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Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts: Players to Avoid!

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this podcast and kept the full transcript here for context.

41 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Aug 21, 2026
Published
Fri, August 21, 2026
17
Player insights
16
Players mentioned
Topics
Christian McCaffreyDeVonta SmithGeorge PickensIsiah PachecoJonathan TaylorJosh DownsJosh JacobsKeenan AllenMakai LemonMalik NabersRashee RiceRhamondre StevensonTee HigginsTreVeyon Henderson
Player analysis

Player insights

17

Christian McCaffrey

NegativeInjury35:28

Tyler Warren advises against drafting Christian McCaffrey in the first round due to ongoing concerns about 'calf tightness' and a long history of missing games. Warren highlights that McCaffrey has missed 37 games in his career and warns that the current injury could linger, potentially causing him to miss the start of the season. He expects an injury-related setback by week three or four, making him a liability for fantasy managers.

Insight page
NegativeBust38:27

Tyler Warren strongly advises against drafting Christian McCaffrey, predicting an injury will derail his fantasy production by week three or four at the latest. Warren expresses skepticism about his availability even for week one, citing concerns over travel and potential lingering health issues, and explicitly warns that drafting him will lose your league.

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DeVonta Smith

PositiveBreakout27:12

Despite concerns about his size, DeVonta Smith is a strong target who is expected to serve as the Eagles' clear WR1 with AJ Brown gone. Historical data shows that in games without Brown, Smith has produced at a high level, suggesting he is undervalued at his mid-third-round ADP.

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George Pickens

NegativeBust32:01

Tyler Warren predicts a massive bust for George Pickens, stating he will not replicate his 1,429-yard season. Warren argues that Pickens is a secondary receiver who lacks the consistency to be a top-10 fantasy asset and notes that the Cowboys' improved defense will lead to more running and less passing. Warren is so confident in this take that he claims he will quit fantasy football if Pickens matches or exceeds last year's production.

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Isiah Pacheco

NegativeValue19:07

Isiah Pacheco is a 'do not draft' candidate at his current second-to-third-round ADP. The Chiefs' offense rarely produces top-tier fantasy running backs, and Pacheco faces competition for goal-line work from potential options like Emari Demercado or Justin Fields.

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Jonathan Taylor

NegativeBust27:37

Tyler Warren warns against drafting Jonathan Taylor in the first round, citing a long history of injuries and the loss of key offensive weapons like Michael Pittman Jr. and Adonai Mitchell. Warren argues that Taylor's 'pinnacle' season last year was an outlier and that the Colts' offense will struggle with a diminished receiving corps and a quarterback returning from a torn Achilles. He views Taylor as a high-risk player who is likely to miss time again.

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Josh Downs

NegativeProjection2:20

The addition of Keenan Allen to the offense has resulted in a 'stock down' outlook for Josh Downs, as Allen is expected to command targets over the middle of the field.

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Josh Jacobs

NegativeValue4:52

Josh Jacobs is a 'fade' due to a groin injury and a potential suspension related to alleged domestic issues. While he would normally be a mid-to-late second-round pick, the uncertainty surrounding a potential 2-6 game suspension pushes his value down to the fourth round.

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Keenan Allen

NegativeUsage2:02

Keenan Allen is viewed as a 'dusty' 34-year-old who acts as a nuisance to the fantasy value of younger players like Tyler Warren and Josh Downs by operating over the middle of the field and siphoning targets.

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Makai Lemon

NegativeInjury3:53

Makai Lemon returned to practice from a hamstring injury on August 20th, but there is skepticism regarding his ability to stay healthy or maintain a role in Philadelphia throughout the season.

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Malik Nabers

NegativeInjury7:00

Malik Nabers is returning from a major knee injury and is currently not practicing at full speed or taking contact. Despite expectations to play Week 1, he is considered a high-risk 'do not draft' candidate at his late second-round ADP due to the historical difficulty of returning to peak form after an ACL tear.

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Rashee Rice

NegativeBust20:54

Tyler Warren strongly advises against drafting Rashee Rice, citing a combination of off-field legal issues, a lack of consistent production, and poor route running. Warren notes that Rice has yet to crack 1,000 yards or double-digit touchdowns in a season and missed significant time in jail, which hindered his off-season preparation. Warren labels his current round-two ADP as 'ludicrous' and expects him to bust.

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NegativeRole12:05

Rhamondre Stevenson is part of a 50-50 committee that makes him a 'stay away' for fantasy purposes. While he may have value in PPR formats due to his pass-protection trust and goal-line role, the overall committee situation is viewed as a disaster.

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Tee Higgins

NegativeBust24:16

Tyler Warren considers Tee Higgins a bust candidate, arguing that drafting him in the third round is settling for a secondary option behind Ja'Marr Chase. Warren points out that Higgins has only two 1,000-yard seasons in six years and has struggled with durability, missing time in three of his six seasons. Additionally, a projected improved Bengals defense may lead to more leads and less passing volume, capping Higgins' upside.

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TreVeyon Henderson

NegativeRole12:15

TreVeyon Henderson is viewed as explosive but is trapped in a 50-50 committee with Rhamondre Stevenson. He is considered a 'bust' candidate because the team does not trust him in pass protection, limiting his upside compared to his current ADP.

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Trey McBride

NegativeValue23:25

Trey McBride is a 'fade' at his current second-to-third-round ADP. His production is expected to decline following a 'pinnacle year' and a potential quarterback transition to Carson Beck later in the season, making him an inefficient use of an early-round pick.

