0:00NFL Week 1 Full Preview Predictions Breakdown. We're talking spreads, we're talking fantasy starts and sits here.
0:05The full breakdown goal matchup by matchup. And on the show, we've got the great and powerful Walter Football.
0:10Walter, are you ready? NFL Week 1, two games in the books.
0:13I'm ready to rock. What do you think so far?
0:16Yeah, I'm ready. I'm ready to go here. Excited for it.
0:18We had two games so far, like you said.
0:21But first one, like everyone got injured. So you don't really want to count that.
0:25The second one was in Australia. Can't count that yet.
0:28So the real fun begins Sunday, one o'clock Eastern.
0:30Can't wait for all those games to be going at the same time.
0:33I'm super excited. We're going to break down each matchup for you.
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2:03So Walter Football, check it out. All right. Let's go to the match.
2:07Let's start with the latest news notes here. A couple of things.
2:10Where is Breaking Brad? I mean, this is what people love.
2:13They've been waiting for this. They've been waiting. They've been craving the voice, the vocal clarity that is Breaking Brad.
2:18We now have breaking news. It is with great urgency that we bring you these following messages.
2:23Listen, a couple of things in the news here I just want to highlight.
2:26First of all, those two games, I want to talk about them real, real quickly here.
2:31I was not liking what I was seeing out of Jadarian Price.
2:34I mean, his talent was good, but the fact that the offense was utilizing Helani on third and short.
2:39Not once, but twice. Like, dude, I was losing it.
2:42And he gets stuffed both times. So this is one thing I want to talk about in the news here when we're
2:48looking at fantasy football starts and sits. This is a trend, man.
2:51Like, even Christian McCaffrey, who I was saying stash Kalen Black.
2:54I was saying stash Kalen Black because I thought CMC was going to go down earlier and not even start the season.
3:00He's going to go down eventually. That's where I was thinking of starting him.
3:03But Kalen Black, I rushed the guy. Like, Kalen Black is being utilized.
3:07And then you talk about your guy that you like, Blake Corum.
3:10He was getting a lot of work as well.
3:12It seems like a trend that, like, they're trying to get rid of the running back workhorse.
3:17And it's kind of a pain in the butt, but this is what's happening.
3:21And then now we've got Ashton Gentry saying he's starting this week.
3:24I would not be surprised if I saw Mike Washington.
3:27And also in the news, since we're talking, I'm going off here.
3:30Jeremiah Love is, this is part of the news, is starting week one.
3:33And then I would not be surprised if I saw Algeo.
3:36What do you think of this trend, man? This is like full-on committee.
3:40Nobody's safe right now. I know. I know. There are a few guys who are safe, right?
3:44Probably like Jameer Gibbs and Bijon and James Cook and Charlie Hampton.
3:47But yeah, the rest of the guys are in the committee.
3:50You know, feel bad for the people who drafted a handcuff in the first round.
3:54Christian McCaffrey, who had 10 carries compared to Kalen Black's 16.
3:57Like, that is insane. McCaffrey had five catches, sure.
4:00But, you know, they're not. And I think it's actually smart with McCaffrey.
4:03Because he's 30. Like, you don't want to run to the ground after all the carries he had last year.
4:09And some of these other running backs, too. These injured guys.
4:12But, you know, when you get like, you know, a generic price.
4:15Like, his legs are fresh. Like, there's no reason to run George Halani.
4:18What I thought was even worse was they got into the red zone late in the game.
4:23And it was a tie game that could have gone to the touchdown.
4:26It was first down, Halani run. Second down, Halani run.
4:29And it's like, you just wasted two downs. You might as well just knelt down for two snaps.
4:34And just gone to third down straight away. Like, that was so stupid.
4:37Granted, it was his first game. So maybe, like, if I'm the offensive coordinator, I'm like, huh.
4:42And watching the tape, it's like, oh, this Halani guy kind of sucks.
4:45Let me run Price, you know. Maybe they'll figure it out.
4:48I don't know. I have my doubts. Yeah, Price was looking so good, too.
4:52And I just, I don't like this committee garbage.
4:54But we're starting to see more and more of that.
4:57But like you said, I think the four guys you mentioned are pretty safe.
5:01Robinson, Gibbs, Hampton, and Cook. I think they're kind of in the best situations.
5:05I also want to talk about the Dijon Striebling.
5:07It was a non-contact thing. It was his Achilles.
5:09Apparently, his Achilles was intact after week one. So that's good news for Striebling.
5:13As much as we like Striebling, and I think the talent is there, man, he looks like the fifth option.
5:18Like, I mean, you have Debo Samuel. He looked okay.
5:21He looked pretty good. You got Mike Evans, as long as he stays healthy.
5:25You got CMC. You got Black. Caleb Black looks good.
5:28And then you got George Kittle, right? Like, Striebling, unless Evans or Samuels go down right now, I'm looking at him as the fourth option, unfortunately.
5:35Yeah, you know what? I mean, we were drafting Striebling back in July in the 13th round, thinking like Evans is 33 and has hamstring histories.
5:42So like we thought he would go down at some point.
5:44And Debo is an older player, too. He would go down.
5:47Kittle come up with a torn Achilles. He would go down.
5:50Of course, we know CMC's injury history, too. Yeah.
5:53So we thought that, like, Striebling eventually would be the receiver one, kind of like last year with Emeko Buka in Tampa,
5:59because we thought Evans would go down. Godwin's already hurt.
6:01So that was that deal. Unfortunately, Striebling's the one that got hurt.
