32 Teams. 32 Facts To Win Your 2026 Fantasy Football Draft

The Dolphins brought in Ingold as a fullback/tight end option that will reduce two-or-fewer wide receiver set opportunities for wide receivers on the team, creating competition for targets.

Alec Ingold was brought in by the Rams, contributing to their personnel flexibility in two-or-fewer wide receiver sets, which the source indicates will be at the top of the league.

Alec Pierce is referenced as a comparison point for average depth of target; Devante Adams' average depth of target of nearly 16 yards downfield is comparable to Pierce's, placing both among the highest in the NFL.

Jeanty scored dead last in yards before contact among running backs in a study isolating which backs contributed most to poor rushing environments, accounting for gap assignment, defenders in the box, offensive line quality, and dual-threat quarterback impact. The source's film study corroborates this, noting Jeanty appears indecisive and lacks the foot quickness expected of a top-12 overall pick. The source ranks him 17th overall this year, taking many running backs ahead of him despite his current draft position, expecting improvement with better coaching and offensive line but acknowledging a significant leap is required.

Jeanty stated he stopped eating sugar this offseason to improve his shape and cardio, noting he did not feel in good enough shape last year. The source acknowledges this is a positive step and expects Jeanty to play better in year two given his rookie season lacked offseason time, but emphasizes he must play significantly better to justify his first-round draft capital.

Blake Corum is a key beneficiary of the Rams' number-one rushing success rate and their commitment to the run game. The source indicates the Rams will create runway for Corum and Kyron Williams to execute without mistakes, prioritizing the run over passing, which reduces target volume for wide receivers like Devante Adams.

The source argues that Brock Bowers' round-two ADP looks even better when considering the inflated cost of second-wave tight ends (Harold Fannin going round six). The source recommends paying the premium on Bowers rather than waiting for later tight ends.

Chase Brown has no competition in his backfield and is being selected later than Devon Henry despite playing in a much superior offense, making him a better value pick.

Rodriguez stated that the plan is to be back for week one after an offseason foot procedure; he has been doing individual drills. The source notes that the timeline remains ambiguous and a full answer may not be available by week one, but the source is buying the dip on the injury, expecting it to be overblown relative to his draft capital.

The source is drafting Chris Rodriguez in the 12th round, buying the dip on his offseason foot injury. Rodriguez was fourth in first downs or touchdown rate, third in success rate, and eighth in yards after contact—metrics that exceed Basial Tootin's efficiency. The source notes that offseason injuries are often overblown in online discourse and that Rodriguez's value is at its lowest point; he could close the gap with Tootin in the coming weeks as his recovery progresses. The source expects Rodriguez to be back for week one and has been doing individual drills.

Played 77% of snaps in 2024, was RB12 on RB7 usage and RB4 in rush yards over expected. Last season's poor performance (negative 21% rush yards over expected) largely explained by injury; he did not look the same coming back. However, in the final playoff game, he finished with two touchdowns and 17 opportunities. Named team captain. Both things can be true: Jonathan Brooks will be a real asset, but Hubbard stays involved as a rusher. His 2024 efficiency when healthy was very strong despite the team being worse.

Drafted as wide receiver 26 on Yahoo despite coming off the worst season of his career. Yards per game dropped from 80 to 57 to 40 over the last three years despite playing in a Ben Johnson offense last year. Bills have been 25th and 30th in dropback rate and 22nd and 30th in percent of yards via passing over the last two years. Question whether DJ Moore is good enough at this point in his career to change Joe Brady and the Bills' offensive approach. Clustered with Terry McLaurin, Luther Burks, Mike Evans, and Roma Dunes, but source prefers to draft more than DJ Moore.

Being drafted as round five pick on Yahoo and in best ball. Has realistic boom-bust expectations. The Bills invested heavily in him via draft capital and contract extension, suggesting they must make it work. Moore's motivation and buy-in may improve in Buffalo with Josh Allen and a Super Bowl-contending environment. However, he's being drafted as if everyone is confident the Bills will change their passing attack, which is uncertain given historical offensive approach.