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Tyler Warren

NegativeInjury1:45

Tyler Warren is dealing with a minor groin injury; while he is expected to be ready for Week 1, the injury combined with the addition of Keenan Allen, who operates over the middle of the field, makes him a player to avoid at his current ADP.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

414
0:00Welcome to the show guys got an exciting one here for you on the show I've got the great and powerful oh
0:06we're back to that name again the wild and wonderful Walter Football I like www for wild wonderful Walter I think it's
0:12got a nice ring to it we're talking busts Walter and that's something you are not and I am not we want
0:18we are the must drafts but these are the guys you must avoid I'm ready to dive in we're gonna save people's
0:24fantasy teams are you ready to save teams today we're gonna be heroes yeah absolutely we're gonna give you guys they're like
0:30you know other channels are like oh here's some busts to avoid some 10th round guy you know like these are all
0:36players that you can get at the at the beginning of your draft and I do a lot of mock drafts on
0:42my live streams these are guys going first second third round we're gonna tell you not to draft them and if you
0:48do you know your team's probably gonna suck absolutely man I'm really excited to dive into this because we're gonna save a
0:54lot of teams and these are big names these are not just like small names these are like massive names and I'm
0:59ready to dive in uh in the news here I didn't really pull up the news too much I don't there's there
1:05isn't too much other just a bunch of injuries with Tyler Warren apparently he pulled something but he's gonna be good to
1:11go week one right did you hear about Tyler Warren yeah a minor groin injury um didn't seem like that much you
1:17know it's like a very slight concern uh for me uh the bigger concern with Warren is that they signed Keenan Allen
1:23you know he's gonna take some targets away Keenan Allen operates over the middle of the field so like like four days
1:29ago we're like oh who's gonna catch passes there now you have Keenan Allen is so dusty at this point he's 34
1:35but he caught 81 passes last year he's just a nuisance uh for actually good players so like stock down Josh Downs
1:41stock down on Tyler Warren so we're not we're not going to talk about them today but they're guys that you know
1:47at their ADP might want to avoid them but if they fall a little bit especially with Warren if he falls a
1:53little bit you can draft them breaking Brad is screaming from the sidelines saying you guys are talking about news but you
1:59didn't let me deliver my line so here we go let's do that let's do let's deliver his line here we now
2:05have breaking news gotta get involved man he's so territorial eh like he likes to uh mark his territory here yeah I
2:11mean you have to I mean he moved uh you know along with you and uh you know he's he's getting used
2:17to uh Florida but you know maybe he's a little lonely he misses his friends yeah it's all funny he gets angry
2:23now but he's out back in the lake on the on the canoe right now paddling around now he wants to tell
2:29like about talk about the news all of a sudden okay suddenly he's interested um Makaya Lemon here hamstring returned to practice
2:35on Thursday August 20th so he returned that's good yesterday yeah hamstrings can linger you know but he returned I'm still not
2:41convinced he makes it through the season in Philly uh for other reasons that you might know of uh but uh he
2:47is uh apparently he's healthy we'll see if that lasts we'll see we'll see if he's man enough to to take on
2:52the role um you guys get that uh Green Bay Packers Josh Jacobs groin was limited in individual drills on August 19th
2:58a couple days ago um yeah groin limited and then we've got the lingering potential suspension with him with the alleged domestic
3:04stuff so I don't know how that's gonna play out if he gets suspended man I'm kind of fading Jacobs yeah me
3:10too I mean if if he had no issues right now you know at the groin the groin thing I you know
3:16it's probably he might just be like I don't feel like practicing today I'm a veteran I don't need to practice uh
3:22with this possible suspension it's like okay he could be out between two to six games um so if he had nothing
3:28no concerns he'd be a mid second late second pick but with the possible suspension I'm not taking him until round four
3:34we just don't know like sometimes Goodell drags his feet and like I've heard the opinion that he might be suspended in
3:402027 but then Adam Schefter came out and said possible suspension this year so we we really have no idea I wish
3:46I wish they would tell us you know I mean we're like the fantasy players are of the peak audience for the
3:52NFL like we're the guys who pay the bills for these players and these owners and the coaches like it'd be nice
3:58if they did something nice for us and gave us some information you know yeah uh that's it man other than just
4:04people missing injuries based on undisclosed stuff Cardinal Tate I think he missed some time undisclosed or say you know I don't
4:10know what it is apparently just says undisclosed and then Judkins undisclosed not it didn't participate in some practices this week so
4:16there's a couple things here with some undisclosed stuff oh yeah Malik neighbors we're gonna talk about him did take part in
4:22full speed drills uh Monday and Tuesday this past week um so yeah non-contact practice jersey he could transition to full contact
4:28as early as next week so that's what we're hearing and there's an expectation for neighbors to play in week one barring
4:34any setbacks so he is on our list of do not travel gets that in a second I know you want to
4:40dive in that's your guy here so we want to save that so that's it for news and notes here again unless
4:45something breaks in between time we record this we record this about you know 24 hours before we release it because we
4:51want to get this out to you every morning so we release you know release it recorded the day before that's it
4:57um unless you want anything to the to the news at all well it's not really injury news but we have the
5:03preseason tonight um you know or or you know if you're watching this last night uh and then we have some more
5:09games uh tonight uh like I believe there are three or so games uh on Friday night you have just Steelers Panthers
5:15Jaguars Packers Broncos you know the Broncos love playing their starters in the preseason so you're gonna get a good look at
5:21those guys you know some of these preseason games are busts but you know whenever you have starters for pretty interesting so
