Source + player page
Underdog Fantasy Football Show fantasy football takes on David Montgomery
Every source-backed podcast insight STACKED has extracted from Underdog Fantasy Football Show about David Montgomery.
19
Insights
6
Positive
10
Negative
Insight ledger
All Underdog Fantasy Football Show insights about David Montgomery
PositiveMatchupSep 30, 2026
Montgomery is ranked RB20 this week against Dallas, a matchup the source views favorably despite his poor efficiency (3 YPC in week 1, 1.8 YPC in week 2) and snap-share concerns with Woody Marks. The Texans are projected for 25.5 points; Nico Collins' return should afford Montgomery more goal-line opportunities, and Dallas's defense relies on rookies with communication issues and questionable coaching. Ed Ingram's return at right guard may also improve the offensive line. The source states: 'of all the weeks, this week feels a little bit better to be optimistic for David Montgomery.'NegativeRoleSep 30, 2026
David Montgomery is ranked RB 20. Despite scoring three touchdowns in week one, he averaged only 3 yards per carry in week one and 1.8 yards per carry in week two. Dan Graziano reported that 'my sense is that the Texans will give Woody Marks more work moving forward,' indicating a 50-50 snap split is already in place, which threatens Montgomery's workload and upside.NegativeUsageSep 17, 2026
Montgomery remains a touchdown-dependent RB2. While he saw five touches inside the 10-yard line in Week 1, he struggled with efficiency, getting hit at or behind the line of scrimmage on 14 of 20 carries. His 50% snap rate is offset by his high-value goal-line role.PositiveUsageSep 14, 2026
Matt Harmon highlights that Montgomery's three-touchdown debut was bolstered by a significant shift in the Texans' run game, which utilized heavy personnel (12 personnel) and achieved a 48.3% rushing success rate. While his yards-per-carry was depressed by short-yardage usage, the team's commitment to the run game is a major improvement over their previous 31st-ranked rushing success rate.NegativeProjectionSep 8, 2026
The source views Montgomery as a player in slight decline and is concerned about the right side of the offensive line being among the worst in the NFL. While he could finish as a top 20 or top 15 back, the source is cautious, ranking him RB23 and noting that Woody Marks may see significant playing time.PositiveProjectionSep 8, 2026
David Montgomery is ranked as the RB21, with potential to finish as a top-15 to top-20 fantasy back. While there is uncertainty regarding his split with Woody Marks, Montgomery's arrival in the offense is viewed similarly to Joe Mixon's move to Houston, suggesting he could outperform expectations despite a challenging matchup against the Buffalo Bills.NegativeValueAug 31, 2026
David Montgomery is viewed as a 'dead zone' running back profile reliant on volume rather than efficiency. Analysts are under market on him, citing his age, lack of bell-cow efficiency, and the emergence of Woody Marks as a pass-catching threat. Concerns persist regarding a reconstructed, potentially weak offensive line.NegativeRoleAug 26, 2026
Hayden Winks is fading David Montgomery in round five, citing his age, wear and tear, and the emergence of Woody Marks in the Texans' backfield. Winks notes that Montgomery is coming off his worst season in missed tackles per touch and faces an uncertain offensive line situation. Winks warns that a 60/40 split with Marks would significantly hurt Montgomery's fantasy value.NegativeBustAug 24, 2026
David Montgomery is viewed as a 'dead zone' running back profile at RB21. His reliance on volume is risky, and reports indicate his backfield split with Woody Marks will be much closer than expected. The source notes he is not in his peak prime and prefers other options in the fifth round.NegativeUsageJul 29, 2026
Shares goal-line and red-zone work with Jameer Gibbs in the Lions offense. Mentioned in context of Gibbs' snap share and usage splits, indicating Montgomery remains a secondary back in the backfield.NegativeRoleJul 29, 2026
Montgomery is no longer the lead back in Detroit; he has departed the team. Analysts explicitly state that Isaiah Pacheco is not at the same level as Montgomery was, and all volume is expected to flow to Jameer Gibbs. Montgomery's absence is the primary driver of Gibbs' elevated projection.NegativeRoleJun 26, 2026
Analyst expects David Montgomery to be early-down guy with Woody Marks handling pass-game work. Offensive coordinator Nick Haley chose committee backfield last year and grew up watching Patriots who always chopped backfield into twos or threes. Baseline case is Montgomery gets early downs, Marks gets passing situations. Texans offensive line concerns (31st in EPA per carry, 22nd in rush yards per game since 2023) limit upside. Analyst prefers to draft someone with first pick of fifth round who has chance to return value as second or third round pick—doesn't see that ceiling with Montgomery.NegativeProjectionJun 26, 2026
Analyst projects David Montgomery as flex-to-low-end RB2 at best, not a true difference-maker. Early-down role with Woody Marks handling passing situations. Texans offensive line has been 31st in EPA per carry and 22nd in rush yards per game since 2023—very poor. Analyst notes both pro and con cases hinge on volume, which is concerning when both sides make same argument. Compares to running back dead-zone archetypes (Chuba Hubbard, Isaiah Pacheco, James Connor, Rashad White, Mike Davis) that have failed more often than succeeded. If it hits: 14+ touches/week for 17 games with improved red zone efficiency. If it fails: typical dead-zone outcome. Rookie center Keelan Rutledge changing positions adds concern.NegativeValueJun 26, 2026
Drafted as RB20 but finished 2024 as RB31 in points per game; ranked RB25 (64th overall) by analyst, behind his ADP of 50. Analyst does not think he profiles much different than Tony Pollard, Chuba Hubbard, Ramondre Stevenson, Jalen Warren—guys drafted much later. Contract is only 2 years/$16M with $10M guaranteed (nowhere near Joe Mixon's deal). Analyst skeptical of his current ability at age 29 with nine straight seasons of 180+ touches since Iowa State—significant wear and tear. Texans RB history is concerning: 2023 was Devin Singletary (RB35) vs Damian Pierce, 2024 was Woody Marks (RB35), only 2023 Joe Mixon season was awesome (RB9/RB5 usage).PositiveProjectionMay 27, 2026
If the Texans' offensive line investments pay off, David Montgomery could be a solid selection with the potential for eight rushing scores inside the 15-yard line this year.PositiveValueMay 27, 2026
David Montgomery is currently being selected as the running back 22, which reflects a volume-based draft pick in round five. His performance could vary significantly based on the Texans' offensive line improvements.NegativeUsageNo date
The source expects Montgomery to handle early-down carries while Woody Marks takes passing-down work; if Montgomery underperforms as a rusher, Marks will receive increased opportunities. The source also notes Montgomery has a fragile profile due to high college carries at Iowa State, suggesting eventual decline despite his sturdy reputation. The Texans' defense and CJ Stroud's potential bounce-back could elevate the offense, but if not, Marks' passing-down role will limit Montgomery's upside.NegativeProjectionNo date
The source expresses hesitation with Montgomery as a fifth-round pick on Yahoo, noting that his primary selling point is volume alone—not age, explosiveness, or offensive line quality. Nick Cailey's 19-game play-calling sample shows his ball carriers ranked dead last in explosive run rate and fifth worst in dead run rate; the Texans' new offensive line (Wyatt Teller on the fringe of retirement, rookie center Caitlin Rutledge, Ed Ingram, and Braden Smith with injury concerns) is not a solved position. The source terms Montgomery a desperation running back play in the running back dead zone, especially given the Texans' projected 23 points per game versus the Lions' 28 last year.PositiveDepth ChartNo date
David Montgomery's arrival in Houston has shifted the expectations for Woody Marks, as Montgomery is seen as a more explosive option despite both players having similar profiles.