6:05You just can't predict these injuries. It's ridiculous. It's crazy.
6:07Yeah. Luckily, you know, his Achilles intact, like you said.
6:10So maybe he'll be back in a month or so, hopefully.
6:13But you saw Demarcus Robinson go off. He caught a touchdown.
6:16He actually led the Niners in receiving. Those are Striebling's reps, you know.
6:19Robinson came in because Striebling got hurt. So it's a shame because Striebling could have had a good game if he was the target of those passes.
6:26Definitely. And last thing in the news here, I want to check in on you.
6:30I posted a day or two ago. Checking in on the A.J.
6:34Brown. I know you had some A.J. Brown stock.
6:36How bad are your teams looking now at the A.J.
6:39Brown? And I know it was a lot of best, but what's your percentage on A.J.
6:43Brown ownership? It's not bad. It's 18%. It's not too terrible.
6:46It's going to be out for four weeks. But, like, the way I structure my best ball, I was drafting nine or ten receivers in every draft.
6:53And so it's just high upside guys who could beat out, you know, the top guys potentially.
6:58So I don't think it's like 18%. It's not too bad.
7:01The guy I'm worried about is Ramir Dubs. Like, I don't know what happened to him.
7:05Oh, yeah. I don't know if he has the yips or something, but, like, he was a good player in Green Bay.
7:11I don't know where this came from. Like, why he's dropping so many passes.
7:15But with Brown hurt, like, I feel like this is a great buy low.
7:18I mean, everyone's going to cut him, I think.
7:21So you want to pick him up, take a shot, because he's the receiver one now.
7:25I think that he's worth a look. Good point.
7:27Butterfingers Dobbs is what his new name is. Yeah.
7:30It's crazy. It's insane. I don't understand. He never did this in Green Bay.
7:34I don't know, like, why he's dropping so many passes.
7:36So I hope it's not the yips. All right.
7:39Let's get to the full breakdown here. Thank you, Breaking Brad.
7:42We now have breaking news. It is with great urgency that we bring you these following messages.
7:46He's ready. He's so urgent. All right. First matchup we got here, Bears versus the Panthers.
7:51Ready? We're talking preview predictions, fantasy relevance here. Let's break this down, man.
7:54I mean, Bears three-point favor here. They're looking good this, you know, this offseason with Luther Byrne.
7:59They got rid of DJ Moore. They look like they're going to be a good offense.
8:03Caleb Williams looking good at the end of last season.
8:06What are your thoughts on this matchup? Break it down.
8:08And then we've got, I think, what's his name?
8:11Brooks should be back from injury. Yeah. That might be, speaking committees, there's going to be another one with him and Hubbard.
8:16The worst unit in this game is Chicago's defense.
8:19So Carolina's offensive players might look good, like Tyrone McMillan.
8:22But unfortunately, the Panthers don't have that many offensive weapons.
8:24So this could be kind of an ugly game because the Panthers improve their defense a lot.
8:29They got Devin Lloyd. They got Jalen Phillips. And Chicago's offensive line I'm really worried about.
8:33But DeAndre Swift, he's the only guy right now because Kyle Mononga is hurt.
8:37So if the Bears get the lead, Swift is going to look good.
8:40You have Luther Burden. You have Roman Dunsday. All those are good options.
8:44Maybe Caleb Williams has one of these great fourth quarters.
8:46So it should be a good game. It should be pretty close.
8:50There are definitely some options you can look at here.
8:52Yeah. And obviously, Tett McMillan, Luther Burden definitely must start.
8:55Swift must start this week. I got no Swift stock.
8:58It's going to be interesting to see how he does this week.
9:01Again, go back a couple episodes. It's a full start to sit on the ease of the matchups for these guys.
9:07Ravens and Colts. It's going to be an interesting one here.
9:09We're going to see if Daniel Jones has fully recovered from the injury.
9:13Jonathan Taylor, what type of distribution? Alec Pierce, I think he's going to be good to go week one.
9:18Obviously, Tyler Warren and how much he's going to get implemented in that offense.
9:22So I'm going to look at the distribution of how it's going to be laid out.
9:26And Keenan Allen coming in as a pest. Are they going to utilize him?
9:30Because that really puts a thorn, I think, into Tyler Warren's production and also Alec Pierce.
9:34So I'm not really liking the addition of Keenan Allen there, Walter, at all.
9:38Yeah, it muddies everything for the middle of the field.
9:41That's where Allen operates. So you have, like, Josh Downs and Tyler Warren affected.
9:44I don't think Alec Pierce is affected. But Pierce, we don't know how healthy he is coming out with the ankle injury.
9:50So he could be a little bit limited. Jonathan Taylor, I mean, he's one of those guys who's not in a committee, like, at all.
9:57So he's going to be getting all the carries, for sure.
10:00But he has an injury history, too. And I kind of wonder if, like, Jones is showing nothing.
10:05The Ravens can stack the box. The Ravens have a great defense anyway.
10:08So I don't know how many opportunities there are for the Colts here.
10:12For the Ravens side of the ball, this is a new offense with their new center.
10:16Like, they lost one of the best centers in the NFL.
10:19The guy they got as a replacement, he's out, too.
10:21So they had to pick up someone on the scrap heap.
10:24So the offense, I think Lamar Jackson is going to have some regression this year.
10:28Derrick Henry, as well. He's an older player. They might mix in a couple of young guys, too, just keep them fresh,
10:34kind of like we saw at McCaffrey. So I think a lot of big names here.
10:39But they could be all underwhelming in this game.