5:27definitely want to tune in all right that's it for breaking news with breaking Brad now have breaking news it is with
5:33great urgency that we bring you these following we now have breaking it is with great urgency we now have breaking messages
5:39that's that's some talent to talk over yourself I taught I taught him that so he can now talk somehow throw his
5:45voice and echo it back so it's like you've got like two voices at once isn't that phenomenal breaking Brad leveling up
5:51he'd be a ventriloquist this way he'd be one of the best ever oh that's too much man that's too much if
5:57you guys haven't gotten 16 rounds breaking Brad is imploring you to grab it do not draft without I know a lot
6:03of people are drafting this weekend do not draft without 16 rounds sleepers breakouts optimal players draft each round grab 16 rounds
6:09right now I've linked it below use code deal I think this is the last week I'm giving out a deal just
6:15grab 60 rounds you will not be disappointed and head over to walterfootball.com for everything football is there anything on your site
6:21right now they can jump on your site and get Walter immediately uh for value for the draft and uh you know
6:27for the regular season well I mean for fantasy we have a whole list of sleepers busts value picks we have rankings
6:33cheat sheets uh but for picks against the spread uh we pick preseason games and you know some people might be hesitant
6:38to do it uh but we went nine two and one against the spread last year pretty easy to identify who's going
6:44to win the preseason because some coaches really want to win like John Harbaugh has this great record in the preseason I
6:50think he's like 48 and 17 other coaches don't care at all uh Zach Taylor at the Bengals he's like 5 and
6:5615 in the preseason so you can identify like if there's a game where a coach really wants to win and a
7:02coach doesn't doesn't care at all you know you can really bet that the coach who wants to win and you're going
7:08to have a lot of success doing it so we have picks against the spread uh not just for week one in
7:14a few weeks but we also have the picks for the preseason yeah walterfootball.com good 16 rounds I'm ready to dive in
7:20all right so we talked about like having big names on this like we're talking like massive names the first one isn't
7:26a massive name but he's part of a one-two punch that could be completely completely destroy your league so it's kind of
7:32a two-punch thing I'm staying away from both Ramondra Steven sucks and Travion Henderson I call him Steven sucks because he he
7:38fumbles he sucks has no business being a starter you draft Travion Henderson who looks absolutely explosive when he touches the ball
7:44yet they continue to use you know Steven sucks as a starter that's typical Patriots there's such an annoying team when it
7:50comes to fantasy and they just annoy me I know you like some players there this year but when it comes to
7:56the running back by committee I knew this was going to be a disaster I knew it'd be 50-50 and there was
8:02news three or four days ago saying it's going to be 50-50 like I don't like this at all man it's not
8:08it's not nice at all yeah I I'm more of a problem with Travion Henderson because he they don't trust them in
8:14pass protection like they trust Stevenson so if you're drafting PPR he's going to be on the field on third down and
8:20so I I like him more in PPR and plus he's going to get goal line carries and he's going later than
8:26Henderson he's going like sometimes two rounds later than Henderson which I don't understand like I feel like Stevenson should be first
8:31off the board instead of Henderson but it it is a dicey situation like the one thing I'll say is that this
8:37Patriots offense can be sick this year as Drake May was the best downfield thrower in the NFL last year and he
8:43had like washed up Stefan Diggs and like Mac Hollins as his top two receivers like now he has now he's AJ
8:49Brown and Romeo Dubs like this offense is going to score a ton of points you know there's going to be goal
8:55line carries to have and and so I think Stevenson will get those and so I think like he could he could
9:01match his ADP where I where it's like I don't know what Henderson's really doing at this point you know unless Stevenson
9:07gets hurt then he could have a big year but what I'm annoyed with it should be just the Henderson show similar
9:13to the way it gives it reminds me of Gibson and Montgomery where you know gives was just superior they should just
9:19be running Henderson but again he said pass protection may be there and it's just annoying like it just I know a
9:25lot of people will be looking at Stevenson there just I wouldn't do it because I don't like that split backfield I
9:31it you know so many other players to get which I lay out in 16 rounds now let's start to get the
9:37big names here you this is one you got you recommended here do do not draft I've got no stock in him
9:43we just talked about him in the news saying that he's going to be expected to play week one but man when
9:49is ever a player that I as far as I can remember recently come back after one week or after one year
9:55off a major knee tear and come back and tore it up no pun intended like he's way too expensive 24 overall
10:01so I gotta spend a second round pick on a guy maybe let's say early third round if he falls in your
10:07league on a guy with so much uncertainty and we saw the team scramble we saw the in the giant scramble move
10:13up to grab Malachi Fields who looked good in preseason looks like a big red zone target and then you know draft
10:19you know acquire Juju who I didn't think makes the cut and now Odell all these guys like they were kind of
10:24scrambling trying to figure things out and I don't know man this is this screams like trouble yeah I I really don't
10:30like the situation look I mean it could happen maybe Malik Nabors is the rare exception uh I believe 14 years ago
10:36was like really the last time someone had a pinnacle year coming off a 20 CL but you're not going to get
10:42a pinnacle year from Malik Nabors this year it seems extremely unlikely that you're going to um you know he could be
10:48a good producer maybe but like coming off the 20 CL that that is uh trouble waiting to happen a few years
10:54ago Saquon Barkley another giant was coming off the 20 CL and he struggled and he injured his hamstring because what happens
11:00is these players overcompensate for their injuries and you know he's not practicing a full speed he's not taking contact yet he's
11:06not he's not fully back yeah they expect them week one but is he gonna be in a snap count you know
11:12like do you want your second round pick to be on a snap count like that that seems ridiculous to me if
11:18if his ADP was still round four like okay you could take a shot there but people are taking him late round
