What Can Brown Do For You?

A.J. Brown was traded to the Patriots in a deal that was already assumed and baked into the market, so the trade itself is not expected to cause significant market adjustment.

A.J. Brown is now WR8 by ADP (ADP 22) after being WR11 last year, with strong underlying metrics: 480 routes, 121 targets, 78 catches for 1,003 yards and 7 TDs (8.3 targets per game), 2+ yards per route, and 95 air yards per game as a deep target specialist.

Drake May had 67 deep completions (2nd) and .95 EPA per attempt on deep shots (1st), creating an ideal connection for A.J. Brown's deep target profile and suggesting first-round return potential.

A.J. Brown should be taken over Nico Collins and George Pickens based on superior QB play (Drake May vs. Romeo Doubs and Russell Wilson), making him the clear choice in that tier.

The Miles Garrett trade could bump up Blake Corum in rankings if the Rams use the second running back more in late-game situations to salt away games.

Ayuk has not been on a football field and productive in two plus years, putting him on a Michael Thomas trajectory where his best days appear behind him.

Going really late in drafts, Ayuk is the most talented wide receiver at his ADP point from a talent perspective.

If Ayuk signs with Washington, he would likely move up around the second round due to the team's lack of a clear-cut number two receiver.

Braxton Berrios could be a late-round redraft value as a slot receiver filling the void left by Wandale Robinson's 915 snaps and 140 targets (23 slot routes/game, 6+ slot targets/game), potentially being a WR2 in the first four weeks.

Dallas Goddert could see significant red zone looks in the revamped Eagles offense post-A.J. Brown, with potential for a 12-touchdown season.

Daniel Jones (Dart) looks to complete passes in the slot area, creating opportunity for slot receivers like Braxton Berrios in the Giants offense.

The Miles Garrett trade away from Cleveland could boost the Browns pass catchers, as the team now has a lesser chance to stay in games and may need to pass more.

DeVonta Smith is expected to be in a 1A/1B situation with Makai Lemon rather than taking over a clear lead role in the Eagles offense post-A.J. Brown.

George Pickens ranks third behind A.J. Brown and Nico Collins because he is not the clear number-one target on his own team, despite having T. Higgins-like upside.

Hunter Henry is hurt by Romeo Doubs being the focal point of the Patriots offense, as he is more of a correlated pick and doesn't benefit from Doubs drawing all the attention.

Isaiah Likely benefits from the Giants' focus on attacking the middle of the field with slot receivers, potentially increasing his ADP value as a tight end.

Jalen Hurts is not being moved down in rankings despite A.J. Brown's departure, as the Eagles showed versatility without him and Hurts' mobile skill set opens multiple paths to success.

Daniels has a shower narrative with Brandon Ayuk, as they played together at Arizona State in 2019 and are best friends, making Ayuk a potential complement in Washington.

JSN is being considered above Nacua for a number of reasons, including some off-field considerations that serve as tiebreakers.

Juju Smith-Schuster has not exceeded 350 yards or 2 TDs in the past three seasons and looked very slow, making him an unattractive fantasy option despite Giants signing.

The Miles Garrett trade away from Cleveland could boost KC Concepcion, as the Browns now have a lesser chance to stay in games and may need to pass more.

Kyle Pitts is ranked below Travis Kelce in tight end value, with the analyst preferring Kelce over Pitts despite Kelce being 37 years old.

The Miles Garrett trade to the Rams may bump up Kyron Williams in rankings, as the team's improved defense could lead to more late-game situations where the running back is used to salt away games.

Makai Lemon is expected to be in a 1A/1B situation with DeVonta Smith in the Eagles offense post-A.J. Brown, though he suffered a hamstring injury expected to be resolved by training camp.

The A.J. Brown trade to New England cements the analyst's heavy investment in Makai Lemon from both dynasty and redraft perspectives.

The Giants' signing of multiple veteran WRs (OBJ, Juju, Braxton Berrios) suggests concern about Malik Nabers' readiness, indicating potential reduced role or availability.

Malik Nabers' knee injury raises concerns about his availability early in the season, with uncertainty about whether he will be ready by week three.

Mark Andrews, at 30 years old, has a strong case for a top five tight end season. With Isaiah Likely gone, Andrews loses a competing target, and with Declan Doyle's arrival as offensive coordinator from Chicago, the Ravens' passing game should improve, benefiting Andrews.

Without Isaiah Likely, Andrews becomes Baltimore's primary target-earning tight end. He is Lamar Jackson's number one tight end in touchdowns over the last three years with at least 60 targets each season, and he's a 5-for-51-1 guy.

Andrews is going around ADP 122-125, right next to Kelsey. The analyst prefers Andrews for best ball due to his seven years of youth advantage over Kelsey, and likes him in redraft as well.

With Declan Doyle's creative offensive scheme and Lamar Jackson potentially having one of his better passing seasons, Mark Andrews could return to being a perennial top five tight end.

The Miles Garrett trade and contract extension suggest the Rams believe Stafford will be healthy for this year and next, putting concerns about his back to rest.

Nico Collins ranks below A.J. Brown in the WR tier due to Romeo Doubs being a distant second to Drake May in QB quality for deep ball connection.

Odell Beckham at 33 years old on his fifth team since 2021 (missing two full seasons) should be avoided in fantasy drafts despite name recognition.

Patrick Mahomes benefits from the return of Eric Bienemy as offensive coordinator, who was instrumental in the Chiefs' top-ranked offenses from 2018-2022.

The Miles Garrett trade to the Rams could knock Nacua down in rankings, as the team's improved defense may lead to larger leads and fewer passing opportunities.

Romeo Doubs at ADP 115 is a better value as a secondary option (1B) rather than as a focal point of the offense, as he benefits from A.J. Brown drawing attention but doesn't want all the targets himself.

Saquon Barkley could see increased usage ("wheels all the way up") in the Eagles offense as they adjust to life without A.J. Brown.

McLaurin looked a little bit off last year, which could impact his standing if Ayuk joins Washington as a potential 1B option.

Theo Johnson could benefit from the Giants' focus on attacking the middle of the field, similar to Isaiah Likely.

Travis Kelce at age 37 has a baseline of Jason Witten's 63 catches/529 yards/4 TDs (TE11) and ceiling of Tony Gonzalez's 83 catches/859 yards/8 TDs (TE2), with numbers similar to his last year and the return of Eric Bienemy as offensive coordinator.

Travis Kelce benefits from the return of Eric Bienemy as Chiefs offensive coordinator, who was part of the magic from 2018-2022 when the offense never ranked worse than 6th in total yards or points.

The Miles Garrett trade and Stafford extension kept Simpson from falling further in dynasty rankings, providing a vote of confidence in his future as Stafford's successor.

Simpson is not expected to perform well if thrown into action this year; the best outcome would be the defense keeping the Rams in positive game scripts.

Wandale Robinson vacated 915 snaps and 140 targets from the Giants offense, with 23 slot routes per game and 6+ slot targets per game, creating opportunity for his replacement.