Adams' target distribution is highly volatile and red-zone dependent: 27% target share inside the red zone versus 18% outside; 0% of his targets outside the red zone were screens, indicating no manufactured touches. His average depth of target was nearly 16 yards downfield, comparable to Alec Pierce. The Rams' rushing success rate (number one in the league) and reliance on Blake Corum and Kyron Williams means Adams will remain boom-bust, dependent on either scoring a red zone touchdown or connecting on downfield plays.

Adams has a notable split in target share between inside and outside the red zone; he had a 27% target share inside the red zone, indicating a significant difference in his usage depending on field position.

Adams' volatility is structural and likely to persist unless Puka Nakua is injured. When both were on the field together, Adams out-targeted Puka 31-10 in the red zone and 28-4 in end zone targets, establishing him as the go-to option only when the Rams abandon the run game. The source notes this pattern has followed Adams across multiple teams (Jets, Packers, Raiders). Kyle Shanahan's consideration of trading Adams for AJ Brown signals the team views him as their second-best receiver, not a target hog, and they intend to keep his role low-volume to prevent him from leaving the field every other play late in the season.

Despite the volatile, low-volume role, Adams is projected to remain a top-30 receiver when healthy. The source believes his game ages well due to his intelligence, ability to set up corners, and skill finding space. He is being drafted as a wide receiver three, reflecting the expectation that his volatility will persist.

The source expresses hesitation with Montgomery as a fifth-round pick on Yahoo, noting that his primary selling point is volume alone—not age, explosiveness, or offensive line quality. Nick Cailey's 19-game play-calling sample shows his ball carriers ranked dead last in explosive run rate and fifth worst in dead run rate; the Texans' new offensive line (Wyatt Teller on the fringe of retirement, rookie center Caitlin Rutledge, Ed Ingram, and Braden Smith with injury concerns) is not a solved position. The source terms Montgomery a desperation running back play in the running back dead zone, especially given the Texans' projected 23 points per game versus the Lions' 28 last year.

The source expects Montgomery to handle early-down carries while Woody Marks takes passing-down work; if Montgomery underperforms as a rusher, Marks will receive increased opportunities. The source also notes Montgomery has a fragile profile due to high college carries at Iowa State, suggesting eventual decline despite his sturdy reputation. The Texans' defense and CJ Stroud's potential bounce-back could elevate the offense, but if not, Marks' passing-down role will limit Montgomery's upside.

The Dolphins added Njoku as one of several tight end/fullback options (alongside Charlie Kolar and Alec Ingold) that will reduce two-or-fewer wide receiver set opportunities for wide receivers on the team, creating competition for targets.

Denzel Boston is the third-latest wide receiver selected for the Browns in drafts, despite being a 39th overall pick. Like Concepcion, Boston is a rookie wide receiver who is being overlooked in drafts, though the source projects one of the two rookies will receive a decent-sized volume share as the Browns shift to a more pass-heavy offense following the Miles Garrett trade.

The source expresses limited faith in Denzel Boston for 2026, characterizing him as more of a red zone threat and questioning how many red zone opportunities the Cleveland Browns will generate given their offensive limitations.

Wide receiver five on usage from 2024 through week 11 last year—a massive sample. Only Justin Jefferson and Jamar Chase had higher target share at nearly 30% over a multi-year sample. PCL injury in week 11 is a concern, but he appears back to normal and finished the season. Drafted late into the second round, he matches first-round wide receiver target volume but is sandwiched between running backs (Saquon Barkley, Devon Achan, Chase Brown, Amarin Hampton, Derek Henry) in redraft leagues.

Difficult to click his name due to quarterback play. Michael Penix Jr. has a totally opposite throwing style to what Kevin Stefanski prefers—Penix throws mostly short and in the middle of the field, while Stefanski-style quarterbacks throw outside the numbers and down the field. Penix is dealing with a back injury and is behind in preparation; this is his second or third ACL tear. Falcons likely to be bottom-10 scoring offense with lots of turnover on offensive line, defense, and coaching staff.

The source targets Garrett Wilson in round four alongside other elite wide receivers (T-Mac, Zay Flowers, Lad McConkie, Jalen Waddle, Mac Higbee) in salary cap leagues, recommending to sweep the board on all of them in that range.