11:24two that that seems insane to me I always say that you can't win your draft in the first two rounds because
11:30other players other owners are going to have great players but you can lose your draft by taking these high-risk guys I
11:36don't like them I I like the talent but you know one year removed and there was talk that he wasn't even
11:42going to play earlier now he's all of a sudden going to play I don't trust it man my guy here number
11:48eight I added him here as Kenneth Walker I keep talking about how I don't like him I don't know if you
11:54like we're going to get your opinion in a second but I just really got to talk about how much I don't
12:00like this guy I don't like his attitude again multiple fights in camp he I mean he did well last year but
12:06again that super talk a Super Bowl hangover I remember his rookie year with the Seahawks he limped off with some weak
12:12non-contact injury it really just looked like nothing like nothing he just just ran the ball to the side look like a
12:17normal run and they pulled him so I basically called him a pussycat and uh I tagged him and he blocked me
12:23what and then he's just he's just a soft guy he's a soft weak human being I don't like him he's just
12:29I don't like this person I don't like his character and I don't like you know the Chiefs personally because you know
12:35the last time they produced a top 12 running back you know even a top 10 I think was cream hot 2018
12:41you know they draft Clyde de Rousselaer nothing happens there first round a couple years ago nobody produces there on a top
12:47level Pacheco just doesn't produce top you know way too expensive like where's this guy 20 like round two to three for
12:53this guy I'm not doing it I did a draft a night ago and he went number 11 overall and like that's
12:59that's crazy to me I almost put him on this list so we we completely agree on this guy um the Chiefs
13:05don't really run the ball inside the five that's another thing like they always do these weird things like Mahomes like flips
13:11the ball to Kelsey or like sometimes he scrambles in and they brought in Justin Fields you know to be a better
13:17backup for what they had last year but you know they were talking about having Fields run tush pushes on fourth and
13:23one so like that's something else that Walker may not do and Walker didn't even get the goal line carries in Seattle
13:29last year that was Charbonnet and so like who's to say that they won't give Emmitt Johnson the goal line carries he
13:35looked good in the preseason um I I'm not in on this guy I don't like the Chiefs offense uh everything just
13:41screams like stay away from me I don't like any Chiefs players uh we'll get to another one later uh but yeah
13:47this this is just the big avoid for me as well it's just going way too early all right you're next guy
13:53here and I'm not doing any tight I'm not drafting any tight ends early like this is an absolute zero no for
13:59me especially now with I think Marvin Harrison is in a make or break type season he's got to do something or
14:05his name is complete mush 24 overall Trey McBride I definitely see the appeal of like a top tight end in regards
14:10to production but at that range man I'm looking at better I could get Josh Allen to anchor my team as an
14:16ace quarterback I mean Josh Allen's 27 overall I could look at a solid running back I think there's still great running
14:22backs there you know he's coming off ahead of Emika Egbuka he's coming off ahead ahead of other guys like Javante Williams
14:28Vlad McConkie Jeremiah Love he's coming off a lot ahead of a lot of good players that you can anchor your team
14:34safely with and roll the dice on tight end later I mean I've had success drafting Samuel Porte on his rookie year
14:40Tyler Warren last year I was pushing people on you can get tight ends later and really just thrive you know or
14:46just survive anyway uh Trey McBride's your guy those that's my reasoning why why aren't you drafting uh Mr.
14:51McBride well first of all I mean you make great points I mean you can get good tight ends late uh every
14:57fantasy draft I do and we we always draft on our live stream uh if there's no preseason games around 10 30
15:03eastern like we uh for two nights in a row I got Chigakonkwo in round 14 he's my number 10 tight end
15:09and like right after that last night it was Brenton Strange number 12 and then Jake Ferguson went and like he's he's
15:15like number 13 it's like you can get these really great values at tight end like why would you waste an early
15:21round pick on a tight end so that that's one thing the other thing is that McBride's coming off a pinnacle year
15:27he had 11 touchdowns last year year before he had two and so yeah they had a quarterback change they went for
15:33Kyler Murray to Jacoby Brissette Brissette likes tight ends more so if you were to tell me Brissette's going to start the
15:39whole year I could be like okay I I could I could buy McBride again but Brissette's not going to start the
15:45whole year this Arizona team is going to be dreadful probably the worst team in the NFC uh except for maybe Atlanta
15:51but but they're gonna be awful and so they're gonna need to see what they have in Carson Beck they drafted him
15:57in the third round so I think second half of the year at some point they're gonna have to go to Beck
16:03because you know they have to know what they have in him like maybe they have something good and they don't need
16:09to draft Arch Manning uh but uh I don't trust Carson Beck to continue those touchdowns and McBride I think you're gonna
16:15see his production drop off and so you have a tight end going round two slash early round three coming up a
16:20pinnacle year that's something that you have to fade yeah I don't trust it I just I can I wait on tight
16:26end personally so all good points the next guy we actually because we agree pretty much on everybody on this list I
16:32think the next guy we're gonna butt heads here uh is Devante Smith I think the guy is an absolute twig like
16:38like a branch you know those branches like the thing like you walk by in a park and then there's like a
16:44tree and they have like little branches the little ones you rip off and just go like this that's how I see
16:50Devante Smith and he's already been banged up right like already in preseason he is such a skinny dude he's small he's
16:56not designed to be a workhorse uh wide receiver or a true wide receiver one he was always a two I believe
17:02if you're always a two you kind of stay the two there's never going to be a point where you're going to
17:08emerge I don't believe in this guy I do have Jalen Hurts in my high stakes league so I hope maybe there's