10:41I think it's going to be a low-scoring game here.
10:44And, you know, the Colts could pull the upset if Jones is healthy.
10:47But we don't know that yet. Definitely. It's going to be interesting how it plays out.
10:51But, again, we're going to have to see if, you know, Jacoby Lane takes off this year.
10:56We talked about some sleepers here. And there is some sleepers getting integrated.
10:59But I'm seeing a lot of distribution across everywhere.
11:02I haven't seen anybody keyed in fully yet in the first two games we've seen.
11:06So we're going to be watching very closely in these situations.
11:09Next matchup, we have Falcons at Steelers. Steelers at the five-and-a-half point favorite here.
11:13And I don't see why. I guess maybe you could say it's a muddy quarterback situation with the Falcons.
11:18But we're going to be looking at a lot of Robins in this game.
11:21Drake London. Zachary Branch. We talked about wide receiver.
11:24It's actually two on the Falcons. How much usage he's going to get.
11:27And the Steelers, I think that they're a bit of a mess.
11:31I don't know. They're saying Warren's the starter. I don't believe in either one of those running backs as true workhorse running backs.
11:37I mean, this is a little high, I think.
11:39Right? Steelers five-and-a-half. I mean, it almost seems like Falcons seems like a no-brainer here to take the cover.
11:44Oh, I disagree. I don't think it's high enough.
11:47Atlanta is, they were going to start Tua Tungvalu.
11:49His brain is mush right now, fortunately. Like, he's had so many concussions.
11:52He was awful last year. And keep in mind, he had Mike McDaniel coaching him up.
11:57Like, now he's not going to have McDaniel aiding him.
11:59Atlanta's off its line declining. They lost the right tackles for retirement.
12:03But Tua got hurt. So the spread got high.
12:05It was three-and-a-half. It rose to five-and-a-half because Tua got hurt in practice.
12:09So he may not play. He has an oblique injury.
12:11If he plays, you have an injured, terrible quarterback.
12:14If he doesn't play, you have Cooper Rush. Joe, let me read you Cooper Rush's stats.
12:18I'm guessing it's not going to be good. His stats from the preseason game against the Broncos.
12:22This is not Patrick Sertain Broncos or Nick Bonito Broncos.
12:25This is the third-string Broncos. Cooper Rush, seven of 19 for 62 yards and two interceptions.
12:29That is what he did in the preseason game against third-string Denver.
12:33If he has to start against the Steelers' defense, it could get ugly.
12:36This could be like a 17-6 game or something ugly like that.
12:39There's really nothing in fantasy here. Pittman might be good in PPR.
12:43Metcalf. Atlanta has no pass rush. So this could be one of the few games Metcalf does well this year.
12:48I do like the Steelers' tight ends because Johnny Smith's gone.
12:51So Pat Fryman is going to get back to normal.
12:53So I was drafting Pat Fryman in the late round.
12:56So I think he's worth a look here in DFS and whatnot.
12:59But it's going to be really ugly for Atlanta.
13:02Steelers are not going to respect the pass at all.
13:04They don't need to. So they can stay close to the box.
13:08Everyone's going to be limited for Atlanta. Yeah. I mean, we can't deny the offensive weapons the Falcons have with Drake London
13:14and Robinson and some of these other guys. So, again, a big part of that, obviously, is quarterback play, like you said.
13:19So that's the situation here. This is going to be a weird one.
13:23I think it's going to be a weird game.
13:25I don't know. I have a feeling Falcons could surprise.
13:28Yeah. It could be 30-0 as well. The Steelers winning.
13:31I think Atlanta is one of the worst teams in the league.
13:34I want nothing to do with them. And I even tweeted or posted on X.
13:38I said, like, there could be generational wealth made betting against Tua this year.
13:42Wow. I think he's, like, the worst starting quarterback in the NFL.
13:45I'm not going to argue that for sure. Speaking of bad starting quarterbacks, how about the Browns and the Jags?
13:50Eight and a half. I see this line at seven and a half some places here.
13:55Browns at the Jags. Jags could be a very explosive offense.
13:57I'm still not sold on Tootin being a workhorse running back yet.
14:01But apparently he's going to be a 1A is what I'm hearing in that offense.
14:05So this is a situation where, again, the Browns, Deshaun Watson.
14:08Like, when was the last time we seen him out?
14:10Like, again, after all those massages and all that controversy and then Sanders and then now they drafted these two young receivers in Concepcion in Boston.
14:17We don't know who the one is. And Judkins coming off injury.
14:20And I don't know, man. Like, this is going to be a weird one.
14:24I don't know what to expect from the Browns.
14:27So, again, week one is going to be a telling tale on how is this going to fizzle out?
14:32What's going on here? Do you think the spread is too high?
14:35Jacksonville, eight and a half on the Browns? I made 11 and a half.
14:39So I don't think it's high enough. The Jaguars could destroy this team.
14:42I said to him, he was the worst starting quarterback in the NFL.
14:46That Sean Watson is going to give him a run for his money.
14:49But at least Watson has a functioning brain. Like, you know, Watson hasn't played in two years, though.
14:54The last time we saw him, he was getting blown out by the Bengals and he couldn't score against Cincinnati's defense.
15:00So that's how bad it was. And coming off the torn Achilles, a double torn Achilles.
15:04So I can't imagine him playing well. I do like the young guys on the Browns.
15:08There's going to be some growing pains. The first game, there could be some mistakes made, some wrong routes and whatnot.