The source notes that Harold Fannin is going around round six on Yahoo ADP, which is earlier than other formats. This inflated cost for second-wave tight ends makes round-two premium tight ends like Brock Bowers more attractive by comparison.

Jamar Chase is one of two wide receivers who would benefit from increased play-action opportunities in the Bengals offense. The source notes Chase would be excellent on play-action routes and could see more deep shots if the Bengals successfully implement their offensive coordinator's plan to increase under-center and play-action usage.

On plays with Jamar Chase and Tee Higgins on the field over the past two years, Joe Burrow has completed 72% of his passes for 8 yards per pass attempt and a 7.3 touchdown rate. The Bengals are implementing more play-action looks in training camp, which could create scenarios where the safety must choose between covering Chase or Higgins, potentially increasing Chase's target opportunities.

Being mentioned frequently in training camp discussions about the running back room despite being pushed to the side by Jeremiah Love and Tyler Algier. There's a chance he could make this a three-back committee, which would terrify anyone spending a two-three turn pick on Jeremiah Love.

Going in the fourth round in many leagues, Javante Williams was RB one overall in EPA per carry at the goal line last year and RB three among backs with 10+ carries per game; the source projects him to finish as RB 10 this season, which represents a significant win at the round three-four turn given that many wide receivers at that ADP will bust. His 82.4% snap share inside the 10-yard line last year supports his touchdown-dependent fantasy value.

The source projects Javante Williams to finish as RB 10 this season, down from RB 8 in expected points and RB 13 in actual points last year. His receiving numbers were among the worst in the NFL last year, which may regress, but his goal-line success and 14 carries per game were the primary drivers of his fantasy production.

The source argues that Javante Williams doesn't have to be very good to matter in fantasy given the Dallas Cowboys' context: second in neutral pace last year, projected for six most points in 2026, entire coaching staff and offensive line returning, and elite passing weapons (George Pickens, CeeDee Lamb, Dak Prescott) with no changes.

Waddle had 46% of his snaps in two or fewer wide-receiver sets last year, providing a contrast to McConkie's 10% and illustrating the difference in personnel deployment between the Dolphins and Chargers offenses.

Third overall pick this past year; expect patience needed early. During Breeze Hall's rookie season under Michael Floor, he reached running back seven in points per game despite a slow start of 12, 8, and 14 touches in the opening three contests. Love should not be expected to get 18 touches in game one; Michael Floor's approach with rookie running backs is gradual. Unless drafting at 1.01, likely won't acquire him given other running back priorities.

The source highlights Jerry Judy as an undervalued name: a former first-round pick with 1,200 career yards at age 27 whom nobody wants to draft. The source argues that with better offensive line or quarterback play, Judy would be a top-120 pick, but current Cleveland circumstances prevent that valuation.

Joe Burrow has not been comfortable working from under center and prefers shotgun formations repeatedly. The Bengals offensive coordinator has indicated they want to increase under-center and play-action usage to become more explosive, despite Burrow's historical discomfort with eyes-on-defense looks. Burrow is expected to execute this shift given his intelligence and understanding of football.

Joe Mixon, when attached to Bobby Sloick, finished as running back eight in points per game, which is exactly where Devon Henry is being drafted; however, the Bengals' 10-7 record and offensive context differ from Henry's situation.

Should be the pass catcher if fully healthy and on pace to be a week-one contributor. Running back one in his class and drafted as such. More cuts and impressions during preseason activities will raise his profile. This is his first preseason practice ever. On Yahoo, he's running back 37 in the early 10th round compared to Chuba Hubbard's running back 27, three rounds apart. As he stays healthy and closer to week one, his selection will rise higher. By end of training camp, he'll likely go ahead of Hubbard; by week one, Hubbard may rank ahead again.

Jordan Addison is a quality target in the Vikings' KOC offense, which has been the most efficient downfield passing attack in the league (46% success rate on 20+ yard passes from 2022-2024); his presence alongside Justin Jefferson creates an elite receiving environment.

Justin Jefferson is a key target in the Vikings' KOC offense, which features the most efficient downfield passing attack in the league (46% success rate on 20+ yard passes from 2022-2024); his presence alongside Jordan Addison and a strong offensive line creates an elite passing environment for Kyler Murray.

