Source + player page
NBC Sports Rotoworld fantasy football takes on Michael Wilson
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from NBC Sports Rotoworld about Michael Wilson.
24
Insights
16
Positive
4
Negative
Insight ledger
All NBC Sports Rotoworld insights about Michael Wilson
PositiveMatchupOct 30, 2026
Wilson has run cold this season largely due to Jacoby Brissett's horrendous downfield passing, but that could correct itself in a big way against Dallas, who allows one of the league's highest completion rates on deep balls and the ninth highest EPA per throw on boundary targets; the Cowboys stink against outside wideouts.NegativeProjectionOct 28, 2026
Wilson was left with scraps in Week 7, posting 86 air yards while being targeted on a concerning 16 percent of his pass routes. Though he ranks ninth among all receivers in air yards since Week 4, he has converted only 40 percent of those air yards into real yards (down from 46 percent early season), primarily due to Jacoby Brissett's shocking inaccuracy on long balls. Brissett has completed only 5 of 26 throws of 20+ yards (22 percent below expected completion rate) and ranks 36th of 40 qualifying QBs in EPA per pass on deep throws.PositiveRoleOct 28, 2026
With Jalen Brooks out for the season due to wrist surgery, volume continues to remain heavily concentrated on Michael Wilson and Trey McBride.PositiveRoleOct 21, 2026
Wilson has disappeared from the box scores over the past two weeks with 7 catches for 74 scoreless yards, coinciding with Marvin Harrison Jr.'s departure. His average depth of target increased from 10.3 to 13.7 post-MHJ, and he is facing press coverage at a far higher rate (44 percent pre-trade to 62 percent post-trade). He is averaging barely over one yard per route versus press coverage. However, the source notes Wilson was good against press coverage last year and elite with MHJ out of the lineup, suggesting the cold streak may not be sticky.PositiveProjectionOct 16, 2026
Despite flopping in Week 5 with four catches for 30 yards, Wilson remains fourth among all wideouts in targets (51) and eighth in air yards (521). His matchup with the Rams is tough but perfect for creating meaningless fantasy production. The Cardinals have a 51.5-point game total with Jacoby Brissett's pass attempt prop at 37.5 (second-highest of the week).PositiveRoleOct 15, 2026
Michael Wilson must adjust to life without Marvin Harrison Jr., indicating a loss of a key teammate and potential target competition in Arizona's passing game.NegativeProjectionOct 14, 2026
Wilson had 102 air yards in Week 5, the 18th most of the week, demonstrating opportunity exists in the Cardinals offense. However, the conversion of air yards into usable receiving yards has not materialized; the source advises patience as the process catches up to the opportunity.PositiveValueOct 14, 2026
Wilson has a Prayer Yards Rate of 69 percent, indicating he is seeing inaccurate passes that technically award air yards but rarely have a chance of conversion; however, Wilson is seventh among all receivers in air yards this season with a 38 percent air yards share (15th among wideouts), only a dozen receivers with a higher rate of first-read targets, and only six wideouts with more raw first-read targets; the source advises to stay patient as the process of converting air yards into usable receiving yards will improve, suggesting Wilson is a buy-low candidate.PositiveProjectionOct 14, 2026
Wilson is seventh among all receivers in air yards this season with a 38 percent air yards share (15th among wideouts); he has only a dozen receivers with a higher rate of first-read targets, and thanks to Arizona's pass heaviness over the past couple weeks, only six wideouts have more raw first-read targets; against the Lions in Week 5, Wilson had 102 air yards (18th most of the week), indicating strong opportunity despite posting only 40 receiving yards; the source advises to stay patient as the process of converting air yards into usable receiving yards will improve.PositiveProjectionOct 9, 2026
Wilson's role is elite with top-10 marks in target share (29 percent) and air yards share (44 percent); his .76 weighted opportunity rating ranks fourth among wideouts. He faces the Detroit defense, which can't stop the run or pass and gives up explosive pass plays (15+ yards) at the fifth-highest rate. This is a WR1 spot for Wilson.PositiveUsageOct 8, 2026
With his usage skyrocketing over the past two weeks, Michael Wilson is narrowly ahead of CeeDee Lamb in receiving targets since Week 3, leading the league with one more target than Lamb. The source acknowledges an element of fluke but states there isn't a single manager in position to bench Wilson vs. the defenseless Lions this Sunday.PositiveValueOct 7, 2026
Wilson is earning opportunities by the truckload and is quietly looking like a star. He has 46 targets (4th among wide receivers), 34 first read targets (5th), 10 red zone targets (3rd), 7 end zone targets (1st), and 418 air yards (8th). His market share numbers are all near the top of the league. While he is averaging an underwhelming 1.6 YPRR and is largely a catch-and-fall-down receiver, volume drives fantasy points. This is the profile of a top-15 fantasy wideout.PositiveMatchupOct 2, 2026
Wilson is set to have a strong Week 4 against the Giants, running from the boundary at a 78 percent rate. The Giants secondary is vulnerable to boundary receivers, and the source states Wilson is going to cook against New York with nothing anyone can do about it.PositiveUsageOct 1, 2026
Michael Wilson's 17 targets against the 49ers are the kind of stat that says this player can never be benched. As learned last season, Wilson's upside outcomes are in the stratosphere. It's more volatile than ideal, but the ceiling is elite.NegativeProjectionSep 30, 2026
Michael Wilson posted 154 air yards (51 percent air yards share) in Week 3 against the Niners when Arizona finally posted a respectable air yards total (306, seventh on the week). However, Arizona is 12th in pass rate over expected this season, a far cry from their league-leading PROE a year ago, suggesting the Cardinals are interested in a balanced offense. This means Wilson won't see a glut of air yards in any sort of game script the way he did in 2025 and will be more dependent on game script. Week 4 against the listless Giants doesn't profile as an explosive, air yards-laden spot for Jacoby Brissett's primary downfield guy, though Wilson should still be started in most fantasy formats.PositiveProjectionSep 24, 2026
Wilson is ranked 38th among Week 3 WRs by the source.NegativeProjectionSep 23, 2026
Wilson becomes a shaky option if the Cardinals' reduced air yards production persists; the team's measly 106 total air yards in Week 2 (the lowest in the NFL) and improved defense have prevented the air yards bonanzas from last season.PositiveProjectionSep 17, 2026
Wilson should be ranked ahead of Marvin Harrison Jr. for the time being following Week 1 performance, indicating an upgrade in his relative standing.PositiveRoleSep 14, 2026
Wilson played another productive game in the Cardinals' Week 1 road win over the Chargers. The source highlights his performance as part of the team's successful offensive output, suggesting he is a reliable contributor in the offense.PositiveProjectionAug 19, 2026
Selected seventh overall in Lawrence Jackson's mock draft, Wilson is positioned as a top-tier wide receiver for 2026 fantasy drafts.NegativeValueAug 11, 2026
Wilson is one of four oldest members of Tier 6 that the source's analysts are blowing ADP on; despite having floor, the source prefers younger players with upside potential at this draft stage.NegativeProjectionAug 6, 2026
Anything that happens once can happen twice, but don't count on repeating prior performance; regression risk is high.NegativeProjectionJul 31, 2026
Ranked WR41 overall at position, 90th in top-200 overall rankings.NegativeProjectionJul 31, 2026
Ranked WR41 in the 2026 fantasy football top-200 overall rankings by NBC Sports Rotoworld at overall rank 91.