15:14And that could lead to interceptions. And if you're doubting the Jaguars offense, they scored 34 on Denver in Denver late last year.
15:20That was when the Jaguars got going after the Jacoby Myers trade.
15:23And they were using Parker Washington. And they stopped using Travis Hunter, who didn't know where to line up.
15:28So, yeah, Jaguars could win this one easily. For those of you who play in Survivor, I think the Jaguars are a great play.
15:35Either them or the Chargers. They're the two best options.
15:37So, yeah, this one could get very ugly. Especially with the defense.
15:40I mean, Browns are going to – they got a good defense, Jacksonville, this year.
15:45So I think that's going to be a major issue for the Browns.
15:48The big question here is who's going to be the wide receiver?
15:51What is Brian Thomas Jr. going to step up?
15:54I think that's the biggest question I'm asking myself.
15:56Is he going to be the guy? This is going to be a telling tale.
16:00Or are we going to – I think we're just going to see a distribution of everywhere, similar to the first two games.
16:06Yeah, it would be interesting. I mean, he's the X.
16:09He's going to be going deep. And you have Parker Washington working underneath.
16:12So I think Washington is going to get, like, most of the receptions.
16:16But there's going to be some games where Thomas just catches a deep touchdown.
16:20So I think it's going to be inconsistent for Thomas.
16:22But Washington is going to be more consistent over the middle of the field.
16:26Next matchup here. We're going to rip right through these here.
16:29Bucs versus Bengals. Bengals minus four at home. Bucs, again, I'm really excited to see what Ibuka is going to do coming off that toe issue there.
16:36A lot of people were concerned for fantasy. But when you look at an offense where I think they're going to key
16:42in on somebody, I think he's good. I think Auten is going to get some work.
16:46Bucky Irving should be a solid start as well.
16:49When you look at the Bengals side of the ball, Chase Brown, is he going to prove to be elite where his high draft capital was in fantasy?
16:56We've got Jamar Chase, obviously going to be a very high draft capital guy.
17:00We're expecting a big game out of him. Can you break this matchup down?
17:04Thoughts? Well, the Buccaneers finished very poorly last year.
17:06They were 6-2. And then after that, they didn't cover the spread a single time.
17:10But what happened was Baker Mayfield got hurt. Emeka Bucca got hurt.
17:13The offensive line got hurt. It was a complete mess.
17:16And now everyone's healthy. So they should be able to score points.
17:19Cincinnati's defense is going to be better this year.
17:22Not going to be great or anything. Don't get me wrong.
17:25But they're going to be maybe middle of the pack.
17:27But I still think Tampa should score some points.
17:30It's going to be a nice matchup for everyone involved.
17:32You could stack this game in DFS easily. Although, I mean, these guys are pricey.
17:36But it's a crazy stat, though. Joe Burrow, in his career, he is 3-9 straight up in weeks 1 and 2.
17:42He just does not start well. And he's not like, OK, he's an underdog every game.
17:46He's only won three times out of 12. Like, he's been to favorite most of those games.
17:51So the Bengals just lose. So if you're like, oh, I'm going to take the Bengals and survivor, I would wait a little bit later for that.
17:58But, yeah, I mean, both these defenses are average at best.
18:01So you can play pretty much every big name from this game.
18:04Next matchup, Jets and Titans. Another one up in the air.
18:07I mean, if you look at it on paper, Geno Smith's got a phenomenal matchup against the Titans defense.
18:12Titans favored one and a half at home. We're going to see, you know, Tate, who, Carnell Tate, first round pick.
18:18Didn't do anything in preseason. I don't think he caught a ball.
18:21But Cam Ward, obviously, first overall pick last year.
18:23And, you know, so much talent here on paper.
18:26Is that going to translate on the field? And then the Jets, what's going on?
18:30Are we going to see some Kenyon Sadiq? First round pick at tight end.
18:34Garrett Wilson, Brees Hall. Like, there's so much to watch here from a fantasy perspective.
18:38But from a reality perspective, I mean, who knows who's going to win this one?
18:42Yeah, the teams that played their starters in the preseason, the two teams that looked the worst were the Titans and the Falcons.
18:48The Titans played against backups in every game. And they couldn't score against backups.
18:52Like, it was really sad. They might have the worst offensive line in the NFL.
18:56Like, Peter Scorronzi is a really good guard. The other guys just suck so much.
19:00They have some guy named Austin Schlottman starting at center.
19:02This is going to be a disaster for their blocking.
19:05Jets have a much better offensive line. So, if you want to gravitate toward that, like, I think some of these Jet players, like, with protection.
19:12Jim Smith had no protection last year. He's going to have protection.
19:15He's going to be able to find Garrett Wilson downfield.
19:18Brees Hall is going to get some good running lanes.
19:20I think those two guys mainly are what you're looking at in this game.
19:24Yeah, Sadiq might do some stuff. But he's coming off the hernia, so he may not be 100%.
19:29So, just, if you draft the Sadiq, I think you could have a really good year later.
19:34But for the first week, just be careful because of the injury.
19:37Just make sure you're looking at the injury reports.
19:39But, yeah, I think the Jets should be able to win this game.
19:43I think they're the better team. Next one, Lions and Saints.
19:46I got seven points here. Favorite for Lions at home.
19:4850 points is the over-under. So, it's going to be a relatively high-scoring game here.
19:52Shuff versus Shuff Ruff, Shuck, whatever you want to call him, versus Jared Goff.
19:56We got no Jordan Tyson. He's going to start the year on IR.
20:00What a waste. We've got, obviously, you know, Olave, who's going to have to step up.
