Ride The ADP Rollercoaster

With Malik Nabers' injury uncertainty, Braxton Berrios becomes the beneficiary in the Giants wide receiver room.

Analyst likes Brenton Strange, the Jaguars tight end, as part of a talented pass catcher room.

Analyst refuses to believe Brian Thomas Jr.'s talent 'just evaporated' last year and thinks he can still get that connection back with Trevor Lawrence.

Olave is off blood thinners in two weeks and is fully on track without restrictions for week one, with everything going exactly as planned for a full recovery.

Olave has dropped to late third/early fourth round due to injury news discount, which represents a smash value given his 156 targets last year and status as a total target hog.

Sutton is getting up there in age and Pat Bryant is positioned as part of the succession plan, though Sutton should still be available in drafts.

George Kittle tore his right Achilles in the playoffs (January 11th) and is remarkably ahead of schedule, jogging and doing single-leg hops with a week one return target in Australia.

Analyst is comfortable taking the injury discount on George Kittle in redraft and best ball leagues because the tight end role in the Shanahan offense is so vital.

Kittle's surgeon called the Achilles tear a 'best case scenario' because it was so high up on the appendage, which is a positive sign for recovery.

Kittle is one of the shortest list of tight ends who can be rolled out as a flex player every week and can get yards after the catch while being involved in the red zone.

Kittle is positioned as a secondary tight end option in best ball that can back up an early tight end selection like Andrews, offering complementary upside.

Waddle's addition to Denver's receiver room creates uncertainty about his role and availability, though the analyst expects him to still be available in drafts.

Coleman is a late-round target with three-down potential who can be the guy in Denver's backfield if given the opportunity, representing value given the uncertainty around Dobbins and Harvey.

Coleman is going outside of the top 150 and is worth consideration even in redraft formats as a very late pick with potential upside if either Dobbins or Harvey suffers a setback.

Tore his ACL and meniscus in the right knee with a second surgery needed for scar tissue cleanup. Giants have been vague about timeline; goal is training camp/week one but could miss first few weeks.

Despite talent, analyst is off Nabers and won't draft him in the fourth round or earlier, preferring to wait until pick 40 or worse, or avoid him entirely in redraft.

Analyst has found himself 'very sadly off' Nabers and won't see him in the fourth round; may click him in best ball or redraft only if cleaning up a mess later in drafts.

Second analyst notes the re-aggravation and second procedure is concerning; teams usually put out optimistic reports for ACL injuries, but Giants are 'hemming and hawing,' which is 'super nervous' territory.

Second analyst won't draft Nabers in round four and maybe not even round five, as the injury uncertainty puts too much stress on the rest of the draft.

Re-aggravation and second procedure reset recovery clocks and open the body up to infections, making it a 'disaster' for draft purposes.

Analyst loves Mark Andrews and has been in on him since March; with Likely moved away from, there's more target share available for Andrews.

Mark Andrews is not as old as people think, is healthy, and plays for a good Ravens team, making him an attractive alternative to George Kittle.

Second analyst has been in on Mark Andrews since way back in March and loves the pick, noting it feels rude that everybody is just now starting to come around on him.

Andrews is recommended as an early-round tight end target in best ball formats, described as a reliable 'early hit' that can anchor a tight end strategy.

Parker Washington went off in the slot role in the Liam Cohen offense, recording 12 of 14 targets in the slot with 8 catches for 101 yards and 1 TD in that game.

Analyst believes in Parker Washington's talent and is comfortable with him breaking out in year three, especially given his late-season success in high-leverage playoff games.

Parker Washington excelled in the slot role in high-leverage playoff games and is compared favorably to Chris Godwin in the same role, who was a top-five wide receiver before injury.

Bryant remains part of Denver's succession plan for aging Cortland Sutton and should still fall half a round due to Jalen Waddle addition, making him a strong dynasty hold.

Harvey had off-season surgery for a torn labrum, which occurred late in the season versus New England, and the analyst worries about this despite reports of a good off-season.

Tore his LCL in the right knee in week seven (London game) with surgery in mid-November. Expected back as full-time cornerback and part-time wide receiver.

Travis Hunter is 'extremely undervalued' at ADP 138 and could be a wide receiver one if he returns to form, though uncertainty around usage remains.

Analyst won't sell on the idea that the Jaguars want to use Travis Hunter heavily on both sides of the ball post-injury, especially given their greater need at cornerback than wide receiver.

Hunter is fine as a late-round best ball option but not for redraft or lineup-dependent leagues due to uncertainty around dual-role usage.

Tucker Kraft tore his ACL but has had more recovery time than Malik Nabers and hasn't had re-aggravation issues. Expected to be healthy and on track for week one.

At ADP 82, Tucker Kraft is a top-five tight end value and doesn't require reaching; analyst is okay taking him where he's going in drafts.

Tucker Kraft was tied for overall tight end one in points per game through the first eight weeks of last season with incredible underlying stats, making him a 'league winner type of guy.'

Among all pass catchers, Tucker Kraft ranked fifth in yards per target, seventh in yards per reception, second in yards after catch per reception, fourth in broken tackle rate, and second in passer rating when targeted.

Even if Tucker Kraft doesn't look amazing in week one, by week three or four he should be a league-winner type of player.

Analyst is 'super excited' about Tucker Kraft and believes he can win in line, win short, shake tackles, and win in the seam, comparing him to Gronk and Dallas Clark.

Tucker Kraft recorded 21.5 mph top speed on the practice field, which is elite top speed indicating he is 100% healed.