Kyle Pitts popped off because of it like uh you can look at the stats of under center
33:30Kyle Pitts had the seventh most yards among tight ends when the quarterback lined up under lined up under center with 179
33:36but that's of course with like the 26 most attempts from under center to begin with so uh on a team that
33:42barely did it Pitts thrived in that role Tommy Reese and Kevin Stefanski have sort of been on record wanting to go
33:48more under center this season whether that's Tua or Penix I think that that's going to benefit Pitts a lot uh especially
33:54in line where Drake London's in that big slot role yeah 800 yards according to the underdog markets that's uh just right
34:00in line with Devontae Adams Luther Burden Mike Evans those guys are fourth round picks at wide receiver Kyle Pitts dominated last
34:06year I mean like people like yeah I just do not think have fully grasped what he did at the end of
34:13the season now the five games without Drake London he had 84 yards per game and the other 12 games with Drake
34:19London that drops to 42 but I think it's hard to take the genie out of the or put the genie back
34:25in the bottle here uh after what the hell he just did he looked healthy again like that was the alien that
34:31I recognized when he was at Florida and during that rookie season and then we had three years where it was just
34:37he could not turn and explode and I watched him last year and he's turning and exploding and there's history of many
34:43hall of famer types at tight ends not doing a whole lot until they're about 25 26 and then going absolutely crazy
34:49Kyle Pitts for as long as he's been in the league he's still 25 years old uh and I fully agree with
34:55the second and target line and how important that is uh he's gonna be running wide receiver routes and I thought he
35:01looked like the freakazoid tight end last year for the first time since his rookie season and I want to be buying
35:07into this I think the payday was just another sign um but he's got a contingent upside like we saw last year
35:13with with Drake London and I think the quick hitting to the offense would be good for him and then uh I
35:19just think that the offense will like be able to do enough to keep you know Pitts Drake London and Bijan happy
35:25because there's nobody else in the offense yeah can we just like almost copy and paste the Harold Fannin stuff with Kevin
35:31Stefanski last year with Kyle Pitts now I think the target's going to be somewhat different areas we saw you know Fannin
35:37do a whole bunch of stuff after the catch and Kyle Pitts is more of an intermediate passer receiver and you know
35:43less the gimme's albeit he finally got the gimme's last year and I think what you're saying Hayden is basically he has
35:49to get those this year because there is no other avenue other than Drake London for a true receiver other than Bijan
35:55Robinson to catch passes this year so while I actually think that like the Kyle Pitts and Charlie Warner combo blocks last
36:02year really prevented some games of Bijan Robinson having even better contests it honestly does not matter in this offense because as
36:08Ron said he is the pathway to the second best pass catcher on the team and they have no other wide receiver
36:14and we're talking about Kevin Stefanski who has mastered in 12 and heavy personnel sets in previous stops and has revolved his
36:20passing game around these interior pass catchers and tight ends namely so this is a fascinating round though Ron in that like
36:26I can make a huge case for Sam Laporta to have a massive bounce back in this Drew Petsing offense then you
36:32have Harold Fannin who we have talked about and then it's Kyle Pitts at the end of it so there's a lot
36:38of other names especially at running back and wide receiver that other people are getting interested in here but I can again
36:44make the case at tight ends that maybe round nine is one of the more intriguing rounds in all fantasy football right
36:50now yeah I agree and I'll kind of add on to Hayden there saying it wasn't that long ago that we used
36:56to wait for tight ends to break out of the top 10 tight end seasons ever in PPR points it is Gronk
37:02in 2011 who was 22 years old everybody else was in their age 26 season or older that is where Kyle Pitts
37:08is heading into right now it really wouldn't be all that crazy uh for Kyle Pitts best days to be ahead of
37:14him like it's crazy like he's been around forever it's like everyone's sick of Kyle Pitts but there's very much a chance
37:20here that his best years are still yet to come uh and I just think the unicorn best prospect ever like yes
37:26Bowers came in and we all kind of like did revisionist history of like oh no no Bowers is the best prospect
37:32ever at the time Pitts was seen he was drafted over like Jamar Chase and yeah no in the real life draft
37:38yeah I was honestly sort of referencing like dynasty and almost like fantasy football at that time uh but yeah even the
37:45real life draft he was thought of like that uh and nobody I doubt there I doubt there was very few people
37:51who came to the podium the next day and was like this is a terrible pick by the Falcons uh I mean
37:57it was it was questionable but I he that's who he was coming out of Florida last note I have Kevin Stefanski's
38:03offense this comes from Daigle uh this is tight end target share third third fourth fifth ninth second yep I mean that's
38:09David Njoku that's Harold Fannin that's just how you can even include Drew Petzin in that with Trey McBride this past season
38:15like if we're talking about trees this is the tree of it now if I can push back one thing it is
38:21this we always talk about Kyle Pitts's rookie season how he cleared you know 1,000 yards and had 110 targets unfortunately that
38:27season he only scored one touchdown and this speaks to the importance of touchdowns that season he ended as the tight end
38:3314 in points per game despite getting all those receiving yards so you know this past year he scored five touchdowns and
38:39while the tight end scoring was you know somewhat down overall that did propel him all the way up to the tight
38:45end six so I do want to factor in you know the offensive success and how he has to score even the
38:51difference between six touchdowns and one touchdown because the yards I'm not going to call them meaningless but they don't mean as
38:57much as like the touchdowns do within the day I think should be drafted next to Tyler Warren I think he's like
39:03three or four rounds too cheap I think I think he's actually the most mispriced player on the board and I looked
39:09at my rankings versus ADP on a percentage basis that's what I have it's I think Josh Allen's ranked too low I
39:15think Kyle Pitts is ranked way way way too low Ron you said it all you need to say one more thing
39:21tell the people they can find your work yeah just Ron Stewart on YouTube going right into redraft season here it's the
39:28summer we're drafting teams we're talking about players rankings we'll get into draft strategy here pretty soon as well but we're going
39:34man we got August around the corner it is fantasy football season we are back on the redraft channel for Ron Stewart
39:40but you can find me there uh the Ron Stewart YouTube channel everything I do is there it's so good it's so
39:46good yeah we have like a month until training camp starts yep so get it in whatever else you want to do
39:52other than football in in the next month all right everyone thanks for subscribing thanks for watching thanks for tuning in and
39:58we'll check on the next video see ya

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