20:04It's a relatively good matchup for him on paper, based on last year.
20:07But Gibbs should absolutely run wild. I mean, the backups are not even relevant.
20:11They've got to run him. I mean, Amandre, obviously, a must-start.
20:14I mean, what do you think of this here?
20:16I mean, I think it's going to be more than minus seven, I would say, for – I think they could blow out the Saints.
20:23They could. Just keep in mind, they play at Buffalo in four days, so they could be, like, eyeing that a little bit.
20:29Yeah, Jumir Gibbs, the number one option this week, obviously.
20:32But, like, in DFS, I would pay off for him.
20:35I mean, I think he's worth it. Jameson Williams and Amandre St.
20:38Brown both should be great. Sam Laporta should have a good game.
20:41The Saints have one of the weirdest things I've ever seen.
20:44I've never seen this before covering the NFL for 25-plus years.
20:47They have four healthy receivers on their roster. Most teams have six.
20:50They only have four, and one of them is a rookie kick returner.
20:54So, like, their only real receivers they have are Chris Olave, Devon Vele, and their fourth-round rookie, Lance, Bryce Lance.
20:59That's it for receivers. So, if you're playing DFS, like, there's going to be so much concentrated target share, especially if the
21:05Saints have to try to come back. Like, you could play Shuck or Shuff or whatever his name is with, like, two other receivers.
21:11I think Juwan Johnson, their tight end, should have a good game, too.
21:15And keep in mind, the Lions are missing both safeties to injuries.
21:18So, this could be a wild game. This could be, like, 42-38.
21:21Like, there could be a lot of fireworks in this game, especially, like, late with the Saints.
21:26And Shuck, Shuff, he can run a lot, too.
21:28I think you're looking, like, over rushing yards, live in-game.
21:31There's going to be a lot of opportunities to make money here, a lot of opportunities in DFS to play good options.
21:37This is going to be a crazy game, I think.
21:39All right, next one here, Bills at Texans. And I'm surprised this isn't higher, but the Bills obviously playing a tough defense in the Texans.
21:46You've still got to start Josh Allen, I think.
21:48James Cook. We're going to be watching. Things to watch.
21:51Obviously, DJ Moore. How much is he going to get targeted here?
21:54And the Texans. Is CJ Strote up to the task this year?
21:58That's a big question. Nico Collins must start. And then David Montgomery.
22:01Is it going to be a big split between him and Woody Marks?
22:04Things to watch. This is a very fantasy-relevant game.
22:07Yeah, Josh Allen got sacked eight times in this matchup last year.
22:10The Bills have really struggled in Houston. It's been their house of horrors.
22:13Like, they have not had any success here. I think in the previous matchup of 2024, Allen had, like, fewer than 100 yards.
22:20It was really ugly. But, yeah, you have to start Allen.
22:22You have to start Cook. You have to start the main guys, DJ Moore, despite Houston's great defense.
22:27What I'm looking at for Houston is David Montgomery rushing.
22:30I think that he's going to be the workhorse.
22:32And I think that, like, for him to get 70-plus rushing yards, it's like plus 180 on Fandle.
22:37I think that's worth it because Buffalo's defense, they were number two against the pass last year.
22:42They were number 31 against the run. And they didn't really do anything to improve that.
22:46But, yeah, so Montgomery's going to have a better offensive line in front of him than Woody Marks did last year.
22:52The Texans made some good upgrades. So I think Montgomery could have a really good game.
22:56Yeah, and I would think that Montgomery signed on knowing that he's going to be the workhorse because he was in the Jameer Gibbs shadow.
23:03Understandably so because Jameer Gibbs is phenomenal. But I would assume when he signed on, he's like, dude, like, I want the RB1 spot.
23:09So I think that's what he signed, you know, on the handshake or something like that.
23:13Like, I got to be the one. So I think that's why he's going to see a lot of volume.
23:19So that was a good point. Now, this game I'm super excited about.
23:22Tons of fantasy relevance. I think it's a phenomenal matchup for Omarion Hampton.
23:26I actually saw a post. I think it was on the Chargers page saying he's a bad man.
23:30So they just featured, you know, Omarion Hampton in a bunch of images.
23:34Like, it sounds like the Chargers are super excited about him.
23:37And I'll see a lot of people in the comments, too, diving in.
23:40You know, he's going to go off in a Mike McDaniel offense.
23:44And I think he's just so much more talented than Achein.
23:47Higher draft capital guy. I think Achein was a second or third round pick in a better offense.
23:51Dude, I'm just so excited about this. And then Jeremiah Love getting the start.
23:55I do think we're going to see some Algier, which will annoy me.
23:59But I don't know if that's just based on just, you know, they're going to, like, kind of work.
24:04Jeremiah Love it after that little injury there. So maybe we're going to see some more Algier than we want in week one.
24:10But, dude, I'm excited. And another thing to watch, obviously, is the receivers for the Cardinals.
24:14Is Marvin Harrison Jr. going to come in with a splash?
24:17That's something else to watch. And also the distribution with the Chargers.
24:20Like, are they going to use Trey Harris? How much Quinton Johnson, Gaddis, is he going to be used?
24:25How much Lad McConkie? So this game is so fantasy relevant.
24:28And I'm so excited because I'm so invested in this game.
24:31I'm excited, dude. Yeah, there could be some fireworks from the Chargers in this game.
24:35I had Evan Daniel on my live stream on Thursday night.
24:38And he was saying that, like, he made a good point.