Kyler Murray's downfield passing efficiency was mediocre (31% success rate) with the Cardinals but jumped to 46% with the Minnesota Vikings; in the Vikings' KOC offense with elite receivers (Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison) and a strong offensive line, Murray could elevate to fantasy QB1 status while maintaining his rushing upside, representing a significant improvement from his previous environment.

Kyron Williams is a key beneficiary of the Rams' number-one rushing success rate and their commitment to the run game. The source indicates the Rams will create runway for Williams and Blake Corum to execute without mistakes, prioritizing the run over passing, which reduces target volume for wide receivers like Devante Adams.

Luther Burden is a yards-after-catch demon in the Bears offense, but Roma Odunze has been ranked ahead of him heading into the year after analysis of his targets and the Bears' offensive scheme.

Yards-after-catch demon in the Bears offense. Roma Dunes is not a yards-after-catch demon like Burden is, but Burden could finish as the wide receiver one on the team, with Dunes potentially matching or surpassing him. Source has Dunes ranked ahead of Burden heading into the year.

Malik Nabers should go at the end of the second round at this point; the source notes he has scored as a top-10 wide receiver and should not be overlooked despite some people starting to tout him as a bad pick. He is expected to go in the fourth round in many leagues, representing significant value.

Career 1.1% screen rate is a major concern; he's the wide receiver 42 on usage per game over his first two seasons. Despite leading Michael Wilson in targets in all 10 games together last season, he lacks manufactured touches. Training camp footage shows he continues to play X receiver but must catch the ball more and receive gimme looks via screens, slant routes, and mesh concepts to pay off his seventh-round ADP as wide receiver 31. Without these route adjustments, too much target competition in the offense limits upside.

Not a manufacturer-of-touches player; struggles with contested grabs and back-shoulder timing. Despite bulking to 220 pounds last season, he still loses contested catches to lighter, smaller cornerbacks too often. His profile has too many flaws for a top-five overall pick, and the dynamic may worsen as the season progresses, especially if Jacobi Bursette doesn't finish the season.

Puka Nakua is the primary manufactured-touch receiver for the Rams, receiving all of the screen passes and short-area targets that Devante Adams does not. When both were on the field together, Adams out-targeted Nakua 31-10 in the red zone and 28-4 in end zone targets, establishing Nakua as the complementary option in the red zone but the primary beneficiary of the Rams' manufactured-touch scheme.

QJ is competing with Trey Harris for targets in the Chargers' wide receiver room alongside McConkie, with the source hoping McDaniel positions McConkie as the primary option similar to Jalen Waddle's role in Miami.

Roma Odunze has the potential to finish as the wide receiver one on the Bears; he is fluid in route running (out patterns, post routes, corners) and has T Higgins-adjacent upside as a 2-3 turn draft pick. However, his success depends on variance—he needs to catch easy passes and Caleb Williams must improve accuracy on downfield throws, as 27% of passes in Odunze's direction were deemed inaccurate over the final eight games when he was also banged up.

Sam Darnold, despite taking some dumb sacks in the Vikings' KOC offense, was hitting on all of the downfield passing plays, demonstrating the efficiency of the Vikings' downfield attack and suggesting Kyler Murray could thrive in the same system.

Saquon Barkley is already going ahead of Ken Walker in draft rankings on every platform, indicating he is the preferred running back option.

Tee Higgins is one of two wide receivers who would benefit from increased play-action opportunities in the Bengals offense. The source notes Higgins would be excellent on play-action routes and could see more deep shots if the Bengals successfully implement their offensive coordinator's plan to increase under-center and play-action usage, potentially returning to the single-high safety looks that existed when the receivers entered the league.

On plays with Jamar Chase and Tee Higgins on the field over the past two years, Joe Burrow has completed 72% of his passes for 8 yards per pass attempt and a 7.3 touchdown rate. The Bengals are implementing more play-action looks in training camp, which could create more deep shot opportunities for Higgins as the safety is forced to choose between covering Chase or Higgins, potentially increasing his target share.