17:14something here but I'm not drafting him in the what is his second round what is his overall he's like mid-third usually
17:20mid-third for this guy yeah yeah 29 overall I'm not doing it I'm just not doing it I'm not buying it I'm
17:26not drinking the kool-aid here I know you're not high at Makai Lemon but I'm not high on Devante Smith so I
17:32don't know what's going on here I don't think you know maybe Goddard someone else emerges as the one but I don't
17:38think it's Smith I don't believe in this guy I don't I mean have you seen the way he wears his pants
17:44like I mean like he dresses ridiculous like I not just the way I'm not drafting him just the way he dresses
17:50Joe how could you say that he performs he's not a true one it was AJ Brown was the one all of
17:56a sudden he's gonna slide I don't believe it I'm not sold sell me on it Walter I'm gonna do my best
18:02I love Devante Smith this year in fact I'm betting him to an offensive player of the year I'll be at 125
18:08the one odds but still so so so to the spell a couple points uh you know he is he is skinny
18:13but he hasn't much much time in the NFL he's missed five games in his career in five seasons so it's one
18:19one game per year you know you can live with that um also he was a number one his rookie year he
18:25had a thousand receiving yards and then they brought in AJ Brown sure I mean AJ Brown is just a mega talent
18:31like Smith took a back seat to that but AJ Brown when when AJ Brown was there he missed four games uh
18:37not counting like week 18 garbage uh but we he missed four games in those four games Devante Smith went for seven
18:43for 76 seven for 79 six for 84 and eight for 148 uh if you you know it's a small sample size
18:49but if you extrapolate that and put that over 17 games it's 119 catches for 1644 yards he is the number one
18:55target right now we know Jalen Hurts what he does he's target one target two run there is no receiver three on
19:01the Eagles that's like the old joke like oh they have Brown and Smith who's the receiver three like there is no
19:07receiver three her receiver three is Hurts run uh so he's going to look at Devante Smith so much this year with
19:13Brown gone uh we've seen Smith produce like I said thousand yard season in his rookie year when he was the number
19:19one and in those four games like like I said small sample size but he hasn't had a bus game like in
19:25PPR those are at least 15 plus points every single game that he's had and plus that big one eight for 148
19:31game that that was a playoff game by the way like he was against the playoff team and he lit them up
19:37so I think this guy is very talented he was taken in the first uh top 10 of the NFL draft so
19:43it's not like some third round guy who came on like he he's always super talented so yeah I I love Devante
19:49Smith as his ADP I think he should be going like late two uh but mid three late three I'm just taking
19:55him we'll come back to this uh during the season I'm not sold on I know you those are really good points
20:01and it almost convinced me for a second there to draft Devante Smith for a second he had me there and I
20:06shook my head and I'm like no no no I'm not I'm not in I looked at it here uh he was
20:12spotted on Monday's practice this week again he had missed more than a week practice time but he was seen warming up
20:18by side by sidelines and shoulder pads earlier this week and uh yeah I think he's back so hamstring issues for him
20:24and Lemon so we'll see out of those two if they their hamstring survives the season I don't know man I think
20:30he's too skinny for me yeah look I mean he is there he is skinny like you're right about that I don't
20:36know about the pants that could be a sketchy situation but like uh you know uh he is uh he was warming
20:42up ahead of that Ravens game like no starters played but he was warming up and so like what I took from
20:48that was like if this were a regular season game he would have played yeah well we're back on the same page
20:54pick number five here the criminal Rashi Rice I mean I mean there's nothing else to say okay again let's go through
21:00his stats first and then we will talk about what what a terrible person he is and that is again my opinion
21:06we're entitled to our opinions it's not this is this is based on what he did right so first and foremost his
21:12stats let's just go over them because I'm not seeing the hype here first he's ranked what 22 overall my big question
21:18is why why why why why why 102 targets 938 yards seven touchdowns his rookie season that wasn't bad but he still
21:24didn't crack a thousand yards or double digit touchdowns that's his rookie he played the full season by the way his second
21:30season played four games 288 yards two touchdowns he didn't finish the season I'm like okay cool maybe it's 50-50 that's funny
21:36what he does in this third season eight games uh 571 yards five touchdowns yet to crack a thousand yards or five
21:42touchdowns and yet to finish another season so not and then that's just the stats Walter now let's talk about his off-field
21:48stuff there's a whole rap sheet now just got out of jail and then we're seeing videos of him running terrible routes
21:54and all this stuff or just not looking sluggish on the field you got the emergence of some of these younger guys
21:59emerging on the team we could we could talk about and then we talked about that incident that really just turned me
22:05off this guy allegedly or whatever you could say allegedly whatever but he was speeding right caused multi-car collision causing bodily harm
22:11people went to the hospital could have passed right and then to boot he flees the scene like I why would I
22:17want that piece of garbage on my fantasy football team like never man never he's a low quality human being I don't
22:23want him on my team so just for that reason I'm out like the fact that the fantasy idiots in the community
22:29and because she says have this guy at 22 overall based on everything I just said is ludicrous ludicrous like it makes
22:35no sense could he break out sure but so could Matthew Golden so could uh Striebling later so could Zachariah Branch so
22:41could Malachi Fields later you know anyone could break out I can get them in the 20th round why would I like
22:47dude like help me out here man I'm pissed I can't understand this round round two ADP like we we usually have
22:53smart drafters in the drafts we do each night and he went he went round four last night now I'm like oh
22:59that's too early like round two like what what are people doing here he's never had a great year uh yeah he's
23:05uh he's the guy who catches a ton of passes so he is a little bit better in PPR but like still
23:11he's not that good to begin with you can't trust him to stay uh out of prison but like he was he