24:41He's like, if I'm Mike McDaniel, I'm just going nuts here just to prove a point.
24:45And they could be up in the fourth quarter by 30 and they could still be throwing.
24:50It kind of reminds me, there was a Jaguar-Jets game last year where the Jaguars are up by 30 points and Trevor
24:56Lawrence is still throwing like crazy in the fourth quarter because Liam Cohen was upset that the Jets didn't interview him for the job.
25:02So, like, Mike McDaniel could be pissed off after getting fired.
25:05He wants to prove that, like, hey, I actually have a good quarterback now.
25:09Like, I got the most out of Tua. Now I have Justin Herbert.
25:12Like, Herbert could have a monster game. Hampton's going to have a monster game.
25:16I actually like Charlie Kohler, tight end from the Chargers.
25:19I think he could be an underrated sleeper if you're looking at DFS, like, a really cheap option.
25:24I think that he's worth a look. And the other receivers, too.
25:27I think McConkie's going to bounce back. Quinn Johnson could catch a deep pass.
25:31With the Cardinals, they could be pretty limited for most of the game.
25:34There could be some garbage time in the fourth quarter like we saw last year.
25:38I wouldn't start Jeremiah Love this game just because I worry that, like, coming off the high ankle sprain, I think they're
25:44going to mix in a lot of Algier. And they're not going to have a lead in the fourth quarter for him to run anyway.
25:51So, like, I think Love could have a great season.
25:53But this game I would be concerned about. So it really depends on who else you have.
25:58If you have garbage, don't start garbage over Love.
26:00But, like, if you drafted your core four, then you should have some other good running backs to play instead of Love this week.
26:07Whereas, like, next week and beyond, you could play Love.
26:09So that's the only thing I worry about there.
26:12But, yeah, Chargers should be able to take care of Arizona pretty easily.
26:15Packers versus Vikings, another exciting game here. I mean, again, I'll be watching Christian Watson like a hawk if he even finishes game one with injury.
26:22Now, it is week one. So all these guys that we think are going to go down, the Mike Evans for the
26:2849ers, the Christian McCaffrey for the 49ers, you know, all these guys have shown injuries in the past.
26:33I'm not surprised they got through week one. So I would not be surprised if Watson gets through week one.
26:38But I'll be looking at Matthew Golden here. It is a tougher matchup on paper, a little bit defensively.
26:43Vikings can't step it up here. And, again, Vikings, I have just no interest in these guys.
26:48Kyler Murray, how is he going to do? So I'm surprised Vikings are favored here.
26:52I really do at the 1.5. I would not be surprised if Packers win this game.
26:56Oh, wow. Okay. I think Minnesota is a great matchup in this game.
27:00They've really frustrated Jordan Love over the years. Like, Love has had some of his worst games against Minnesota.
27:05So I – and the Packer offense line looks like a disaster right now.
27:09Like, their left tackle is a bust, first-round bust from a couple years ago.
27:12The right tackle is actually a really good player.
27:15He's out with blood clots. So, like, you have two tackles who stink.
27:18And then they have no pass rush either. Like, Green Bay's top pass rusher is either Lucas Van Ness or someone named Baron Sorrell.
27:25Like, this team is not going to get any pressure on Murray.
27:28I think that, like, you know, Murray is going to be playing – I'm not a big fan of him at all as a player.
27:35But, like, he's so much better than J.J. McCarthy.
27:37Everyone is. And then that Minnesota offensive line is going to be much better than what he had in Arizona.
27:42There's going to be no pass rush in this game.
27:45I think Justin Jefferson is going to have a huge game, like, coming off a bad year.
27:50I think this could be, like, vindication for him just to bounce back against a divisional rival.
27:54I think Minnesota takes care of Green Bay easily.
27:57Yeah, very possible. Battle of the bottom. The battle of the bottom here.
28:00Dolphins and the Raiders, man. This is going to be an interesting matchup.
28:03We've got so much to watch here. And then Kirk Cousins, is he going to step up?
28:08You draft Mendoza first overall, and then you just, like, bench him.
28:11Like, that to me bothers me because you're saying, we believe in you, but we don't believe in you.
28:16So that's a huge issue here. I understand Kirk Cousins is a veteran.
28:20He's working under Kirk Cousins. Dude, start your start.
28:22Have some faith in your guy. And then, obviously, the Raiders, we don't know who the wide receiver one is.
28:28Brock Bowers missing multiple weeks, which, again, I'm happy that I didn't draft him, you know, because I always wait on tight end.
28:34Everyone drafted him second round. They're like, okay, now he's out.
28:37Trey Tucker could step up. Who's going to be, who's going to step up?
28:40And then Mike Washington, we're going to look at that split.
28:43I think he's going to get some more work with people expect, partly because he did well in preseason, partly because Jente's
28:49coming off a little bit of an injury. So there's so much to watch here.
28:53And the Dolphins, actually, and how's he going to do in the offense?
28:57So much fantasy relevance, but such crappy teams. Like, I don't know what to say.
29:01This is why fantasy is so important. Like, I don't think anybody realistically back in the day would watch two bottom feeder
29:07teams like this, other than their loyal fan bases.
29:09But because of the fantasy relevance, dude, I'm tuning in.
29:12Oh, yeah. Can't wait to watch this. So, yeah, it's a lot of, like, question marks.
29:16You have Bowers, we got rug pulled. Everyone who drafted him kind of feel bad.
29:20The insiders sat on it for a week, too.
29:22There's so much shadiness there, by the way. Michael Mayer could be one of these good tight end options.