Kelce is now drafted as tight end 10, 91st overall on Yahoo, despite being tight end eight in points per game last season. At age 37, his target rate fell to a career-low 18.8% of routes last year—his first season below 20%. He has been below 1.5 yards per route run in each of the last two years and scored five or fewer touchdowns in three consecutive seasons. The source theorizes that Kelce and Rashee Rice cannot both be good simultaneously because they overlap in the same area of the field (zone and underneath routes); since Rice is younger, faster, and more athletic, Kelce has shifted from being a dependable target and opportunity player to a touchdown-variance tight end.

In games with Rashee Rice active last season, Kelce had a 19% target rate and only four receptions despite Xavier Worthy also not being at full strength. The source expects Kenneth Walker to be the focal point of the Chiefs' offense, potentially shifting them toward a more middle-of-the-pack pass rate (historically first, second, or third). With Patrick Mahomes coming off a torn ACL, the source expects fewer elongated plays where Kelce thrived, further limiting his upside.

Harris and QJ are competing for targets in the Chargers' wide receiver room; the source notes Harris played ISO wide receiver snaps last year under a different coach and does not expect that role to continue this year, suggesting his role may shift in the new scheme.

Led all tight ends with +0.91 EPA per target last year and averaged 11.4 yards per target despite a 4.5 average depth of target—a combination that is nearly impossible to repeat given his underneath role; however, the source notes only freakish tight ends achieve such efficiency, and Craft is compared to George Kittle for his yards-after-catch ability and ability to turn short receptions into longer gains. Coming off a torn ACL, the source is conflicted: regression is likely, but historically freak athletes in their prime who recover from ACL injuries can maintain elite production.

The source observed Craft during offseason workouts and noted he is not wearing a bulky knee brace like other players recovering from injury (e.g., Ricky Pearsall); he appears ahead of schedule in his ACL recovery. His injury occurred cleanly halfway through the season, suggesting a potential ramp-up in September followed by a return to fringe top-five tight end status. Craft recently stated he will likely come off the active/PUP list very soon.

The source identifies Warren as the biggest beneficiary of Michael Pittman Jr.'s departure, even more so than Josh Downs. Warren was tight end three in route participation as a rookie and had the 11th highest red zone target share among all receivers and tight ends league-wide; neither metric is expected to decline. He is the Colts' best screen receiver and benefits from play-action and split-flow action work. The source places Warren in his own tier directly after the big three tight ends (Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, Colson Loveland), with potential to be the focal point of the passing game early in the season if Alec Pearson's injury timeline is unclear.

In 13 games with Daniel Jones healthy last year, Warren was tight end six on tight end three usage with expected points in line with Brock Bowers. The source notes that if Daniel Jones is not himself, play-callers typically get the ball out quicker, which benefits Warren's skill set. Additionally, if Jonathan Taylor is injured, Warren would likely become the goal-line back, providing multiple upside paths. The source ranks Warren in the 60s overall, significantly ahead of other tier-two tight ends in the 80s and 90s.

The source drafts Woody Marks more frequently than David Montgomery, expecting him to handle passing-down work in the Texans' backfield split. While the source admits to not liking what he has seen from Marks on tape, the expectation is that if Montgomery underperforms, Marks will receive increased opportunities, making him a value play relative to Montgomery's fifth-round ADP.

Early fourth-round pick; pathway to becoming a great fantasy asset is touchdowns via red zone targets. Just 10 red zone targets last season and 17 over two years—a glaring flaw. Never scored more than six touchdowns despite being wide receiver 13 in points per game in 2025. New offensive coordinator Declan Doyle (replacing Todd Monken) may reset red zone usage. If Flowers reaches double-digit touchdowns, he could finish as a top-10 wide receiver despite being drafted as wide receiver 17.

Target share is 16% inside the red zone versus 28% outside the red zone over the last two seasons. Yards are there—wide receiver 13 in yards in the last two seasons when Lamar Jackson throws over five passes per game. New coordinator Declan Doyle can manufacture touches to undersized receivers via motion, stacks, and quick-moving routes in the condensed field, similar to how he and Ben Johnson used Amon Ross St. Brown. Flowers is 5'9", 192 pounds, creating a size discrepancy that can be exploited.

The source targets Zay Flowers in round four alongside other elite wide receivers (T-Mac, Lad McConkie, Jalen Waddle, Garrett Wilson, Mac Higbee) in salary cap leagues, recommending to sweep the board on all of them in that range.