23:17was in he was in jail for a month like other guys are working out they're on the field like they're in
23:23the weight room this guy was in jail for a month so like what was he doing there you know like well
23:29do they have weights in there do they have maybe they have some sort of off-field like off-season training program in the
23:35county jail I don't know yeah exactly yeah he's probably just lifting weights but maybe not running too much or running from
23:41guys in the shower maybe I don't know yeah maybe that's probably it pick it up pick it up the soap that's
23:47the cardio he's doing yeah uh so no I I I can't get on this guy he's he's just screams bust like
23:52there's injury he gets hurt a lot he gets arrested a lot um and he's not that good so you have the
23:58you have the trifecta there there's no reason to draft them at the end of round two like even round four I'm
24:04like not gonna draft them you know I'm not doing it not doing it hopefully that's enough ripping on rice rip it
24:10on rice ripping on rashi rice the triple r all right uh next one here again let's go back to this one
24:16of my most hated players I I just don't like this guy I just a guy that produces safe numbers I get
24:22it but I just think that you are a beta I think you're a loser I think you know no offense Walter
24:28if you draft T Higgins you love him but I just think you're settling I think you are a weak human being
24:34if you think T Higgins is going to be your wide receiver one knowing full well that Jamar Chase is the alpha
24:40dog on that roster so I feel that like if you draft this guy in the third round you're saying to yourself
24:46I don't think highly of myself and my fantasy team you know some people are gonna oh you're so mean Joe that
24:52hurts your my feelings how could you say that about me how could you say that well T Higgins caps at 110
24:58targets why would I limit myself I can get someone else in round 10 that's gonna cap at 110 targets potentially I'm
25:04not doing it Walter I don't see the T Higgins talk I don't know yeah no I've done 130 best ball drafts
25:10I have drafted him zero times so we're we're on the same page on this one yeah if he was a number
25:16one somewhere then sure and then again he would be going earlier but like it's number two in an offense where which
25:22you know it's a great offense but keep this in mind Cincinnati's defense can be a lot better this year they added
25:28a lot of talent now it's not gonna be like top 10 but it's not gonna be bottom five like it was
25:34over the past few years so with a better defense they're gonna have more leads they're not gonna have to throw as
25:40much in the in the fourth quarter and that was always like the selling point here with Higgins like oh he might
25:45have some garbage time games where he just has big fourth quarters like those are not going to be as prevalent this
25:51year and Cincinnati is one of the easiest schedules in the NFL so like they're gonna rack up a lot of wins
25:57I actually have them winning the Super Bowl this year so like 12 or 13 wins I think they're not gonna throw
26:03a lot in the fourth quarter it's gonna be a lot of Chase Brown I think Chase Brown kind of gets elevated
26:09here and Higgins takes a little bit of a backseat uh the only out here you have the only way he's gonna
26:15pay off for you in the third round is if Jamar Chase gets hurt then yeah Higgins gonna have a huge year
26:21but you you can't take a guy in the third round and hoping someone else gets hurt that's like for 12th round
26:27players not not third round players yeah and I look at his stats last year he peaked touchdown wise he had 11
26:33touchdowns he's never had that he had 10 the year before but after that it was like five seven six six like
26:39he's always never had double digit touchdowns only two 1,000 yard receiving seasons his entire career and he didn't finish 2023 and
26:452024 or 2021 so out of the six seasons he's played he hasn't finished three of them so and he's only cracked
26:51a thousand two times in six years and double digits twice like there's so many things where it's like I don't know
26:57man like he's not gonna hit 11 touchdowns again this year it's not gonna happen so you're basically paying high for him
27:03yet again and people that did draft him I think it was in 2023 you only had 137 points that year so
27:09he'll never be a top producer he'll be in the right 200s you know or you know it's not gonna be anything
27:15special man yeah he's uh he's the the twig that you're talking about with Devontae Smith like Smith's has missed five games
27:21he's missed 15 games in his career so triple that amount so instead of one per game one game per season miss
27:27three games per season and from the third round I'm not taking him at all no that's passed okay your next guy
27:33which I think we've seen the best out of him but why are you not drafting Jonathan Taylor yeah a pinnacle year
27:38last year uh at least in the first like 13 games when the Colts had a great offense with Daniel Jones is
27:44going he looked great uh then he fractures his fibula and then he tears his achilles and so he's out for the
27:50year they bring in Phillip Rivers and they have Riley Leonard at the end and like what did defense do like oh
27:56we don't have to worry about this we can stack the box now Daniel Jones is back this year but is he
28:02fully back like torn achilles like we talked about ACLs being tough torn achilles is even worse uh especially for a quarterback
28:08who's who scrambles and we're not going to see Jones scramble a lot and remember his receiving quarter is diminished this year
28:14last year he had uh in addition to Alec Pearson Josh Downs and Tyler Warren he also had Michael Pittman Jr he
28:20also had uh Adonai Mitchell to take the top off the ball uh Mitchell's gone he's with the Jets uh Michael Pittman's
28:26gone he's with the Steelers Alec Pierce is injured uh he has this he has this ankle injury that just won't go
28:32away he reminds you of Chris Godwin like I think he's going to miss a couple months potentially in the season and
28:38Downs is banged up a little bit I know he's practicing again but like you can't trust him stay healthy he's a
28:44smaller player too and now Warren is is banged up a little bit I don't think it's going to be a big
28:50factor but still if all these injuries they're bringing Keenan Allen that's how desperate they are so teams know they know they're
28:56not going to throw that much and so they're they're going to say okay we can we can get closer to the
29:02line of scrimmage here we can focus on stopping Jonathan Taylor who again coming off the pinnacle year he is now being
29:08drafted in the mid first round whereas last year he's going like mid to mid to late second round uh so last