29:28He's going to be starting for the Raiders. I like Trey Tucker.
29:31I think he has more upside than Jalen Naylor is just a slot receiver.
29:34And, yeah, there's going to be a split in the backfield because Janty's coming off the injury.
29:39And Mike Washington looked terrific in the preseason. So good.
29:42Yeah. So it's kind of like Kaelin Black. Like, they're going to have to get him involved just because he's that good.
29:48Miami, you have, like, clearer things because, like, we know A-Chan is the guy.
29:51Like, they're going to give him a ton of work there.
29:54I'm interested to see how Malik Willis looks. He looked really good in the preseason.
29:58But in practice, we heard some bad things. I really want to see the rookie receivers, too.
30:03Like, Caleb Douglas and Chris Bell. These guys have a lot of upside.
30:06They're both big. They're both athletic. Charlie Campbell is the most accurate draft analyst on the planet.
30:11He compared Chris Bell to DK Metcalf. Like, that's sort of upside.
30:14Bell has come off the injury, but he played in the third preseason game.
30:18And there's a chance that he's the receiver, too, with Caleb Douglas being the receiver one.
30:22So, I really want to see how these guys play.
30:25And it's a good matchup. The Raiders' defense is not anything special at all.
30:29They added to their linebackers. But there could be some good points in this game.
30:33I'm excited to watch it. So am I, man.
30:35Super pumped. Eagles, Commanders, divisional game. Five-and-a-half point favorite.
30:37Eagles at home. This one makes sense why they'd be the favorite.
30:41But sometimes we see these divisional games get really gritty, really tough, and closer than we think.
30:45So, Commanders, obviously Daniel is going to watch him.
30:48And who's going to be the wide receiver one there with the Commanders?
30:51I mean, it's obviously going to be McLaurin. I know you like him, but how much volume is he going to see?
30:57And then JCM, is he going to step up?
30:59Ja'Cory Kroski at running back. And then Eagles, obviously Barker, we're going to see a lot of him.
31:04Lemon, Mikhail Lemon, are we going to see a lot of him?
31:07Is he going to step up? So, a lot of question marks here now with the new offense without A.J.
31:13Brown. Goddard, a lot of people excited about him.
31:15Getting a lot of work. Devontae Smith, does he take the wide receiver one role?
31:19So many question marks here with this game as well.
31:22A lot of fantasy football uncertainty, I would say.
31:24Yeah, Joe, you gave me a wellness check on A.J.
31:27Brown. I think that if Devontae Smith goes down, then you're going to be concerned.
31:31Devontae Smith, I liked a lot. I think he has a big year.
31:34I think Dallas Goddard has a big year. I think they both have huge games.
31:38Jalen Hurst is my QB one this week. So, Washington's defense.
31:41Me too. Yeah, he's a complete mess. Washington's defense, complete mess.
31:44They drafted Sonny Stiles in the first round. He's looked awful in the preseason.
31:48I was surprised. I thought he'd be great, but he's looked terrible in the preseason.
31:52Washington, they can't function offensively. Their offensive line is a disaster, at least in practice.
31:56Now, that kind of makes me want to play these guys just because you hear a lot of downsides.
32:01They still have talent. I do think McLaurin could have some good action and garbage time.
32:05Jane Daniels and garbage time. These guys could produce.
32:08But this one could get ugly. We'll see. The spread has skyrocketed because Washington has a lot of injuries, especially on defense.
32:14So, the Eagles should be able to score pretty easily.
32:16Yeah, man. I'm excited about this game. I got Jalen Hurst starting in my big money league.
32:21So, sign me up for a big week for Jalen Hurst.
32:24All right. Cowboys at Giants. Another divisional game here.
32:26Cowboys three-point favorite on the road. Obviously, guys to watch.
32:29Cam Scadaboo from Fantasy Relevant. CeeDee Lamb. Pickens. I talked about fading pickens.
32:32We're going to look at that distribution. Does CeeDee Lamb reign as the alpha wide receiver one?
32:37Or is it going to be an even split?
32:39Javante. Got a lot of Javante stock. Love to see how much work he's going to get.
32:44There really isn't anybody behind there that I feel is going to threaten him in regards to taking away that volume, especially near the goal line.
32:51So, a lot of fantasy relevance here. Malachi Fields, another sleeper slated as the two.
32:55And Malik Neighbors, is he going to come in and just right out of the gate be good after that injury, be solid in regards to production?
33:02So much fantasy relevance in this game. And we're looking at, like, primetime.
33:06When is this game? Is it like the 8 o'clock slate one?
33:09Yeah, it's Sunday night. Yeah. Sunday night. So, yeah, man.
33:12I'm excited that this game is Sunday night. If I were to choose any game to be Sunday night, I'm glad it's
33:17this one because we got so much fantasy relevance.
33:20And, dude, I'm excited about this one. You don't want Falcon Steelers Sunday night?
33:24No, definitely not. Yeah. No, yeah. I can't wait to see how many snaps Malik Neighbors plays.
33:28Like, is he going to play the whole game or is he going to be 50%?
33:32That's going to be really interesting. Cam Scadabo bouncing back from the injury.
33:36Like, how do they utilize him? I like Scadabo a lot this year.
33:39And I think he could have a good game here at Jackson Dart, too.
33:43Assuming he avoids the blue tent, you know, because he's there half the time.
33:47But, you know, the Cowboys defense is – don't think that this is that Cowboys defense from last year.
33:52Yeah, last year. So, they've made a lot of improvements.
33:55So, they're going to be middle of the pack or so.
33:58So, this is not, like, an easy matchup for the Giants.
34:00But it's not a difficult one either. So, you could play all these guys for sure.
34:05I do want to see Malik I feel as well.
34:07Dallas, they have a better matchup. Giants defense is not anything special.
34:11They have some good pass rushers. That's about it.
34:13So, yeah, they just scored a lot of points.
34:15By the way, you know, the last time the Giants beat the Cowboys when Dallas played as starting quarterback for the entire game was 2016.
34:22It's been 10 years since they beat them. Yeah, it's crazy.
34:25They beat them twice in that span. But both times, Dallas played as backups in the final week of the season.
34:31So, they're facing a history here. They haven't touched Dallas in a long time.
34:34A lot of these games have been blowouts, too.
34:37So, maybe this will be a blowout as well.
34:39You could say they're due, though, right? They're due.
34:42Yeah. Last one here. I think it'll be entertaining.
34:44The Chiefs versus the Broncos. Chiefs at home, minus three favorite.
34:47Broncos, obviously, Bo Nix. Something to watch. Sutton. Is Waddle going to step in at that wide receiver one role?
34:52Are we going to see some Pat Bryant at wide receiver as a sleeper?
34:56How much distribution? I mean, we already know it's a committee going in with those Broncos running backs.
35:01Dobbins, I would assume, would start. We're going to see some R.J.
35:04Harvey as well. The Chiefs. Kenneth Walker. Is he going to perform on a high level?
35:08Something to watch. Are we going to see some Emmitt Johnson?
35:11I think, again, we see these rookie running backs coming in.
35:14The Mike Washington. The Kalon Black stepping into these roles and taking away a ton of volume.
35:19I think it'll be a committee there. Man. Rashi Rice.
35:22What's going to happen there? Another fantasy-relevant game and another exciting one.
35:25I think it'll be an entertaining one for sure.
35:27Yeah. How's Mahomes going to look off the torn ACL?
35:30That's huge. Is he healthy? Can he run around?
35:32Or is he limited in the pocket? That's going to be enormous for this game.
35:36Yeah. How do they utilize Kenneth Walker and Emmitt Johnson?
35:39That's big, too. Does Travis Kelsey look old and fat like he looked in the preseason?
35:43We'll see. And Denver, you talk about rookie running backs coming out of nowhere.
35:47Jonah Coleman could be a guy who gets some carries.
35:50It was really interesting what they did, Denver, in the preseason.
35:53They gave Coleman three carries in the first game, and they took him out.
35:56They're like, we don't need to see you anymore.
35:59You're that good. Could he usurp J.K. Dobbins right away?
36:01Kind of like blacked it with McCaffrey? We'll see.
36:04That'll be really interesting, too. And as far as the winner of this game, this is a wild stat, Joe.
36:09What's that? Sean Payton, since he came back from his suspension in 2012, since 2013, he is 3-20 against the spread in weeks one and two.
36:16This guy just does not prepare his teams well.
36:19And people are betting Denver. Denver is the most bet team this week by the public.
36:23I'm like, you guys don't know this stat that Payton is awful in weeks one and two.
36:27By contrast, Andy Reid in week one, seven and four against the spread with the Chiefs.
36:32He prepares his team well. So I'm looking at the Chiefs here.
36:35It's a win. Now, the Chiefs don't win by a lot in most games.
36:39They usually win by three. So if you have minus three, it's not great.
36:42But so if you want to bet the Chiefs, I'll try to get minus two and a half.
36:47Yeah. I think that's it, Walter. We've got them all covered here.
36:50Listen, we're going to do this, I think, every Friday.
36:53I think it's important that we do this. So make sure you guys turn on the bell, subscribe.
36:58You don't want to miss these. And we're going to bring Walter football back on.
37:02Walter, how excited are you about week one, man?
37:04I'm like giddy about it. It feels like, I mean, as we get adults, we become adults.
37:09We kind of know that Santa, you know, we don't want to ruin it for the people that still believe in him.
37:15Santa may not be showing up, right? But we got excited as kids.
37:18But now this is kind of our Christmas, isn't it?
37:21As soon as me, I was expecting Santa to come.
37:24No, no, it is. It is. It's, you know, we're recording this 12, 17 p.m.
37:28on Friday. And that means that the NFL in 48 and a half hours will be on for week one.
37:33I can't wait. It's going to be a lot of fun.
37:36So many games going on. We don't have these like stupid Australia game where the Rams don't even bother to show up.
37:42Or it's terrible. Yeah, they traveled. The guys, I heard a great point, by the way.
37:46These guys came in 24 hours beforehand. Some people can't sleep on planes.
37:50So like these guys probably didn't sleep at all in the past two days.
37:53And they're trying to play a football game. So that was a very stupid move by the Rams.
37:58But anyway, in the Patriots, Seahawks, we had injuries on both sides.
38:01Darnold and Brown go down. But yeah, I mean, we're going to have so much good action.
38:06Can't wait for these games. I'm so excited. Dude, I'm so pumped.
38:09All right, guys. Subscribe. Thumbs up. Go to WalterFootball.com.
38:12Get all the information there. And join the Counselor's Edge below.
38:14And join our Patreon group here. Patreon.com forward slash FF Counselor.
38:17Starts and sits. Everything there. Have yourself a great day.
38:20And yeah, make sure you guys do not miss these games.
38:23We're out. Thank you. Thanks, Walter. Thanks. Thanks, John.
38:25Thanks, John.