29:14year you're getting a great value this year you're not getting any sort of value and so yeah I mean if everything's
29:20perfect sure he can maybe repeat but everything needs to be perfect for him to have the the exact season are things
29:26gonna be perfect we already see the injury so so almost certainly not so I'm not taking him the first round not
29:31enough people talk about this though like 2022 11 games didn't finish the season okay whatever 2023 10 games didn't finish the
29:37season whatever 2024 didn't finish the season 14 games whatever right well that's a pinnacle year let's draft him first round that
29:43year because like like are you serious like Jonathan Taylor is not is gonna bust like he's we've seen the best Jonathan
29:49Taylor like like nobody talks about the three years before not him not finishing season just because he had a good season
29:55last year let's draft him again on top this year like that's the that's the there's no critical thinking with fantasy football
30:01can sheep just experts none zero there's no thought process none yeah there's zero zero they see the last thing and they
30:07assume it's just gonna happen again like it's nuts yeah why why do you assume that like we have so much data
30:13of him missing time you don't think it's gonna happen again you don't think last year was a fluke you know it's
30:19not gonna be a beginning of a trend I don't see why it would be like there's there's a really good chance
30:25he misses three or four games this year on top of the the negative stuff that I mentioned you know I can
30:31go box Mike Tyson in his prime right I can go box him 10 times okay Walter here's a good analogy how
30:37they can shoot this just came to me I can go box Mike Tyson 10 times right and he's knocked me out
30:43nine nine out of nine we're on the 10th match somehow he gets his nose gets itchier his eyes and he just
30:49stops for a second and I get an opportunity I sucker punch him clean right on the jaw Mike Tyson goes down
30:55are you gonna take me as a favorite for the next match to beat Mike Tyson because of that fluke no you're
31:01not it was a lucky punch I got lucky it's just not gonna happen sometimes it happens a lot of fantasy these
31:07guys have this great pinnacle year lucky year and guess what back to reality next year so I think this is one
31:13of those cases man I mean maybe it's not Mike Tyson and me fighting in his prime but it's it's I'm trying
31:19to emphasize and exaggerate the point here you know I'm saying with these copy and paste rankings Walter yeah the concheapsis shows
31:24will be like fancy counselor gotta take a mid first round and fancy boxing you know Tyson slips on banana peel and
31:30like you know we're talking prime Tyson too right right but but the last but the last fight Joe knocked him out
31:36right so he's gonna do it again yeah very unlikely must must draft fancy all right the next guy speaking of a
31:42guy who um is coming off a pinnacle year I I just don't see this again like they're putting these two receivers
31:48in the top 10 based on like George Pickens's numbers okay like he's not gonna do this again I don't see this
31:54let's talk basic math here I'm gonna pull up his numbers from last year Dallas Cowboys wide receiver filtering uh George Pickens
32:001429 yards nine touchdowns George Pickens who's never done that in his life in fact Walter his first two years were nine
32:06touchdowns combined and then the year after he had three so nine plus three is 12 it took him three years to
32:12combine for 12 touchdowns he did it did he did nine last year and again 1429 yards is a lot of it
32:18is a lot and then I could see him doing great if CeeDee Lamb wasn't there but for a wide receiver too
32:24to achieve 1429 yards and to put him as top 10 again it's not happening in fact if he duplicates those numbers
32:30or exceeds them I will quit fantasy football there is another one right again so I've said this before I said if
32:36if Pickens and CeeDee Lamb both finish as top 10 wide receivers okay in amongst wide receivers top 10 and fancy points
32:42and now I'm adding a new one if George Pickens duplicate matches or exceeds his production from last year yards touchdowns phase
32:48I'm quitting fantasy football I am so convinced I have so much conviction George Pickens is gonna bust hard not even like
32:54soft not even like he's gonna down go down to 1300 yards I think he's not even gonna crack 800 yards like
33:00injury tantrum suspension something like it's just it's he's gonna go down period yeah you know what I was gonna say you
33:06should add the stipulation that like Lamb uh is stays healthy in that but I was thinking about it and like yeah
33:12he could have he could implode like we saw this and uh people might remember this game it's the Thursday night game
33:17against the Lions last year CeeDee Lamb got hurt in that game and I'm watching it like happened right before halftime I'm
33:23like oh Pickens gonna have a huge second half with no land there he didn't do anything he caught like one pass
33:29in the second half he looked so disgruntled he quit on the team that was the game that Ryan Flournoy went off
33:35uh and I I made I made a ton of money that game just betting Flournoy over over over a lot live
33:41betting uh which we we do on our discord um so yeah I I with with Pickens you have you have a
33:47few things first of all he's not the number one and same thing with like Higgins and you know Devante Smith before
33:53AJ Brown left like you don't want to take these number two guys in the first three rounds so there's that I
33:59also mentioned that the tantrums you know he has those he's he's a guy who gets upset very easily and just wants
34:05to quit on his team even when things are going well and last year in that Lions game they needed to win
34:11to sustain the playoff race and he just was a no show like what's gonna happen this year if if things go
34:17wrong you know um like if he didn't get the ball too much in one game he just might quit and just
34:23might not show up so you're gonna have to deal with that also uh like Cincinnati Dallas's defense can be a lot
34:29better this year they added some really good players uh Rashawn Gary for example um in the in the draft that got
34:35Caleb Downs like this defense is not gonna be horrible anymore they're gonna be good so they're gonna run they're gonna run
34:41more in the fourth quarter which is why I like Javante Williams same same with Chase Brown uh they're not gonna throw
34:47as much so Pickens and Stass are just gonna drop um naturally and so yeah like round three is insane I I
34:53he he helped me win a championship last year but I got him round seven like no if he's going round seven
34:59sure take him but round three you can't take a receiver two in round three yeah and I I think look if
35:05they loved him if the Cowboys believed him they wouldn't just sign him to a tag after that type of year I
35:10I that's the main reason if the Cowboys don't believe in him I don't believe in him like it's that simple your
35:16fantasy team shouldn't believe in him so I I strongly advise against drafting a wide receiver two in round three or round
35:22late round two early round three which is ludicrous don't do it I think it'll be a huge mistake and the last
35:28one drum roll oh my back is where's Connor I'm doing the Connor oh my back is so tight my legs are
35:34so tight my shoulders are so tight my neck I can't play I've got tightness my name is CMC that's it man
35:40like what the heck man what's wrong with this guy yeah tightness is a weird thing because in 2024 he had calf
35:46tightness that that was his injury designation ahead of the season when you know heading in the week one people forget this
35:52against the Jets the Monday night game week one he was listed as questionable questionable with calf tightness and people remember I
35:58was still drafting him round one calf tightness who cares uh he'll he'll play um he didn't play until like week nine
36:04that year he just missed the full her whole first two seasons of the first two months of the year um like
36:10who's to say that's not going to happen again like right now if he has this tightness and he's not practicing and
36:16it's not like a one or two day thing where he's like like a veteran like yeah it's like with Josh Jacobs
36:22okay maybe he wants to take a day off or two he's a veteran if he missed a day or two it's
36:28like okay fine whatever but like yeah it's been weeks here like like what is what is happening here we know the
36:34Niners are very untruthful with what they're reporting like this this could be something more serious you know if you have I
36:40think you mentioned like if you have tightness you get a back roller get get a massage not not a not a
36:46call to Sean Watson knows exactly where to take you like he'll he'll map it out he'll he'll send you the pin
36:52link of where he currently is probably there now right he'll probably send you a pin link as soon as he can
36:58go meet the Sean Watson get that worked out they played each other last year so he might have his number and
37:03he can he can call the appropriate place um no it's it's like you don't miss a two weeks because of tightness
37:09you miss two days maybe but this is a big concern this is a guy who always missed a lot of games
37:15he's missed 37 games in his career uh out of I believe like 148 or so uh that's like 25 percent of
37:21his games like you're gonna draft the guy in the first round and this is 25 percent of his games I know
37:27he had a great year last year the gun but pinnacle year yeah he could have uh round one type season if
37:33everything goes right but do you expect everything to go right second year in a row we we've seen so much history
37:39of this guy getting injured over and over again you can't count on him especially given that he's injured now so I'm
37:45not there's no way I'm taking the first round there's no way I'm taking him in the second round actually the third
37:51round as long as he's not practicing I'm not taking the third round either like it may be fourth round but that's
37:57never gonna happen so what's the point you know so I this this guy you can't draft him he's gonna lose your
38:03your league if you draft him you know who's gonna lose it is all those idiots that draft cmc first round and
38:09when I when he goes down and I start doing a dance I'm gonna start playing celebrate good times you know I'm
38:15gonna sing that song and then I'm gonna start dancing to it and I'm gonna do a whole dance just like this
38:21when he goes down and I'll just shake it like that and then everyone's gonna lose their crap all over social media
38:27I can't wait I could not wait oh joy you're so mean you're wishing injury no I'm not I'm actually saying I'm
38:33warning you that he's gonna get hurt so this is a disclaimer I'm warning he's gonna get hurt and I'm telling you
38:39not to draft him and I'm not laughing at him getting hurt I'm laughing at you for drafting him that's what the
38:45celebration is about so I'm ready to play the song and do my dance I can't wait I don't know when do
38:51you think when do you think it'll happen you think it'll be week one week four I think by week three we'll
38:56have some sort of injury news it's really going to derail his fantasy production I think by week three to four max
39:02we'll have some news he may not even play week one yeah so then it could be the dance could be coming
39:08soon I'm ready yeah look he has to travel overseas uh at week one you know and as long as yeah back
39:14home you have that electrical substation thing I don't know if you believe in that but like that that can't help so
39:20yeah it's going to be I think in September at some point he's going to be out and I was hearing don't
39:26don't quote me on this I could be wrong but some sort of soundbite or news this is like months ago he
39:32was complaining or whining or didn't want to go to Australia or something like that yeah I mean honestly I can't blame
39:38him I I hate these overseas games I think I don't want to fly either but you know you're getting paid billions
39:44of dollars if you paid me billions of dollars I'd probably go you know what I'm saying that's true that's true I
39:50I don't want to go overseas I've left this I've let this country wants to go to Bermuda for my honeymoon um
39:56I I don't want to go anywhere it's the best country in the world why would I want to go anywhere else
40:02you know but again if I'm getting like a 40 million dollar contract sure I'll go anywhere you want you know I'll
40:08go I'll go to the North Pole I'll go to the moon if you give me that much money do not draft
40:14CMC you've been warned all right Walter some people will say we're a little harsh but that sometimes the truth hurts and
40:20uh people don't like it and uh if you guys want a full roster grab 16 rounds head on over to walterfootball.com
40:26and Walter we'll get you back on next week uh twice a week right now and uh prime time draft season yeah
40:32can't wait yeah this this is crunch time these are the three weekends and people draft the most so make sure you
40:38you watch our videos you know who to draft you know who to avoid uh make sure you don't draft these players
40:44they will lose your league and we did another video early in the week where we talked about guys who can win
40:49your league so watch both and uh draft that way and you're gonna do well in your fantasy league big contrast man
40:55big contrast yeah all right man we'll talk soon everybody have a good day we're out subscribe

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